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Ian Fletcher

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No, Obama, We Don't Need Free Trade Agreements with Panama, Colombia, and Korea

Posted: 07/15/11 09:55 PM ET

Obama is still pushing for free trade agreements with Panama, Colombia, and Korea, albeit with the thin fig leaf of demanding they be accompanied by money for so-called Trade Adjustment Assistance, a "painkiller" program designed to blunt the harm to laid-off workers.

The Republicans don't like TAA, which has held up passage of these agreements momentarily, but both sides are still gunning to pass these agreements some time soon.

You think America has learned its lesson from NAFTA, which the Labor Department has estimated cost us 525,000 jobs? Think again.

Take the Korea agreement, for example. President Obama and the Republican leadership want it despite the fact that the Economic Policy Institute has estimated it will cost us 159,000 more jobs over the next five years.

Yes, you read that correctly. At a time when the president says that his number one economic priority is job creation, and has created an entire commission for that purpose, they're going ahead with it anyway.

Even the official U.S. International Trade Commission has admitted that KORUS-FTA will cause significant job losses. And not just in low-end industries: the ITC foresees the electronic equipment manufacturing industry, with average wages of $30.38 in 2008, as a major victim.

The supposed logic of America swapping junk jobs for high-end jobs simply isn't the way the economics really works out. Pace free-market mythology, there are actually well-understood reasons for this, if you dig a little into what economists already know.

Was this the Obama America voted for in 2008?

No. That Obama is at an undisclosed location somewhere. He campaigned against KORUS-FTA during the 2008 campaign. (It was originally negotiated, but not ratified by Congress, by Bush in 2007.) Among other things, that Obama said:

I strongly support the inclusion of meaningful, enforceable labor and environmental standards in all trade agreements. As president, I will work to ensure that the U.S. again leads the world in ensuring that consumer products produced across the world are done in a manner that supports workers, not undermines them.

Nice words. Unfortunately, none of them are reflected in KORUS-FTA, which contains no serious new provisions on these issues.

This agreement is essentially a NAFTA clone. It is, in fact, the biggest trade agreement since NAFTA, and the first since Canada with a developed country.

This agreement, like NAFTA and the dozen or so other free trade agreements America has signed since NAFTA, is fundamentally an offshoring agreement. That is, it is about making it easier for U.S.-based multinationals to move production overseas with confidence in the security of their investments in overseas plants.

The provisions to protect workers and consumers are unenforceable window dressing. (That's why they're allowed to be in there in the first place.)

Don't be fooled by the fact that some unions, like the United Auto Workers (UAW), have endorsed the agreement. This is just a cynical ploy by the White House to split the trade union movement in order to keep the AFL-CIO neutral.

The UAW's out-of-touch leadership is so punch-drunk from the 2008 collapse of the U.S. auto industry that it has lost touch not only with what is good for the American economy as a whole, but with what is good for rank-and-file auto workers. (There's a rumor in circulation they did a deal with the White House in exchange for protecting pension and other obligations in the auto industry bailout. I can't prove this, but it would certainly explain a few things.)

Don't take my word for it, either: in the words of Al Benchich, retired president of UAW Local 909:

The UAW Administration Caucus is the one-party state that controls the UAW at the International level. Every International officer is a member of the Caucus, and they surround themselves with appointed international reps that unquestioningly do their bidding.

No wonder other, more democratic and more intelligent, unions, like Leo Gerard's United Steelworkers, are criticizing the UAW for its decision to support KORUS-FTA.

Interestingly, the UAW's past record of criticizing KORUS-FTA is more honest than anything they're saying right now. For example, here's what they originally said about this agreement:

KORUS-FTA has inadequate protections and enforcement mechanisms to enforce either the spirit or the letter of the law.

Precisely. And changes made since then are, as noted, minimal.

As an example of how one-sided the treaty is, consider that it now allows -- to great rejoicing -- America to export 75,000 cars a year to Korea. This translates to a measly 800 jobs. Korea's exports of cars to the U.S. in 2009, on the other hand?

Try 476,833.

Furthermore, even if the U.S. does get to sell more cars in Korea, American companies will mostly not be making the steel, tires, and other components that go into them, because the agreement allows cars with 65 percent foreign content to count as "American."

Worse, it allows goods with as much as 65 percent non-South-Korean content to count as "Korean," opening the door not only to North Korean slave labor but to the whole of China. Talk about the camel's nose in the tent!

This is just one example of how KORUS-FTA isn't even as good as the deal the EU just signed with Korea. (The EU got a 55 percent standard on this item.) And remember that the EU and most of its member states, of course, don't really practice free trade anyway: they practice a covertly managed trade that has kept the EU's trade balance within pocket change of zero over the last two decades, while America has been running deficits around the $500 billion mark.

"Free trade agreement," in American English, means "free trade agreement." In other languages, it means "gentleman's agreement for managed trade at a low tariff." The Europeans invented this game -- called mercantilism -- back when trade was conducted with sailing ships. South Korea learned it from Japan, which learned it from Germany. Uncle Sam (and maybe John Bull and a few others) are the only naïfs who still don't get it.

Despite what the White House and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce are saying, this agreement makes no sense as a strategy to reduce our horrendous trade deficit. America's trade deficits have a long record of going up, not down, when we sign trade agreements with other nations.

Paradoxically, trade agreements even seem to sabotage our own trade with foreign nations: according to an analysis by the group Public Citizen, in recent years our exports to nations we have free-trade agreements with have actually grown at less than half the pace of our exports to nations we don't have these agreements with. So these agreements don't hold water as trade-expanding measures.

Even leaving aside trade-balance issues, this agreement is a disaster, thanks to something called "investor-state arbitration." Like NAFTA, it compromises American sovereignty and subjects American democracy to having its own laws overruled by foreign judges as interfering with trade. Under NAFTA to date, over $326 million in damages has been paid out by governments as a result of challenges to natural resource policies, environmental protection, and health and safety measures. There about 80 Korean corporations, with about 270 facilities around the U.S., that would acquire the right to challenge our laws under KORUS-FTA.

What kind of problems could this cause? The U.S. was forced in 1996 to weaken Clean Air Act rules on gasoline contaminants in response to a challenge by Venezuela and Brazil. In 1998, we were forced to weaken Endangered Species Act protections for sea turtles thanks to a challenge by India, Malaysia, Pakistan and Thailand concerning the shrimp industry. The EU today endures trade sanctions by the U.S. for not relaxing its ban on hormone-treated beef. In 1996, the WTO ruled against the EU's Lome Convention, a preferential trading scheme for 71 former European colonies in the Third World. In 2003, the Bush administration sued the EU over its moratorium on genetically modified foods.

It gets worse. KORUS-FTA also signs away our right (and Korea's, too, not that this makes it any better) to a wide range of financial regulations of the kind that might have helped avoid the crisis of 2008. For example, it forfeits our right to limit the size of financial institutions. It forfeits our right to place firewalls between different kinds of financial activities in order to prevent volatility in one market from collapsing another. It prevents us from limiting what financial services financial institutions may offer -- Enron Savings & Mortgage, here we come... It bans regulation of derivatives. It ban limits on capital flows designed to tame volatile "hot money."

Why is the U.S. flirting with making such an appalling mistake yet again? Because a) multinational corporations have bought our political system and b) because our government would rather play power politics than keep its own (declining) economic house in order.

It is remarkable how stuck we are in the 1950s, with an invincible economy at home and a Cold War abroad. As a report by the Senate Finance Committee once put it:

Throughout most of the postwar era, U.S. trade policy has been the orphan of U.S. foreign policy. Too often the Executive has granted trade concessions to accomplish political objectives. Rather than conducting U.S. international economic relations on sound economic and commercial principles, the executive has set trade and monetary policy in a foreign aid context. An example has been the Executive's unwillingness to enforce U.S. trade statutes in response to foreign unfair trade practices.

Ironically, it may eventually be our own decline that solves our trade problems, by rescuing us from our own arrogance and stupidity. When we finally realize we can't take our economy for granted, we may finally stop giving away the store in international trade.

 
 
 

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This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
05:15 PM on 07/19/2011
Why are we even thinking about trade agreements that will cause us to lose jobs?

Now what about this: "For example, it [the Korean trade agreement] forfeits our right to limit the size of financial institutions."

Why on earth would we agree to this? Why is it even in a trade agreement with Korea? Surely the size of our banks is our own business -- isn't it? There's a lot of good reason not to have banks that are "too big to fail" yet we not only haven't made such a regulation, we are proposing to make such a common sense regulation illegal due to this Korean trade agreement.

Sometimes I think we have all taken leave of our senses -- and that we asked the multinationals to run the country for us -- which means for them.
11:46 AM on 07/18/2011
We can discuss weather trade creates or destroys jobs but what about a persons freedom to trade? Should our government control trade among consenting people?
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LeftCoastEng
Obsessed with failed trade
06:47 PM on 07/18/2011
It's in the constitution for one thing.
08:17 PM on 07/18/2011
I don't think anybody is discussing whether trade creates or destroys jobs.

International trade, trade among nations, has always existed.

The round of "free trade" agreements are disingenuous at best.
And those consenting people use the infrastructure of various countries to make their success happen, so the countries involved shouldn't be controlled by the corpos either.
08:14 AM on 07/18/2011
Most government projects require the "Buy American Act" which is supposed to promote US jobs. However, because of all of our "Trade Agreements", hardly anything is made in the US by US workers. The taxpayers are supporting workers in Mexico, Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, etc. etc. while US workers continue to lose their jobs. The "winners' are the corporations who outsource jobs and factories, and the politicians who get the kickbacks/contributions. The American people and the country are the losers. Almost 50 years ago, I learned in fifth grade that a country should export more than it imports to be succesful. Now the big multi-national corporations are the only ones who reap the profits.
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Guscat
08:21 AM on 07/18/2011
It seems it would be impossible for every country to export more than it imports.
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Fred Scarran
12:30 PM on 07/18/2011
Welcome to impossible.
11:50 AM on 07/18/2011
A country succeeds when it makes the best use of it's human resouces through a capitalist economy. This by the way is the only form of human cooperation that leads to the greatest prosperity for all. Not perfect just the best.
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Guscat
07:36 AM on 07/18/2011
Mr. Fletcher, do you oppose all imports? If not, how do you propose limiting exports to the limit you propose?
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LeftCoastEng
Obsessed with failed trade
06:51 PM on 07/18/2011
He proposes a "natural strategic tariff" on all imported goods and services. You can check out his other posts here a HuffPo.
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nofriendofrepublicans
Mother friendly.
07:15 AM on 07/18/2011
Free trade = Unemployed Americans.
06:17 PM on 07/17/2011
This story is a little more intriguing than it might first appear. First of all, the big winners when it come to Trade Adjustment Assistance are unions. Large unions like the UAW take millions off the top of expanded TAA funding to support their "retraining centers" and hundreds of millions more go straight to VEBAs to prop up union retirement programs. Only a small fraction of any workers potentially "displaced" by a free trade agreement can survive the TAA application process and 99.9 times out of a hundred they are union members. In other words -- TAA is primarily a union giveaway.

right now the re-expansion of the TAA program is being held up in Congress and Obama has been told by union leaders -- the only way to get unions to stop their demagoguery over trade agreements is to throw around a billion and a half more into TAA. And the latest is that's about to happen and when it does, watch the unions go silent on free trade and Colombian labor unrest.
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Picosa
dedicated to FACTS & TRUTH
03:11 PM on 07/17/2011
Today we see millions undocumented workers living in the US. It is the United States imposed economic models and trade mechanisms that have created the eruption of Latin slave labor in our nation. Is it any coincidence that the mass migration north began after NAFTA was imposed on the region? The only entities that have benefited from NAFTA, both in the US and Mexico, are the corporations and the few ruling elite. Everyone else has been thrust into the realm of exploitation and failure.

What the U.S. Gov. has done to Latin America and its hundreds of millions of people is the imposition – by its proctors in high office and its bullying threats involving capital – of market colonialism that has had the effect of imprisoning and enslaving the masses. Neo-liberal ideology has indebted most “third-world” nations, not simply those of Latin America, and it has furthered indigence, lack of education, the corrosive caste system upon which millions are born into, inequality, injustice, hunger, disease, suffering, loss of opportunity and death.

Labor has been made cheaper for US corporations, translating into cheaper goods for its citizens. Through back-breaking slave labor, conditions and wages Latin Americans are exploited so that we, the rich north, can consume to our hearts content. Yet millions upon millions live in squalor, surviving day to day, usually earning less than two dollars daily, living in feeble conditions, without a chance of ever improving their lives due to the non-existence of opportunity.
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EndRacismNow
"Diversity is our greatest Strength"
08:12 PM on 07/17/2011
You may not believe this, Picosa, but for once I agree with you wholeheartedly. What I don't understand is that you feel the solution to the exploitations of globalism is to pass amnesties for the undocumented aliens who have been forced to immigrate here because of free trade agreements. This will only lead to more mass immigration and further exploitation of cheap labor to the detriment of the American middle and poor classes. The corporate globalists are following the laws of supply and demand. In order to depress wages, they needed to increase the supply of labor. With no tariff barriers they can exploit populations in any country tax free while importing labor to the states to increase profits. Also, if countries like Mexico couldn't export their poverty, the country would be in civil unrest by now. This would lead to a revolution against their corrupt government and oligarchs such as Carlos Slim. Mexico is a very wealthy country but the wealth is concentrated in the elite few. They don't have the same strong middle class like the United States.
11:38 AM on 07/18/2011
Know an artist, older guy, who lives in the Southwest. He's a naturalized citizen. His parents brought their manufacturing business from Mexico to Texas 1950's because Mexico was squeezing out their middle class. A decade ago the artist told me the USA was repeating Mexico's mistakes. His reasoning was compelling - and seems true.

Ironically, one of his most impressive sculptures is a huge walk-through titled "We, the People."
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Picosa
dedicated to FACTS & TRUTH
12:31 PM on 07/18/2011
You seem to think ruling wealthy elite power in Mexico and U.S. government are two different sides. They aren't, the corrupt U.S. government propels whoever they choose to be Mexico's corrupt president so Mexico's wealth can be stolen and brought here.

Mexico doesn't creat or export their poverty, U.S. foreign policies do.

A minority of cowardly Americans find it easy to attack immigrants because they are blinded by racism or lack the gumption to go after the real culprits of this mess, the U.S. government and U.S. corporations.


Five transnational corporations control the U.S. mass media for imperialist interests and say nothing or spread lies about the people’s uprisings in Mexico and the Mexican the baimmigrants in the United States. This is because the U.S. government is focusing its sights on the rising Mexican opposition in order to gain greater control over Mexican oil, minerals, uranium, water, biodiversity, and immigrant labor. And it wants to keep immigrant labor cheap, and so aligns with the Mexican business elite and its government. The elite loves Uncle Sam like kids love Santa Claus. The elite’s Business Coordinating Council of big capitalists is crying for more aid in fighting the cartels, and the aid is pouring in. It does not come in a reindeer sleigh, mind you, but as Blackhawk helicopter gunships that spit fire and death.

http://www.alternet.org/books/149489/what_are_the_u.s.%27s_real_motives_for_launching_a_drug_war_in_mexico?page=entire
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Fred Scarran
05:38 AM on 07/18/2011
"Labor has been made cheaper for US corporatio­ns, translatin­g into cheaper goods for its citizens. "

Cheaper goods for citizens huh? Last time I checked imports have experienced inflation and quality has also gone down.
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mannapat
Truthiness shines a light.
03:07 PM on 07/17/2011
Is Ross Perot still alive? I don't know. But his prophetic words sure are..."That giant sucking sound: Jobs" Won't someone please Pr1 Mary O?
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03:14 PM on 07/17/2011
Mr. Perot is still alive...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rkgx1C_S6ls
YouTube - Giant Sucking Sound - Ross Perot 1992 Presidential Debate.flv

Perot said when U.S. and Mexican wages would equalize, after the U.S. economy was destroyed.

Perot also mentioned the revolving door between Congress and lobbyists:

A recent example is Liz Fowler:

1. VP Wellpoint
2. Member of Sen Baucus' staff where she helped draft the HCR bill
3. Joined the Obama administration.

Mr. Perot co-led a rescue effort to free EDS employees being held hostage...

http://feraljundi.com/2010/07/21/history-ross-perots-private-rescue-of-eds-employees-in-iran-1978/
History: Ross Perot's Private Rescue Of EDS Employees In Iran, 1978
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bluenational
http://bluenational.blogspot.com/
02:23 PM on 07/17/2011
NAFTA, CAFTA, and most favored nation status were stupid republican ploys fed by to us Bill Clinton and others. This has killed manufacturing and development, while the economy and middle America is assaulted with illegal immigration!
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Fred Scarran
05:40 AM on 07/18/2011
Clinton and Obama arent Republicans
11:50 AM on 07/18/2011
We're using the wrong labels. Dem and Rep are convenient deceptions since it's really the financial power elite vs. the rest of us.
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Sean777
01:58 PM on 07/17/2011
The author of this article is missing the point that South America and Asia will buy more automobiles, machinery and technology made in USA with the free trade agreement. If we can sell more easily worldwide our economy will benefit.
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03:11 PM on 07/17/2011
That is what we have continually been told about Nafta, Cafta and Shafta.
But the reality is that corporations moved the manufacturing jobs to places
with slave labor wages while collecting a tax credit for doing so.
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Bob Kulong
09:27 PM on 07/18/2011
Really? Panama and Columbia are poor countries with little buying power. These agreements are just offshoring arrangements for US multinationals, and perhaps markets for our immoral agribusiness. Korea isn't buying our cars either. I believe we sell around 5,000 to them, and we import around 600,000 from them annually, and that doesn't count the ones manufactured here.
KIampfbeobachter
Misanthropic economic and political shaman
01:09 PM on 07/17/2011
Since the beginning of June I try to tell our elected officials and the readers that they/we are barking up the wrong tree. Focus on the reduction of the trade deficit to the point where America eventually runs continuous trade surpluses.
America needs to be re-industrialized to the point where from bathroom slippers to plasma-TV’s, automotive and aircraft components are produced on American soil by American labor while work safety and environmental laws in place and enforced.
One commentator suggested that we also bring back service jobs like call centers (a start has been made here) and back office operations of banks, brokerages and billing operations.
All this of course has to be protected by tariffs. The result will be an increase in employment here in the US, with increased spending power of the people and tax revenues for the public coffers.
This will soon start to reduce the budget deficits of the federal and state level.
From this article I also learned about the idiocy of the "investor-state arbitration." Well, cancel these clauses and replace them with something that leaves a sovereign administration in control of what is going happening on its territory.
Yes, there will be major interruptions of international trade. These interruptions will be larger when America eventually collapses.
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12:19 PM on 07/17/2011
The "stealth conservative" sign many progressives are hanging around Obama's neck is gonna stick.
Both parties talk about jobs when they think the american people are watching, but support the off
shoring of american jobs at every opportunity. The Fritz Hollings piece Huff'Po published a few weeks
ago said it all - the fifth column- in america, are American Corporations. They have no loyalty to
america, they have no intention to rebuild america through jobs, and they have Washington firmly in the hip pocket. Disgraceful.
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firewired
Compared to what?
11:57 AM on 07/17/2011
Let's make a start at improving our economy that no one can disagree with: (two words): BUY AMERICAN!

Who can dispute the good that will do? Immediately remove any and ALL trade agreements which give any advantages to foreign producers. This should have been done a long time ago. A concentrated shift by many people to simply begin BUYING AMERICAN MADE GOODS would have an immediate, strong effect on our ailing economy!

For every single product on the market today, we have a choice between "theirs" and "ours." Let's simply give more support to OURS!
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12:41 PM on 07/17/2011
'That no one can disagree with'?
Are you kidding? Anyone that can use their mind to think just a hair deeper than the surface can easily find that such a position is rather ridiculous and infantile!

How about this, let's all advocate for "Buying smart!" - purchase goods that provide the best value to you as you see fit - take into account your values of price, quality, and whatever else might be pertinent.

and please stop with this disguised bigotry which manifests through fear and so-called 'national pride' - it ain't a case of 'us' vs 'them', both groups can benefit from trade.
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LeftCoastEng
Obsessed with failed trade
02:19 AM on 07/18/2011
Both sides don't benefit from current trade policies. Do you homework before resorting to name calling!
11:32 AM on 07/17/2011
Bush / Obama tax cut. Bush / Obama wars. Bush / Obama TARP. Bush / Obama unemployment. Bush / Obama debt. Now its Bush / Obama free trade. I dare anybody who voted for Obama in 2008 to point out any change from the last administration.
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12:23 PM on 07/17/2011
Obama 2008 - "Change we can believe in". "Yes, We Can".......... all bs.
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timm0
I'm not top 0.01% - so it must be because I'm lazy
06:59 PM on 07/17/2011
I voted for him in 2008. There has been almost no change at all. Although I won't vote for him again, I surely won't vote for any of the republicans out there.

There is a large number of folks who have worked extraordinarily hard to delude themselves into thinking that Obama isn't only making awesome change, but he's one of the best presidents we've ever had. And that is really depressing. Because with so many enablers, there is not going to be any motivation for the administration to shift away from republican policy.
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Fred Scarran
05:47 AM on 07/18/2011
"I voted for him in 2008. There has been almost no change at all. Although I won't vote for him again, I surely won't vote for any of the republican­s out there. "

That's OK I left that part blank last election too, including national Congress and one Senate seat.
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John Galt2
My life is my own...
11:18 AM on 07/17/2011
International borders are meaningless when it comes to trade.

I should be free to buy from whomever I care to at whatever price we can agree upon.

I should be free to sell to whomever I care to at whatever price we can agree upon.

All the rest (trade agreements, protective tariffs, content mandates, usage requirements) are simply protection for politically connected producers (domestic manufacturers, UAW, Steelworkers Union, agricultural producers, etc), all ultimately paid for by the consuming public.
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12:43 PM on 07/17/2011
exactly!
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cyclone70
When one facepalm isn't enough
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John Galt2
My life is my own...
02:46 PM on 07/17/2011
You'll pardon me if I roll my eyes and chuckle. Mr Fletcher is one of those folks who might be an expert in whatever his background is, but he's clearly out of his element in economics and in the workings of the Constitution. Expertise in area "A" does not mean an automatic expertise in area "B".

Suffice it to say - it is clearly morally wrong for a government to tell its citizens how they can spend their money. Effectively, you are assuming your use of my cash takes precedent over mine - on what basis?

Equal protection under the law (14th amendment) means effectively that government must strive to be an impartial umpire in regards to its dealing with the citizenry.

Now, let's look at a concrete example - the US levies a tariff on sugar imports, which raises the cost to US consumers/users of sugar 1/3 over world market prices.

This protective tariff provides untold revenue streams to a handful of US producers, for no other reason than that they have the political connections to make it so.

So my question to you and the Mr Fletchers of the world - why is it fair that hundreds of millions of US citizens pay higher than world market prices for sugar simply to benefit a handful of US producers? How is that equal protection under the law.

Aren't they "swinging their fists" right into my pocket & taking my money?