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Janet Ritz

Janet Ritz

Posted: May 4, 2008 04:23 PM

The Gas Tax 'Holiday' Shell Game

What's Your Reaction:

Senators Hillary Clinton and John McCain have challenged Senator Barack Obama over his refusal to support their proposal that would suspend the .18 Federal gas tax for three months this summer.

The problem?

A near-unanimous chorus of protests from experts, economists and environmentalists, all of whom support Senator Obama's position that the 'holiday' would net less than thirty cents a day for consumers -- if there is any net at all -- since, historically, oil companies have absorbed the savings without passing them on, while the loss of revenue from the tax would reduce the transportation infrastructure trust fund that is the source of income for thousands of American workers and the safety net for our highways and bridges that are currently crumbling.

Environmentalists have added that it would likely lead to more gasoline usage as at time when we need to reduce our carbon footprint due to the impact of climate change.

The 'expert' in support of Senators Clinton and McCain in this scenario so far?

Spokesman for the Clinton campaign and SHELL OIL LOBBYIST, Steve Elmendorf.

To which, Senator Obama responded:

"In a moment of candor, her advisers actually admitted that it wouldn't have much of an effect on gas prices. But, they said, it's a great political issue for Senator Clinton. So this is not about getting you through the summer, it's about getting elected," Obama argued. "This is what passes for leadership in Washington, phony ideas, calculated to win elections instead of actually solving problems."

The environmental organization, Friends of the Earth, has endorsed Senator Obama, citing the gas tax issue as false and lauding the Illinois Senator for standing up to political pressure to tell the truth about it. Newspapers across the country have also weighed in with their criticism, including this quote by one of Senator Clinton's own supporters:

"I was appalled by Hillary going with the gas tax," said Alice M. Rivlin, a budget director under former President Bill Clinton who supports Mrs. Clinton for the nomination. It "looked like pandering," Mrs. Rivlin said. An open letter signed recently by more than 100 economists said the proposed tax holiday would do little to reduce gas prices. In part, that is because a fall in prices would lead to more demand, which would cause prices to return to their earlier level. The result would be that overseas oil-producing governments would get money now flowing to the United States government in gas taxes.

What is also being lost in this pandering: the fact that this idea was first floated by John McCain and then picked up by Senator Clinton as a way to differentiate from Senator Obama.

It does differentiate. It was cited as the reason for the Friends of the Earth's endorsement and one of the tipping points that motivated super-delegate and former DNC Chairman, Joe Andrew, to change his allegiance from Senator Clinton to Senator Obama.

Andrew said the Obama campaign never asked him to switch his support. [...] He said Obama took the principled stand in opposing a summer gas tax holiday that both Clinton and McCain supported, even though it would have been easier politically to back it.

Nearly every expert, with the exception of a Shell Oil lobbyist, concurs: the 'Gas Tax Holiday' would be a windfall for the oil companies and offer the consumer little or nothing beyond a political advantage for Senators Clinton and McCain, which would be a win for politics as usual that, as usual, would provide next to nothing for the voter in the process.

It is a shell game.

More on this topic at THE ENVIRONMENTALIST

 

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04:07 PM on 05/05/2008
The FACT is that Obama and all his advisors and the elite economists are the ones who are profiting from the speculation, and they will take a financial bath if Clinton does what she says she will do. She wants to stop taking oil OFF the market as Bush is doing now and putting into the SPR. I am also pissed off at all the pundits and people who make lots of money who can care LESS about how much THEY have to pay for gas. They are more than willing to restrict gas to the masses so that THEY can drive as much as they want. They can care less about the rest of the country who live in places that NEED to use lots of fuel to go anywhere. It also condemns truckers and airlines to suffer. The gas tax holiday will yield thousands of dollars to them.

The stupid idea that the gas companies will simply hike prices would ONLY be true in a free market IF gas supplies were short. At present gas inventories are near record levels for the last few years. Refineries are running at slightly over 80%, and Valero has cancelled expansion plans because of this. Why do Obama supporters not cite FACTS? Instead of stupid uninformed opinions.
03:50 PM on 05/05/2008
It is too bad that Obama agrees with Bush and LIES along with him. Gas demand has NOT increased, but over the last months have DECREASED 4%, and is slightly decreasing these next months. I am disappointed that Obama supporters refuse to look at facts and simply take things on faith. The fact is that world demand has only increased 2% and the supply has increased 2.5% with supplies projected to increase to 4% over the third quarter.

It is also a lie that the Trust Fund will be denied any money under Clinton's plan since she proposes replacing the loss with a tax on oil companies profits. It is also a lie that there is any money in the Trust Fund since there is NO MONEY in it at all now. It is a paper fund as are ALL such trust funds except SS. If there is no money for roads, it will only be because Congress will not allocate the money for it. Any intelligent person knows that as does Obama, because this has been the case since 1967.

Go to Star-Telegram.com/ed_wallace to see the FACTS and look at Thank You Bubble Boys which details how the speculators are the ones driving up the price.
08:38 AM on 05/05/2008
My favorite part is how some people actually think gas will drop by 18.4 cents per gallon. Somehow they have faith that the oil companies will pass the savings on to us instead of just making extra profits. Oh prices might drop for a couple of days and then they'll just go right back up. "Supply problems".
06:42 PM on 05/04/2008
This gas tax holiday, like many other political schemes to gain support, is simply a short-time "solution" to a long-term problem. America, and especially her politicians, has been far too eager to push its problems to a later time while allowing them to fester like ignored sores which have the possibility to develop into crippling societal blight. We've been irresponsible to ourselves, to our children, and to our planet. This gas tax holiday, even seen in the best light, will postpone future economic, environmental, and foreign affairs woes and do little to alleviate the problem. I've been a fiscal conservative my entire life and it pains me to see the current Republicans (and Hillary) giving up financial responsibility in return for cheap, deceptive political ploys as a means to win over voters. I'm glad my candidate of choice, Sen. Obama, refuses to engage in such balderdash.
06:38 PM on 05/04/2008
They will all find some way to support it, by trashing Obama, not by pointing out the positives in Hillary's approach ,which are scant. They support attacking amd killing in the war in Iraq, because, she voted for it and so, it is now OK to fluff it off dead American lives, but now shethinks her vote was not so great although she has not said it was a horrible mistake it was. There are 4050 or so dead Americans, but not to worry, these supporters are willing to support her vote for the war, and the lies of a candidate--the incessant lies, over and over. Imagine supporting a candidate who lied four times in speeches that she dodged snipe fire in Bosnia. Imagine supporting a candidate who claimed she was influential in the Ireland peace process, when it has been proven that all she did was attend to the normal duties of a first lady and visited women who presented her with a tea pot. Imagine trying to support that. It is really embarrassing I guess for them, but nevertheless in the true Clinton tradition, they will ignore all the lies and the deaths in Iraq for--------something. I cannot figureout what, but surely there must be a lucrative reward somewhere in that support.

I conclude they thought they would get a real nice job somewhere in the Clinton administration when they jumped in headlong at the beginning of her campaigh when it was "certain" she would win.
06:37 PM on 05/04/2008
Where is Krugman?

He has been smearing Obama on multitudes of issues that he has no authority of. Now, where is Mr Krugman the economist on this issue of gas tax? If he is a genuine arbiter on the issues why is he not coming out like the other economists and call this gimmick what it is? Or is he quiet because he is not supposed to criticize Hillary no matter what?
07:45 PM on 05/04/2008
He came out against the gas tax last week... He went strong against McCain, and only lightly against Clinton, because her "plan" taxes oil company profits to pay for the "holiday". He was grudgingly nice to Obama, but said that the gas tax wasn't that big a deal...
06:07 PM on 05/04/2008
I am a woman of a 'certain age,' who contributed to Hillary.
I'm done.

Pandering for votes by suggesting a 30 cents/day holiday gas tax = cheap political trick.
Threatening to 'obliterate" Iran = a dangerous political trick.
Engaging in a 'scorched earth' policy with no regard for the Democratic Party or the plight of millions of Americans who need a real change in Washington this November...not 4 years from now when she might run again after attempting to sink the last Democratic candidate's chances....

I'm done, done, done. With the Clintons-the lot of them.

I not only vote; I am the President of one of the largest Democratic Clubs (over 1,000 members) in the country. I register voters. I talk with voters. I have a very large family throughout the country.
I am donating to Barack Obama and will work like the dickens for him...and for all of us.

Thank you, Hillary for making it easy to dump you.
11:37 PM on 05/04/2008
Thank you. Few adherents realize how difficult such a realization and transition can be. I admire you for it.
08:02 AM on 05/05/2008
Thank you rpk...I hope you ARE really what you say... I too had to let Hilary go.(albeit..many many months ago)...

Now..I hate the idea..but NIXON of all people...lowered the speed limit. I live in Los Angeles..and would HATE..55MPH...but come On..we are in a crisis...instead of a "tax" holiday..how about just fricking slowing down? we are such babies...don't want to sacrifice..just want that quick fix...

55MPH...would more than compensate for NOT getting our little holiday from the gas tax..and lord knows...the tickets that would come...could help with state budget deficits...
05:18 PM on 05/04/2008
As I said before, your country has to learn to live within its means. That also includes raising taxes. Friedman says some of this: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/04/opinion/04friedman.html?_r=1&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&oref=slogin
04:51 PM on 05/04/2008
I am waiting for Taylor Marsh,Earl Ofari Hutchison,Lanny Davis and the rest of Hillary's supporters to write about their support of this foolish idea and how Hillary is right and everyone else is wrong.I will be waiting a long time I guess.
11:31 PM on 05/04/2008
at this point i dont think it really matters what the gas tax thing will do.. Hillary is showing that she would like to take steps to help out people our current economy situation, My aunt has not used her car in 3 weeks now because she cant afford to put gas in it. Americans need relief and they need it now, They dont want to hear about what life will be like for their grandkids 30 years from now. People are in hard times and they are looking for someone who has Solutions not talk.
12:11 AM on 05/05/2008
You ended your comment with "People are in hard times and they are looking for someone who has Solutions not talk" . But start by saying: "at this point i dont think it really matters what the gas tax thing will do".
So...solutions are important but it doesn't matter what this "solution" will do? Why bring it up in the first place? Wouldn't that be just "talk"? -Come on.
Will 18 cents a galon (assuming oil companies don't jack up prices) allow your aunt to finaly drive her car?
You can stil support Senator Clinton without having to agree on everything. Have a little common sense, Obama is right on this one.
01:26 AM on 05/05/2008
You mean for their kids NO years from now. But that same "don't care about the future, let the people living then figure it out" logic is the same reason were where we are right now. The gas tax will save you a whole TANK of gas in a month. Then the prices will shoot back up even worse and the Big oil companies will profit off of it the WHOLE time. What's worse is that this is a consensus and everyone agrees that this idea is trash, but Hillary is defending it because people are actually voting for her BECAUSE she is a person who will never admit a mistake. This will not help her constituency at all. She just knows that Hillary supporters are in her pocket no matter what because they are just that: Hillary supporters. NOT democrats. This is the reason she doesn't have a problem being a Neo-conservative panderer.
04:46 PM on 05/04/2008
Senator Clinton is being quoted as saying today "I'm not going to put my lot in with economists,".
This is extremely disappointing, and seems to be veering towards a Bush-ian view of the world - ignore the facts and the experts - we make our own reality.
When we started this race we had two great candidates - I wonder if that is still true?
Alin
06:53 PM on 05/04/2008
It never was true--we just hadn't had the opportunity to see enough of Senator Clinton to know it. Thank God that Senator Obama was able to hold her in check on Super Tuesday; otherwise, we wouldn't have seen her for who she really is until the general.