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Dr. Guy Ziv

Dr. Guy Ziv

Posted: March 19, 2010 02:22 PM

Latest U.S.-Israel Crisis Can Lead to a Breakthrough

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It is often said that crises beget opportunities. This statement is nowhere truer than in the realm of U.S.-Israel relations.

Israel's approval of 1,600 new housing units for Jewish settlers in East Jerusalem during Vice President Joe Biden's recent visit has sparked the most significant crisis in U.S.-Israel relations in nearly 20 years. Some observers have suggested that the Netanyahu government's actions underscore a growing U.S. impotence with respect to the peace process. Yet if history is any guide, the present crisis might have left President Obama in a fairly strong position to advance peace.

In the mid-1970s, Secretary of State Henry Kissinger viewed Israeli inflexibility over a partial withdrawal from the Sinai Peninsula as undermining his attempts to broker an Israeli-Egyptian agreement. His frustration with Israeli intransigence led the Ford administration to threaten, in March 1975, a reassessment of bilateral relations -- a move that increased tensions with the Israeli government and prompted public expressions of concern by scores of U.S. senators and advocacy organizations such as AIPAC. Yet President Ford's tough love, coupled with Kissinger's persistent diplomatic efforts, paid off six months later with the signing of the Sinai II agreements, in which Israel and Egypt pledged to resolve their conflict by peaceful rather than military means.

Another example of how crisis prompted progress is evident from the tenure of President Jimmy Carter, who butted heads frequently with Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin. In the spring of 1978, relations between the two leaders reached a nadir when Begin and Carter openly clashed over the future of the West Bank and Gaza. Carter warned that "further settlement activity would be inconsistent with the effort to reach a peace settlement," while Begin defiantly rejected U.S. demands to halt settlements and show a willingness to withdraw from the occupied territories. Carter's relentless pursuit of Middle East peace, however, led to the Camp David talks in September of the same year, and those negotiations paved the way for the Egypt-Israel peace treaty of 1979. While Begin refused to budge on the West Bank, he ultimately agreed to withdraw from the entire Sinai Peninsula, which was enough for President Anwar Sadat of Egypt.

The last major crisis between the U.S. and Israel took place in 1991 when President George H.W. Bush withheld Israel's request for $10 billion in loan guarantees to help resettle Soviet Jewish immigrants due to Israel's aggressive settlement activities. Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir's hard-line policies prompted an exasperated Secretary of State James Baker to declare: "When you're serious about peace, call us." The Bush administration's tough approach raised alarm bells among some segments of the Jewish community, but in Israel, the crisis played a key role in Shamir's 1992 electoral defeat. The lesson learned from this episode was that the Israeli public values highly Israel's relationship with the United States and is prepared to punish leaders who place it at risk. Indeed, the election of Yitzhak Rabin led to a historic breakthrough in Israeli-Palestinian relations.

Today, just as in previous crises, the Netanyahu government's obstinate stance threatens to undermine American peacemaking efforts between Israel and its neighbors. The Obama administration's sharp rebuke of Netanyahu, and its demands that all settlement construction in East Jerusalem be halted, have been denounced by hawkish elements in the American Jewish community. Rather than bowing to their pressure, however, President Obama would do well to embrace the calls of the increasingly vocal majority of American Jews, who are urging the President to step up his involvement in Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking, including by applying pressure, when necessary, on Israeli, Palestinian, and Arab leaders.

After a largely disappointing first year for the administration's peace efforts in the Middle East, the latest U.S.-Israel crisis presents a unique opportunity to recalibrate American efforts for Arab-Israeli peace. Would an American decision to pressure Netanyahu lead to a change in Israeli policy? Israeli public opinion polls published in Friday's papers are encouraging: although a majority of Israelis do not support the American demand to stop building in Jerusalem until the end of the negotiations, an even greater majority view Obama favorably and think their prime minister has acted irresponsibly. Obama should therefore take a page from his predecessors, whose determined efforts to bring about Mideast peace - even at the cost of quarreling with a friend - may have exposed them to criticism but also led to significant breakthroughs in Mideast peace.

 
 
 
 
 
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01:05 PM on 03/21/2010
(2) In order to suck out all the tension between both sides it’s better to create 2 national states for the 2 peoples (and not 3 0r 4), who are already exist! Jordan, all the Eastern bank of Palestine, will be the Palestinian state of Jordan (more than 85% of Jordan’s population are Palestinians with first family link to Israel’s Palestinians). All the Western bank of (Jordan River's) Palestine, all the land between Jordan River and the sea shore, will be Israel.

All Arabs in both states will be citizens of Jordan and will vote for Amman’s Parliament. All Jews will be citizens of Israel and will vote for the Knesset in Jerusalem.
Though, Arabs who will stay and live in Israel will be Jordanian citizens and Israeli residents, that mean, they will be regular Israeli civilians (not in the status of citizenship!), working in any private or public job they choose and so on.

King Abdallah represents, in the eyes of the Arab Palestinians themselves, the Hashemite Saudi Bedouin foreign occupier of the Eastern part of Palestine. The Fatah’s Arafat tried to throw down King Houssein from 1968 until 1974, with huge clashes in 1970 “Black September”, while 20,000 Fatah members had been killed. The Palestinians never forget Jordan, but from their political sense they don’t talk it out. The Palestinian in Jordan and Israel should elect their leader and let him walk them out of their chaos.
01:04 PM on 03/21/2010
(1) No breakthrough, No Amayat! When the Israelis say that there is no Palestinian for a peace agreement, they are totally right. Abu Mazen is too weak and the Hamas are too strong. Even if Abu Mazen really wanted a fare resolution, and I'm not sure that he really wants, he has no power among his small Ramallah's coalition and among his Fatah terrorist gangsters. Sure Abu Mazen doesn’t represent the all Palestinians.

You have to understand something which you try hard to ignore – The Arabs in Palestine don’t accept the very existence of the Jewish Palestinian state! The Arabs see the Holy land as “Dahr el Islam” (Islamic space) which no other’s nations but Islamic, can have their state to be. Even Egypt while signing a peace treaty with Israel didn’t allow such clause to be put in the agreement! The usual slogan of those who don’t recognize the right of the Jews to have their own national state in Palestine is the use of the phrase: “The Zionist entity” (as Eichmaninajad, Hisballah and Hamas always claim).
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tallen
panem et circenses
08:51 AM on 03/20/2010
The idea that Israel or it settlements are the impediment to peace is a fallacy, a ruse, perpetrated by the arabs who have no intention of ever allowing a non muslim state to exist in the middle east.
The root cause of the conflict is the imperialistic and expansive nature of Islam.
There were NO settlements prior to 1967, yet there was no peace. The mere existence of the sovereign nation of Israel was reason enough for the arabs to declare an illegal war of aggression and intended genocide.
To this day the arab media, inclusive of even children's cartoon shows demonize Israel, not for "settlements" but for its existence. Muslim clerics across the region exhort their congregations to reject Israel and wage violence upon it, not because it is a non muslim state.
The conflict is not about land, it is a religious war, and until this is acknowledged by those dealing with the region there is little reason to think there can be peace.
11:16 AM on 03/20/2010
I am hopeful that there may be an accomodation possible in a two state solution. This will certainly not come about because of the local media which regularly airs children shows that exhort martyrdom and promote the idea that Jews are descended from pigs and monkeys. Funny, but I never saw the equivalent on Israeli TV, Sure, i saw some monumentally bad russian soap operas, but we have the "Housewives of....." series. :)
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charlietuna11
06:18 PM on 03/19/2010
again, what frightens the israeli lobby is americans understanding the core issues, i am well aware what frightens members of congress, i worked the hill eighteen years for two differant members. both honest, sincere and terrified of aipac. again the policies of israel building settlements the intire world deem illegal does give the radicles recruitment tools our own govt. now acknowledge. since america is about the only nation left in the world that still supports israel,you would think israel would want to work with america .you insist america pressure iran and other nations in behalf of israel but never miss as oppurtunity to imbarass our president and his staff. you mr. zofnat are typical . your position is totally israeli based ,not based with americas best interest in mind. our brave members of the military are serving through out the middle east to help keep that region safe,(that includes israel) i would think americas request to freeze settlements would have your full support because no matter what any one says, building illegal settlements is provacative and does indanger the process and our troops in the region and elsewhere. how is it possible to claim one wants peace while at the same instant doing every thing possible to sabatage the process. former sen. mitchell has a record of success working with hostile parties, i would think you would consider this a good thing but instead, every attempt is made to undermine his initial efforts.
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JustMeInNY
Live and Learn.
06:37 PM on 03/19/2010
18 years on a hill for two *differant* member, and they hired you I bet because of your awesome writing skills!
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charlietuna11
03:57 PM on 03/19/2010
there is only one way for obama to succeed, he must capture the support of america. to do that our most respected members of the military and the national security council must convince americans that the actions of israel do infact create a serious danger to our military personel in the region and else where. once that is achieved , our nation will back him all the way forcing many of our spineless members of congress to also step up. if this isn't done ,aipac will succeed by threating members of the house which has always succeeded. aipac will always do what they consider is in israels best interest, i have no problem with that. americas true problem rests with members of congress who put israels interest above those of their own nation. this really is not rocket sciance. follow the formula above and get our nations citizens on board and the games over. have you got a better idea?
05:22 PM on 03/19/2010
the danger for our military personell has a lot to do with the thousands and thousands of troops in the region; Western 'demon' behavior as spewed by the radicals; 'Western oil taking advantage of the region; the fact that most threats are now through rebel groups who use 'international law' to constrain our forces while they are not held to any standard...

members of congress do not support israel strictly because of AIPAC...conspiracy theories...AIPAC is a lobby group which presents its point of view aggressively and when you lay out the facts and take out the anti-israel propoganda, our congressfolk see the reality of situations.

while it is very important to resolve this conflict, and while i do believe this will really help all moderate camps in the region, it is very flawed to think that the israeli-palestinian conflict is going to all of a sudden 'peacify' the region . the radicals will find a new way to spread hate against the west.

and isn't the US, our purpose, to help out the minorities? it's very easy to say, the world hates israel so F them and let them be destroy. Poor israel, surrounded by 800x the amount of land arab countries, and yet all the focus is on them - always hate on them, b/c they have succeeded in defending themeslves. this issue is deeper than 1,600 houses and sad the far left turns against israel
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JustMeInNY
Live and Learn.
06:39 PM on 03/19/2010
RZofnat awesome post!

Fanned.
04:11 PM on 03/21/2010
hasbara? JIDF?
03:20 PM on 03/19/2010
I think the US should finally acknowledge 2 realities: 1) Left to their own devices Israelis and Palestinians will never forge a workable agreement. One has to be imposed from the outside. 2) An economically viable Palestine (and therefore a two state solution) is no longer possible. Palestinian arabs should become full-fledged Israeli citizens and with it the right to keep and bear arms.
04:44 PM on 03/19/2010
Are you a funeral home director in the ME? Do you know how many dead children will result from allowing all the palestinians to freely bear arms in Israel. You don't have to believe me. Just ask Hamas what their goal is.
09:44 PM on 03/19/2010
How many Palestinian children are dead because settlers carry guns? But I guess they don't matter to Israel's supporters.
05:23 PM on 03/19/2010
what about full jordanian and egyptian citizens? What IS WRONG WITH YOU GUYS!
jordan takes away palestinian citizenship EVERYDAY from palestinians to continue this mess and isolate Israel...it is RIDICULOUS!
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x76
HELP HELP I'VE BEEN BANNED
03:11 PM on 03/19/2010
The "peace process"? Did you mean "systematic genocide of the indigenous population"?
02:56 PM on 03/19/2010
The examples you gave, while definitely valid, all had the same running theme: No budging on settlements and the occupation of Palestine. Now, there are no more half measures Israel can take. There's no Sinai bone to throw out there. One of the problems is, IMO, the recycling of the same people who have time and time again failed the Israeli people and the international community by denying peace. Even if Netanyahu pays a political price, there's a chance that (a) he'll be recycled yet again, and (b) Kadima will be just as bad (see Cast Lead for evidence). Most of the Israelis I met are sick to death of this whole mess, yet there is somehow an unwillingness to try something new.
04:45 PM on 03/19/2010
Most Israelis are sick to death? So why aren't all you guys out shooting guns in the air and giving out candies?
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JustMeInNY
Live and Learn.
06:43 PM on 03/19/2010
As someone who spend a very long time in Israel I assure you Israeli's are only sick of one and one thing only, living in fear from the aggression of the barbarians next door to them.
That's the unfortunate reality.

I hope that all of Jerusalem gets settled before Israel is forced to give in to all the insane demands imposed on them by the US.

Have you seen the list that Hillary sent Netanyahu of what the US demands? At first I laughed than I wondered precisely, what is the current administration interested in, doesn't look like peace to me.