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The Policy Backdrop of Inequality and Its Implications for "Class Warfare"

Posted: 09/23/11 07:59 PM ET

Hey, no fair fighting back!!

That's what I hear when conservatives go on about "class warfare" in response the President's call for balance in deficit reduction. It's particularly grating to hear Rep Paul Ryan use the CW talking point, when the loins' share of his deficit savings come from cuts to low-income programs and Medicare, with no offsetting revenue.

Lots of posts in recent days have explored the tax side of this equation, essentially emphasizing the Buffett point that many of those who have done the best are paying a smaller share of the income in federal taxes than the middle class. That's an important point that links directly to President Obama's call for shared sacrifice and balanced deficit reduction. Sorry, Rep. Ryan -- it can't all come out of the spending side.

But, as the figure below reveals, the increase in income inequality -- one reliable metric of how different income classes have fared -- is very much a pretax phenomenon. The figure shows the changes in income shares from a comprehensive income data set of the Congressional Budget Office, 1979-2007, pretax and aftertax (federal taxes only -- I've added a table below with the levels for the most recent data year so you can see the underlying shares).

2011-09-23-chng_incsh.png
Source: CBO


The fact that the growth in inequality is largely a function of the pretax income distribution doesn't mean we should make it worse with regressive, supply-side tax cuts -- (economist Alan Blinder calls this move "unnecessary roughness" -- amplifying pretax inequality with regressive tax cuts). To the contrary, we need balanced tax measures to generate the revenues to support programs that can help push back on this trend -- initiatives like Head Start, child nutrition, educational support.

But it also doesn't mean we can meaningfully correct the problem with tax policy alone. We have be mindful of all the policies that effect the pretax distribution--the distribution of labor and capital earnings before any taxes and transfers kick in...that's where the real inequality action is.

Now, most economists argue that much of the increase in inequality is due to factors like globalization and technological change -- factors that are less a matter of policy than of economic evolution. But of course their impact can be amplified or dampened by policy. For example, unfair trade practices like China currency management make give low-wage competitors an even stronger price advantage. (Trade agreements are less of a big deal as I see it--the advocates overdo how much they'll help and visa-versa re the opponents -- though the advocates are worse...).

Lack of a strong, long-term public-private strategy in terms of boosting our manufacturing sector, as is standard practice in advanced (Germany) and emerging (China) countries also hurts our manufacturers compete internationally. So policy does matter -- considerably -- in this space.

Technological change is also thought to be a significant factor behind the changes in the graph, though the evidence here is more ambiguous. (One strain of work, for example, argues that technology has increased labor demand for both high skill and low skill work, while leaving out the middle.) But to the extent that technology increases employers' skill demands such that a college education is increasingly necessary to compete, programs that help disadvantaged kids get that opportunity play a role here too. And cuts to those programs hurt.

And then there's a bunch of stuff that directly raises or lowers the bargaining clout of middle and working class families--policy changes or missed policy opportunities that have hurt or failed to help them.

- The long-term erosion of the minimum wage

- The absence of legislative protection to balance the organizing playing field for those who want to collectively bargain

- The inattention to labor standards such as wage and hour rules, overtime regulations, workplace safety, worker classification (this is where regular employees get misclassified as independent contractors and lose basic labor protections -- and guess what? Progressive reform of this problem is in the President's new budget plan -- very cool...)

- The attack on public sector employment

- The lack of universal health care

- The absence of comprehensive immigration reform

One more biggie: full employment. It's very much a policy variable and one, in fact, that used to be the law for the Federal Reserve -- so-called Humphrey Hawkins Act mandated full employment as a policy goal of the Fed. As I stress here, the fact that our job market has run with so much slack over the very period when inequality grew is no coincidence (and visa-versa: when inequality was flat or falling, we were more likely to be at full employment).

And of course, in recession, like now, by dithering on stimulus, we're disproportionately hurting the wage, incomes, and living standards of the folks who've been losing income share over the years shown in the figure above.

In other words, there are a lot of policy measures that have considerable impact on how the benefits of growth are distributed -- before taxes even show up on the scene. When representatives of the wealthy squeal about "class warfare," they're not just talking about shielding their treasure from the tax system. They're also protecting and endorsing a policy agenda that's helped tilt growth their way for a long time.

2011-09-23-incsh_07.png


This post originally appeared at Jared Bernstein's On The Economy blog.

 
 
 
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maslin
At 6 bn km, it's mostly small stuff.
04:03 AM on 10/02/2011
'It's particularly grating to hear Rep Paul Ryan use the CW talking point, when the loins' share of his deficit savings come from cuts to low-income programs and Medicare, with no offsetting revenue.'

That's a funny typo.
02:30 AM on 09/26/2011
Consider the economy of the country as a well in a village. The sustainability of that well is dependent on how much water flows into the well and how much water is taken out. However, another factor is at work. A villager claims more water because his task of counting the withdrawals is important. Another villager claims that because he must manage the rope tied to the bucket, he should get more. The rest of the villagers have to settle for what is left or else the sustainability is threatened.

The two Water Takers can't use all the water that they lay claim to and so they load it up into tankers and ship it off to friendly places, like St. Kits or Panama to park it. Some they lend to other villages for a price. Problems arise when those who borrowed cannot pay back. The Water Takers do not see it as their problem but as the GDP Well's problem. They cry that if they don't get more water from the well, they won't be able to monitor the withdrawals or provide the rope and all sorts of other fearful things. Not only do they need more water but others will have to take less.

Well, the other villagers not knowledgeable in the ways of wells and water scurry around muttering 'More water, more water for the Takers.' and search for water worthy vessels so that the top Water Takers would not weep and wail so mightily.
05:50 PM on 09/25/2011
I forgot House REpublicans, BOEHMER< RYAN CANTOR, Filibuster senator Mcconnel

You promised the trade arrangements were going to be great for American workers.
70% of workers do not have college degrees , what job do you have beside their name with decent pay to train them for since you destroyed manufacturing.
Many college degree people are also being laid off teachers, police, fireman.

Where is American's jobs bill and their disaster funds without cutting more manufacturing jobs like the poison pill you put in your all house repub. bill.
Pass the clean disaster bill to fund FEMA that the Senate sent you at least a week before you tried to push the offset their way.

You continue to fund rebuilding Iraq, Afgan, the wars, the tax cuts for the rich and servcing your repub. debt What have you done for Americans.

Please pass the word. Please start now on 1 & 2.
1. please call your representatives/senators and tell them we want a American jobs bill.

2. Teachers/Military/others, Please run in districts/states where the only choice is a republican rep./ or senator.

RUN as an independent - get republicans, independent and democrats votes.

Educate your church, neighbors on the Ryan Budget bill (destroy medicare/other programs for the people but cut taxes on rich) ,
all republican senators and house members voted yes on it.

You need to start now to register voters, be sure they have ID'S, up to date addresses on voter records.
05:42 PM on 09/25/2011
You really need to proofread your work for grammar and spelling without using spell check ( i mean really...the loins' share?, visa- versa? ) Also, the phrase "........ also hurts our manufacturers compete internationally. " just makes no sense. Is English not your native language? I agree with some of your points but it is hard for me to take such sloppy writing seriously. Why give your opponents such a trivial point on which you can be mocked?
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Social Construct
Go left, young man.
06:51 AM on 09/26/2011
What wrong with "loin's share?" Gotta love that!
04:24 PM on 09/25/2011
I read a article on the business page of Wash. Post IMF U.S/ speaks out China speaks out it ties in with this, There are two others on Wash Post site Running in the red Republicans taxes and Running in the red About breakdown of debt 7 trillion of debt is Repub,

The house radical republicans can increase taxes any day they want to pay off their Bush Era republican credit card bills/debt(2 wars, rich tax cuts etc).
They are still borrowing from China and adding to their credit card bills/debt to pay for current war spending, excessive defense spending, rebuilding Iraq and Afgan. etc, servicing Bush Era debt) none of this is emergency spending.
The house is responsible for making laws and funding the government
back in the Bush ERA and now.

The Republicans have destroyed manufacturing jobs and replaced them with low pay service jobs, un/under employment for 70% of workers who do not have college degrees. Do not talk about training them unless you have a decent paying job What $20.00 an hour so they do not have to depend on entitlement programs to survive.
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Social Construct
Go left, young man.
08:14 AM on 09/25/2011
Yup. Exactly. Right on point. Kudos. Erudite. All other forms of enthusiastic support for the author's argument.

Too bad that too many will find data, statistics and rationales to make a case for the status quo while ignoring what is in plain sight. Knee-jerk protectionist dogma sees truth, sustainability and compassion in society as just so much clay to be manipulated into something pleasing to an egocentric eye.
01:52 AM on 09/25/2011
Mr. Bernstein:

Again, another alarmist class-warfare justifying article that overstates an inequality problem. I would argue that:

a) The data you provide on growth of income is not compelling.

b) That inequality is the United States is mismeasured and overstated.

c) It’s causes are the result in a change in demographics and changes in the economy, not due to changes in tax or treatment of lower income groups. And any attempt to correct the problem through tax and distribute is addressing the symptom not the disease.

d) That even so, inequality is a feature of a functioning economy, not a bug. And those countries that tend to have increasing GINI’s also have increasing economies.

Finally, I would add that the reason why our economy is failing at the moment is because the administration is so focused on social justice that it has lost sight of the measures that wok to spur growth: tax cuts, lower regulations and barriers to starting new businesses, increased protection of property rights and wealth creation. All these things would help grow the economy. Everything you are advocating just pulls efficient resources into inefficient uses and lowers the standards of living for everyone. Get government out of the way and let people start creating their own jobs.

Kai
08:12 AM on 09/25/2011
It would be nice if you were coprrect, but you aren't
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Ashok Hegde
04:06 PM on 09/25/2011
Measure inequality post income transfers...see what you get.
12:29 AM on 09/26/2011
It should be noted that the economy began to fail before the present administration came into office. It is Bush's failed policies of tax relieve for the rich and lower regulations that were impediments to a healthy economy. The present administration did address Bush's failing economy and continues to address it. In addition, it also addresses many of the other necessary components of a governed society. You can't just drop everything and focus on one part. The country is too complex to allow you to do that. A juggler with one ball is no juggler at all. Unfortunately Bush's balls are the heaviest and draw the most attention.
12:52 AM on 09/25/2011
Abraham Lincoln's Address before the Wisconsin State Agricultural Society, 9/30/1859; Reference on WWW dated 11/15/08: http://wbhsm.homestead.com/address-to-wisconsin-state-aggriculture-society.pdf

“…But another class of reasoners hold the opinion that there is no such relation between capital “and labor, as assumed; and that there is no such thing as a freeman being fatally fixed for life, in “the condition of a hired laborer, that both these assumptions are false, and all inferences from “them groundless. They hold that labor is prior to, and independent of, capital; that, in fact, “capital is the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed---that labor “can exist without capital, but that capital could never have existed without labor. Hence they hold “that labor is the superior---greatly the superior---of capital.

“They do not deny that there is, and probably always will be, a relation between labor and capital. “The error, as they hold, is in assuming that the whole labor of the world exists within that relation. “A few men own capital; and that few avoid labor themselves, and with their capital, hire, or buy, “another few to labor for them. …”

This is not a new subject, just different set Americans--and I'm not talking about immigrants who refuse to adhere to BASIC American laws or customs, especially in public or some social settings.
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Independent66
www.linkedin.com/in/harveyring
12:42 AM on 09/25/2011
Where does it say in the Constitution that government must tax the rich to redistribute that money to someone else? The Federal government has grown faster than the economy and is now roughly 25% of the economy and continues to grow faster. I accept the fact that we need the Federal government to do certain things, but now it is strangling the private sector. Why should Federal workers make 2x more on average than private sector workers? Does anyone believe that there is no waste or no poorly managed programs? I'd argue that every program wastes money. There are estimates that Medicare and Medicare pay between $100-200b yearly in fraudulent bills. That is a staggeringly large number. I just read that they paid $600m to dead federal employees. They just lost $500m on bad investments in a solar factory. The list is endless.
Gates and Buffet have created a foundation to invest their money for their favorite causes. Would society be better off if the Feds taxed that money away and spent it on their priorities? Entrepreneurs invest their time and investors money to create new businesses. Perhaps 10% are very successful, 30-40% exist after 10 years and the rest die. The government taxes these risky investments at 15% since money is at risk. These people create jobs and when successful can make a lot of money. Do you think returns on these investments should be taxed as income?
01:53 AM on 09/25/2011
The only thing worse than crony capitalism is crony socialism.
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brianlasvegas
Obama=Bush's third term
01:38 PM on 09/25/2011
Always well thought out comments. Why won't the Huff post promote you to pundit? We both know why.
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grainysmith
I heart worms
12:32 AM on 09/25/2011
There is no class war. The rich have already won. They control the banks, the government, the media, and the Supreme Court. The biggest question I have is how long until we get the power back into the people's hands? It's probably when the majority of the population control the majority of the wealth. Until then it will be a long hard ride.
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realsurfin
Pardon me, can you help out a fellow American
12:15 AM on 09/25/2011
its simple economics... the price of everything is going up and there is a finite amount of money. So to keep the rich in the lifestyles they are used to, they need more money. Where does that money come from? Those under them. You want to talk Ponzi Scheme... its the pyramid with the rich at the top.... supported by the rest of us.

maybe they could toss a few scraps off their table for us down below... or we could go back to trickle down economics.. we all know how good that worked. They turned the spigot down to a trickle and we got less and less... they got more and more... and now are passing it to their kids who need and want even more.
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grainysmith
I heart worms
12:14 AM on 09/25/2011
When there are protests, like the Tea Party movement, which help the rich gain more power and money the media is all over it but when it truly is grassroots there is nothing. There is no such thing as liberal media. There is only the corporate propaganda machine.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
12:11 AM on 09/25/2011
The rich are not the job creators, they are the Market Manipulators.

They can create jobs,

or destroy them

as Romney, the unregulated banksters, war, and concentration of wealth do.

That's why the Founder were against the 1000 richest families acquiring too much wealth:

"When economic power became concentrated in a few hands, then political power flowed to those possessors and away from the citizens, ultimately resulting in an oligarchy or tyranny." John Adams
"I hope we shall . . . crush in [its] birth the aristocracy of our monied corporations." Thomas Jefferson
"As riches increase and accumulate in few hands . . . the tendency of things will be to depart from the republican standard." Alexander Hamilton

The citizens safety net, green energy investments and infrastructure, did not bankrupt us.

The MIC wars, the Bankster's fraud and the ungrateful rich's robbed the citizens and the world.

The solution: end the wars, cut the MIC 90%, arrest the banksters for fraud, seize their assets and records for audits, tax the super rich like Ike did when the USA became the greatest economy in human history.

The Obama DLC enable the GOP agenda because they sold their souls to get elected. They are Reagan democrats, moderate republicans if you will. AKA New democrats, pragmatic Progressive, Blue dogs, New American Foundation, Progressive Policy Council, Third Way.

Vote for the CPC progressives, The Progressive Democrats of America, the Kucinich folks in the primaries. Vote the Dems in the general.
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SitandStay
Lorenzo&BushH8ter
11:45 PM on 09/24/2011
http://www.homelesstaskforce.org/

Click on the Link about the homeless artists. Homeless people are not uneducated, shiftless people.....
Look and LEARN...
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SitandStay
Lorenzo&BushH8ter
11:40 PM on 09/24/2011
I did more to help American people than the Rockefeller Foundation, Lorenzo, Bush family, Rick Perry, Rand Paul, etc. I could lead you to the people that I did not know personally that benefitted from funds from me. They were waiters and waitresses, service people, homeless people on the street (I refuse to judge someone that is desparate for a moments relief from inner demons out of a wine bottle when our government used them as property to wage their wars for profit in a foreign land) You will never find an Ayn Rand type giving unless it is a faceless entity that promises big bonuses in a tax write-off. They personally can't stand the sight of a poor person. They look away or have a special elevator held for them so they don't have to encounter even a middle class worker. I haven't received any tax write offs for my SHARING or my stopping to CONNECT with another human being. The wealthy will never have any compassion for the least among us until they have experienced the same life. It's time for a new start to allow them some inner, personal growth like they have afforded others.