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Dean Baker

Dean Baker

Posted: August 20, 2010 09:47 AM

The middle class is getting whacked by the Great Recession. Fifteen million people are out of work, another 9 million workers can only find part-time jobs, and millions more have given up looking for work altogether. Those lucky enough to be employed are unlikely to see any substantial wage gains for years to come.

Millions of homeowners are facing the loss of their home and more than ten million are underwater in their mortgage. Most of the huge baby boom cohort is approaching retirement with little other than Social Security to support them, now that the collapse of the housing bubble has destroyed their home equity and much of the rest of their savings.

This pain is infuriating for two reasons. First, this was an entirely preventable disaster. The housing bubble was easy to see. Competent economists had long warned of its dangers.

The second reason why the current situation is infuriating is that we know how to get the economy out of this mess. We just need to boost demand. This can be done either with much more government stimulus, more aggressive monetary policy from the Fed, or pushing the dollar down to boost exports.

If this disaster was preventable and we know how to get out of it, why didn't our leaders try to stop it before it happened? Why don't they take the steps necessary now to get the economy moving again?

The answer to both these questions is simple; the politicians work for someone else. On Election Day, the politicians might need our votes, but they won't get to be serious contenders unless they've gotten the campaign contributions of the big money crew. And the moneyed elite has been using its control of the political process to ensure that an ever larger share of the economy's output is redistributed upward in their direction.

The reason that there was little interest in cracking down on the housing bubble is that Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and the rest were making a fortune from the financial shenanigans that fueled the bubble. Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin personally pocketed over $100 million from this fun. Why would they want the government to rein it in?

Of course, when the bubble did finally blow and threaten their banks with bankruptcy, the Wall Street crew just ran to the government for help. And they got trillions of dollars in loans and loan guarantees to ensure that they would not be victims of the crisis they had created. Now that they are back on their feet, with Wall Street profits and bonuses both again at near record levels, they see little reason to concern themselves with the measures that might set the economy right for the rest of us.

After all, the steps necessary to revitalize the economy could mean some inflation. This would reduce the value of the debt owned by the wealthy. And the wealthy don't see any reason that they should risk any of their wealth just for the good of the economy.

We have enormous ground to cover to restore an economy that works for the vast majority, but the first step is to know where we are. The upward redistribution of the last three decades has nothing to do with the market and a belief in "market fundamentalism." This is about a process where the rich and powerful have rewritten the rules to make themselves richer and more powerful.

For example, they wrote trade rules that were designed to put downward pressure on the wages of the bulk of the U.S. workforce by placing manufacturing workers in direct competition with low-paid workers in China and other developing countries. This had nothing to do with a belief in "free trade." They did not try to subject lawyers, doctors or other highly paid workers to the same sort of international competition. They only wanted international competition to put downward pressure on the wages of workers in the middle and bottom, not those at the top.

This elite has instituted a system of corporate governance that allows top executives to pilfer companies at the expense of their shareholders and its workers. Top executives are overseen only by a board of directors who owe their hugely overpaid sinecures to the executives they supervise. And of course the Wall Street barons themselves are given a license to gamble with the implicit promise that government picks up their tab when they lose.

No progressive movement will make any progress until we understand the battle we are fighting. Our income is a cost to the rich. They will look to cut it wherever they can, whether this is wages for private sector workers, pensions for public employees, or Social Security for retirees. That is their target.

We have to fight back using the same logic. Their income is our cost -- the multimillion dollar bonuses for the Wall Street wizards is a direct drain on the economy. So are the bloated paychecks of top executives and their lackey boards. Progressives must be prepared to use all the same tactics to bring down the income of the rich and powerful that they have used to reduce the income of everyone else.

This means restructuring the rules of corporate governance to put serious downward pressure on the pay of top executives. The highest paid workers (doctors, lawyers, and economists) must be subjected to international competition in the same way as manufacturing workers have been subjected to international competition. And, we should sharply limit the extent of the patent or copyright protections that are exploited by the drug industry and the entertainment and software industries.

We have to put the focus on the ways the rich have rigged the rules and place this at the center of political debate. The three decade-long battle over tax cuts for the rich is important, but at the end of the day it is a side show. If we let them steal all the money at the onset, it really doesn't make much difference if they end up letting us tax a little of it back.


 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marthamothra
08:04 PM on 09/08/2010
You are so smart. Every time I see your name under a post, I know I'm going to learn something, and in an understandable way. Thank you. It helps me to petition for the correct measures from my Congresspeople.
02:06 PM on 09/01/2010
A view from the Antipodes.

Dean's argument is a crystal clear call for massive change and there's a lot of supportive comment.

So what are you all going to do about it?
06:37 AM on 08/27/2010
This if great, but here is the problem. They own the media, they control the message. And they own people like Rush Limbaugh who use racism, jingoism, xenopobia, and hate to manipulate people into voting against their own interest.
And one other little thing, they own Congress as well. Campaign finance reform needed.
10:37 PM on 08/24/2010
"The rich have rigged the rules." This is at the core of all of America's financial woes. Capitalism, in theory, relies on a level playing field. When the rich game the system, regular people have no hope of competing. This is why government regulation of business and industry is essential. However, it does little good when the fox guards the henhouse. We permit (sorry, make that require, if they want to get elected) legislators to take money from those they regulate and then shake our heads when they pass laws favoring their contributors. Lobbying and campaign finance rules need total overhaul to protect ordinary citizens' rights. It is unconscionable when, say, 75% of Americans support particular legislation, but that legislation is killed by special interests.

It's time to stop letting the rich call the plays. It's time to stop drinking the Kool-Aid offered by those who care nothing for our interests. It's time to stop listening to the rich cry "socialism" when we try to level the playing field. Regular people don't want welfare, don't want a handout. We want equal opportunity to earn an honest dollar and to be paid fairly for the services we provide.

I defy anyone to show me a person who got rich without 1) taking advantage of laws favoring, protecting, or subsidizing his/her business interests and tax liability, 2) taking advantage of underlings by undervaluing the employees' contribution to the success of the company, or 3) lying, cheating, or stealing.
03:18 PM on 08/24/2010
"If this disaster was preventable and we know how to get out of it, why didn't our leaders try to stop it before it happened? Why don't they take the steps necessary now to get the economy moving again?
The answer to both these questions is simple; the politicians work for someone else."
Duh, yeah, Dean.
"The reason that there was little interest in cracking down on the housing bubble is that Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and the rest were making a fortune from the financial shenanigans that fueled the bubble." Dean, don't forget the biggest bank of all, the "Federal Reserve", and the central role they played in easy money and blowing up the bubble. Obama = Geithner = Greenspan = Paulson = Bush Sr. = Bernanke = Bush Jr.
Enemies of the People.
And it's official: It's another Depression.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38831550
Brought on like the last one, by the same folks at the "Federal Reserve", as Bernanke can tell you, and with the same political backing. And with the same "solutions" that ensure this one will last 10 years or until the next major war.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
haimchaim
12:43 PM on 08/24/2010
some times all u need in life is a little polishing to make everything better ..if u are given control then u may have to give up some responsibilities ..
05:28 PM on 08/23/2010
The next financial time bomb will be derivatives. They weren't really dealt with; the risk was just put into the new clearinghouses. Take it from a former Goldman Sachs VP, who has dealt with them his whole life: he sees danger written all over it. http://www.newdeal20.org/2010/08/23/derivatives-clearing-at-the-end-of-the-beginning-18210/
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Theo
02:23 PM on 08/23/2010
Sorry Dean, but it's pretty clear Obama and his buddies in the White House know damn well they work or the top %.1 and not for ordinary Americans. We have no voice now, so get used to it.
02:27 AM on 08/23/2010
Agreed, and while political control of the richest 1% is necessary for a well functioning culture, it has been done before. FDR passed laws to control the richest 1%, including a 90% tax on them. It took the richest 1% 60 years to tear down FDR's laws. The richest 1% crashed the US economy about a decade after the Civil War, about a decade after WWI and about a decade after they finally tore down FDR's laws that partially controlled them.

Another necessity is to assure that the public controls the media. The founders believed an informed electorate was necessary for our democracy. However, between 1830-50 the richest 1% eliminated gov't printing income to news publishers. This made media survival dependent upon the approval of large advertisers, whose favored news providers have been (and are) the ones which produce an angry and disinformed electorate. This because a mob is easier to manipulate than an informed electorate. This simple tactic has worked to get the American electorate to vote against their own interests, and for the interests of the richest 1%, about 3/4 of the time, for the past 175 years. We must change this.
10:04 AM on 08/23/2010
FDR realized that Wall Street was the problem. He reigned them in, broke them of their power. And bankrupted them. They hated him for making them subservient. Hence, among business-backed Republicans, FDR has been synonymous with 'Communism'. The myth persists.

Then World War II happened and he needed people who knew finance. So, he turned back to Wall Street corruption. Their revenge and machinations were warned about in Eisenhower's famous 'military-industrial complex' speech. The newly reacquired wealth of The Oligarchs that made it possible for Eisenhower to be elected.

In the 1960's and 1970's, business leaders decided to set up their own lobby shops and think tanks to propagandize the public. Together, with mass donations to politicians and the infiltration of government with Global Wall Street agents (think Treasury and The Fed), business convinced the American public to vote against themselves and for business.

This topic would take volumes to discuss.

With the election of Reagan, helped by the deal he did with the Iranians (William Casey and Iran-Contra), business coopted the religious right radicals. The Republican base was convinced to vote against their own well-being.

Business has slowly consolidated control over media and other industries. The Internet is under direct assault as the propaganda campaign to acclimatize the public for a controlled Internet has begun. That is why it has come to the fore in recent months. And it has been brought to you be the same bought media you listen to and read everyday.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Don Burnstein
12:02 AM on 08/24/2010
part 11
Look at the math. The increase in taxes is 75% from an average of 20% to 35%. Going up 3% and not changing the way we collect taxes will yield an extra 0.75% of 3% . The IRS can be directed by the executive branch to concentrate it;'s resources , even if they have to freeze wages on a good part of the service, to audit every single retrain for the past three years on anyone in the top 1%.

So enforce what we have on the books, direct the IRS properly, fund it by not consulting congress but buy having the political appointee allocate all required funds from budget to do touch everything audits on every taxpayer above a certain level. If they find anything they go to jail. Give them 30 days amnesty to pay up and people will see more money than anyone could conceive of with a tiny little tax increase, but do it now. If the GOP get back in, it will never happen. They cut rates further, so their average is zero.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Don Burnstein
12:00 AM on 08/24/2010
I don't quite understand why people use the 90% figure as if anyone actually paid that much. Historical averages suggest that when 90% marginal tax rates were in place the richest pad about 30% in taxes as opposed to the 20% now. They are bitching about a 3% increase on a average tax bill of 20% of income. The easiest way is not to change any rules, but to enforce the rules we do have and make them pay up to the 35% .
09:19 PM on 08/22/2010
Let's elect a Congress that doesn't say NO!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
joebhed
Greenback Revolutionist
06:21 PM on 08/22/2010
''No progressive movement will make any progress until we understand the battle we are fighting.''

I wrote the same thing to Dean's last HUFFPost.

So, here it is again, lefties.

'' The issue which has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the people versus the banks.''

Can you say monetary sovereignty?

If you can think about monetary sovereignty - it is OUR money system, we OWN it, have leased it to the private bankers at the Fed, who have indebted US to THEM, using fractional-reserve banking and a debt-based money system.;

The difference and the solution are best laid out here --

http://www.economicstability.org/history/a-program-for-monetary-reform-the-1939-document

The Money System Common
Please have a read.
Thanks.
10:08 AM on 08/23/2010
Lord Acton. Here's another.

"Liberty, next to religion has been the motive of good deeds and the common pretext of crime…"
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ronkw
Molon labe
02:27 PM on 08/22/2010
Actually the real culprits are the "rule and policy makers" found in Congress.
The author does not back track far enough to arrive at the true roots of our problems.
Almost without exception, if one will do this in his/her analysis, you will arrive at unintended consquences of laws, regulations and policies enacted by Congress, including the present housing/economic implosion.
The economy (300 million individuals making decisions) is far to complex and dynamic to be micro-managed.

Obvisously we need regs, laws, etc., but we/they are doing something wrong.
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unionave
Old Codger
03:11 PM on 08/22/2010
What you say is true . The culprits are able to send subliminal messages that the blame lies elsewhere while they laugh all the way to the bank . Thanks to the MSM . Most of the culprits that were involved in rescinding the public protection laws , which are the acts that caused our financial fiasco , are still ignoring or rescinding public protection laws . Those laws were enacted because corporations did bad things and want to do more bad things to the public .
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dennidus1680
05:36 PM on 08/22/2010
What do you expect when these representatives let lobbyists write the laws?
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EdCorner
Now what - more of the same...
01:46 PM on 08/22/2010
This is the scenario/scam that was run. In theory there is only a certain amount of money in the world based on hard assets - the rest is fiat currency based on nothing more than a "confidence game". How did the banks transfer the wealth to them? The Fed Reserve increased the money supply & kept rates low for an extended period. This increase in money supply gave the illusion that prices were rising when actually it was just the value of the dollar falling. Banks take that fiat money & invest in hard assets like mortgages. This gives their fiat dollars actual hard asset value, because without hard asset value that money is really worth nothing. They were able to trade inflated dollars for hard assets. Next comes the correction where the money supply is contracted. All of a sudden your $400k home is worth $200k. Where did that $200k go? As the money was contracted it went back to it's actual worth, pre-bubble. That $200k went in to the banksters pockets. It was a managed rip-off the likes of which we've never seen before.

Does everyone wants these TBTF's broken up? The establishment thinks everyone is upset just about the economy. Do Obama and our pols think we've forgotten about what just happened? Do they really think we're all idiots and believe whatever they say? As long as the TBTF's exist all our freedoms are at stake & democracy will not exist for much longer. Capitalism will kill
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ronkw
Molon labe
02:41 PM on 08/22/2010
You make a couple of good points, esp TBTF. that must stop

I would argue, regarding where the 200k went.... it vanished, as it always does when bubbles burst.
History is replete with examples. The trick is to recognize it (human nature/greed) and not get caught holding the bag.
The asset has been re-valued through the auction/bid process. 200k did not go to the bankers. But they have yet to come clean, via proper accounting, as to these "assets" on their books.
Believe me, they do not WANT to own these houses.
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EdCorner
Now what - more of the same...
03:50 PM on 08/22/2010
No, it didn't "just vanish" - no offense but that's a little naive. Lets say the banks lent out $400k on a $200k value house. $200k is real money based on a hard asset - your home. The other $200k is fiat currency worth nothing unless it's spent. Any return on that extra $200k loaned, is fiat currency turned into hard assets. How much money was loaned out that is actually being paid back? That is where the $200k is and that in turn is how they bonus themselves billions - and also - you are aware that inflation is a hidden tax, correct? If that money just disappeared there would have been no inflation - and yet, the value of gold is now $1,250+/- and it was around $850 in 2008. So the banks, by flooding the market with currency caused price inflation (32% measured in gold) which is really dollar deflation because there were and still are too many dollars. So, your $200k house that was valued at $400k is now really worth $264k (original value, inflated value, residual value reflecting an increase of 32% through inflation). It was a gamble with money worth nothing, printed from thin air, that gave them a 32% return. Excess money has been taken out of the system and our pockets and what are we left with, a 32% difference in the value of the dollar. Don't kid yourself, the banks don't play these games to break even.
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humanbeing-rick
Born in the USA 1947
01:04 PM on 08/22/2010
"not only is our economy in a shambles but so too is the economic paradigm that predominated in the years before the crisis"
Our entire business model, financial model, and savings & investment model has been hi-jacked by powerful, corrupt, evil people. The "shadow elite" have undermined America and we are in ruin going down the tubes faster every day.
We must take it all away from them, and re-write the American business and economic model from the ground up. Throw away our old shackles, and build a new life for ourselves - one that we can be proud of, and for our children and our childrens' children.
No holds barred, take no hostages, down and dirty, we must be quick.

Our military brothers and sisters will back the people, they will turn on the old tyrants quick.
12:57 PM on 08/22/2010
I fail to see how bringing down the income of the highly paid professionals is going to help the pay of the factory workers. We need to bring down the banks and the Federal Reserve.
schatsie
Wall Street is Worse than Vegas
06:08 PM on 08/22/2010
We need to restore GLASS SEEGULL (sp) and the USURY laws.....if not the Usury laws then allow 100% tax credits for interest over 4%.....all interest including credit cards, auto and homes....
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dr Juan
We built America without BO
08:51 PM on 08/22/2010
I think the government instead of bailing out bankers could bail out home owners with direct low interest loans for home mortgages.

There is a mechanism to collect the money over time through the IRS - and typical overwitholdings could be used to pay it down a little faster at the end of each tax year. Loan rate would be same as fed's rate to US - ie, very low and might be extended to 40 and 50 year terms when warranted for example by unemployment .