Another weekend of business travel during football season! ARGH! What is wrong with these people?!?
Thank DirecTV for Supercast, because Eagles/Falcons isn't being broadcast nationally, and I'll be in Minneapolis. Somehow I think the local 1 p.m. (well, technically, noon) games there are going to be NFC North games, because three of the four teams are playing in the early slot (Lions/Giants, Dolphins/Packers, and Seahawks/Bears).
Anyway, we're in "will he or won't he?" territory this week. You KNOW Mike Vick wants to face -- and preferably kick the asses of -- his old team. But can he play? Unknown. If he can't go, can K2 put up enough points -- and avoid enough mistakes -- to win?
The Falcons are a tough matchup. Not only are they looking solid this year, winning their last four games after a season-opening loss to the Steelers, but they're currently the #2 rushing team. Know where the Eagles rank against the run? Not #2 -- try #24. Ouch. And that might be the story of the game right there.
The Eagles do have Brian Westbrook the Second, aka "Mr. Stud of the Week two weeks running" LeSean McCoy. (In other news, Nate Allen really is looking like the next Brian Dawkins -- and not a moment too soon.) On the other hand, this is mostly a passing offense, at least for the past 12 years under Andy Reid. And there's better news there -- the Falcons are #19 against the pass. Oddly enough, though, this year the team is ranked higher in rushing (#10) than in passing (#13) -- at least so far, but I suspect some of that's due to K2's tendency to check down FIRST and some big runs from Mike Vick.
But enough stats -- what does my gut say? My gut says Falcons. I know they're facing off at the Linc and homefield advantage and whatnot, but I truly believe the Falcons are the better team at this point.
Get the rest of the picks at Snarkin' the NFL.
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