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Jared Bernstein

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A Holiday Message

Posted: 12/25/11 08:50 PM ET

We may be at an interesting inflection point.

- Large majorities have had it with Congressional dysfunctionality.

- Influential Republicans like Mitch McConnell are recognizing the above and view it as a threat to their party.

- Reasonable conservative voices are writing smart pieces that seem to be reaching for hybrid positions on social and economic issues. See here and here, for example.

- The latest debacle -- the fight to extend unemployment insurance and the payroll tax cut -- appears to have demonstrably hurt the Republicans and helped the Democrats (especially the president), and one might expect that ensuing fights will redound similarly, i.e., the public appears to be internalizing the meme that the Democrats are fighting for the middle class while the Republicans are fighting for the rich. Politically, this is a dangerous possibility for Republicans, especially in an election year.

Don't get me wrong -- I'm not suggesting a Kumbaya moment is in the offing. There are still irresistible forces in play here; the Tea Party members of Congress are, I suspect, if anything, even more pissed off and ready to wreak more havoc when they get back. A wounded tiger is a dangerous tiger.

The Republican candidates are also busy fanning these flames.

But these forces of negativity can only breathe if they have the oxygen of public and media support. If they become widely viewed as a small, angry minority selfishly blocking the rest of us from the pragmatic approach to meeting the challenges we all face, they will become increasingly ignored and irrelevant.

Kind of like what Bob Dylan was talking about here.

We thus may look back at this moment as one when the hyper-partisanship undermining our democracy began to crack. Or not. Either way, you can read about it here on my blog.

Happy Christmas and Seasonally Adjusted Greetings!

This post originally appeared at Jared Bernstein's On The Economy blog.

 
 
 
 
 
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11:19 PM on 12/26/2011
No matter who wins the fray or election in 2012, Republican or Democrat, the government remains doomed... Neither party can fix this entire mess we are in... But God's kingdom or heavenly government can .... and will!! That's a promise you can believe in (Daniel 2:44; Psalms 37:10, 11).
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humanbeing-rick
Born in the USA 1947
01:25 PM on 12/26/2011
Americans have had a history of strong individualism and creativity, however that is no longer the case with this bunch of pledge signing politically correct zombies, who all walk & talk in lockstep with each other. I would like to see more old fashioned individualism, and standing up for one's own principles, rather than becoming assimilated by the borg.
We need less Grover Norquist pledges and more American patriotism to keep our country strong and healthy.
01:25 PM on 12/26/2011
Wow, 2 whole month extension. You'd have think they cured cancer the way the crowing around here is going.

Why don't you crow a little more when it is extended longer. Oh yea, it won't be because of your over the top politicization and celebration.

If this were the NFL, you would definitely have drawn a 15 yard penalty!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Rodney Thorn
If you can read this, thank a teacher.
01:21 PM on 12/26/2011
"Large majorities have had it with Congressional dysfunctionality. Influential Republicans like Mitch McConnell are recognizing the above and view it as a threat to their party." (article above)

Absolutely true. For me, if the Republicans continue any longer on their purely obstructionist path, the party deserves to die. It's that simple. End of story.
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BarryWolk
99% OF THE REPUBLICANS MAKE THE REST LOOK BAD
01:12 PM on 12/26/2011
Mcconnell finally recognizes that the repubs are in trouble??

Well, GOLL-Y!! He was the one who SINGLE-HANDEDLY started ALL of this congressional BS w/his declaration that the re'Thug'licans #1priority is to prevent our 1st black President from succeeding AT ALL COSTS!

And it was HIS obstruction of EVERY SINGLE THING that Obama proposed that turned 9 out of every 10 Americans against congress.

I can tell you from my personal experience of communicating w/regular Americans of all political views that this distrust of congress runs to THE BONE!

OCCUPY CONGRESS!! NEVER vote republican AGAIN!!
01:03 PM on 12/26/2011
"...these forces of negativity can only breathe if they have the oxygen of public and media support." I don't know about the public support, but you can be 100% certain that they'll get all the media support they need from Mainstream Conservative Media behemoth Fox News, whose mission has crystallized into uncritical 24x7 support of hyper-conservative candidates and policies, no matter how extreme they become. And a good portion of that time is devoted to relentless criticism of the president, and the pounding home of the message that America is seeing its worst times and is hopelessly off-track. Sure, that gets lots of lockstep conservatives pissed off and keeps them pissed off and griping, but the rest of us that still have a grip on reality see it for what it is - silly, manufactured, manipulative desperation.
01:18 PM on 12/26/2011
Wow, you are so against mega media thought control, where is your indignation at the NY Times which runs its editorials unabashedly (and unintelligently) on the front page? Oh yea, they are so fail you can't consider them mega media anymore.

Many on this site confuse the chicken and the egg. Fox is big because that is how people think, not the other way around. Sorry about that!
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Independent66
www.linkedin.com/in/harveyring
12:27 PM on 12/26/2011
So you are in favor of defunding SS? That is what our dear politicians are doing. Before they declared this tax holiday, SS from the FICA tax was funding the cash outflow to SS recipients with no extra borrowing. Now the Feds will need to borrow that money from the market of T Bill buyers. The numbers in the national debt will not change, but there will be more external debt vs internal debt. Eventually we will not find the vast sums of money to borrow at any price and we will then look like Greece. I think 10 years at this rate will get us there. If you think the demonstrations in Wisconsin were bad, wait until the Fed must do the same kind of things. Of course we will see CA, IL and NY and several other states get there first.
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12:11 PM on 12/26/2011
"But these forces of negativity can only breathe if they have the oxygen of public and media support" Very true. So, would monolithic corporate control of MSM survive a resurrection of Sherman Anti-Trust and a rejection of Corporate Personhood? I don't get the problem with the Corporate Personhood BS anyway. Just because you are person doesn't get you the right to vote or lobby our politicians. (U.S., Russian, Chinese, etc. "persons" can't UNLESS THEY ARE U.S. CITIZENS! Corporations are definitely not citizens (yet).
01:20 PM on 12/26/2011
Are people here serious!? Do you consider MSNBC and CNN, two of the main news sources, in the bag for the right!? Seriously, or the NY Times!?

I think rather the left is upset because MSM is only 90% behind the democrats and left wing candidates. Amazing with that support that the Dems are still poised to lose. I guess the truth wins out!
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blueshield
12:08 PM on 12/26/2011
I have to agree with many posters here. The shift - such as it is - in public sentiment has nothing to do with Congressional wrangling, and everything to do with the Occupy movement, which cast a harsh light on both parties. Dems may claim to represent the middle class, but it's more of a cheerleading section for the 99% than any real leadership. In practice, they're still drifting right on key issues AGAINST majority public opinion: poll after poll, beginning with the Wall Street Journal no less, in April, has shown a solid 70 to 80% public approval for tax increases, starting at the top.

Hyper partisanship is not necessarily a bad thing. It does provide - as you point out - a clearer view of where the lines are drawn, and who stands for who on issues.

Public opinion polls about Congress show one thing: both parties are worshipping too much at the altar of the far right for the comfort of the vast majority of Americans.
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jlmurt
11:56 AM on 12/26/2011
What about the dirty pipe line? I hope the exposure of the G-ardians O-f P-rivilege, like the rise of Gingrinch, doesn't peak to soon.

God bless protestors, whistle blowers and bringers of light.
Happy Solstice and Merry "Christ"mas
and the end of the long night
11:46 AM on 12/26/2011
GOOD MORNING!!! MY FELLOW HOMO SAPIENS WHICH MEANS THE SPECIES WHO IS WISE.
AWARDS OF THE YEAR:
"The Mother Earth Award of the Year" goes to all those organizations, groups and individuals who are dedicated to protecting and preserving the earth's web of life.
******************************************************************************************************************
The American people when they realized they had no say in what their government does or doesn't do created the 99% Occupy Movement and richly deserves "The Patriots of the Year Award."
****************************************************************************************************************
The U.S. Congress earned "The Nero Fiddled While Rome Burned Award of the Year."
11:43 AM on 12/26/2011
Hyper-partisanship? When the NDAA which authorizes indefinite detention of American citizens on American soil without charges or due process passed the Senate 93-7, was that an example of the hyper-partisanship you're talking about?
Wib
Liberal former Marine who loves fly fishing and is
11:43 AM on 12/26/2011
These moments seem to come rather regularly in American history, particularly when we face extreme economic hard times due to greed. Unfortunately for the Republicans, they aree fanning the flames of greed and any action by their Tea Party wing that blocks Congress will turn the flames burning the city of extreme regressivism into a fire storm. It may take that to pub this nation back on the right track. Progressivism is the steadiest course this nation has followed since its founding. Just look at the action that gave us 16th seciton land to support public edutiaon. That was actually is foundation and the clarion call that made public education a goal in this nation. This was followed by the end of slavery, the expansion of the right to vote, the social network that is the underpinning of hte middle class, the graduated income tax system that is so under fire and must be saved to ensure that those who benefit most pay the most in support fo the system that enabled them to get where they are and which offers promise to others that they can get there also. True conservatism is like a sea anchor to keep the heading of the ship going in the right direction. When the gale turns and the sea anchor sinks, it threatens to sink the ship and must be cut free and another one deployed when needed. That is what appears to have happened now.
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jlmurt
12:08 PM on 12/26/2011
Thanks for that.

Paridigm Shift?

Commom human spirit communing with the help of the internet?

Gutenburg 2.0 ?
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Caniculus
Anything about that seem unusual to you?
11:41 AM on 12/26/2011
Mr. Bernstein, your optimism is wishful thinking. If there is an inflection point in recent political events, it is that the Democrats have become even more similar to Republicans. The red shift in Democratic politics is now so complete that, instead of the traditional blue, Democrats should use purple.

The Democratic Party and President Obama are firmly center right, and the liberal and progressive wing of the Party is now so small it could be drowned in Grover Norquist's bathtub. If there is anything ahead that looks remotely like bipartisanship, it will be the result of Democrats becoming even more Republican.

A little embarrassment over a really minor political loss will not change Republicans any more than a 2-month extension of a middle-class tax cut -- woo hoo! -- proves that Democrats are surging.

The only thing that's going to change this system is to to get corporate money out of politics.
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jlmurt
12:02 PM on 12/26/2011
Well, shoot! It's not the only thing.
CactusTom
My New Novel
11:35 AM on 12/26/2011
From the Arab world to America's shores, folks are rising up against exploitation of all sorts. In this country citizens are coming to the realization that weakly regulated capitalism is no less rotten and corrupt than dictatorial communism.

If the Republicans are so foolish as to nominate a kook such as Gingrich or the poster boy for the one percent (Mitt Romney), whose core principles wash out to mean that corporations must be free to exploit the mass at will, then it's the GOP's funeral.
01:23 PM on 12/26/2011
Proud of those guys in Egypt running over Christains with tanks in the street?

If Jefferson saw the sad state of the intelligence of voters, he would be rolling in his grave!

When I read posts like this I know we are doomed to fail!