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Janet Tavakoli

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Credit Derivatives and Leverage Sank Jon Corzine's MF Global

Posted: 11/04/11 08:14 AM ET

MF Global imploded this week due to proprietary "repo-to-maturity" transactions that are in substance total return swaps, a type of credit derivative. MF Global failed to meet margin calls on credit derivatives linked to risky fixed income debt. Regulators haven't learned much from American International Group's (AIG) and Long Term Capital Management's (LTCM) debacles. Like the "repo-to-maturity" transaction, a total return swap is an off balance sheet transaction treated as a sale, but the total return receiver, MF Global, is long both the price and credit default risk of the reference assets. The total return payer, not MF Global, is technically the legal owner of the reference assets. The attraction of this arrangement is financing and leverage. Naturally, ratings downgrades will trigger increased margin calls. This is all business as (un)usual.

MF Global Admitted "Diverting" Money from Segregated Accounts

What isn't usual is diverting money from segregated customer accounts. It's too late to blame "sloppiness, bookkeeping, or accounting," MF Global admitted it "diverted" money from customers' segregated accounts.

The fact that MF Global was exposed to default risk and liquidity risk because of its "repo-to-maturity" transactions and that the risk was linked to European sovereign debt was disclosed in MF Global's 10K for the year ending March 31, 2011, a required financial statement filed with the SEC. The CFTC and other regulators had the information right under their noses, but it appears they didn't understand that they were looking at a leveraged credit derivative transaction that could lead to margin calls that MF Global would be unable to meet.

Even if all the money can eventually be recovered, it doesn't change the fact the MF Global took impermissible steps.

Liar's Poker

Here's a crazy but true side note. Michael Stockman, the chief risk officer of MF Global (as of January 2011), was in our Liar's Poker training class lampooned by another classmate, Michael Lewis.

More Liar's Poker

Last week when customers asked for excess cash from their accounts, MF Global stalled. According to a commodity fund manager I spoke with, MF Global's first stall tactic was to claim it lost wire transfer instructions. Then instead of sending an overnight check, it sent the money snail mail, including checks for hundreds of thousands of dollars. The checks bounced. After the checks bounced, the amounts were still debited from customer accounts and no one at MF Global could or would reverse the check entries. The manager has had to intervene to get MF Global to correct this.

Rogue Trader and Questionable Risk Management

Gary Gensler, Jon Corzine's former Goldman Sachs colleague and current head of the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), had reason to be concerned about MF Global's risk management. In early 2008, a rogue trader racked up $141.5 million in losses in unauthorized trades that exceeded his trading limits. It seems he accomplished this in under seven hours. In August of this year, MF Global and the underwriters of its 2007 initial public stock offering (IPO) paid around $90 million to settle claims by investors that they were misled about MF Global's risk management prior to the rogue trader's actions. Since 2008, MF Global's financial condition has been nothing to brag about.

CFTC's Unprecedented Failure to Move Customers' Assets Before FCM's Bankruptcy

The exchange-traded futures markets have been shaken to the core. The Bankruptcy Code apparently conflicts with the Commodity Exchange Act, so customers of MF Global have less protection than they otherwise might have had. In the past, the exchanges and CFTC "always" moved customer positions before a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) declared bankruptcy. The CFTC had ample reason to have contingency plans for MF Global based on publicly available information. Yet the Gensler-led CFTC hasn't followed this historical precedent when an FCM led by his former Goldman colleague teetered on the edge of bankruptcy.

Afternote: The "repo-to-maturity" transaction which was treated as a sale is indeed in substance a total return swap, contrary to what damage control spin-doctors may say. The "repo-to-maturity" label is simply a wolf in sheep's clothing. Total return swaps (and the transactions labeled "repo-to-maturity") are also a credit derivative. MF Global itself disclosed the fact it sought sale treatment for this "repo" transaction while retaining the price and default risk. Regulators seemed at a loss as to how to interpret the substance versus the form. For more on credit derivatives and total return swaps, see also either the first or second editions of my book (Wiley 1998, 2001): Credit Derivatives & Synthetic Structures: A Guide to Instruments and Applications.

 
 
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
02:43 AM on 11/07/2011
According to FT, the fact is the strategy was good and what caused the problem is "skittish counterparties". Who are they and why did they suddenly get skittish? The whole thing to me smells suspicious, as in margin calls of 2008 that took down Bear and then Lehman Bros.
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
03:39 AM on 11/07/2011
Bruce Kastings writes: The history is relevant as it is more evidence that Corzine and MF management HAD to know that commingling was the ultimate no-no. It was part of their history. My guess is that the missing cash was grabbed by one (or more) of the big players in the global bond market. MF did not sign off on the cash grab. The banks moved on them and their customer accounts. MF had no say in the matter. Given Corzine’s relationship with Goldman I put them high on the list of probable plug pulling bankers. Nomura was a place to go to finance AAA sovereign positions. One of the French or German banks could have been the warehouse for MF’s sovereign exposure. It wouldn’t surprise me if any one of them pulled the plug on the leveraged bets. It should be noted that all of the big players talk when they are moving on collateral and closing relationships with financial firms.When the SHTF, they act as one. Leveraging of “liquid” assets is a critical component of the global system. The repo markets are already under serious attack. The MF story could take us to a new level. The absolute craz-iest outcome would be that we learn that it was Goldman who closed the books and seized the cash last Friday (someone did). http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/11/the-mf-global-story-more-bizarre-by-the-minute/
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PhilipTaylor
Legalized Bribery is an Oxymoron - must END
08:00 PM on 11/07/2011
Same criminals again and again. BoomBoomBust said to short G0LDMAN and they listen to Chris Whalen. See lead article: Is The Entire Global Banking Industry Carrying Naked, Unhedged "Risk Free" Sovereign Debt Yielding 100-200%? Quick Answer: Probably
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
03:49 AM on 11/07/2011
Bruce Kastings seems to agree with me. And the question is, as always, "cui bono"? http://www­.ritholtz.­com/blog/2­011/11/the­-mf-global­-story-mor­e-bizarre-­by-the-min­ute/
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
02:08 AM on 11/07/2011
All of which begs the question(s): Where was the CFTC and why has Gensler recused himself from the investigation?
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
03:49 AM on 11/07/2011
G O L D M A N
12:46 AM on 11/07/2011
"repo-to-maturity"

"total return swap"

Added to collateralized debt obligations (CDO's), credit default swaps, tranches, etc........
all that sh--t makes my head hurt.

Who can understand never mind keep up with all that stuff?

No wonder we (ordinary people never mind governments) were ripped off.

If you can NOT understand it, you should NOT be messing with it.
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spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
12:32 PM on 11/22/2011
What is clear is that these financial tricksters have made and lost fortunes of billion of dollars by cheating and conniving. There are no other words for this sort of nonsense.
02:56 PM on 11/05/2011
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/cme-issues-clarification-margins-usher-more-risk-less-liquidity-mf-aftermath

CME Issues Clarification On Margins: To Usher More Risk, Less Liquidity In MF Aftermath

Judging by the broad response, our initial reaction is what a prudent, logical human being would assume: after all, it is precisely the undercollateralization of customer accounts, and general underfunding at MF Global that is what brought that particular company down. Well, we wrong wrong. The CME, it appears has taken a page right out of the European playbook, and less than a week after an exchange-cum-Primary Dealer collapsed due to excessive risk taking, the CME has followed up its vague press release from yesterday by inviting even more risk in lowering the initial margin. Why is this a cause for even greater concern? As the CME itself says, "Initial margins are set to provide an additional buffer against future losses in the account" - so going forward that buffer has been reduced by about 30%. But what is the reasoning provided by CME: "The intent and effect of these changes is to decrease the size of any margin calls resulting from the bulk transfer of MF Global customers to new clearing members, not to increase them."
10:31 AM on 11/05/2011
Here's a ripple:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/cme-goes-margin-defcon-1-makes-maintenance-margin-equal-initial-everything

CME Goes To Collateral DefCon 1: Makes Maintenance Margin Equal To Initial For... Everything!?

It is critical, because not only is this announcement a direct consequence of what happened with MF Global several days ago, but because also it confirms one of our biggest concerns: systemic liquidity is non-existanet.

We confirmed interbank liquidity in Europe was at an all time low earlier today, and can only assume the same is true for US banks. But what is very disturbing is that this is just as true at the exchange level, where it appears the aftermath of the MF collapse is just now being felt.

What exactly was the announcement. Unless we are completely reading it incorrectly, it is nothing short of a margin call for tens if not hundreds of billions worth of product. Because as of close of business on November 4, today, the CME just made the maintenance margin, traditionally about 26% lower than the initial margin for specs, equal. For everything.

Which means that by close of business Monday, millions of options and futures holders will be forced to deposit billions in additional capital to the CME just so they are not found to be margin deficient, and thus receive a margin call.
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12:54 AM on 11/05/2011
Private profit, public loses, same old s--- from the financial make believe money sectors and nobody goes to jail.
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Aesops
Appearances often are deceiving
09:40 PM on 11/04/2011
This is the danger of a daisy chain financial system that doesn't include any tangible equity. People are all over Corzine for taking too much "risk", but what is "risk"? Is it only when you make a bet and lose? Everyone is taking the same risk, and as each loser falls he is being castigated by the rest. All of these firms rely upon the kindness of strangers and any of them could be trashed tomorrow with an ill-timed margin call from counterparty.

They don't understand their risk, because in order to elucidate the amount of risk they are taking clearly at this level of complex leverage would require near perfect psychic foresight, which none of them will ever have. Further, why should they care about risk at all, when they have no skin in the game? They're not partners with equity, they play with shareholders money and extract payment. If they made a law that they all had to have 100% of their own money in the funds, and had to be the last man out, then risk taking would moderate.

"Something for nothing, it never loses its charm."

-Michael Lewis,
Liars Poker
03:44 AM on 11/06/2011
http://www.oftwominds.com/blognov11/collapse-of-corrupt11-11.html

The Collapse of Our Corrupt, Predatory, Pathological Financial System Is Necessary and Positive

We are being throttled by the Big Lie: we're told that if the predatory financial system implodes, we'll all be ruined. The opposite is true: the only way to save our economy is to let the corrupt, pathological and flawed financial system implode.

I was recently challenged by a contributor to write something positive, and so I decided to write about the single most positive outcome of the current financial crisis in Europe: the complete collapse of the corrupt, predatory, pathological global banking sector and its dealers, the central banks. Exploring why this is so reveals the insurmountable internal conflicts in our current financial system, and also illuminates the systemic political propaganda which is deployed daily to prop up a parasitic, corrupting, pathologically destructive financial system.

Our first stop is modern finance itself. Modern financial "products" and "instruments" are often highly complex and abstract, but the entire edifice can be distilled down to this: the system is based on the assumption that all risk can be hedged, and the difference between the initial position's yield/gain (i..e. placement of capital at risk for a gain) and the cost of hedging the risk of the wager to zero can be skimmed from the system risk-free.
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Aesops
Appearances often are deceiving
07:16 PM on 11/06/2011
That last sentence says it all. The assumption that there is a risk-less premium in a closed financial system, when in fact it is just an indirect risk that is being misunderstood.
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jwmellott
08:42 PM on 11/04/2011
That greedy Republican.......
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
01:59 PM on 11/04/2011
we are all hamsters on neocon, SuperMob, "financially engineered" wheels...

"“Make no mistake: fraud is a business model,” said Janet Tavakoli"

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/janet-tavakoli/fraud-as-a-business-model_b_950806.html

ALL of their smoke and mirrors do nothing for our country except extract and redistribute ALL of the wealth to the top 1%!

They are FINANCIAL TERRORISTS and should receive one way tickets to bernie's cell.

12/12/10

"The men share a common goal: to protect the interests of big banks in the vast market for derivatives, one of the most profitable — and controversial — fields in finance. They also share a common secret: The details of their meetings, even their identities, have been strictly confidential.

Drawn from giants like JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the bankers form a powerful committee that helps oversee trading in derivatives, instruments which, like insurance, are used to hedge risk.

In theory, this group exists to safeguard the integrity of the multitrillion-dollar market. In practice, it also defends the dominance of the big banks.

The banks in this group, which is affiliated with a new derivatives clearinghouse, have fought to block other banks from entering the market, and they are also trying to thwart efforts to make full information on prices and fees freely available."

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/12/business/12advantage.html?_r=1&src=busln&pagewanted=all

derivatives hit $700 TRILLION per the graphic in the article
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
02:16 AM on 11/07/2011
That new clearinghouse is ICE.
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mrclark
I search for the America I believed in as a boy.
12:09 PM on 11/04/2011
Any which way you wish to look at it these type of derivatives are not good for our economy. If we had any sense CDO's would be banned as they do not own the underlying asset in most cases and are in effect gambling. This type of behavior is what sank our economy in 2007, and left unaddressed will sink it again.
11:55 AM on 11/04/2011
What is probably more newsworthy, and should be included in your article is the fact that there is a multi-trillion dollar obligation by the US Govt. to guarantee certain collateralized debt obligations. We, the American people,should be kept informed on when these CDO's mature and are redeeemed or written off, at the expense of the taxpayer.
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
02:16 AM on 11/07/2011
It's almost as if the plan is to deliberately wreck the economy. Oh, wait, remove "almost".
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PhilipB
11:23 AM on 11/04/2011
Hi Janet Tavakoli,
I hope you read the comments in response to your article because...while this may be a valuable insight to those in the industry, familiar with these terms, I would suggest that a second piece could be written by you for those who are not up to speed on what these things mean but would like to become informed. Many of these terms are new, and seemingly incomprehensible to many. Perhaps a definition of some of the terms, and then a clear account what occurred, who you think in your opinion should be held accountable, and what in your opinion are the risks still out there in a wider context, and how this can be remedied.
Best regards,
10:49 AM on 11/04/2011
Just to be clear, MF Global took on risk positions independent of the total return swaps. They funded them and got leverage on them via the total return swaps. While the positions themselves would be held by the total return swap provider as collateral, all of the economic risks of ownership stay with MF Global.
10:35 AM on 11/04/2011
I fancy myself as a somewhat informed investor and I did not follow much of what you wrote.
01:01 PM on 11/04/2011
It helps if you read the Wiki article on total return swaps. She assumes you understand how these basic derivatives work, which I don't and most people don't.

I'll be sticking to puts and calls, thank you.
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
02:35 AM on 11/07/2011
Read Financial Times on this instead.
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
10:14 AM on 11/04/2011
Greek bonds default sank MF Global, as a US default would likely sink Ms Tavakoli.