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Dean Baker

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Social Security: President Obama's Biggest Failure in Last Week's Debate

Posted: 10/09/2012 2:09 pm

President Obama definitely had a bad night when he faced Governor Romney in Denver for the first presidential debate. However, for many listeners the worst moment was not due to his atypical inarticulateness. Rather, the worst moment was when he quite clearly told the country that there was not much difference between his position on Social Security and Governor Romney's. He also expressed his desire to "tweak" Social Security to improve its finances.

This is very bad news to the tens of millions of people who depend on Social Security now or expect to in the near future. It's also bad news to the hundreds of millions of people who have been counting on the Social Security system to provide a degree of financial security to their retired or disabled family members.

After all, Governor Romney clearly does not seem to have warm feelings toward the program. His vice-presidential pick, Paul Ryan, has been the most ardent proponent of privatization in the House. If Romney is committed to Social Security, picking Representative Ryan as his running mate would be a strange way of showing it.

When President Obama links arms with Romney on Social Security, it is not good news for supporters of the program. Nor was the situation made better by the desire to "tweak" the system.
In Washington, tweak is a code word used by people who want to cut Social Security but lack the courage to say it explicitly.

For example, their favorite "tweak" is changing the cost of living adjustment formula in a way that reduces retirees' benefits by 0.3 percentage points annually. This would add up to a 3 percent cut in benefits after 10 years, a 6 percent cut after 20 years and a 9 percent cut after 30 years.

In other words, this tweak is real money, especially for the oldest beneficiaries who also tend to be the poorest. In fact, this tweak of Social Security is likely to have more impact on the income of most retirees than taking back President Bush's tax cut on the wealthy would have on their income. The other items that are usually part of the tweak package are phasing in a further increase in the age for getting full benefits (beyond the increase to age 67, which is already in current law) and a reduced benefit formula for workers who earned more than $40,000 a year in their working lifetime.

The public has every reason to be furious at President Obama for suggesting that he would cut Social Security. We know that the retirees and near retirees are not wealthy as a group. A recent study by the Pew Research Center found that the typical elderly household had net wealth of just over $170,000. This is slightly less than the median house price of $180,000.

That means that if the typical household headed by someone over age 65 took all of their money, they would have almost enough to pay off the mortgage on their house. They would then be entirely dependent on their Social Security check, which averages $1,200 a month, for their income. And President Obama wants to cut these people's Social Security.

The situation is especially infuriating because the poor state of the finances of retirees and near retirees is largely the fault of the people in both the Obama and Romney camps who steered the economy into a huge ditch. In the '90s they thought the stock bubble was cool and in the last decade they thought the housing bubble was the way to boost growth.

As a result, many middle class retirees and near retirees saw much of their savings disappear when the stock bubble burst in 2000-2002. They took another hit when the markets crashed again at the start of the last recession.

And many saw the equity in their home vanish when the housing bubble burst. In addition, recent spells of unemployment has forced many older workers to dip into their retirement savings. In other words, people who took the advice of the experts and tried to do the right thing got nailed.

The government has also badly failed workers in pushing them to rely on 401(k)s for retirement instead of traditional pensions. The managers of these tax subsidized accounts can easily siphon off more than one third of annual returns as administrative expenses. While this allows the financial industry to pocket tens of billions annually from these accounts, few workers are able to accumulate substantial savings by the time they reach retirement.

Given all the harm that economic policy has done to the current generation of retirees and near retirees, it is incredible that President Obama would tell us that we have no choice; we have to vote for someone who wants to kick them in the face yet again.

Last month, Vice President Joe Biden took the opposite position, assuring an audience there would be no cuts to Social Security in a second Obama administration. Biden was completely unambiguous; he pledged no changes whatsoever and told his audience that he guaranteed it.

Tens of millions of people will be much happier after the next debate if President Obama can assure us that Biden was speaking for the administration. Bad economic policy from both parties has done much harm to retirees and near retirees.

If our politics were not dominated by Wall Street we would be talking about raising Social Security, not lowering it. A renewed commitment to protecting Social Security from the tweakers would at least be a big step to limit further damage.

 

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President Obama definitely had a bad night when he faced Governor Romney in Denver for the first presidential debate. However, for many listeners the worst moment was not due to his atypical inarticul...
President Obama definitely had a bad night when he faced Governor Romney in Denver for the first presidential debate. However, for many listeners the worst moment was not due to his atypical inarticul...
 
 
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jmpurser
See My micro-bio
07:17 PM on 10/10/2012
Once again an American politician's "greatest failure" is telling the truth in public.  The Democratic party is trying to "fix" social security because currently it has the "flaw" of not generating any profits for Wall Street.  If you don't want to go down that path with them then you better find and support a third party.
12:23 PM on 10/12/2012
I have heard that Senator Bernie Sanders of Vt. has written a bill; with 29 signers; that would require that people earning over $250,000.00 per year pay a payroll tax that would go into the Social Security fund.

AARP has also suggested raising the limit from $110,000.00 to about $500,000.00. AARP also has said that the SS Trust Fund is capable of paying SS Retirement benefits until 2032.

Everyone should remember that our Social Security Retirement System was set up as a minimum support plan for elderly people.
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MacTheCat
Those Clouds You See Aren't really clouds at all
04:18 PM on 10/10/2012
He will begin the long standing attempts to gut our most important social support program.

And his supporters will go "ho hum...." just like they did with indefinite detention, expanded unwarranted surveillance, hit lists and all the rest.

And yes, I'll still vote for him--but it is only because Romney is so much worse.
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68Namvet
Sioux, French, German, Jew, American mutt
10:03 PM on 10/10/2012
Yeah - along with the escalation of Afghanistan. Couldn't agree more - especially with the Romney being worse statement. Fortunately for me, I live in such a red state (also heavily Mormon) that my vote will not count - so I get to write in the name of a candidate other than Obama and know I'm not harming his reelection. F&F by the way.
03:58 PM on 10/10/2012
There was no failure on Obama's part in last week's debate.
Obama was steadfast to his message.

I am not one who is impressed with someone who snakes around offering meaningless but provoking phrases. It is a surprise that "Conservative" means "being true to your values" and yet "Conservatives" get so easily swayed by a man known to change positions as easily as he changes his pants, by a man who denies ownership of the pair of pants he wets.

Yet more surprising is Democrats who think Obama lost the debate. Obama did not lose the debate because he did not lose me. I am surprised that independents and Democrats questioning why Obama did not hit Romney with an equally potent deception. Two wrongs don't make a right.

In fact, I am disgusted with the insincerity of Romney. You think for yourself whether you can trust Romney not to sell this country piece-meal for an agenda we all scantly now. An agenda that motivates him to change positions every few days.

Is that what "Conservatives" cheer for - for the snake to use cunning tempt them eat of the forbidden fruit. Are "Conservatives" masochistically crying out and begging Romney, "Please verbally abuse us, please, we beg you!"? Are Democrats wishing that Obama has the same tendency?
03:28 PM on 10/10/2012
Well Dean, you clearly went adrift with this artical. Romney knows only to well that any changes to Social Security would not be good for the country. A strong economy will insure a lasting Social Security program. Obama clearly can not get the economic engine of this country moving and that is a detrament to Social Security.
02:40 PM on 10/10/2012
Why would it matter if the SS account went negative? It's just an accounting score card.

If there are thousands of underutilized doctors and tons of unused medicine what difference does it make if the government helps to provide these services to people?

The only constraints are real constraints. We simply have to insure we have the productive capacity to provide what is needed and then simply provide it. Time we start concentrating on the real problems and issues.
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01:31 PM on 10/10/2012
Ya, most of us were tweeked off, but it was music to the ears of Romney and his minions- as of that moment, they could smell the victory like napalm in the mornin!
11:54 AM on 10/10/2012
"as I said,you don’t need a major structural change in order to make sure that Social Security is there for the future"-Pres Obama during debate.

"Social Security is structurally sound."- Pres Obama during the debate

Just some quotes for those who like watching a car wreck (Mitt Romney) rather than paying attention to the road signs in front of your face
11:28 AM on 10/10/2012
Obama's biggest failure is that he had nothing to defend........!!
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68Namvet
Sioux, French, German, Jew, American mutt
10:12 PM on 10/10/2012
Really? So you liked it better when the stock market was crashing? You liked it better when we were losing 800,000 jobs a month? You liked it better when the GDP was declining by 9%? You liked it better when bin Laden was alive and well? You liked it better when our troops were still in harms way in Iraq? You liked it better when the auto industry was about to fail and shed another 1.5 million jobs? You liked it better when insurance companies could deny health care with caps on payments, no pre-existing conditions and cost twice what other industrialized countries pay for the 37th best care? Gee whiz - who would have guessed you'd prefer the recession to a slow recovery.
Strange - to say the least.
11:05 PM on 10/10/2012
If we don't make a change this election, we'll go into a depressionnot recession 
11:27 AM on 10/10/2012
obama bragged about the independence of someone in his family because of social sercurity!! LOL
independence is NOT having to rely on social security when you retire......... i live in one of the top five retirement areas of the country and most of the seniors here are very independent and wealthy...... few are waiting for thier social security checks......
saving for your retirement should include things that you do yourself too....... like retirement accounts....
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Bakutin
Civil engineer and social libertarian
12:40 PM on 10/10/2012
Social Security was never meant to be 100% of people's retirement. Retirement was supposed to be three legs: individual savings, company pension plans, AND Social Security. Over the last thirty years employers have dropped pension plans and gone to the much riskier (for retirees) 401k plans. Then the housing bubble (fueled by Wall Street speculators) destroyed most of people's home equity. Then outsourcing and stagnating wages have made it difficult for working people to save anything for their own retirement. So now the 1% wants to take away our Social Security too? The Great American rip off keeps rolling along.
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Galene Stockwell
status quo ante bellum
06:36 PM on 10/10/2012
INDEED !!! You've explained the problem so well, and only a wannabe "aboveitall" psuedo being, craving superiority could ignore the problem
""What is wrong with these people"" that they allowed their assets to be drastically reduced, when the Wall Street players bet the "farm", when they were playing financial rouelette, and risky derivitives with pension funds and faulty mortage bundles ?
And Bain Equity i.e. was wholesaleing the job market to anywhere on the Pacific Rim where wages are all but nonexistent.
And Republican text-book ruling has frozen minimum wages, with footnotes for eleminating the ruling altogether. Lazziere faire pay is preferred.
Why would these "irresponsible" people not planned for their retirement in "One Of The Top Five Retirement Areas" in the country. Responsible people are actually "com se, com sa" whither their Social Security INSURANCE check arrives................or not (shrug)
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scarletj
Everybody, just chill
01:06 PM on 10/10/2012
Ummmm, I do believe that for most working taxpayers, paying into Social Security *is* part of planning for their retirement.
Social Security *isn't* welfare, for moochers to use when they're too lazy and shortsighted to save for retirement.

It's the the largest part of what a huge percentage of the working populace can afford to set aside for retirement. MOST people aren't independently wealthy, although kudos to those who are.

ps. Even independently wealthy senior citizens get Social Security checks. Also, I firmly believe that they do deserve those checks as well, as Social Security ISN'T welfare and shouldn't be means tested for eligibility, but are the repayment of what people paid into the SS system when working.
01:44 PM on 10/10/2012
as they should... they paid in all their lives... i'd like to pass on what i dont use to my heirs.... SS doesn't do that either. they just keep whats left and politicians steal from it...
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PalaceOfWisdom
Want gun control? End the MIC
11:19 AM on 10/10/2012
Thank you Mr. Baker for yet again speaking the truth regardless of how it plays politically. I've tried so hard to tell people that there are no substantive policy differences between these candidates but most are swept up in propaganda and irrational party loyalty. It's heads they win, tails we lose.
11:06 AM on 10/10/2012
Eliminate the ~$110,000 income cap and make ALL income, including dividends and capital gains, subject to Social Security taxes, but keep the maximum benefit where it is.

The combined witholding rate is 15.3%. A hypothetical person enjoying a high income of, say, $22 million/year now pays a maximum of about $17,000 per year into the system. Removing the cap and expanding the income base to include dividends and capital gains would change that to about $3.4 million per year. A guy with $100 million-plus in his IRA like Mitt has would hardly notice it...
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scarletj
Everybody, just chill
01:07 PM on 10/10/2012
I completely concur!
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Joe Economist
Risk Manager
02:56 PM on 10/10/2012
Social Security is a contributory benefits system, where benefits are paid based on what you contribute. It is not welfare. It does not have the capacity to alleviate poverty because it has no insight into need. You want to give Social Security a new charter one it is uniquely unfit to serve.

As a side note, once you have raised taxes to shore-up your retirement system. How are you going to raise taxes on the rich to pay for medicare, disability, infrastructure, and debt control? If your idea fixes Social Security, it does so by breaking everything else.
10:58 AM on 10/10/2012
We have to use very pointed words to President Obama before the election and force him to commit to promising NOT to touch Social Security. No tweaking, no nothing. There is absolutely nothing wrong with the program if he would just take the cap off of it. There is no emergency. He and his government have created a pseudo-emergency so they can "fix" it.

Our Congress is composed of millionaires. The Executive Branch has been composed of millionaires for a long time. The Judicial Branch is composed of millionaires as well. Just what does this tell us? We are being controlled by the rich 1% of this country and they are making the rules and laws for the 99% rest of us whether we like them or not. One wonders why the Occupy Movement finally started protesting and why the government fought back so hard against them and us? They are afraid of we, the people and what we might do. We might change the status quo of Washington DC and bring it back to the way it is supposed to be by representing the people again and not the corporations and the rich. We are at this point right now.

Will the rich win or will the people? Both parties are just a left and right wing of one-corporate party. We need more third parties to bring the people back into Washington again. These present two have already been purchased by big business.
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PalaceOfWisdom
Want gun control? End the MIC
11:27 AM on 10/10/2012
Even a viable third party would inevitably be corrupted too because no one wants to face the fact that we need a cultural shift in which citizen participation in government is more than just casting a vote and complaining. You can't have accountability without vigilance, and as long as most are simple enough to say "blue good, red bad" and call it a day, there can be no expectation of honest government. We all know what the problems are and what should be done, but there is no will in Washington to do it and no will outside Washington to force it. I expect a full tumble to feudalism with subsistence wages for most before enough people wake up to change anything.
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Joe Economist
Risk Manager
02:58 PM on 10/10/2012
Listen to the mob? Or listen to the Trustees of the system. They say the exact opposite of what you have said. They are paid well to protect the financial safety of the system, and have an army of number crunchers to back-up their statements. The mob has done little more than invest an hour of typing.
10:29 AM on 10/11/2012
Unfortunately, the "trustees of the system" have brought us to our knees with their reckless banking schemes and gambles on regular folk's savings along with their insider trading that also has been happening in the Congress. It has made many of them millionaires as well and they are not going to write laws with any teeth in them any time soon. It also seems the "mob" as you prefer to call them are really "we, the people" or the citizens who have just had enough of the rich on Wall Street connected through this government ( a bad bed-fellow if you ask me ), They are fighting the rich back peacefully in the only way they can yet the rich and the government have given the city the green-light to send the police thuggery after peaceful protests like they were fighting wild mobs as you like to call them. Trustees is an oxymoron in my opinion and I am on the "mob's" side of this.
Mary Zorski
Nothing to see here folks, move along.
10:53 AM on 10/10/2012
Excerpt from "Pay Back The Money Borrowed From Social Security" - Huffington 10/10/12

As a candidate for president, Vice President Gore made a central part of his campaign a plan to put Social Security's surplus in a "lockbox" to keep its assets from being used for other government spending. When the Supreme Court decided the 2000 election in favor of Bush, however, a very different view of the Social Security surplus became operative.
The federal budget surplus of 2000 quickly disappeared when Bush took office, turning into a sea of red ink. Bush borrowed heavily from the Social Security surplus to help obscure the fact that federal taxes were not bringing in enough revenue to pay for the wars and his tax cuts.used for other government spending. When the Supreme Court decided the 2000 election in favor of Bush, however, a very different view of the Social Security surplus became operative.

Somebody needs to put a stop to SS being used as a slush fund. Seriously.
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PalaceOfWisdom
Want gun control? End the MIC
11:33 AM on 10/10/2012
I'm a staunch advocate of social programs, but I fully support raiding them along with everything else if no one is going to get serious about our regressive tax policies, massive war spending and other fiscal recklessness. It's the only way those over 50, who make up a huge segment of voters, will have any stake in doing what's right rather than whatever means they've got theirs.

It is very unhealthy and decidedly undemocratic to allow a certain segment of the populace that ran up the debt to stockpile cash and designate it untouchable while everyone under 50 faces austerity.
11:52 AM on 10/10/2012
Great comment! The I.O.U's the Government gave the Soc. Sec. Trust Fund.....Another story. Mr. Obama may value bragging rights more than his commitment to the American people....We'll see. I voted for him in 2008....I'm wondering how he will deal with the Republicans if he is reelected?
Mary Zorski
Nothing to see here folks, move along.
12:15 PM on 10/10/2012
I wish SS did not have to be used as a political football!
martman1
retired business owner
10:50 AM on 10/10/2012
This is amazing. Just raise (or even eliminate) the contribution cap and its even more solvent. Maybe also eliminate the payments for those with an income of, say, $100,000 and above. Also maybe apply it to dividends above $10,000 per year and capital gains above $50,000 per year. That, alone would raise about $100 billion per year.
11:56 AM on 10/10/2012
There are more solutions to our economic problems than you can shake a stick at...Who is making this process so hard?
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Joe Economist
Risk Manager
03:07 PM on 10/10/2012
If you are an economist then you understand opportunity cost. The oppotunity cost of this is that the money could have been raised to control the deficit.

As a member of the next generation, it looks to me like you would like to raise taxes to fund your retirement account and put the rest of the government on my credit card. When I hear ideas like yours, I have a simplier idea : just end it. That alone would let us pay down 600 billion of debt every year.
10:47 AM on 10/10/2012
Excellent analysis.

Biden can win the debate on Thursday night by repeating his pledge that this Administration will do nothing to diminish Social Security and Medicaid.
11:28 AM on 10/10/2012
like the govt returning the money they have taken out all these years for no reason......
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PalaceOfWisdom
Want gun control? End the MIC
11:40 AM on 10/10/2012
But winning a debate by lying as Romney did last week doesn't help anything. This President already used semantics to do the exact opposite of what he promised on medicinal marijuana. He labels civilian casualties as terrorists when killed by drone strikes. He said he'd close Gitmo in his first year, and redefined what troops are to claim he kept his promise to end the Iraq war in 18 months. We already know what his word is worth, so getting him or his VP to promise something now is pointless. Obama has made it clear that he considers cutting social programs acceptable policy, and that is reason enough not to vote for either of these men. I'm writing in Bernie Sanders, because that's far more sensible to me than trying to get a leopard to change his spots.