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Ian Bremmer

Ian Bremmer

Posted: May 24, 2010 07:45 AM

When you write a book called The End of the Free Market, you can be pretty sure what the first question is going to be: "Do you really believe we're seeing the end of the free market? Really?"

Yes, I do. But there are two important caveats. Not everywhere and (hopefully!) not forever.

We're used to living in a world where we see corporations as the future of political and economic power. Remember the movie "Network"? Ned Beatty as Arthur Jensen standing in a darkened corporate boardroom and thundering at Peter Finch's disturbed and cowering network news anchor Howard Beale:

"There are no nations; there are no peoples. There are no Russians. There are no Arabs. There is no third world. There is no West... There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and ITT and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, Union Carbide and Exxon. Those are the nations of the world today."

How about Rollerball and Robocop, variations both on the idea that big corporations are drinking the rest of the world's milkshake--and don't mind killing people who get in their way?

Here's why you can put those fears aside and worry about something that's actually happening:

One- The free market's largest, most successful experiment in history, the single European market, has hit some serious turbulence. The kind you experience when trying to land a plane during a hurricane. I think the pilots will get that plane down in one piece--especially since they can safely ignore the screaming passengers on the other side of the cockpit door a little longer. But there's no guarantee. The latest rescue package may have cleared the plane for landing but there's plenty of wind and rain between here and the runway. Things will get bumpier before they even out. Not a good advertisement for free market capitalism.

Two- The elected leaders of nearly every free market state (with the exceptions of relatively small, well-governed commodity exporters Australia and Canada) are facing serious levels of anti-government public fury. US midterm elections look to take "throw the bums out" to a whole new level. (Bums of both parties.) Gordon Brown is already out, but the British public didn't have enough confidence in opposition conservatives to give them a majority either. French President Sarkozy has low poll numbers. German Chancellor Angela Merkel's are even lower. Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama can't even get a dinner reservation.

At the moment, none of these leaders is any position to praise the enduring virtues of free markets.

Three- After three decades of double digit growth and a strong rebound from the global market meltdown, China is looking pretty strong these days. It's easy for Beijing to blame the West for the world's setbacks--and to propose an alternative that, on the surface, appears to promise sustainable prosperity and political stability.

China is using state-owned companies, privately owned national champions, and state-dominated investment funds to distort the performance of markets for political advantage. They're doing this inside China and throughout the developing world, where those big, bad multinational corporations find themselves competing with Chinese and other companies armed with every financial and diplomatic advantage their governments can provide.

The title of my book came from a meeting last spring with Chinese Vice Foreign Minister He Yafei. "Now that the free market has failed," he asked me, "what do you think is the proper role for the state in the economy?" (Coincidentally, He Yafei was the official President Obama found himself negotiating with when Premier Wen Jiabao decided he didn't want to make a deal on carbon emissions in Copenhagen.)

I don't agree with the premise of his question, and told him so. But I'm pretty confident that that isn't going to undermine the confidence of his bosses in China's state-driven model of capitalism.

Next week, I'll answer the question posed by the book's subtitle: "Who wins the War Between States and Corporations?"

Ian Bremmer is president of Eurasia Group and author of The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations? (Portfolio, 2010)

 
When you write a book called The End of the Free Market, you can be pretty sure what the first question is going to be: "Do you really believe we're seeing the end of the free market? Really?" Yes, ...
When you write a book called The End of the Free Market, you can be pretty sure what the first question is going to be: "Do you really believe we're seeing the end of the free market? Really?" Yes, ...
 
 
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03:08 PM on 05/25/2010
Privately owned giant commercial enterprises operating under state directive. Where does this sound familiar? Oh, yeah, Mussolini pioneered this concept in his Fascist Italy. Is Communist China seamlessly morphing into Fascist China? Will America and the rest of the world follow suit? And what are our society's leaders doing about it? Looks like they're handing over the keys to the city...
01:13 PM on 05/25/2010
When was the market ever free? Couple reasonable greed (as if there is such an animal) and John Nash's "f@ck you buddy game," played by the transnational corporations who bought out our government and preceded to make their own rules. Profit over people, which means, competition is evil! http://www.mushon.com/spr09/nmrs/01/25/john-nash-and-the-ambiguity-of-game-theory/
09:47 AM on 05/25/2010
Don't invest in China.... invest closer to home. Invest in your neighborhood instead.
07:29 AM on 05/25/2010
"Now that the free market has failed," he asked me, "what do you think is the proper role for the state in the economy?"

You don't agree with this question ? Give your head a shake boy.

Free markets have failed and continue to fail. When you rely on taxpayers to bail out every failed corporation representing "free markets" , I'd have to say, its a failed system.

Some people just need to keep hitting their heads on a wall.
09:16 AM on 05/25/2010
I agree. The free market failed, utterly. For those who have any doubts, look to September 19, 2008, when Paulson demanded entitlement for Bush's $1 trillion dollar going away present for his Wall Street cronies. The day the GOP announced it would henceforth be known as the Party of Corporate Welfare. Eight years of corporate welfare tax cuts for the wealthy, deregulation of everything financial, and total destruction of every social program in sight. The free market propaganda died years ago. Too bad we still have Bremmer idiots that want to feebly attempt to legitimize criminal enterprise.
11:33 PM on 05/24/2010
greetings.....when the productive capacity of the entities that participate in the free market becomes so great (which it has) that it creates material abundance and floods the market beyond even excessive need.....that can accurately be called the end of the free market........or..... maybe the beginning of a market where many things are in such abundance that they can no longer be sold and are defacto "free"!....
08:54 PM on 05/24/2010
"Now that the free market has failed," he asked me, "what do you think is the proper role for the state in the economy?"

The author should have answered this apt question, instead of making the weak excuse that he didn't agree with the premise, which is equivalent to Wall Street and the Fed not accepting responsibility for their destructive practices. The impotence of Congress to properly "reform" these institutions portends future failures and more misery for millions of Americans. It's beginning to look like the Chinese have a better system!
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03:30 PM on 05/24/2010
Free for those with lots of cash and influence. Free in this case equates to members only.
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blueken
Finger Picking blues man
03:11 PM on 05/24/2010
It's still a free market. The big investment houses borrow money at such a low rate that it could be considerd free. They then place bets on both sides of the table, charge other players to anti and make money win, lose or draw. How can a system like that die?
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guveqzero
Inventor and Innovator
02:36 PM on 05/24/2010
The only people that say the market is free are the bankers, that's because it is truly rigged for their success no matter what happens.
ThePeacemakers
Concerned Citizen
01:37 PM on 05/24/2010
Silly Wabbits, you never had a "free market". You've always had government subsidized markets. Now they are gimme, gimme more.
01:35 PM on 05/24/2010
Mr Bremmer holds out the free market as a bludgeon of all real and existing economic systems. He has an affiliation with the Hoover Institution at Stanford, which is a place where the rhetoric of the "free market" is used to undermine the efforts to governments to manage complex economies. Hoover affiliates generally do not have any problem with the non-free market oligopolies that run most markets or oligarchies where those oligopolists run government itself. They use their "free market" bludgeon only upon government, especially when those governments attempt to address the suffering of people at the hands of plutocrats. Mr Bremmer comes across as, ultimately, a defender of plutocrats.
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goldgoose
loose as whatever
01:28 PM on 05/24/2010
A free market never existed in America; there was only a market of cartels, predatory corporations, monopolies, and plutocrats. A free market is where a patient exchanges a few chickens for a physician to provide medical care for a parent's dying child. The Wall Street stock exchange is where wealthy insiders becme wealthier by duping poor people wanting to get rich to trade in futures that insiders knew were destined to fail. The only real fair trade in America was where labor unions made collective bargaining contracts with corporations to provide the sweat, blood, and tears of human beings for corporations to use in production of goods and those corporations ultimately would move production overseas or across the Mexican border to obtain cheap labor and create unemployment in America. Any 'free market' in America went out the door with NAFTA and Global Free Trade agreements. America is now a plutocracy where there is no place for a poor laborer to exist, making economic genocide a necessity and a reality today; deny the poor universal medical care and they will go.
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racetoinfinity
racetoeternity
01:27 PM on 05/24/2010
This is like the old serials they used to put in magazines and on radio (and still do on tv). Not much to say till we read at least next week's piece. It's a very important question.
01:01 PM on 05/24/2010
Ideally it will the be end of back room trading where the buyer has no idea what he is buying (but doesn't care because he is using our money).

Slim chance though until the Second Great Depression comes.
sonoffestus
Got smart & got out!
12:45 PM on 05/24/2010
Before you have the end of something you have to have it. Free market is very similiar to the American Dream, it's is and has always been a myth.