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Harry Moroz

Harry Moroz

Posted: April 14, 2010 02:06 PM

Is Financial Reform Bad for New York?

What's Your Reaction:

One might think, in this era of environmental consciousness and suspicion of special interests, that a prominent national politician would avoid comparison to Big Oil, Big Coal, and Big Auto. Not Mayor Bloomberg. Visiting Washington on Monday, he expressed mounting frustration that New York's congressional representatives have allowed Wall Street to be pummeled by populist outrage without defending the state and city's interests. The Mayor wants New York's representatives to be more like those from Texas, West Virginia, and Michigan who, in the face of the overwhelming evidence of the harmful effects of their cash cows, fight tooth-and-nail to protect them.

The New York Post has joined in, of course, accusing Senator Schumer, in particular, of "playing politics" with financial reform. Instead of ensuring that "draconian regulation and confiscatory taxation" are stripped from the bill the Senate will soon consider, the Post - citing financial insiders - says that Schumer is "ingratiat[ing] himself with fellow Democrats" in anticipation of a battle for leadership of the Senate. Forget reforming the industry that nurtured a housing crisis, set off a financial panic, and helped trigger a recession. Schumer should avoid the appearance of playing politics.

Harold Ford, New York Senator Gillibrand's erstwhile potential primary challenger, had tried to fill this void for Wall Street. As Jonathan Chait put it, "Casting about for a champion, Wall Street's eyes turned to Ford." But, despite the eagerness of Wall Street types to have a voice pushing Gillibrand to accommodate the desires of the financial services industry, the strategy was far from a winning one and Ford dropped out of the race before he ever got in.

That said, Bloomberg's argument for a more robust defense of Wall Street is not necessarily a bad one. New York City depends heavily on the financial services industry for jobs and tax revenue: prior to the recession, it accounted for about 17 percent of private-sector jobs and 9 percent of the City's taxes. The unexpected improvement of Wall Street profits in 2009, due mostly to the largesse of Treasury and the Federal Reserve, helped save New York from an even gloomier fiscal outlook.

However, Bloomberg and others worried about Wall Street imply that the financial reform bill in Congress would destroy the City's financial services sector and, by extension, its economy. Certainly, if Congress were considering a permanent 50 percent tax on bonuses, many "fat cat" bankers would flee Manhattan. But the financial reform bill is not a punitive one. Rather, it is overwhelmingly designed to create more stability in the financial system, whether by creating a Consumer Financial Protection Agency, creating a resolution authority for too big to fail firms, or enhancing regulation of derivatives. Resolution authority will even be good for some smaller firms that are put at risk when large failing institutions create turmoil in financial markets.

New York City's Independent Budget Office has warned of the uncertainty created by financial reform. But it has also recognized a crucial point:

Depending on the outcome of [reform negotiations], New York could wind up with a less profitable but potentially less volatile industry at the core of its economy.

The danger in Bloomberg's comments is that they not only favor a status quo that has made New York an increasingly unaffordable "luxury city" but that they make the financial industry he claims the City relies on vulnerable to a repeat of the crisis that has put New York, and cities across the country, in dire financial shape.

Regardless of reform, New York is expected to keep losing financial services jobs at least until midway through 2012, the sector expected to perform the worst in the City's economy. In contrast, in his assessment of post-crash America, Richard Florida reminds us that:

New York is much, much more than a financial center. It has been the nation's largest city for roughly two centuries, and today sits in America's largest metropolitan area, as the hub of the country's largest mega-region. It is home to a diverse and innovative economy built around a broad range of creative industries, from media to design to arts and entertainment.

The gobs of money generated by Wall Street make it a crucial part of the City. But the diversity of New York's economy means that a stable, well-regulated banking sector can suffice. New York doesn't need a housing bubble and a bloated financial sector to prosper.

 

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One might think, in this era of environmental consciousness and suspicion of special interests, that a prominent national politician would avoid comparison to Big Oil, Big Coal, and Big Auto. Not May...
One might think, in this era of environmental consciousness and suspicion of special interests, that a prominent national politician would avoid comparison to Big Oil, Big Coal, and Big Auto. Not May...
 
 
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11:43 PM on 04/15/2010
Let's be honest. If the financial sector shrinks significantly in New York City, it will be bad for the local economy. The average stock trader at a hedge fund pays a lot more in all sorts of taxes than the average taxi driver or sewing machine operator. All the tax increases that are expected to go into effect during Obama's first term will also cost the city's economy a lot. I think a lot of rich liberals in the city's 10021 zip code will be crying in their lattees when they sign their Federal tax returns in April 2012 (the Bush tax cuts expire in starting in 2011) and again two years later when they will have paid a full year of the higher health insurance related taxes.
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gerald4
licensed mechanical and electrical engineer
10:15 AM on 04/15/2010
I believe that all of the various public traded US Corporations should abandon Wall Street, buy and sell their company stocks themselves. This would then allow new stock brokerage firms to be created and evolve with tighter regulations and more penalties to prevent future Wall Street type criminal atmosphere of entitlement and above the law attitude. These new trading exchanges should evolve, preferably in cities other than New York City such as Houston, Dallas, Atlanta, Chicago, or some other different location that might be a better location for a clean new start with much less of the prevalent Wall Street culture of criminal activity, self worth, and financial entitlement. These new stock trading exchanges could evolve with new and different rules and regulations that would prohibit the criminal excesses of the Wall Street Master Criminals.
06:21 PM on 04/14/2010
The answer is yes, especially given that the FIRE sector (Financial, Insurance & Real Estate) make up approx 70% of New York City's economic drivers, and more than 60% Statewide, and some 30% nationally - everyone shoul;d be concerned.

But that concern is no reason NOT to do the right thing. We simply have to incentivize new sectors & industries - like Green Technology, New Energy, Information Mgmt, etc - to replace declining sectors and revenue streams.
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DiogenesOfAlaska
Mitt Romney for president - of the Cayman islands!
04:39 PM on 04/14/2010
'Is financial reform bad for NYC?'

Answer: who cares? It doesn't matter. Who do you think you are, NYC? Just because you're such experienced navel-gazers doesn't mean the world should give a shit.
06:22 PM on 04/14/2010
Clearly you've too long isolated in Alaska to fully realize, much less appreciate, just how much lil 'ol New York contributes to the national economy.
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DiogenesOfAlaska
Mitt Romney for president - of the Cayman islands!
07:00 PM on 04/14/2010
Try again when NYC has indeed mutated into the center of green technology.

And when that happens, I might actually consider moving to Alaska. Because when that happens, we're probably close to a tax imposed on barrels.
08:46 AM on 04/15/2010
Clearly you've lived in an isolated world of High Finance, protected from the world of functional and productive reality. Out here in fly-over country, the growing, digging and manufacturing that make up the real economic wealth are taking place.

The financial sector has an important, possibly even valuable role to play in greasing the wheels of capital flows. However that role is not Productive of wealth, it is supportive of managing the capital flows that could, if managed properly, optimize production and distribution of that wealth.

Two observations result:

1) Your guys have really screwed the pooch in that "management" part, with several orders of magnitude worth of excessive leverage, or in more clear terms, betting, going on.

2) Being a manager does not by any stretch of the imagination confer ownership on the lucky few whose jobs don't involve the actual producing of actual stuff.

Out here in the hustings, money is "stored wealth", also known as "life savings" for those us who are competing in the worldwide marketplace of value-added material production. We entrusted our savings Wall Street and other financial centers not to give you ownership of our savings. We entrusted all that capital to the financial centers to store our wealth for later retrieval (as we get older) and to serve as investment capital for entrepreneurial and/or productive industry.

Money not backed by material wealth is pure, distilled, crystallized, concentrated inflation.
03:58 PM on 04/14/2010
Recognizing that "enforcement" of regulation could affect the NYC income stream the mayor would do well to seek assistance from the nation if that happens. As you noted, though, the revenue stream that NYC enjoys from the fin serv industry is fed by streams from all over the nation. So our mayor should be a good citizen in the interest of our city.