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Jared Bernstein

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Talking Point Alert!

Posted: 02/15/2012 1:47 pm

Sometimes you just get the feeling that the various people with whom you're arguing all got together a few days ago and agreed on a talking point. (Fans of the wonderful Costa-Gavras movie Z will know of what I speak: "lithe and fierce as a tiger...")

In almost every single debate I've had regarding the president's budget plan, when confronted with the fact that they have thus far refused to accept new tax revenues as part of a deal for deficit reduction, conservatives cry foul. To the contrary, they cry. They'd be happy with far more revenue than the $1.5 trillion called for in the president's budget. But it must come from "lowering the rates and broadening the base."

For example, I've heard many say they want to follow the recommendations of the Bowles-Simpson commission, which goes way -- and by "way" I mean half-a-trillion bucks -- beyond the president in terms of revenues.

Can this be for real? I'd really like to believe it is, but it's awfully hard to imagine. First, it breaks the Norquist pledge, or at least it does if it's revenue neutral. Grover's been a bit muddy on this point, but I'm pretty sure he won't let his minions raise taxes over here to pay for a cut over there.

And, of course, that's what we're talking about here. "Broadening the base" means some win and some lose. Those not benefiting from the credits and deductions that base-broadening gets rid of come out ahead. Everybody else pays more. And for the record, simply recouping the revenue you lose by lowering rates through the broader base isn't enough. Our fiscal reality is that these plans must be revenue positive, not just revenue neutral.

Fact is, as Bowles-Simpson revealed, there's real money here -- tax expenditures now amount to over $1 trillion per year. There's the mortgage interest deduction, the exclusion of employer health premium contributions, 401(k) contributions, accelerated depreciation for equipment purchases, capital gains tax breaks, and tons more.

Now, it's absolutely true that many of these should go, as I've stressed in these pages before. And if my conservative friends truly want to stand up to Grover, engage in some 1986-style brush-clearing in the tax code, and raise even more revenue than the president, then I will gladly fight alongside them.

So, here's a real time test. Treasury Secretary Geithner Tuesday announced that the administration was ready to propose corporate tax reform "... that will lower rates, broaden the base and eliminate or wipe out... dozens and dozens and dozens of special tax preferences for businesses."

If the people touting this meme of lower rates, broader base stand up and applaud the reform, I'll take them a lot more seriously than I have thus far. If they do not, I will remind them of their refusal to do so next time we speak.

This post originally appeared at Jared Bernstein's On The Economy blog.

 
 
 
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06:44 AM on 02/17/2012
Will see in the upcoming days..

nekati from
http://www.elsatercume.com
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Terri Skau
the moon rises as the sun sets
04:55 PM on 02/16/2012
Good Afternoon Jared (May I call you Jared) Before the FED came to roost and deprive all of us of true prosperity in this Country. Also the were the "Ghost writers" of the Income Tax law. And there collection agency known as the IRS or as I like too call them the Internal Robbery Service. Senator Aldrich co-sponsored the 16th Amendment creating the Income Tax. Soon after passage by Congress in 1913, Philander Knox issued the odd announcement that, "The 16th Amendment seems to have been ratified."
Doubting ratification of the 16th Amendment by three-fourths of the states, Bill Benson and M. J. "Red" Beckman traveled to 48 states (Alaska and Hawaii were not states in 1913). They got certified copies of all ratification documents from each of the legislatures, (17,000 documents) and, in a two-volume work, proved that not one state had legally ratified the 16th Amendment as written. See: www.thelawthatneverwas.com
That isn't all. "The Internal Revenue Service was never authorized by Congress." - Public Notice - Media Bypass, March, 1997 - An unconstitutional act is enforced by an unauthorized agency.
Withholding taxes, an emergency measure initiated only for World War II, are still collected.
Income taxes pay only Federal Reserve debt and IRS expenses. "Income taxes do not fund any government function." - Page 12, President's Private Sector Survey on Cost Control, January 15, 1984 - Library of Congress.
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Bart DePalma
Bart DePalma
08:07 AM on 02/16/2012
Obama's proposed corporate tax plan will almost certainly maintain the tax credits for his preferred businesses (solar, wind, e cars, trains) and those from whom he needs votes (agriculture), while eliminating those for businesses he dislikes (oil), with a marginal rate decrease.

A far better reform would be to flatten and lower personal income tax rates to two tiers and eliminate all deductions and credits except for a personal and dependent deductions, then eliminate corporate taxes and credits altogether in favor of raising capital gains to personal income tax rates to avoid the double taxation problem. One simple system based on individual income.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Cheryl2
real Americans celebrate diversity
09:06 AM on 02/16/2012
Subsidies for green energy are in the form of loans, while fossil fuels (coal, gas, oil) we subsidize so extensively that 50% of their RECORD profits are due to taxpayer handouts to them. I don't think you know of what you speak.
08:06 AM on 02/16/2012
"Lowering rates and increasing the base"--the GOP idea of heaven--comes down to taxing the rich less, the poor more.
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TN60
I Hope You'll Dance
07:43 AM on 02/16/2012
Mr. Bernstein, I follow you on Greg Sargent's blog in the WaPo and when you say something, we know, as former
VP Joe Biden financial adviser, you are right.

These tea loons/radicals/Republicans have no morals, no idea of what they are talking about, and should be run off from Congress.

They have no sense of what the country is going through, as they view everything from Norquist's playbook, and the rich's bubble.

They probably get their message of the day from Luntz's talking points and is picked up on FOX, and the lemmings ALL head for the camera to spit and spew. But I think they are scared of being replaced since their latest favorable s from polls show them at just 10%.

Good article today about the "Dimon Rule" :

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/forget-buffett--its-time-for-the-dimon-rule-on-taxes/2012/02/15/gIQAcfXXFR_story.html

And...what about that speech by Norquist, that we don't need a President, just one that can sign in the Republican's laws.? He want's a king and puppet like you know who. Since Rove is buying the Senate and Koch buying more loons, his plan is to rule from Congress. Nutso that he is !
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chuckgoodcat
retired / disabled
07:19 AM on 02/16/2012
This is a consumer based economy . Reference Mr Bush's comment when the recession was officially announced in April 2008 along with his $162 billion stimulus plan . He pointed out that we are 95 % consumer driven . What producing corporations need isn't a lower tax rate it's more customers with cash to spend .
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ClarkOHrepub
BO & Co have Gotta Go!
06:47 AM on 02/16/2012
Oh, for God's sake Jarod! '...the administration was ready to propose corporate tax reform "... that will lower rates, broaden the base and eliminate or wipe out... dozens and dozens and dozens of special tax preferences for businesses."

Break that down a minute...tax breaks...BUT!....eliminate tax preferences.
WHAT excactly does this mean and provide examples!
04:32 AM on 02/16/2012
What about the 50% or so of workers who don't pay any income taxes? Isn't it time they started contributing to society, too?
06:44 AM on 02/16/2012
The bottom 50% (70 million filers) all had an income below $32,400 in 2010. Their average income was $1,530. The total earnings of this group was about $1 trillion (versus $7 trillion for the top 50%) and they paid about $20 billion in federal income taxes.....or about 2%. The top 50% paid 12.5% in taxes ($900 billion on $7 trillion income).

http://www.taxfoundation.org/news/show/250.html#table1
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M Cubed
My shampoo is gluten-free!
09:02 AM on 02/16/2012
Not to mention about half of that fifty per cent are retired people who have already spent a lifetime paying taxes, and now live off of the money they already gave to the government.
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ClarkOHrepub
BO & Co have Gotta Go!
06:48 AM on 02/16/2012
Hey now! That would be considered asking for equal responsibility.
02:43 AM on 02/16/2012
Part3)The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!
And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.
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ClarkOHrepub
BO & Co have Gotta Go!
06:51 AM on 02/16/2012
I love that analogy every time I hear it!
But don't expect a liberal here to get it.
06:52 AM on 02/16/2012
and for this reason we should allow them privilege???
02:43 AM on 02/16/2012
Part2) So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.
The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).
The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33%savings).
The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28%savings).
The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).
The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).
Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings. "I only got a dollar out of the $20," declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man, "but he got $10!" "Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. "I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!" "That's true!" shouted the seventh man. "Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!" "Wait a minute," yelled the first four men in unison. "We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!" The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up
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ThePeoplesKey
Writer/General Disreputable Rogue
06:49 AM on 02/16/2012
Clever but that's why taxation isn't based on actual dollars paid but rather a percentage of dollars earned. Let's look at it another way. Let's call it "Daily Living." Let's just use the 10th man and the 5th man to make it simple. The 10th man is Larry Ellison and the 5th man is Joe Plumber making 100K per year. Both men contribute 7% of their income to SS capped at the first $100K with each paycheck. (Well Larry doesn't because his income is from capital gains) But let's pretend it's wages. Joe pays 7% of his income to SS over the course of the year and Larry (Whose income is estimated to be approximately 250 Million per year) pays 0.000028%. As a percentage of income, Larry pays $17.5 Million less per year then Joe even though both are making important contributions to society as a whole. Seems fair doesn't it?
02:42 AM on 02/16/2012
Part1)Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:
The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay $1.
The sixth would pay $3.
The seventh would pay $7
The eighth would pay $12.
The ninth would pay $18.
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.
So, that's what they decided to do. The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. "Since you are all such good customers", he said, "I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20". Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.
The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men - the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his "fair share?"
They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer
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OneTop
Uh, is that a beer hall?
02:33 AM on 02/16/2012
""In almost every single debate I've had regarding the president's budget plan, when confronted with the fact that they have thus far refused to accept new tax revenues as part of a deal for deficit reduction, conservatives cry foul. """

Mainstream economics has become so corrupted that all sense has left the political discourse when economics is the topic.

Above all else, there is NO deficit crisis, there is a JOBS crisis, yet no one cares. Deficits are a product of economic activity and cannot be controlled or budgeted for beyond broad estimates. There is no external or intrinsic pressure to have any concern over a deficit. This mania is purely ideological and without any basis in reality.

Both the chattering class and politicians equate federal budgets with household budgets and the thought is, that if I cut public expenditures during a period of flat and falling private sector spending, I will cut the deficit.

This is entirely untrue and is without empirical evidence to support the contention, whereas, there is overwhelming empirical evidence that the opposite is true.

During the next debate, pose the questions --- what would government revenues be with an economy that fully employed all those seeking work?

Do we know of any economy in recession that has full employment?

How did western governments from the end of WW11 to the late 1970's have such robust growth, full employment and no major downturns?
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ClarkOHrepub
BO & Co have Gotta Go!
06:57 AM on 02/16/2012
Just print money and all is good....that's what you propose?
It's clear that all the spending over time has added to the need to shore it up with borrowing in one fashion or another. But just ignore it....that is what you are saying.
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ThePeoplesKey
Writer/General Disreputable Rogue
07:27 AM on 02/16/2012
What republicans can't grasp is that if I cut my household budget by a third, my wages (Revenue) DON'T INCREASE by a third. It stays the same, and in fact, with inflation, actually is reduced in value. Secondly, you can't spend money that you've removed from your budget, because it defeats the purpose of reducing your budget to begin with. You can invest it to try to maintain it's value over time (If you're extremely lucky) but the economic activity from investing the money is a tiny fraction of the economic activity generated from directly spending that money into economy as a whole. Trying to relate government budgets and spending to household budgets and spending is like trying to mix oil and water. It just doesn't work. We've had 40 years of proof now that LOWERING taxes DOESN'T create more revenue, especially if you factor in inflation or the time/value of money. Trickle down economic theory DOESN'T work. Get it?
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kokobell616
Your micro-bio is pending approval
07:50 AM on 02/16/2012
From the right>>> uh huh!

from the left>> really?

from washington>>> err what?
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Roy Merritt old car guy
Loves Nostalgia Dragsters
01:24 PM on 02/22/2012
The Peoples Key, you got it. I have been preaching this message for 2 years but know one listens. The right have made Reagan a Saint and they worship at his altar. Supply Side Economics tooka National Debt of 900 billion dollars and ran it up to over 15 trillion dollars. When we are in recession the government should be spending so the unemployment rate doesn't drop out of site and as the consumers bring the economy back the government draws back the spending and pays down the debt. We had a greater National Debt GDP wise in 1946 than we do now and we kept the taxes high and paid down the debt, it took 40 years. Low taxes always equal high unemployment.
02:27 AM on 02/16/2012
How can so many BushReaganConservative angels be avoiding this comment opportunity? There's a lot here to jump on...facts to twist or ignore...responsibility to shun. As I read Mr Bernsteins article I realize why it's even pertinent; why these conversations are even taking place. The right-wing-conservative-republican-fakechristians and the accomodating dems blatantly and pretty much overtly stripped THE WORLD, not just the US, of what little security we'd gained. If $ is power then the lowest form of humanity now has an INCREDIBLE amount of power. This is not going to be pretty and WILL change the world. How is up to us.
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bowser
02:25 AM on 02/16/2012
If Republicans truly believe that a flat tax with no deductions is the way to go; and that corporations should be treated as people under the law, then shouldn't they pay income tax based on gross sales? Even a 20% tax rate would have Wallmart paying over $100,000,000,000/year in income tax. If we still allow a personal exemption (especially if raised to $10-15,000) and possibly eliminate payroll taxes this would be something we should support!
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
03:55 AM on 02/16/2012
You can't tax sales as income, you have to tax profits - much of the money walmart takes at the till goes to buy the junk to put in the store.
07:59 AM on 02/16/2012
And should we deduct from taxable income the food clothing medicines, etc that goes to put the workers in the store?
04:55 AM on 02/16/2012
The flaw in your argument is that households don't have to buy things before they can sell them to make money. Nor do they have to pay the kids to clean the kitchen. Gross sales would be every dime taken in, not what's left after you pay the employees and the inventory.
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JPatrickRader
Who says that?
01:25 AM on 02/16/2012
I have no desire to be a member of the 1%...I believe republicans and their ilk think that makes me either a liar or un-American because it flies in the face of their capitalist lie. The GOP would have us a believe that in America, everyone can be a member of the 1%...This is a lie...We simply cannot be a nation of 300 million multi-millionaires importing our menial laborers from elsewhere...Now, I don't know what percentage of the population shares my opinion on achieving super wealth, but I'd venture A LOT of people don't want to be millionaires...We are the ones who want to teach your kids, fight crime, put out fires, run small (genuinely small; not as defined by the IRS) businesses, be in the military, et al...There are great many of us who don't care about becoming a 1%'er...We just want to use our talents, education, drive and skills so that others can either work to become uber-wealthy, or follow their own dreams that don't hinge on financial success...The job of our government is to protect the N% of us from being either eaten or used by those more concerned with dollars than they are sense (of any kind). We have equated wealth with success and intelligence in this country...but what do I know? I'm just a poor, dumb teacher.
03:09 AM on 02/16/2012
Nicely done. Probably ARE a 1% in some form or fashion. Wealth to me, especially now, would be someplace to live, grow my own food, and stay warm and dry, without feeling like I'm snatching it away from someone else (the real owners).
I want my money back. I want those that put these overt crooks in power to know what they've done...who they've injured.
I want neighbors like you.
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jonboy3000
06:53 AM on 02/16/2012
That was a wonderful post. I think a lot of us go to college, work in a professional career but do not make up the 1%. We are not driven by greed but by more important things like taking care of our family and helping others in the community. We are smart, educated people. We want to be comfortable but we don't care if we drive the newest cars or have an expensive house. There are others who graduate from high school and learn a skill that benefits us all. They are also smart people who know they will never be in the 1%. We don't have this so called envy for the 1% that Mitt mentioned a few weeks ago. He doesn't understand that it's not about money. It's about being a good person on this earth and being good to your family, friends and neighbors. It's about caring for the plight of one's brother who might be struggling. As you mentioned, it can be about doing things for the greater good like teaching, protecting our country , social work and nursing. These are all important things that need to be done. We need some protection from the very greedy. Most of them do not understand what we are talking about. Their motivation is for money and power and they would crush us like a grape to get what they want. Government steps in to provide us with some protection so we can peacefully conduct our lives.
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08:06 AM on 02/16/2012
As succinctly put by Randy Newman in "It's Money That Matters":

All of these people, they are much brighter than I,
In any fair system, they would flourish and thrive,
But they barely survive,
They eke out a living,
They barely survive.

And many of us don't care to chase the elusive butterfly of endless economic gain.
Pay me well for what my talents achieve and leave me to enjoy life on my terms with my family and my community.