Changes In New Hampshire Demographics Could Affect Primary

Comments

[repjunkie]

Wow! Wheeler has done her home work in this insightful piece on what we should keep our eyes peeled for in the shifting political sands of New Hampshire.

[cloudy]

There seem to be a number of states turning from "red" or "red-purple" to "blue-leaning": NH, Ohio, Colorado, AZ, Va, and possibly Montana.

On the other hand, few seem to be trending TOWARDS the GOP: maybe W Virginia, MN, and, if only due to artificial manipulation of the state's development, LA (though this is a complex situation, w/undetermined backlash likely).

Time seems to be on the side of the Democratic Party in this country as against the GOP, but who will lead the Democrats. The old Lamont/Lieberman split seems actually to be opening WIDER at the grassroots and netroots, whatever harmony we might seek as an ideal.

Obama wisely seems to be trying to straddle the Lamont/Lieberman split, which is difficult, and bound to cause many to become frustrated that he is something other than purely linked to the progressive wing of the Dems. But, we somehow have to win, which is the main (if perverse) argument of the DLC Democrats.

[johncourt]

There have been several good articles about the role of cell phones and the difficulty in tracking valid registered voters who no longer rely on land phones. Updating demographics should be fairly routine, although I agree there hasn't been much written about it. The polling figures are out of control and about as predictable as the weather reports. But the Hispanic influx should also be considered, that being one of the primary shifts throughout the country, particularly for the Dems. But I would have liked to have seen this at the front of the blogs. I almost missed it, but glad I didn't. Great piece, after all the caucus rally crap. Who cares what they do at those things? I don't.

[dianethomas]

This is an interesting consideration, since the makeup of the entire country has changed since the previous election. With all the polling efforts I would think such data would be as equally, if not more significant. Once again, HuffPo has found a crack the rest of the media have overlooked. Will there be the same for SC and Nevada?