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Jared Bernstein

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What Happened to the Republican Party on Taxes?

Posted: 10/20/11 10:20 AM ET

This week I stumbled on the figure below regarding Reagan's tax record at around the same time we got the TPC score of the Cain 9-9-9 tax plan.

The party may revere Reagan, but they definitely wouldn't recognize each other if they met at a tax policy conference today. Nor would the gipper last for long on the Republicans side of the deficit-reduction super committee. Recall from work done by my CBPP colleague Kathy Ruffing that 82% of the savings in the 1984 Deficit Reduction Act came from revenues.

(I realize I'm straying into a space that the former Reagan official Bruce Bartlett covers extremely well, by the way.)

Anyway, with the caveat that I'm no psychotherapist, let me offer a few new categories from the fiscal DSM-IV:

- Hyper-Inequality Syndrome: The average level of income inequality (percent going to top 1%) from 1980-89 was 12.6%; from 2000-08 it was 20.3%. That's an increase in over $600 billion to the richest households (using most recent Piketty/Saez inequality data).

As I noted yesterday re the Koch brothers support of Herman Cain, these investors expect to get something for their money, and we should thus see a positive correlation between income concentration and regressive tax proposals. Which we do.

- YOYO Syndrome: Conservative economics is increasing YOYO (You're On Your Own) economics. Privatize, voucherize, disinvest in the public sector, and shrink government all under the rubric that private markets are more efficient, self-regulate, do not fail, and generate better outcomes in this the best of all possible worlds. In practice, YOYO'ism has delivered a large shift in the locus of economic risk from government and firms to households.

But in theory, in YOYO world, you need to keep all your money for yourself. Note, however, that this doesn't explain the increase in taxes on the bottom 84% in the Cain plan. I'm not saying I miss Reaganomics... I don't. But he wouldn't have gone there.

- Groveritis: If there were people running around during the Carter, Reagan, and Bush 1 years trying to extract Norquistian pledges to never raise taxes, I didn't run into them. But I suspect they were there -- just nobody felt compelled to listen to them. Again, what changed? Perhaps this:

- Government Is the Problem: This, of course, started rhetorically with Reagan himself, but it has gone viral in the worst way. There are two reinforcing dynamics here with regard to taxes. First, as middle-class and low-income family incomes have declined in real terms, the idea of sending money that you need to make ends meet to politicians to spend on their boondoggles is... um... distasteful.

And then there's this: if you are of the party that believes that government is the problem and want to make that point abundantly clear to all, then, when you are in power, you will do your best to prove that government is the problem. For example, you might waste valuable months fighting about the debt ceiling and threatening default, at a time when most Americans want and need you to do something about the economy. And in so doing, you fulfill your prophecy that government is the problem, and families should not throw their much-needed good money after bad.

Hmmm... When you lay it out this way, it actually doesn't seem so daunting: we need less inequality, no electing anyone who pledges to anything other than the flag, a re-shift in the locus of risk from YOYO to WITT ("we're in this together"), and a renewed understanding of the need for an amply funded and properly sized federal government in an increasingly challenging world.

Easy-peasy!

2011-10-20-reag_tax.png

This post originally appeared at Jared Bernstein's On The Economy blog.

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mjc
Avoid printing any..
10:48 AM on 10/21/2011
It isn't just the Republican Party that accepts the idea that the rich shouldn't be burdened with taxes: Barack Obama was very, very hesitant to end the tax break for the 1-2% wealthy, even though it seems quite clear that such a break is breaking the national economy. And his most recent jobs bill doesn't deal with taxes as revenue, only the other aspects of taxes such as the elimination of the part of one's income that takes payroll taxes off to add to Social Security. That action will only reduce the amount available to the individual when it comes time to retire. It isn't so much what is happening to the Republican Party as what is happening to the American society: the gap between the wealthy and the poor, working and middle classes, is increasing at a very rapid rate. No one seems to WANT to notice that...and there should be a sense of shame when considering what this country stood for 30 years ago and what it stands for now.
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f0rTyLeGz
Everything is falling.
12:30 AM on 10/21/2011
Politicians say whatever they want now. Facts don't matter.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
oldngrumpy
My micro-bio is no longer empty
01:18 AM on 10/21/2011
Voters believe whatever they want now. Facts don't matter.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
11:32 PM on 10/20/2011
Reagan was the beginning of the end of our republic.

Since Reagan the GOP conservative have been out to starve, drown, corrupt and bankrupt the BEAST, our republic, the USA, so the rich can rule. They are modern day Tories. How any patriotic American, or ordinary citizen can vote for them, is beyond me.

Most Americans don't even know that the founders were Locke liberals fighting against the Burke conservative richest 1000 families and their British Empire. They don't know that conservatism was founded to "conserve" the rule by the wealthy against democracy. They don't know that the Boston Tea party was not against taxes, and strong government, it was against a multinational using money as free speech to get unfair tax advantage from the British empire. The East India company. They were against the lack of representation they had versus the East India company.

But Reagan convinced the fools that the republic was the enemy, and the rich and the big companies were our salvation.

Then Reagan's victory convinced the Clinton DLC democrats to sellout to win. So after Clinton, the democrats did not represent the citizens anymore, though still much less anti republic and anti citizen than the GOP.

What can you do?

Vote for the Kucinich, Grayson Dean CPC progressives in the primaries and the dems in the general. And stop being fooled by the pretty well sold candidates and the smearing of the true citizens candidates.
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Jeany
Woman w/ Pitchfork
11:16 PM on 10/20/2011
The Club For Growth happened. Plus, an unslaked thirst for power and ideological intransigence.
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68Namvet
Sioux, French, German, Jew, American mutt
08:36 PM on 10/20/2011
From 1930 to 1980, The United States came out of the great depression, enacted Social Security, fought and financed our successful World War II effort, built the Interstate Highway System, enacted Medicare and went to the moon. This was all accomplished within a total national debt of less than $1 trillion.

This was also accomplished with maximum tax rates of between 70% to 94% for the very rich.We were a great nation accomplishing great things! We also had 13 billionaires.

Since 1980, a drastic tax reduction experiment was initiated by the GOP, with maximum income tax rates cut from 70% to 50% to 30%.

The results of this 30 year "experiment" are in, and they are ugly! The national debt has increased to more than $14 trillion, the Bush (the lessor) economic collapse was felt worldwide,
unemployment is above 9% and the recent debt ceiling fiasco was a national embarassment. The only notable U.S. accomplishment since 1980 was the creation of another 400 billionaires.

The cause-and-effect relationship between tax cuts for the very rich and the national debt crisis should be obvious.

And, the debt crisis fix should be equally obvious, unless you are a republican!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mjc
Avoid printing any..
10:36 AM on 10/21/2011
Terrific post, as always. Everyone, even Republicans, are celebrating the death of Qaddafi, and it looks like foreign policy isn't going to be heard from in the run up to the election, but death-hold the corporate interests have on our government will be only be minimally addressed in the debates, except perhaps in Occupy Wall St circles. Sad that one national party can be so committed to widening the gap between the very, very rich and the middle and working class, but, indeed they are. We are now pretty much a third world nation: the most powerful military, the most billionaires and most wealth at the top of the social ladder with the middle class becoming less and less of a factor. And the GOP are very eager to eliminate social security and medicare and medicaid as well.
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rebelriser
artist, published author, activist
11:08 AM on 10/21/2011
You're so right, Namvet. We need to find a means to convince the naive Republican supporters they're being lied to. We'll forgive them if they will just drop their support of the party of lies who reward their wealthy selves. Republicans in the House & Senate ARE wealthy, thanks to corporations which they give tax breaks to, and their other shady interests which are illegal for them, but they're hidden sources of high income. They don't want to pay taxes because they believe they're priviledged.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
flossophy
Liberalism is not liberal.
08:35 PM on 10/20/2011
I prefer the YOYO syndrome over the GOYA syndrome (Government Owns Your A...)
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
oldngrumpy
My micro-bio is no longer empty
01:39 AM on 10/21/2011
I prefer to be part of a population that elects leadership that uses government efficiently where efficiency is possible and enables the market where it isn't. The main advantage to this lies in the word "elect", as opposed to being subject to those who won the lottery of birth and inherited fortunes from Nazi sympathizers and traitors.

There is a certain attraction to Libertarianism I'll concede to. However, that philosophy, measured in terms of possibility of achievement, stands a much better chance under progressive leadership than under modern conservatism as represented by the GOP. You really should consider, at least, the party that wishes to see our representative Republic survive with basic remnants of our constitution intact. For all of it's lip service to the founders, the GOP is embroiled in a destructive course for our Republic that will not end well for those of you libertarian types who give your support to false flags and purposeful destruction of our economy.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
flossophy
Liberalism is not liberal.
02:25 AM on 10/21/2011
But Oldngrumpy, government is incapable of being efficient... that's why the founders designed it to be limited. 

We really need a separation of market and State... because whenever the political class intervenes into the economy, they unwittingly cause big trouble (Fannie n Freddie being a global economic catastr0phe). 

Libertarians have it mostly right... (except on foreign policy)... Today's 'Progressives' are too heavily invested in the big government machine. Their big government policies squelch economic growth which hurts people at the bottom end of the socioeconomic ladder. Even if it helps them at the baIIot box.

Look, I'm not a big fan of the Republican party... they are too invested in maintaining the status quo. We need to shake up Washington and set a new course that liberalizes our economy and sets the precedent for how a free society can compete in the 21st century... considering the challenges that await us. 

I appreciate your comments.
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darter22
Very funny, Scotty. Now beam down my clothes.
08:18 PM on 10/20/2011
Ronald Reagan could not win a GOP primary for a city council seat today.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Oceras
A little inductive reasoning is a dangerous thing.
07:44 PM on 10/20/2011
"if you are of the party that believes that government is the problem and want to make that point abundantly clear to all, then, when you are in power, you will do your best to prove that government is the problem."

Another home run, Jared. In understand how bad the ultra-rightist Republicans are, people have to pay attention not only to policy positions, policy proposals, and individual actions; but they also must pay attention to the processes as a whole. Unless you understand the process quoted above and see how Republican legislators' actions have fit like a walnut in its shell, you will not understand how truly dangerous they are.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Dosadi
Political agnostic
06:58 PM on 10/20/2011
Reagan raised taxes 7 out of his 8 years as President. But no right winger dares to even read about that. They all know their heads would explode if some modicum of truth ever got inside.
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dfranz
With Liberty and Justice for all
06:53 PM on 10/20/2011
Regan made the statement that government was the problem and then proceeded to make sure it was. My suggestion to those who think the US Government is the enemy, start now, get your passports in order, check into visas for your country of choice, say the Cayman Islands and then get the he!! out.

If you want we'll have a going away party for you.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Oceras
A little inductive reasoning is a dangerous thing.
07:46 PM on 10/20/2011
They'll have to get their visas fast, while there is still a passport agency to grant them.
Make that a 'go away! party'.
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06:30 AM on 10/29/2011
So funny you should pick Cayman Islands. Isn't that, or wasn't that the first choice for fascade POBox headquarters for corporate tax evasion?
Joel Smithis
Small business owner
05:55 PM on 10/20/2011
The question, Mr. Bernstein, is why American public has been so patient with those trying the cut the deficit with spending cuts???

These numbers have been available for 3 years! Are people really that stooopid???
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Dosadi
Political agnostic
06:59 PM on 10/20/2011
"Are people really that stooopid??­?

Apparently we are.
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06:33 AM on 10/29/2011
Plan B is ...? Occupy ?
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I think I think
And I fear that it is later than we think.
05:52 PM on 10/20/2011
Reagan would be ashamed of the current Republican party.
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Badwater
Call any vegetable Call it by name
05:18 PM on 10/20/2011
Modern Republics worship a cartoon version of Reagan.
05:17 PM on 10/20/2011
Remember Teabaggers, this your favorite father figure.
05:11 PM on 10/20/2011
How about they cut government spending, cap it at a certian % of GDP, and then balance the budget every year just like every responsible individual would do.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Oceras
A little inductive reasoning is a dangerous thing.
07:49 PM on 10/20/2011
I'm a responsible individual and I wouldn't "cut government spending, cap it at a certian % of GDP, and then balance the budget every year". For a government, that would be the height of irresponsibility.
09:46 PM on 10/20/2011
Well, guess what? NO Republican president since 1980 (Reagan, Bush I and Bush II) has ever even PROPOSED a balanced budget (despite all three's having sponsored the idea of forcing a Balanced Budget Amendment on the country) much less tried to spend "within means."
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
flossophy
Liberalism is not liberal.
11:10 PM on 10/20/2011
Newt was the only politician to force a balanced budget... for the first time since the 60's. And the Democrats waiIed and gnashed their teeth fighting him the whole way.
08:18 AM on 10/21/2011
So stick with the way it's always been done, brilliant. I do not agree with the spend happy Republicans either at some point there has to be "CHANGE"