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Dean Baker

Dean Baker

Posted: June 1, 2010 10:49 AM

Former Alaska Senator Ted Stevens was the object of considerable ridicule for his support of the infamous $400 million "Bridge to Nowhere." This played a big role in his defeat in the last election.

It is appropriate that members of Congress pay a price for their support of wasteful projects that serve narrow constituencies, but this is not a major source of harm to the country. The total amount of earmarked spending, like the Bridge to Nowhere," is less than 1 percent of the federal budget; and not all of this spending is wasteful.

By contrast, many members of Congress are doing far more damage to the country with their mindless pursuit of deficit reduction in the middle of the worst downturn in 70 years. This push for deficit reduction could do more damage to the economy and cost more jobs than 1,000 Bridges to Nowhere.

The basic story is straightforward and should be well known to anyone in a policy position. The collapse of the housing bubble reduced annual demand from the private sector by almost $1 trillion. Huge overbuilding of both residential and non-residential real estate led to a falloff in annual construction spending of close to $500 billion. The loss of more than $6 trillion of housing bubble wealth has forced consumers to cut back their annual consumption spending by close to $500 billion.

The only force that can replace this $1 trillion shortfall in demand is the federal government. The government can spend based on the confidence of the public in the long-term strength of the U.S. economy. This means that it can run large deficits with little fear of either the sort of investor panic that has recently afflicted the Greek economy or inflation.

With the unemployment rate near 10 percent and the vast amounts of idle capacity almost everywhere, we have more to fear from deflation than inflation. All measures show that inflation is very low and falling, as would be expected in an economy with so much slack.

In spite of a situation that demands more government stimulus to boost the economy, deficit hawks in Congress are now demanding cuts in spending to reduce the size of the deficit. This effort will slow growth and throw people out of work. Therefore these deficit hawks deserve serious ridicule for doing so much harm to workers and their families.

Today's object of special ridicule is Pennsylvania Congressman Jason Altmire. Mr. Altmire insisted on paring back a package of unemployment benefits and aid to deficit strapped state governments. Altmire told the Washington Post: "We've hit the wall. We've come to the tipping point where we're not going to do anymore... I think the case can be made that there are still more people who need jobs than there are jobs available. ... But what's the limit?"

That's pretty good. The unemployment rate is at 9.9 percent. Prior to the recession, unemployment had not been this high in 27 years, and Mr. Altmire thinks: "the case can be made that there are still more people who need jobs than there are jobs available."

This is not a marginal call. It's kind of like saying that AIG may have become somewhat over-extended. Unfortunately, Mr. Altmire has apparently left planet earth and decided that his top priority is reducing the size of a supplemental appropriations bill.

Altmire and his collaborators managed to squeeze $30 billion out of the bill. If we follow the methodology used in a paper written by Obama administration economists Christine Romer and Jared Bernstein, Altmire's cuts will reduce growth by roughly $50 billion. This will throw more than 300,000 people out of work.

That's a great thing for members of Congress to do -- throw people out of work. It really helps their children also. Mr. Altmire can explain to the kids whose parents are forced to give up their homes that they will have a lower interest burden on the debt (which is not even true). The kids will no doubt thank Mr. Altmire for his consideration.

In fairness, Representative Altmire probably doesn't know squat about the economy. He probably just takes his cue from wealthy friends who enjoy muttering about "fiscal responsibility" when the issue is items like unemployment benefits and aid to state and local governments.

But, ignorance is not much of an excuse when you are crafting economic policy. Because of Mr. Altmire's blind pursuit of deficit reduction, hundreds of thousands of people will suffer needlessly and the nation as a whole will see growth curtailed. If ridicule were proportional to the damage done by their policies, given the treatment of Senator Stevens, we would have to start a new television network dedicated to this purpose to ensure that Representative Altmire received the proper level of ridicule.

 
 
 
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10:34 AM on 06/19/2010
Congressman Altmire has infuriated a lot of people here in Western PA, where I come from and where I have been organizing on behalf of Improved Medicare for All. In 2006, when Altmire first ran for Congress, he promised single-payer supporters he would cosponsor HR 676--Expanded and Improved Medicare for All. After he was elected, he reneged on his promise, claiming derisively, that it was an "entitlement" bill, as if this was a bad thing. I happen to think healthcare is a human right. Besides, there is something called a Medicare Tax, which all employees and employers pay into.

Last Wed. a group of us congregated outside Altmire's district office in Aliquippa, PA, with signs against cuts in Medicare and Social Security. Since Altmire was in D.C., his office manager came out and gave us a set of clipboards, each with a pen, to write our comments on his comment forms. After she went back inside, we noticed that all the pens were the same--they all had "Highmark Blue Cross/Blue Shield" written across them.

So, who is Jason Altmire representing?
05:56 PM on 06/02/2010
Time to send deficit hawks on unemployment. Oh wait, they will go to work as lobbyists. These people never loose.
President Obama, we are waiting for you to lead. You were right there whipping up Dem votes for Bush-Paulson Wall street welfare scheme a.k.a the Bailout. you twisted arms of progressives who were blocking funding for Afghan war. You were out getting votes for confirmation of Bailout Ben bernie, beating back comprehensive audit of the federal reserve and the breakup of TBTF banks. Now, go and bat for main street. keep in mind Deeds and Arthur Davis - you can't keep throwing your base under the bus and expect to win,
02:00 PM on 06/02/2010
Every economist and observer who has not partaken of Chicago School KoolAid or economic royalism is saying the same thing: the single most destructive thing that can be done during a downturn of this size is to turn off the public tap. The best way to reduce the deficit is (1) get people back to work - they pay taxes then instead of using the paltry safety net, and (2) cutting military spending about 40% to start with. Also, break up the banks and put some money into community investment. Hire people. The banksters have hoarded all the money they looted from the American public and skimmed billions off the top for themselves. Give some to people who will loan it out
ThePeacemakers
Concerned Citizen
07:40 PM on 06/02/2010
"Give some to people who will loan it out..."

Community investment will have to come direct from the government at this point and they aren't willing to do it. By "giving" it to middle men to "loan' out, they get campaign contributions for said favor.

Middle men, by nature, will skim as much as possible off the top before letting it "trickle down."
10:35 AM on 06/02/2010
I think we should institute a weekly "Herbert Hoover Prize" to be presented to the Congressperson, Senator or public official who came up with that week's most obtuse, Great Recession-lengthening economic idea. "And this week's HERBIE goes to...envelope please...
ThePeacemakers
Concerned Citizen
06:00 PM on 06/01/2010
The Center for Economics and Policy Research won't win this debate because you still don't know how to change or set the terms for debate.

It is the Increased War Spending and Corporate Subsidizing Bill - make the OTHER side break it down how it it will NOT be that.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
calindi
04:32 PM on 06/01/2010
This guy represents a district near Pittsburgh.
I hope he's a lawyer, cuz he's gonna need a job soon.
04:31 PM on 06/01/2010
Having been "in transition" since April 2009, I would like to write a very long letter to Rep. Altmire explaining the financial cost of being laid off in one's 50's, trying to hold onto my home, etc. How I've applied for many jobs, have reinvented the word "networking", and have been very assertive in the job search.

However, he clearly has his head up his ^@%@$#@ -- oooooh, did I say that? I am so utterly disappointed in Congress and how they truly don't understand, or appreciate, what millions of people are going through who have been laid off. Even if they have no sympathy and/or understanding of our situation, there is one situation which they should pay attention to. Should these jerks pull the plug on unemployment benefits, the foreclosure rate will sky rocket (moreso than it already has), there will be people with health care issues and no health care insurance, and a significant number of the baby boomers will be left out in the cold with no help from our government.

I have worked hard, always paid taxes, voted in every election because I do believe that there are people who care but perhaps there aren't any politicians that care anymore.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DevonTexas
Eternal Optimism
04:22 PM on 06/01/2010
Billions for banks but nothing for the unemployed! It makes no economic sense.
It's "Bubble Up", not "Trickle Down". Assisting the unemployed puts money back into circulation quickly and benefits a larger population.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Jannsmoor
03:19 PM on 06/01/2010
If Rep Jason Altmire had the courage of his convictions, he would be calling for cutting the bloated, wasteful, fraudulent military budget in half. We could actually have a more effective military force with half the spending. Since it accounts for over $700 billion annually, that actually becomes real money.
Come on Altmire, show some spine.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Redlion62
Cable, Telephony, HSI Specialist
02:39 PM on 06/01/2010
Mr. Baker is right in saying that Altmire probably listens to wealthy people who are completely out of touch and totally unsympathetic towards those in lower classes. He left out the pious religious leaders who have been driving the right wing to put the once great middle class in poverty. You only have to look at history to know that all governments for thousands of years were basically theocracies, they had a ruling class of about 1% of the population living in luxury with the rest in more or less abject poverty. That changed with the American Experiment. Religious organizations didn't have very much power in this country for over a hundred years, but their power has grown exponentially in the last 4 decades. Religious leaders know this much about history, that people who are financially stable and sufficiently educated don't give much power to Religious leaders. That's why we've had the dumbing down of our educational system and the severe shrinking of the middle class since the Republicans were taken over by religious extremists the last 40 years. They don't want people educated or financially stable, those people don't go to church and worship church leaders.
02:22 PM on 06/01/2010
America has a credit card with no limit...so let's hit the stores! Afterwards, we can drive our personal spaceships home to our castles in the sky.
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TheCommons
I didn't quit. You just bored me.
07:50 PM on 06/01/2010
Bitter much? At least pretend you can understand the argument.
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bd7769
I may not always be right, but I am never wrong.
12:48 PM on 06/01/2010
You are so blinded by your socialist dogma that you don’t see the folly of your own words
The biggest hurdle to solving our long-term problems is the amount of national debt. Our debt stands as a monument to how the Socialist has squandered the wealth of the American people.
The only way to reverse the decline of the of the American people’s standard of living is to stop spending more then what is being received. Taking wealth away from and punishing those who currently have it will not solve our problems, it will only get spent and then we will all have less.
The only way to solve our economic and social issues is by pursuing policy that encourages the creation of wealth. The Federal government’s policies of forcing financial institutions to lend mortgages to those who did not qualify created nothing more than a false housing bubble and then a hard crash.
After seeing how badly the socialist in the Federal Government has mismanaged our money, it's hard not to come away thinking: "Why would anyone ever do business with that firm again?" Likewise, after even a cursory examination of the treatment of the American middle class by the Socialist over the past few decades, one should also wonder why anyone would ever do business with that crowd again. Your argument is just more of the same, more debt, more government control, more lackluster growth, more unemployment, and more socialism.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
AprilPA
Progressive Real American
01:59 PM on 06/01/2010
The Bush Administration grew the national debt by $5 trillion dollars during their 8 years by passing things like unfunded tax cuts for the wealthy, the unfunded trillion dollar wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and unfunded Medicare part D. If anything, during the Bush Administration there was a redistribution of wealth from the middle class to the wealthy. And yes, I know that the debt has grown under Obama mostly because of less tax revenue due to the loss of jobs because of Bush era policies and the stimulus which the Democrats would have never passed if the economy was so bad. If anyone was the "Socialist" it was Bush because he was a corporate "socialist".
09:58 AM on 06/02/2010
Bush Bush Bush Bush Bush

Translation: I have no argument.
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WASanford
I think, therefore I am mad as hell!
02:02 PM on 06/01/2010
Yeah! That damned Obama, did all this in just 16 months! Oh wait! There was those two years when the Democrats held the House. They passed damaging bills and forced then President Bush to sign them into law. Yeah, it's a damned socialist plot all-right, they're destroying our country just for the fun of it!

Get real! It took the Bush Administration eight years to dig this hole and throw us into it. Just take a look at the distribution of the money in our system. It's all at the top and from the way things are going, it's going to stay there. And without having that money flowing though our economy, our economy won't be viable.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Nickolette Sanello
12:47 PM on 06/01/2010
Fanned I couldn't have said it better myself! Except you forgot to mention corporate welfare too!!!
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WASanford
I think, therefore I am mad as hell!
12:36 PM on 06/01/2010
These "deficit hawks" never fail to amaze me. The apparently believe that the customers business needs to grow can just be plucked from trees and can't realize that dollar bills can be had for the price of the paper and ink. The real need right now is to get this country growing again and put our population back to work!

But if they absolutely have to balance the budget, they should consider rescinding the Bush tax cuts, shutting down the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and closing all our foreign military bases. That would, at least, come close.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
1izzard
12:55 PM on 06/01/2010
They have no understanding of the "demand side" economy.