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Faisal J. Abbas

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The Verdict on Iraq

Posted: 12/26/11 10:39 AM ET

And so the last of the American troops have left Iraq, marking the end of a campaign which has lasted nine bloody years. What started as a hyped-up war of 'shock and awe', has ended rather quietly, tainted with mixed reviews as to whether or not the 'mission' was indeed accomplished. One has to wonder what the mission was anyway. This is not to cry over spilled milk, but for everyone's sake, there must be a serious reassessment of the war, its causes and outcomes.

As it turned out, the Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs) that the former American administration was led to believe, or pretended to believe, existed in Iraq, never did. One must now ask why this bogey was raised? Who were the beneficiaries?

There was another argument at some point that the Iraqi regime had links with Al Qaeda; the case was so idiotic that one American cartoonist ridiculed it by showing that the only 'link' former president George W. Bush found was by circling the letter 'Q' in both words (Iraq and Al Qaeda). Over the years, the war itself and later the occupation, were harshly criticized for actually creating a breeding-ground for fundamentalist groups in Iraq.

As for bringing freedom and democracy to the Iraqi people, I suppose very few people can argue against the fact that Saddam Hussain was a brutal dictator. However, the outcome of the Arab Spring confirms that democracy may very well happen organically, but it can never be imposed by the use of force.

Let us not forget that by 2003, the Iraqi regime was ailing due to the combination of wars and sanctions which had left it a shadow of its former self.

Why didn't Bush adopt the model of intervention used recently in Libya? Not that the NATO-led campaign was flawless or interest-free. The West still has to answer to critics wondering why it didn't interfere in Syria or Yemen in the same way and whether or not oil (which Libya, as Iraq was, happens to be particularly rich in) was a factor.

Nevertheless, if one compares the end results so far, the intervention model followed in Libya would definitely emerge as the lesser of two evils.

Could it not have occurred to Bush at the time that perhaps taking a unilateral decision wasn't a wise thing to do? That he could have secured the backing of both the Arab and international community first? That America could have continued supporting the Iraqi opposition and even perhaps provide them with a military cover, without having to invade the country?

The list of American blunders in Iraq is both appalling and endless. Why on earth was the Iraqi army dissolved following the collapse of the regime? Did it not occur to the Bush administration that by keeping this army intact, they could have easily maintained stability and security across the country?

Did they not guess what the consequences of dismissing hundreds of thousands of professionally trained Iraqi soldiers would be? (Yes, you guessed it: they would turn to the next available employer).

Then there is the issue of reconstruction, or to be precise, the absence of any serious reconstruction efforts. Iraq isn't a poor country, it has massive oil reserves and the Americans had both the know-how and the means to have left it a better shape following their departure. Yet, the people of this country, whose lifestyle was once the envy of all their Arab neighbours, still live with power cuts, shortage of water supply and a lack of proper infrastructure.

Favor to Iran

Even if the U.S. had intended to introduce a Marshall Plan-like initiative at one point, it would be safe to argue that it couldn't physically afford it any more with all the economic woes that Barack Obama inherited upon becoming president in 2008.

With the war costing nearly a trillion dollars, all Obama could have done at this late stage was to limit the costs and pull the plug, albeit the damage had already been done.

More importantly, 100,000 Iraqi and 4,500 American lives were lost and tens of thousands on both sides injured. Nothing can ever be done to ease the pain of those who have lost loved one sor to keep them from wondering if the sacrifices they have had to make were worth it.
Furthermore, one wonders if the world is now a safer place. Fair enough, at least now we know for sure that no WMDs will fall into the wrong hands and that Saddam isn't around any more to conquer another country. However, what about the elephant that has now found its way into the room?

I am, of course, referring to Iran, the true and only winner of this war. It is almost impossible that U.S. policy-makers have not yet realized that by intentionally or unintentionally destabilizing Iraq, they have just done Tehran the biggest favor possible. The bottom line is that the Iranians must be saying "with enemies like America, who needs friends?"

*This article first appeared on the Op/Ed pages of the Dubai-based Gulf News on Saturday January 24,2011.

 

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10:05 PM on 12/26/2011
What has Iran won? A shaky Shiite neighbor instead of a shaky Sunni neighbor.
Some win.
All these pundits try to make some point, but the reality is more like winning a balloon. It will at some point deflate or pop, and is not very useful in the meantime.
01:56 PM on 12/26/2011
G W Bush, Dick Cheney, Condoleezza Rice, and the other Bush administration officials who were involved in setting up the invasion of Iraq, agreed in advance that the Iraqi army and security services would be kept intact to maintain public order. Condoleezza Rice and Colin Powell were not even informed in advance of L. Paul Bremer's III's decision to disband the Iraqi army. And G W Bush was not even aware he had approved this change of plans!
01:46 PM on 12/26/2011
A TV talking head recently reached the conclusion that "anything an ilegal alien does in this country is ilegal . . . even if it's positive"(not a quote, but real close). I think to some degree the US entry (invasion) into Iraq can be compared. There is great discussion and different opinion as to whether the US entry there was legal or not, whether it violated international law and/or US foriegn policy and law. To the degree our entry was ilegal, should or can the US be held accountable? The US can't be deported because the US is now departing Iraq. What other consequences might the US face?
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marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
12:48 PM on 12/26/2011
In terms of MIC profits the war was/is a unqualified success. Mission accomplished. Next: Iran.
12:24 PM on 12/26/2011
When the decision to invade Iraq was made, the obvious long-term winner was Iran. A democratic vote between 35% Sunni and 65% Shia will go which way? A Sunni card becomes a Shia card in the Middle East.
When the decision was made to disband the army, the resistance was born and made lethal.
When the decision was made to dissolve the Baath Party, all of the country's bureaucrats were jobless, with no one trained to replace them.
Three major blunders that damaged the USA.

Thank you again, George W. Bush.
Worst President in History
Worst War President in History
01:58 PM on 12/26/2011
FullChat - - I heartily agree with you G W Bush is either worst president in US history, or worst in past century and a half.
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Anybodyseenthepopos
Like you Really give a rats...
03:19 PM on 12/26/2011
And that's an understatement!
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phal4875
The world is run by cats; we just feed them.
07:42 PM on 12/26/2011
In the latest Siena College presidential survey in 2010, Bush was found to be the second dumbest president (Warren G. Harding was dumber) and the second worst manager of the U.S. economy (Herbert Hoover was worse).
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Biff Riff
We're all here because, we're not all there!
12:15 PM on 12/26/2011
I think hindsight is wonderful. I just wish foresight were actually used once in awhile.
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MarcEdward
likes all cats more than most people
05:34 PM on 12/26/2011
Before Bush attacked Iraq (with the media pretending there was no opposition in the USA, with the media only putting on pro-war generals to "discuss" events) 1/2 the nation was against the invasion.
Somehow WE had the foresight!
Anybody who supported the invasion should be driven from public life and refrain from voting or even commenting on issues for 2 generations.
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Biff Riff
We're all here because, we're not all there!
06:54 PM on 12/26/2011
I'm sure somebody had it, just nobody used it.
07:07 PM on 12/26/2011
just prior to the invasion of iraq, there was a debate on the bbc. A retired uk general predicted exactly what was to unfold, with agreement from the rest of the panel. An american bush advisor then disagreed saying the US would be welcomed with open arms and democracy would spread across the middle east. The other panel members just stared at him as if he was mad. A lot of experts knew exactly how it was going to pan out.