Why Barack Obama Will Win Iowa Caucuses

The following commentary by Iowa Independent fellow Douglas Burns first appeared in the Carroll (Iowa) Daily Times Herald, a newspaper owned by his family, on Monday.

(Commentary) Iowans, for a change, are about the select the smartest person in the room.

I expect Barack Obama to win the Democratic Iowa presidential caucuses Thursday night. He has succeeded in turning lightning in a bottle, that transcendent speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention, into an enduring legacy and boots-on-the-ground effective campaign in Iowa.

The moment I thought I knew Obama would win the Iowa caucuses came nearly a year ago.

At 10:12 a.m. on Saturday, Feb. 10, near the steps of the historic old state capitol in the gritty Midwestern city of Springfield, Ill., the post Baby Boom generation and all those dog tired of the Bush-Clinton politics of gratuitous self-absorption, had their man.

Click here to continue reading Doug Burn's piece.

Check out the rest of HuffPost's Iowa coverage.

Comments

[researcher]

well you got that one right.

feels so good that the senators that voted for this war did not win in iowa.

maybe war mongering has its price in america.

but I still do not see any of the candidates taking on the industrial military complex.

[cblcar]

I don't want to trust the handling of Pakistan's nuke to someone as inexperienced as Obama. He's never even met Musharaff. Someone make him VP for eight years. Then maybe he'll know what he's doing, but for right now, the world is too dangerous a place to trust our country's leadership to a rookie.

[ToddSmyth]

NEW POLL: Obama 31%, Edwards 27%, Clinton 24% - Reuters/C-­SPAN/Zogby
The Zogby tracking poll shows a clear break toward Obama and away from Hillary. If Obama beats Clinton by 7% in "Iowa" it's a landslide and Obama has a whole new narrative that says: "Iowa proves Obama can bring together a governing coalition that can end the partisan gridlock and change our country and the world." However, this is based on the 2004 turn out model. If a few Independents, youth and Republicans show up, the entire world will be much different tomorrow morning.
"There is a clear Clinton fade," pollster John Zogby said. "None of it has been dramatic, but it has been steady."
Obama grabs Iowa lead from Edwards
http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN0264367920080103
Real Clear Politics Iowa Average: Obama +4.2
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html