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Dean Baker

Dean Baker

Posted: July 12, 2010 04:49 PM

The Attack of the Real Black Helicopter Gang: The IMF Is Coming for Your Social Security

What's Your Reaction:

A few years back, there was a fear in some parts about black UN helicopters that were supposedly taking part in the planning of an invasion of the United States. While there was no foundation for this fear, there is basis for concern about the attack of another international organization, the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Last week, the IMF told the United States that it needs to start getting its budget deficit down. It put cutting Social Security at the top of the steps that the country should take to achieve deficit reduction. This one is more than a bit outrageous for two reasons.

First, the IMF deserves a substantial share of the blame for the economic crisis that gave us big deficits in the first place. The IMF is supposed to oversee the operations of the international financial system. According to standard economic theory, capital is supposed to flow from rich countries like the United States to poor countries to finance their development. In other words, the United States should be having a trade surplus, which would correspond to the money that we are investing in poor countries to finance their development.

However, the IMF messed up its management of financial crises so badly in the last 15 years that poor countries decided that they had to accumulate huge amounts of currency reserves in order to avoid ever being forced to deal with the IMF. This meant that capital was flowing in huge amounts in the wrong direction. One result of this reverse flow was that the United States ran a huge trade deficit instead of a trade surplus.

The trade deficit in the United States was a big part of the story of the housing bubble. The trade deficit cost millions of workers their jobs. This was one of the main reasons that economy was so weak coming out of the 2001 recession. This weakness led the Fed to keep interest rates at 50-year lows, until the growth of the housing bubble eventually began to generate jobs in the fall of 2003.

The IMF both bears much of the blame for the imbalances in the world economy and then for failing to clearly sound the alarms about the dangers of the bubble. While the IMF has no problem warning about retired workers getting too much in Social Security benefits, it apparently could not find its voice when the issue was the junk securities from Goldman Sachs or Citigroup that helped to fuel the housing bubble.

The collapse of this bubble has not only sank the world economy, it also destroyed most of the savings of the near retirees for whom the IMF wants to cut Social Security. The vast majority of middle-income retirees have most of their wealth in their home equity. This home equity largely disappeared when the bubble burst. Maybe the IMF doesn't have access to house price series and data on wealth, because if they did, it's hard to believe that they would advocate further harm to some of the main victims of their policy failure.

The other reason that the IMF's call for cutting Social Security benefits is infuriating is the incredible hypocrisy involved. The average Social Security benefit is just under $1,200 a month. No one can collect benefits until they reach the age of 62. By contrast, many IMF economists first qualify for benefits in their early 50s. They can begin drawing pensions at age 51 or 52 of more than $100,000 a year.

This means that we have IMF economists, who failed disastrously at their jobs, who can draw six-figure pensions at age 52, telling ordinary workers that they have to take a cut in their $14,000 a year Social Security benefits that they can't start getting until age 62. Now that is real black helicopter material.

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dennidus1680
08:27 PM on 07/18/2010
Does the US borrow money from the IMF? Why does anyone have to listen to what they say? Where they have been in influence they left destruction in their path. That is certainly no reason to listen to anything they have to offer.
08:22 PM on 07/18/2010
The IMF has fouled up more than a few third world countries over the years, now they are going for they big cahuna.
Haiti in the early 90's used to supply 80% of the rice needed to feed Haitians. Then the IMF came in, made demands of change on their tariff structure. NOW Haiti is importing 95% of its rice.
Just Trajic.
This kind of IMF "success" is repeated time and again
06:31 PM on 07/18/2010
the imf has left behind a devastating and destructive trail, especially over the past few decades in most of the developing world...making loans that can never be repaid and demanding drastic economic transformation...privatize everything and shrink government services...life under their the boot of the imf sucks for sure. but, the u.s. has such a disproportionate share of voting rights that nothing really ever happens at the imf without the u.s.'s consent if not direct influence.

http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/quotas.htm
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dukedraven
05:43 PM on 07/18/2010
It's frightening that the IMF is making such callous proposals. I thank you, Dean, for highlighting this matter. The GOP is essentially making the same cruel argument.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kevin Atlanta
Active Citizen 54
05:42 PM on 07/18/2010
America would do well to take some real lessons from the 3rd world and begin getting its financial house in order by ending the FED and telling the IMF to take a long walk off a short peer. This European Central Bank Cartel; like the FED, is corrupt, corrosive and concerned only with increasing its stranglehold on any nation indebted like a giant vampire squid sucking the prosperity out.
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05:26 PM on 07/18/2010
Back at the Bretton Woods conference in 1944, the allies made a deal that the IMF would always have a European at the head and the World Bank would have an American. Part of the mutual mistrust of each for the other. Over the years there has been a substantial evolution of these institutions, constructed to raise the industrial world from the ashes. Loans and projects for the past 30 years have gone to developing countries, but the reason is not exactly to help them - it's to support western export economies and aid globalization benefits for banks and corporations; thus debt was used to stimulate the global economy for the west, but debt for the rest and thus political control. The chickens come home to roost here with the IMF treating the US as a third world country. Screw 'em; let them find another way to exert control over the US. We got our banks to worry about.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GandenT
04:18 PM on 07/18/2010
Social security is owned and financed by it's stakeholders; what business does the IMF have trying to steal it? Doesn't the IMF believe in or adhere to the laws regarding private property? Weird.
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intotheabyss
Imperialism is a form of insanity.
02:23 PM on 07/18/2010
So a handful of crotchety old aristocrats want us to fork over our Social Security benefits because their economic policies have bankrupted the country. How about they fork over all of their untaxed treasure they have hidden away in foreign banks? The rich have been playing this tired old game for hundreds of years. It's time they finally learn what the word NO means.
02:07 PM on 07/18/2010
Maybe if we start yelling "IMF is usurping our sovereignty" loudly enough (preferably while donning tricorner hats and breeches), we can draw some US support away from the IMF. Seems to me that the IMF losing some US support would benefit the whole world.
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
01:25 PM on 07/18/2010
“Senator Simpson says there is no money in the Social Security deposits, just worthless IOU's. Andy Stern wants to invest these deposits in Wall Street. I go with investing the worthless IOU's in Wall Street. Use the Social Security IOU's to buy toxic mortgages from Wall Street -- at a deep discount. Rewrite the mortgages directly with the home owners reflecting realistic market values, low interest rates and longer contract terms. The Wall Street Banksters have abused this very basic and valuable market and deserve to lose it. Invest Social Security funds in American families and communities. Over the long term everyone will prosper.”
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
01:10 PM on 07/18/2010
Why didn't the IMF recommend reducing our Defense budget? Raise income cap for Social Security? Means test Social Security benefits? If I didn't need it I'd be proud to decline my Social Security checks.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pahpah25
01:53 PM on 07/18/2010
what is spent for one drone to bomb someone in the ME, would support 1million SS RECEPIENTS for a full year, 5,000 drones are now used in the ME....DO THE NUMBERS....it is the enormous military budget that wil ruin this country....
06:23 PM on 07/18/2010
12E3 avg/yr x 1E6 = 12 Billion/drone? I don't think so.
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12:05 PM on 07/18/2010
So what happens if we did what the IMF suggested? Lots of homeless elderly who have no access to medical assistance? Their families being crushed under the weight of the extra expense and the care needed to help them. The picture forming in my mind is bleak.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
R307Johnson
Oh those silly Republicans
01:44 PM on 07/18/2010
Isn't this happening right now, only it's not the elderly, it's the over 50 crowd that have lost their jobs.
11:34 AM on 07/18/2010
Not so much a trade deficit as a labor deficit.

Repeal NAFTA and withdraw from IMF and G20. Support small businesses and labor unions for large manufacturers.
11:29 AM on 07/18/2010
“The average Social Security benefit is just under $1,200 a month. No one can collect benefits until they reach the age of 62. By contrast, many IMF economists first qualify for benefits in their early 50s. They can begin drawing pensions at age 51 or 52 of more than $100,000 a year.”

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How sweet for the crooks that get to cook the laws on the books. As others have noted, the IMF and their parasitic brethren at the World Bank and the Fed are just fronts for moneyed special interests aka `the stupidly greedy’. These parasites put real-life mafia extortionists to shame – as they destroy the economies of entire countries. I also agree that the dismantling of the World Bank, IMF, and Fed would do much towards ameliorating much of the world’s needless poverty and suffering.
10:52 AM on 07/18/2010
Debt is an illusion. It is a Sword of Damocles suspended over our heads. Debt has never, EVER, stopped this country from doing ANYTHING, (and we've done some pretty great things.)

When the rich need us to incur debt on their behalf, we readily toe the line. Whenever the poor need to incur their portion, they lose their homes.

We have no difficulty raising debt to illegally or unnecesarily (or both) start war(s), so we should have the exact same indifference to raising debt to BENEFIT people.

The debt is a lie that has never stopped us before. Go forward!!!

Spend baby spend