More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Dominic Carter

GET UPDATES FROM Dominic Carter
 

Huge Night for Santorum

Posted: 02/ 8/2012 11:05 am

Rick wins big.

Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado may not be delegate rich, but Santorum's clean caucus sweep has upended Mitt Romney's aura of inevitability.

Mitt Romney is still the favorite to win the nomination. Romney has the money, the organization, and with Santorum and Newt Gingrich both in the race they will split the anti-Mitt vote, leaving neither with a commanding count of delegates, but Tuesday night might have been a game changer for Santorum.

Santorum, a former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania, will pull in much needed campaign cash, and his win could strengthen conservatives nationally around him. Certainly it gives Santorum grounds for claiming that he -- not Newt Gingrich -- is the strongest conservative alternative to Romney. Santorum did campaign aggressively in all three states. He skipped Florida's primary, and that strategy paid off. Santorum, who was all but on life support, has lived to fight another day.


Poor Mitt Romney. Forget that mantle of the presumptive nominee. The businessman just can't close the deal. Romney wins Florida and Nevada, spending the week as the undisputed front-runner. It appeared history was even on his side.

The former Massachusetts governor even prevailed in both Minnesota and Colorado in 2008, the first time he ran for the nomination, but the Republican Party has become more conservative in both states since then. He campaigned heavily in Colorado this time around, but it was not meant to be.

Let's all chime in together now.

Romney has an enthusiasm problem.

Contrast that with Santorum who has new legitimacy, and finally a new look from the national media.


"Conservatism is alive and well," Santorum said Tuesday night from St. Charles, Mo., as he proclaimed himself the "conservative alternative" to President Obama.

Romney predicted he will eventually become the GOP nominee, and focused his remarks in Denver on Obama. "Under his own definition President Obama has failed. We will succeed," he said.

Perhaps!

Perhaps that's the case. That ultimately Mr. Romney will succeed against President Obama, but he has to get there first, and with these three states there are renewed questions that Team Romney surely doesn't want to face at this stage of the process.

Can Romney appeal to the conservatives at the core of the party's political base?

Are voters still looking for someone else?

Does Romney resonate with Republicans?

Is the race wide open?

Romney showed no sign of disappointment in remarks to supporters, but his momentum is again slowed down. Another question has to be, what happens if after this trifecta, Santorum catches fire with the base? (The same way Newt and Herman Cain did.)

After eight contests in the GOP presidential race, Santorum now has four victories under his belt in Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

Romney has victories in New Hampshire, Florida and Nevada.

Newt Gingrich won South Carolina.

Making matters worse for Romney, and what had to please the Obama White House, is that Santorum's extreme stance on many social issues will force Romney to stay to the right for a longer period, making Romney less attractive to independent voters that will be needed in the fall.

On the plus side for Romney, he still has the possibility to deliver a knockout blow on Super Tuesday. Ten states vote on March 6. Again, he has the organization and the financial strength. Money can solve a lot of problems for a candidate, but can not deliver true likability from the electorate.

Can Romney get back the momentum?

 

Follow Dominic Carter on Twitter: www.twitter.com/Dominictv

Rick wins big. Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado may not be delegate rich, but Santorum's clean caucus sweep has upended Mitt Romney's aura of inevitability. Mitt Romney is still the favorite to ...
Rick wins big. Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado may not be delegate rich, but Santorum's clean caucus sweep has upended Mitt Romney's aura of inevitability. Mitt Romney is still the favorite to ...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 15
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
06:48 PM on 02/08/2012
You media folk keep trying to hype this primary season up, don't you?

Santorum won zero delegates in three conservative states. He was the only candidate in CO, and the only to run TV ads therein (according to reports). The turnout was extremely low, which means evangelicals and other extremists made up a disproportionate percentage of those voting and isn't a good measure of general GOP sentiment.

So, in states where nothing was at stake and credible people would expect the more extreme candidates to do well, Santorum did well. That's not a surprise.

Nor is it an indication of any great shift in the primary election race.

Sheesh.
04:14 PM on 02/08/2012
Mitt is a ventriloquist!
photo
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
iskra
Natural enemy of sharks and tro//s
03:55 PM on 02/08/2012
I thought it was a huge night of santorum.
03:17 PM on 02/08/2012
This is much ado about nothing.
Media want us to keep reading. But there is no story.
Mitt is the nominee.
Obama will be the nominee.
Mitt will lose.
We will lose.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
02:14 PM on 02/08/2012
Some choice: plutocracy v. theocracy.
photo
dreux62
The GOP - Now 100% Fact Free!
12:30 PM on 02/08/2012
The business wing of the GOP wants Mitt (sort of), the religious wing wants anyone but Mitt. I am putting my money on the business wing winning which will only inflame and disappoint the religious wing.
ydrittmann
Vitter patronizes women.
05:38 PM on 02/08/2012
I hope for a third party of the religious wing, forever doomed to poll 21%.
photo
dreux62
The GOP - Now 100% Fact Free!
05:46 PM on 02/08/2012
Love your comment about Vitter, you must be in my State.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Awake-and-Sing
named after a great play written by Clifford Odets
12:13 PM on 02/08/2012
Even worse for Romney, look at the abysmal turnout figures.

Only in the Fox "News" universe does anyone believe that there is any national enthusiasm to giving the Republican Party back the Presidency and control of Congress.

If anything, the only question is just how many House seats the Republicans are going to lose this year. Probably more than the 25 needed to hand control back to the Democrats.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
11:40 AM on 02/08/2012
I don't understand how getting 0 delegates helps Santorum. I think it was a huge night for people who talk and write about politics for a living.
12:26 PM on 02/08/2012
The short answer is MONEY. With evidence that Romney is NOT inevitable he stands a good chance at the Anyone But Romney money people.

After all, It only takes one, Right Newtie?
photo
phal4875
The world is run by cats; we just feed them.
12:37 PM on 02/08/2012
You make a good point, but the beauty contests did show that Romney does not have the hearts and minds of a lot of his base.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PulSamsara
11:26 AM on 02/08/2012
I'd thought of being Machiavellian about all this - but at this point I'll take any of the GOP potential nominees. Extremely week field - including the eventual nominee Romney. The GOP electorate are clearly repulsed by him too.

Any of the above !

Obama '12 !
photo
phal4875
The world is run by cats; we just feed them.
12:38 PM on 02/08/2012
Fanned and agreed, PulSamsara.