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How the GOP-Backed Ryan Plan Threatens Middle-Class Retirement Security

Posted: 08/06/2012 1:00 pm

by Nancy Altman, Social Security Works, Eric Kingson, Syracuse University, and Benjamin W. Veghte, Scholars Strategy Network, Harvard University

This piece was originally published by the Scholars Strategy Network, and the full brief is available as a PDF here.

Generations of Americans have worked together to build our nation's Social Security system.
Each citizen contributes through a lifetime of work, and each is entitled to claim an assured
benefit to see him or her through retirement and old age, or in the event of a serious disability or the death of a working parent or spouse. The vast majority of Americans support this system, because it works. In an economy where most are dependent on wages, Social Security insures a worker and his or her dependents can continue to get a portion of those wages during old age or if death or disability strikes.

Much controversy currently surrounds a radical federal budget overhaul designed by
Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and overwhelmingly backed by House Republicans. The
Ryan plan calls for trillions of dollars in cuts in Medicaid and other safety-net programs for low-income and disabled Americans. It also goes after Medicare, one of the pillars of middle-class retirement, aiming to turn it into a voucher system that would force the typical retiree to pay about $6,000 more per year just to get the same benefits Medicare now guarantees.

What about Social Security? Ryan would effectively gut that program, too, supposedly to address a looming national fiscal crisis. But in fact Social Security's long-term shortfall is manageable, and we need to invest more not less in this effective system.

How Ryan Plans to Undermine Social Security

Because Social Security is so popular, the 2011 Ryan budget backed by almost all House
Republicans tip-toes around planned changes in the program -- and simply includes procedural changes that would "fast track" modifications and make it possible for legislators to accept them without full political accountability. When procedural tricks are put in place, we have to ask why. What changes do Representative Ryan and his colleagues have in mind? In each of the past two years, Ryan has issued documents about the GOP's long-term budget plans. Neither has the force of law yet, but the preferred changes in Social Security are clear:

• Along the lines of a proposal former President George W. Bush unsuccessfully advocated in
2005, Ryan would move toward giving all Social Security beneficiaries a basic pension set at a
low level and largely unrelated to each person's prior wages. Beyond that, people would have
to fend for themselves, supplementing their modest benefits from savings or paid work.

• Ryan praises the idea of increasing Social Security's early and normal retirement ages to ages
64 and 69 respectively -- and he would also further lift these ages in the future based on how
much longer an average American lives. This may sound fair, but there are big drawbacks.
Many workers who do jobs involving physical labor do not live anywhere near as long as
lawyers or managers who sit in offices, so raising the age of eligibility for Social Security can
take their retirement away. More important, though, for all older Americans, a higher age for
claiming Social Security simply amounts to a big across-the-board benefit cut. A "retirement
age" of 69 translates into approximately a 13 percent cut for everyone, even for workers who work until age 70 or beyond (and that cut would be in addition to the 13 percent cut that all
Americans younger than 52 will experience because the retirement age is already scheduled to
move to age 67 for them).

Can Personal Savings Make Up for Reduced Benefits?

Ryan argues that individuals should save more for their retirement, and proposes allowing them
to place in retirement savings accounts up to a third of what they now pay for Social Security.
Savings accounts are a good thing, but we should never confuse savings and insurance. Social
Security was designed to provide a certain core benefit that everyone can count on for all the
years they live between retirement and the end of life. No individual can know how long that will
turn out to be, and it is just not realistic to expect most people to save enough for all or most of what they may need over an uncertain span after employment. One can outlive savings but not an insurance annuity like Social Security. Inflation can devastate savings, but not Social Security benefits as Americans now know them, which are regularly adjusted for inflation. Unexpected drops in the stock market can greatly diminish the value of savings, but not Social Security.

Crying Wolf about a Modest Shortfall

Ryan and others proclaim that Social Security is "in crisis" and cannot be sustained. But we can
tell that they do not really believe this by looking at Ryan's own budget plan. He and his GOP
colleagues want to shower more and more tax cuts on the very wealthiest Americans, including
continuing the 2001 and 2003 Bush tax cuts. Interestingly, the amount that those cuts alone
would cost America in future decades is roughly equivalent to the additional funds needed to
address Social Security's manageable shortfall in long-term revenue. And here's the kicker: Ryan's budget calls for even greater tax cuts for millionaires and billionaires, on top of the
continued Bush cuts. Clearly, the deficit and fiscal constraints are not the real issue here. Ryan and his supporters just want to cut Social Security -- that is their political choice, not a necessity.

The Social Security Agenda Americans Really Need

Working Americans in their forties and fifties are already headed for economic difficulties in
retirement. Employers have cut back on assured pensions; housing values have declined and
401ks have taken hits; and hard-strapped families are dipping into savings rather than building
them up. The Center on Retirement Research at Boston College estimates that 51 percent of U.S. households are at risk of seeing their standard of living decline during retirement years (closer to two-thirds when rising health care costs are factored in). Social Security's modest benefits -- currently around $14,800 a year for a typical retired worker -- are more important now than ever.

Too often Social Security is discussed in technocratic terms as a "problem," when it is actually a
solution to people's worries that they might not be able to get by after employment ends. The
cuts pushed by Ryan and other free-market radicals would threaten retirement security for all but the very wealthy -- and these cuts are so unpopular that they can pass only if regular democratic accountability to the voters is avoided. The debate we Americans should be having is not about how to cut Social Security, but about how to improve and extend its protections long into the future.

 

Follow Eric Kingson on Twitter: www.twitter.com/NoSocSecCuts

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by Nancy Altman, Social Security Works, Eric Kingson, Syracuse University, and Benjamin W. Veghte, Scholars Strategy Network, Harvard University This piece was originally published by the Scholars S...
by Nancy Altman, Social Security Works, Eric Kingson, Syracuse University, and Benjamin W. Veghte, Scholars Strategy Network, Harvard University This piece was originally published by the Scholars S...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MeinNH
Ooooo Silly Me
02:04 PM on 08/07/2012
I recently found out that when I applied for my pension at 65, it will be $147 per month....a far cry from the "70% of gross wages" promised. When I complained, they told me that I was "lucky" to get anything. Only through hours of research did I find out that the company has stopped funding our pensions in the early 1970's....a little matter that they forgot to mention as they negotiated contracts with the employees up until this year. So now approaching retirement age, laid off, unemployment has run out and savings all gone...what are those of us who thought we had pensions to rely on to do? And they tell us that we are "greedy geezers" wanting the government "entitlement" programs to bail us out.....WTF!
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08:19 AM on 08/07/2012
Ryan budget also cuts benefits for over a million disabled vets. Google it.
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realsurfin
Pardon me, can you help out a fellow American
09:17 PM on 08/06/2012
what is wrong with this Ryan plan is the bankers in their fast and furious banking cause our 401k's to dissolve at least once or twice a decade.. you cannot hold a stock for 15 years anymore... in one day a computer can cause a market meltdown and you lose 15 years of accoutrement in a week.

Ryan is the guy that has got his locked up and guaranteed and does not really care where you get yours. Long as he gets in to the big boys 1 percent club.. or as close as he can get. And to do that he has to dislodge someone else.

We need to speak louder than the big money behind these new tyrants that want to put us into a oligarchy. We need to stop the tea party bullies from taking over the local elections. We need to stand together.
08:00 PM on 08/06/2012
Yes much ado about the Ryan Plan.. Key word, "Plan"
What is the Obama Plan? In at least Ryan Plan specifics? Whyhaven't we seen it our heard about for four years? Does he have a plan?
THe gargoyle of Nassau Street Paul Krugman can't even explain Obama's plan. Krugman calls for more stimulus, maybe another 4 to 7 trillion. Another genius. Give me another 7 trillion and I'll make things look better for awhile also.
And lastly I just love the start of the article--debt and deficit doesn't matter. 100% debt to gdp doesn't matter. Borrowing 40 cents on every dollar doesn't matter. Well that hole you are digging is pretty big and if interest rates climb we are toast--we is the real lilberal plan--to crash the system
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realsurfin
Pardon me, can you help out a fellow American
09:11 PM on 08/06/2012
rubbish
mikeandtoni
Liberal to the core
04:22 PM on 08/06/2012
Thanks for the great article. I just hope the Democrats use it as a campaign tool. If they use it, they have the instrument for having a major victory in November.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Secrist
those who forget are condemned to repeat
03:16 PM on 08/06/2012
Ryan clearly wants to kill social security. The conservative propaganda machine has been calling it an "entitlement" to make it sound more palatable to get rid of. Apart from the moral wrong of this, has anyone bothered to guess at the increase in other government services which might be required if social security is gutted? Of course not. No one ever considers the costs to government when companies like Bain slash payrolls either. The right wing has been salivating for years at the thought of allowing Wall Street to profit from the social security revenue stream. If it ain't broke, don't fix it! Social security isn't broken. It needs to be kept healthy, not dismantled.
FBueller
Heckuva job Brownie
03:07 PM on 08/06/2012
Many boomers are screwed. If they lost assets in the 2008-9 crash, and were unable to get re-employed at the same income level (many weren't) they've eaten into savings already. Boomers are also crunged between caring for parents (who are living longer too) and paying for kids college/weddings and now having kids come home after college. Just sayin...many Boomers are living paycheck to paycheck now.
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missprissanna
the weight of the news nearly broke my back
07:50 AM on 08/07/2012
So true and many boomers are living day to day without the luxury of a paycheck....only occasional day labor at very low wages with no benefits....it's a horrible way to survive.
FBueller
Heckuva job Brownie
10:04 AM on 08/08/2012
Amen. I am also unaware of any "real" re-training for unemployed or under-employed workers. Yes, if your plant closed they offer something, but for the downsized and now under-employed - why isn't there mid-life retraining so these people can re-enter the workforce with some level of employment certainty. For example....if you're over-50, in virtually any occupation (except healthcare) you are now competing with younger workers for the job....guess who gets hired? Why can't we spend some training dollars (oh, that's Big govmet) to help boomers get into a profession where there is a need/demand.....and what is that besides healthcare. It just seems these 50-somethings are thrown under the bus....and likely have another 20 years of potentail employment. Are they all supposed to work the counter at McD's? How many greeter's does Walmart need (with bachelor degrees or better)?
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joefrom de
"The road to success is always under construction.
03:05 PM on 08/06/2012
As a current recipient of SS, I can attest that form of forced savings has helped myself and my wife to retire with some form of security even if it is not, in terms of dollars, a large monthly amount. The idea that people will save enough money themselves in absurd. Most people especially the younger ones in the workforce do not even take advantage of a win win 401K. They earn and they spend and saving is never in the picture until it is too late. SS gives them the savings that they themselves would not even think about.
Ryan's entire plan is geared to help those who really don't need the help and take from those that need it. Just the Medicare aspect alone is ridiculous. Seniors are thrown to the wolves under the pretense that the current form of Medicare is broken and can not be fixed. It can be fixed but it takes politicians with backbone to make this happen. It will involve higher taxes and means testing but it can be done.
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Gestas
Mountain Man
03:04 PM on 08/06/2012
Paul Ryan is a 100% Ayn Rand Believer...He goes so far as to brag about it...In case you don't know She was a Russian,Jewish, Atheist, that wrote several Science Fiction Books.. Trust me Ayn Rand will roll over in her grave at the thought of electing a Mormon as President..Even if he hatres our government as she did. The GOP isn't the party your Daddy told you to vote for.
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SF TKF
Cthulhu thinks you'd make a nice sandwich.
02:43 PM on 08/06/2012
Having seen my parents' 401ks plummet at the same time their greatest asset also lost half it's value, I'm doubly grateful that my job offers SS, a small pension, AND a 401K. I'm clearly going to need them all (and probably a reverse mortgage as well) to survive retirement should I be lucky enough to live to enjoy it!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jschuck
01:52 PM on 08/06/2012
Thank you for an accurate and informative post. It shows as I've said repeatedly, investment accounts are simply a way to let wall street make money on retirment funds. That's what brought us 401-K plans and their ilk instead of defined pension plans. IIt usually about the money and it definitely is here.