More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Dean Baker

Dean Baker

Posted: May 13, 2010 10:39 PM

Will They Get Fooled Again?

What's Your Reaction:

While it may not be the job of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board to deceive Congress to advance the interests of the big banks, apparently no one has informed Ben Bernanke of this fact.

Some people may recall the role that Mr. Bernanke played in helping to get the TARP through Congress. As part of the effort to build fear among members, he told Congress: "The credit markets aren't working. Corporations aren't able to finance themselves through commercial paper."

This was a big deal. Most large corporations are now dependent on selling commercial paper to finance their ongoing operations. They borrow money on the commercial paper market to meet their payroll and pay suppliers. If major companies were not able to sell commercial paper, they would quickly be unable to pay their bills and the economy really could shut down.

The extent to which the commercial paper market was actually in danger of freezing up is debatable. However, what is not debatable is the fact that the Federal Reserve Board had the ability to single-handedly keep the commercial paper market operating. In fact, the weekend after Congress approved the TARP, Bernanke announced that he was establishing the Commercial Paper Funding Facility. This facility directly purchased commercial paper from non-financial companies, ensuring that they had the money to stay in business.

In other words, even if the commercial paper market was shutting down, as Mr. Bernanke told Congress, there was no reason that Congress had to rush to pass the TARP. The Fed already had the ability to keep the commercial paper market going and Mr. Bernanke was prepared to exercise this authority before any TARP funds would be entering the system. Bernanke was helping to create the atmosphere of fear that was needed to get Congress to authorize $700 billion in TARP funds for the banks, with few substantive conditions.

It seems that Bernanke is again in his "fool Congress" mode. Yesterday he sent a letter to the Senate arguing that it should remove language that the Agriculture Committee put into the financial reform bill that would require banks to spin off their derivative trading units. The intent of this language is to separate out the business of the commercial banks, which operate with government insured deposits, from the more risky operations associated with derivative trading.

There are reasonable arguments that can be made on this issue, but these did not appear in Mr. Bernanke's letter. At the center of Bernanke's argument are two points that are just not true. He argues that the legislation would prevent banks from buying derivatives to hedge interest rate risk. This was not the intent of the rules and this is not how most people other than Bernanke are interpreting them. The issue is whether commercial banks should be acting as the intermediaries in trading derivatives, not whether they can buy derivatives as end users, just as any other end user would.

The other false concern raised by Bernanke is that derivative trading will be taken away from relatively closely regulated bank holding companies and transferred to more poorly regulated parts of the financial system. This is a false concern because the Ag Committee language only requires that the trading be taken away from the commercial banks that are protected by government insurance. Banks would be allowed to spin off divisions that are still within the bank holding company, however these divisions would not enjoy the special protections provided to commercial banks.

Finally, Bernanke effectively dismisses the concern that motivates removing trading from commercial banks by asserting that the era of "too big to fail" (TBTF) banks has ended. If Mr. Bernanke believes this, he is among a tiny minority of economists. While the financial reform bill includes many elements that will improve oversight and limit risk, there are few economists who believe that if Citigroup or Goldman Sachs were facing bankruptcy, the government would just allow them to collapse.

Of course the whole point of pulling derivative trading away from commercial banks is to ensure that taxpayers will not be liable for the mistakes that banks may make in the derivative trading business. Derivative trading is considerable more risky than the personal and business loans that are the normal business of commercial banks. If we assume that there are no banks that are now TBTF then we need not be concerned about a taxpayer bailout, but few, if any, economists would be as sanguine about this risk as Mr. Bernanke.

In short, this looks like the same sort of effort to misrepresent issues to Congress as we saw with the TARP. Mr. Bernanke is a very accomplished economist and he no doubt has much wisdom to share with Congress. It would be a big step forward if he saw this as being his job, instead of defending the interests of the big banks.

 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 152
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4 5  Next ›  Last »  (6 total)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
T4
Entreprenuer and financial consultant
05:17 PM on 05/17/2010
Thanks for this article and for those of you who continually reply to me about how off base I am have been for over 2 years - welcome to the real world. There was never a quanitifiabkle financial meltdown in the works - no one has shown or can show anything like Bernake, Paulson, Geithner, Bush and Obama led us to believe - it was and is lies. But why? Like any good criminal case - follow the money? Take a moment to understand that the Fed members on its Board are also the very banks that got bailouts. Remind you of GS self-insuring it's known bad financial products? Similar idea here. Bush first and then Obama, yes Obama did this shoved through what amounts to over a trillion in giveaways (unneeded loans, free money, tax breaks, debt relief, etc.). Bernake was a front for the banks just as he now. The current adminstration is a front for the banks - make no mistake this reform talk only took place after 18 months and low polls and Obama is letting it take the same meandering healthcare path, perhaps hoping for equally poor legislation
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
beverlyg
04:25 PM on 05/17/2010
The Huffingtonj Post is providing an essential service to the American people by spotlighting the intrigue that is involved in the attempts to write corrective legislation that should make Wall St. the financial bulwark for the United States. Please keep an eye on all of the lobbying which is dedicated to making legislation toothless in confronting the chicanery that has been rampant with derivatives, etc.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
themodernleader
07:33 PM on 05/16/2010
Bernanke will be ranked by historians of the future as the "destroyer of worlds" for the damage he has done to our currency while parenting the rise of a bankiing oligarchy that has effectively destroyed our democracy.
I made a futile gesture of promising my Senator to vote against Bernanke's reappointment. I wrote the President and warned that his appointment(s) would destroy the Democratic Party and his own leadership. What a useless, pathetic display of helpless, worthless patriotism.
Nonetheless, my alarming predictions keep unfolding. I know how Kevin Phillips must feel as he, like Jesus, went unrecognized in his own country.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Corners
08:29 PM on 05/16/2010
Obama stands in the same corners as Bernake, Goldman, Summers and the rest of the Goldman alumni and banksters.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
themodernleader
09:17 PM on 05/16/2010
Corners. Your observation is one of the most extraordinary political truths of the Obama Administration. Otherwise, Obama is a man with no comprehensive policy. Recognizing that Obama is a disciple of finance is to see clearly his policies and procedures.
For an opportunistic financial oligarchy, Obama is an exemplary President. Relaitve to his Oath of Office and job description he is a traitor and incompetent, through and through.
05:59 AM on 05/16/2010
Whats worse? That the media abets the Senate, the Fed and Obama's talking-points about how T.B.T.F. is a thing of the past or how Obama won't hold a press-conference (even though no journalist would even wade into this issue as cogently as Dean Baker.... to ask him why he's continuing to be a tool of the oligarchs)?

We're being let down on all sides and Obama just puts on a Kabuki-show to co-opt discontent when the attention is hot (only to subvert and riddle with loopholes these already-toothless proposals when the cameras are elsewhere).

Too bad we don't have a political-party to hold him responsible for continuing this biggest threat to the nation's future (as the Dems and the Republicans are a collective joke that only pretend to represent different sides).

They have it gamed so well by calling him a Socialist (of all things). As Jon Stewart pointed out about the 90 Trillion in unfunded derivatives, this is a threat to the whole shebang (and no one seems capable of addressing it to save the free-market from itself).

No wonder China is convincing other nations to follow their authoritarian model. If only Obama would do like FDR and save Capitalism (instead of being cowed by the rhetoric of the right).
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Corners
08:31 PM on 05/16/2010
fanned and soooo true. I regret voting for Obama and mostly because of what you said. He says he stands up for the public but behind the scenes pushes industry friendly policies that got us in here in the first place. They are all crooks
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
sb250guy
A Cunning Linguist
01:00 AM on 05/16/2010
The very first sentence was a great setup and punchline all by itself.
12:46 AM on 05/16/2010
I am very tired of listening to academics and bloggers criticize the people who actually do things. No one would argue that TARP was perfect or that new regulation is necessary, but I think Bernanke deserves credit for acting courageously and swiftly in the face of a crisis. Unfortunately, when you are successful in dampening a crisis, no one ever knows because in the act of prevention, you forever conceal the true potential extent of the damage.

I would also like to point out that this whole article is based on the assumption that the interest of big banks and the American public are in opposition. That is absolutely not true. It is in our country's best interest to allow the banks to return to a healthy and vibrant place while being regulated for systemic risk. I believe that Bernanke knows this and is acting in the best interest of country in trying to ensure that regulation is appropriate and doesn't cripple the financial industry's ability to continue to deliver on their purpose of providing liquidity to the market (obviously in a responsible way).

So easy to point fingers and judge, but what have you done lately?

Finally, the works "government insured" were thrown around a few times in the article. Guess who pays for FDIC insurance? The big bad banks do.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jcaunter
Profile: schizoid, INTJ, IQ145
01:11 AM on 05/16/2010
1. It very much appears that you would prefer that everyone just put on a blindfold and then bendover. While I have no doubt that the Big Banks, the Fed, and Obama would love for us to this, many people might object to your suggested course of action.,

2. Do you even know HOW Obama/Bush and Bernanke kept the financial system afloat in 2008; well, until you then, you ought to keep quiet about how wonderful Obama is. I will give you a hint as to one of Bernanke's "courageous" actions: he printed up a bunch of fresh dollar bills and traded them for sub prime loan securities and CDO swap deals--now we have garbage backing up the U.S. dollar. Bernanke used the term "swap window" to refer to these kinds of deals.

3. Guess What? Bernanke just announced last week that he was opening another swap window for Europe.. Obama and Bernanke are both praying that you don't know what that means, but hell, I'll just tell you because I enjoy spiting Wall Street shills like them: Bernanke is about to print up new dollars and trade them for worthless Greek bonds, further debasing our currency.

Obama and Bernanke traded the financial crisis of 2008 for the currency crisis that we are about to experience in 2010. Now, I hope that you will know who are the correct people to blame when the world economy falls apart in a few months.
09:49 AM on 05/16/2010
1. Not worth responding to. Grow up
2. What Bernanke did was a very common Fed response to a credit crunch. It is called open market operations and it takes on assets from the banks. All of the CDOs were investment grade and already written down. The fed will probably make money on them. When the overnight rate is 0 and there is still a credit crunch, what else do you suggest they do to pump liquidity into the system.
3) I am not up to date on this decision, so I will ave to think about it more.

We will not experience a currency crisis
10:43 AM on 05/16/2010
I agree that the interests of banks and the american public are aligned at some level, but there are many objectives within a strategy. The bank's objective of making the principles of the bank rich at all other's expense clearly does not align with the public's interest.

I also agree that by dampening a crisis the potential outcome can never be know, however that argument works equally in either direction. There is no doubt that Bernanke did sell a view of epic catastrophe to congress and in so doing sold it to the public as well. I would offer that you bought what he was selling.

There are certain things that can't be debated though. Bonuses were handed out to people who not only didn't perform well, but actually caused the problem. That doesn't sit well with me. Bernanke should have done something, but in that very simple regard should have protected the public's interest, but he did not.
12:30 AM on 05/16/2010
These large banks aren't banks. They are just holding companies for speculators. They are given money for nothing to do with as they please. The mindset of Bernanke and others he represents in the incestuous FED-Big Banks Cartel shows that the Fed should be audited and, if found to be involved in financing these hedge funds and massive derivatives and swaps, then the FED should be seixed and the big banks disassembled and the banking system nationalized, with prejudice.. We could have U.S. Banks and State Banks and local banks. The human aristocratic filth that resides at the top of American finance is a threat to our national security.
12:06 AM on 05/16/2010
I would suggest that, in view of the structure and charter of the Federal Reserve, and the manner in which it traditionally has operated for 97 years, Mr. Bernanke's job certainly IS to protect the interests of the big banks as AGAINST the interests of the American people directly, and through their representatives, the government. That's one of the principle reasons, as Dean Baker well knows, that our economy is in shambles, Wall Street is an exclusive casino, and Congress/Senate is also owned by the banks/banksters. That does not, of course, make it right.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hiqutipie
Independent... Don't talk just Kiss ...
10:33 PM on 05/15/2010
I hardly believe anyone Fooled or Gamed the congress...There are just too any smart people around for anyone to be fooled...

The irony of all this is that it wasn't Germany or Russia or even Bin Laden that brought the Western World to its knees...It was the good ol US Congress...Bin Laden would have been better off making a deal with the congress or wallstreet...He would have been more effective...

Its also Ironic how the media goes after hounds BP over every little detail as they try to find someone to blame & hold accountable as they keep the pressure on...Had they held those responsible for the meltdown in the same manner, maybe those bankers would never have gotten those bonuses and maybe those representatives wouldn't be so eager to stand against reform...
10:48 AM on 05/16/2010
I couldn't agree more in regard to gaming congress. I believe that the government was well aware of what was happening and was happy to see that the banks benefited from Bernanke's actions. They were only looking for Bernanke to give them something to sell to the public. What they got from Bernanke was perfect. They could protect the rich and powerful, and themselves at the same time. It all went so well Bernanke is still at it, as this article points out.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
worker beenumbed
10:16 PM on 05/15/2010
Bernanke failed to immediately use his authority under the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act when he became chairman in 2006.Much later he required all lenders to require income documentation Also he finally required that all borrowers must show sufficient income after the loan resets Millions of sub prime and lier loans were issued in 2006.Local lawyers and federal agencies would enforce the rules.Construction boomed in 2006.----Good article.
photo
rebelriser
artist, published author, activist
09:50 PM on 05/15/2010
Sometimes I wonder what to believe with all the various complaints from so many people. What and who is an average person to believe? I don't hang my hopes on Bernanke just for the simple reasons that he was appointed by Bush and he is favoring the Bankers. Isn't this the reason our financial system is in such deep doodoo? Apparently he is very talented at selling himself, but does that transfer to using his smarts to deal with finances & bankers so that the economy will work for everyone?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
12:11 AM on 05/16/2010
It might, but he's not there for that. As far as he's concerned, the economy must work for only one class of people. The rest of us can just suckOn it.
photo
WorldisMorphing
Jaded Iconoclast ...
07:57 PM on 05/15/2010
We know very little about Bernanke. He's less flamboyant and less cocky then Greenspan. I personally don't know what his economic/political philosophy are precisely. His position is certainly contrived and the financial mechanics implemented since the 90's certainly can't be reversed overnight ...
But if what you write is true (and it seems straight forward enough to leave very little doubt), I really don't like what I'm seeing.
I would very much appreciate more details on who Bernanke is, and what will his "Grand Design" be.
(Besides trying to avoid world economic collapse)
07:07 PM on 05/15/2010
What makes you think anyone was "fooled"? They were bought, my friend. When they leave congress or the regulatory commissions they get multi-million dollar jobs. Oh yeah there is a one year cooling-off period. So they coast for a year AND THEN GET A MULTI-MULTI-MILLION DOLLAR JOB. Or, the other way around, multi million dollar jobs and then they become "regulators." Name one that hasn't followed this path. C'mon one.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
worker beenumbed
10:18 PM on 05/15/2010
Looks like theatre.Public funding a must.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Bonaboman
06:49 PM on 05/15/2010
There are a lot of behind the scenes activities in the FRB. It is difficult to see the lips of Ron Lauder and Robert Rubin move when Bennie talks. And, the FRB gang of governors have immunity from whistle-blowers. Bennie's job is to implement the progrom he is told to.
03:57 PM on 05/15/2010
If we read the headlines over the past two hundred years, which included two world wars, the fear factor was always present in one way or another. Their will always be some reason why a group of hedge funds or other vested interested parties will want to pump up the price of a stock or commodity or take it down. In a free market, people are free to exploit every legal loophole to better their cause.