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Erin Fitzgerald

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Iran's Shadow Diplomacy

Posted: 08/08/11 04:00 PM ET

Over the past few months, with increasing frequency, US policymakers have issued statements indicating that Iran provides material support to the resurgent Taliban or to al-Qaeda. Speaking to the Senate Armed Services Committee in March 2011, General David Petraeus testified that Iran, through the Qods Force, had provided support for Taliban insurgents in "measured amounts" -- enough "to make life difficult for us, but not enough to actually succeed." On 28 July, David S. Cohen, the Treasury Under-Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, announced that Iran had entered into a "secret deal" with an al-Qaeda offshoot that provides money and recruits for attacks in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Such considerations certainly have bearing on US strategy in Afghanistan; however, it is also important to situate them within the broader tapestry of Iran's diplomacy in Afghanistan and Central Asia and to remember that they do not necessarily preclude the possibility of US-Iranian cooperation in Afghanistan.

In Iranian foreign policy, it is possible to discern a recurring pattern: while Tehran deals with neighboring governments using official diplomatic channels, it also pursues a shadow diplomacy, sponsoring non-state proxies and seeking to expand its influence at the sub-governmental level. This two-pronged approach is visible in Iranian dealings in the Gulf, in the Levant -- Hezbollah in Lebanon spring immediately to mind -- and in Central Asia.

The American presence in its Iraqi and Afghan neighbors places immense pressure on Iran -- pressure which it seeks to offset by competing with the United States for influence in these countries. At the official level, Tehran's primary objectives are to secure its eastern flank by stabilizing the country, and to prevent the flow of illicit weapons, narcotics, and migrants across its borders. To this end, Iran has been active in Afghan reconstruction efforts, particularly in the western portion of the country in the provinces of Herat, Farah, and Nimruz. The Iranian government has funded several transportation and energy infrastructure projects, including building roads and railway links, setting up schools, constructing Herat's electricity grid. Politically, the Islamic Republic maintains close relationships with Afghanistan's Hazara and Tajik Shias and focuses on supporting Shia political parties, mobilizing Shia mullahs, and influencing the Afghan media.

Not all of Iran's actions have endeared it to the Afghan government and people. In early 2011, worried that Iranian fuel shipments were being diverted for use by US military forces inside the country, Iran blocked the shipments, a move that caused significant shortages and price spikes inside Afghanistan. Iran has also taken an unforgiving approach to the issues of Afghan migrants, expelling thousands of Afghans and ignoring requests by the Afghan foreign ministry that cited Afghanistan's lack of absorptive capacity for the deluge of returnees. Despite this, some analysts, including the authors of a study conducted by RAND, conclude that the net effect of Iranian influence in western Afghanistan has been positive.

Even if official Iranian-Afghan relations have been uneven, what most concerns US policymakers are the shadow level initiatives. These take a variety of forms, although all aim to expand Iranian influence in post-American Afghanistan beyond the Shiite belt. At one end of the spectrum, Iranian officials are reported to have made cash payments to senior Afghan officials, including senior advisors to President Karzai. At the other end come the accusations that Tehran is supporting the Taliban and al-Qaeda. Despite its historical antipathy to Afghanistan's former rulers and to Sunni extremism, Iran views having leverage over influential players in a post-American Afghanistan as an issue of crucial importance -- especially given that Washington seeks to place 25,000 American troops on five bases around the country even after it withdraws. The recent announcement of Iran's "secret deal" with al-Qaeda is just the latest indication of Tehran's shadow diplomacy at work.

However much Washington may balk at Iran's shadow diplomacy, it is in the United States' interest to bring Iran onside where it can. Iranian efforts in Afghanistan have done more to stabilize the western provinces than to jeopardize US interests, and Iran shares the United States' interest in securing the country, stemming the flow of narcotics, and even stamping out Sunni extremism. As the 2014 withdrawal deadline draws closer, the country's political landscape is still unsteady and it is increasingly uncertain that the force levels and capabilities the US will leave behind will help stabilize the region. For this reason, the United States needs to be able to engage and work with regional stakeholders, including Iran. Indeed, showing willingness to engage may help convince Tehran that its shadow-level diplomacy is unnecessary.

Moreover, given recent tensions with Pakistan, the United States is in need of regional allies -- another reason to draw Iran into the equation. There has been some movement in this direction: on October 18, Iran was invited for the first time to join international talks on Afghanistan held in Rome. The US State Department publicly recognized its role, stating that Iran has "an interest in seeing a stable, prosperous and peaceful Afghanistan emerge."

To engage successfully with Iran on Afghanistan, it is crucial that US policymakers understand the parallel tracks of Tehran's foreign policy. They must recognize that it is possible to work with Tehran where their interests cohere, even as they seek to counter it at other points. The United States should not let Iran's shadow diplomacy eclipse the possibility of constructive engagement.


 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DAE
01:56 PM on 08/10/2011
What this article details are the machinations of the US to maintain its empire in the Middle East and South Asia and the counter-measures an indigenous country, Iran, is making to maintain its independence.
01:54 PM on 08/09/2011
I too take issue with assuming the unsupported accusations are true, and the sinister sounding presentation of Irans desire for good relations with its neighbors.
The gist of the post however seems quite reasonable. Working together on shared goals would be positive.
06:24 AM on 08/09/2011
"Iran has also taken an "unforgiving approach" to the issues of Afghan migrants, expelling thousands of Afghans and ignoring requests by the Afghan foreign ministry that cited Afghanistan's lack of absorptive capacity for the deluge of returnees."

Iran has been hosting over two million Afghan refugees for over twenty five years, while it was constantly being under ever increasing US sanctions, and recently the "crippling" one that Obama,Clinton and GOPs are really in favor of. They know very well how grave the damage of such sanctions are to ordinary Iranians.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hass
01:18 PM on 08/10/2011
Indeed Iran had been the home to the greatest number of refugees in the world for several years, earning the commendation of the United Nations High Commission for Refugees, providing them with free medical care, education, housing etc. THis, without an iota of external support.
11:13 PM on 08/08/2011
This so called connection is most likely a false narrative. First of all, there is no Al Qaeda in Afghanistan anymore. What was the last estimate? about 4 people who were commuting between Afghanistan and Abbottabad in Pakistan? but most importantly, the ideological differences. Al Qaeda and the Taliban have always been supported by the Saudi, UAE and Kuwaiti with support of ISI to be a challenge to Iran. Then out of a sudden, when the Saudi is crushing Shia in Bahrain and is begging US to leave soldiers in Iraq, Al Qaeda becomes Iran's best friends?

I have no doubt that Iran has armed assets in Afghanistan. They have their own security issues in Afghanistan. Jundallah operates from Afghanistan and Iran is engaged in one of the most lethal drug wars in the world. Also, Iran supported Northern Alliance before 9/11, that's probably why Iranian weapons are found in Afghanistan, but there is nothing that supports any relationship between Iran and Al Qaeda.
09:55 PM on 08/08/2011
I think overall this is an impartial sort of objective post.(compared to what we ordinarily see in the MSM)

Lots are missing thought. AIPAC has no interest in Afghanistan?
No possible influence of the foreign policy advisers in the white house on allowing Iran’s cooperative steps? And Pentagon’s view?

There was also no hint on the following:

Iranians consider American establishment a mighty ruthless entity. During their war with Iraq, especially after 1983 they learnt that the Americans who pull the real strings have no hesitation in brutally hurting Iran. Among many events Iranians knew Americans were supplying satellite info to Iraqis about the location and size of the Iranian troops in order to subject them to WMD.

Those lessons have made the Iranians ‘extremely’ careful not to step on that lion’s tail..

Those lessons play a grand role in Iran’s Afghan policies.
09:13 PM on 08/08/2011
The article makes the assumption that all "shadow" allegations against Iran are fact.

She also fails to recognize that Iran already worked with us when we invaded Afganistan and we thanked them by calling them the axis of evil.