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Is the 2012 Apocalypse Real?

Posted: 01/03/12 08:21 PM ET

"We were warned." That's the ominous tagline of the late 2009 disaster film staring John Cusack. The one in which earthquakes tear the world apart, tsunamis flood the planet, Los Angeles crumbles into the Pacific Ocean, and we all learn that the ancient Mayan Long Count calendar predicted the whole thing. We also learned that you don't need a coherent script when you're destroying the planet, but that's a separate post.

Now that it's actually 2012, the year in which those fictional events supposedly were to have taken place, you may be wondering: Is the Mayan calendar a real thing? Were we warned? Is 2012 the end of the world?

The answers, in order: Yes. No. And probably not.

Yes, there is such a thing as the Mesoamerican Long Count Calendar, as mentioned in the movie. And yes, it does come to an end on the Winter Solstice of this year -- Dec. 21, 2012. Just like your desk calendar came to an end on Dec. 31, 2011. And just like your car's odometer will "come to an end" should you drive it all the way to 99,999.9 miles.

Only you know as well as I do that calendars and odometers don't "end." They reset and start over. Your car doesn't implode when the odometer resets. Time didn't end when the ball dropped on New Year's Eve. Numbers change, totals reset to zero, and we keep counting.

Though it's based on different intervals of time, the Mayan's Long Count Calendar isn't that different from modern calendars. Our calendars measure days, weeks, months, years and centuries, with our largest interval (for practical purposes) being a millennium, or one thousand years. The largest interval on the Long Count is called a b'ak'tun, which is around 144,000 days. The calendar resets each time it measures another b'ak'tun.

Though there is some disagreement on it, most Mayanist scholars date the starting point of this calendar back to Aug. 11, 3114 B.C. If this is accurate, then the calendar "resets" by reaching the 13th B'ak'tun on Dec. 21, 2012, at which point it rolls over and begins counting toward another milestone -- just like our calendars rolled over at the end of 2011 and began counting the days and weeks of 2012.

So what's the big deal? Why all the end-of-the-world stuff? According to ancient Mayan mythology, the world we're living in now wasn't our Creators' first try. They attempted to create the world three times prior to it, but each of these early attempts failed. Before beginning our now-successful world, the Creators destroyed the previous world at the 13th B'ak'tun.

The arrival of the 13th B'ak'tun on Dec. 21, 2012, means that our current world will have surpassed the "expiration date" of the previous world. So it's a significant occasion -- if you believe in the Mayanist creation narrative.

If you don't believe that our mythological Creators trashed three previous worlds before finally getting it right with this one, then the arrival of the 13th B'ak'tun on the Mesoamerican Long Count Calendar should mean nothing to you.

But that hasn't stopped fear mongers, conspiracy theorists, New Age kooks and other apocalypse aficionados from hitching their doomsday wagons to Dec. 21, 2012, as a potential date for the end of the world. We praise the ancient Mayan culture for being advanced mathematicians and astronomers. Couldn't they maybe have been onto something with this end-of-the-calendar thing? Did they know something we didn't?

That's why a quick search of 2012 doomsday or Mayan apocalypse or something similar will result in a rainbow of fruity scenarios supposedly slated for Dec. 21 of this year, including an Earth-scorching supernova, catastrophic solar flares, alien invasion, asteroid collision, supervolcano eruption, a "dangerous" planetary alignment, nuclear Armageddon, the biblical apocalypse or the arrival of yet another Roland Emmerich disaster film.

If you believe the doomsayers, the transcendentally wise Mayans predicted it thousands of years ago, and created their ancient calendar to warn us. When the calendar ends, so does life as we know it. If you buy into their mythology, go ahead and freak out about our impending demise.

But if you don't, then feel free to relax. The world is no more likely to end in December than it was when Harold Camping predicted apocalypse for October of 2011, or when Marian Keech predicted the world's end in 1954, or when William Miller predicted the Rapture and Second Coming in 1844.

Humanity is obsessed with the end of the world. We predict it all the time. We are always wrong. The 2012 doomsayers will be wrong, too.

Jason Boyett is a writer, speaker and author of several books. His latest is "Pocket Guide to 2012: Your Once-in-a-Lifetime Guide to Not Completely Freaking Out," currently available on Kindle and Nook. Learn more at jasonboyett.com or follow Jason on Twitter @jasonboyett.

 
 
 
 
 
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08:12 PM on 01/22/2012
I don't believe any muslim, so I don't foresee any idea, whatsoever that I can hide that much, too much,
from you, even from myself, if God can't leave me my f. alone, for all, I care, IT can take an f. hike, so that I can of course become & believe in & so on, God, THANKS FOR NOTHING, greetings & Happy New Year, 'J.,' guitartie@yahoo.ie, note: Money exists as no truer happiness that This Pig!
03:20 PM on 01/07/2012
The Mayan's had no idea when the Judeo Christian "AD / BC" calendar date began so this 2012 prediction is absolute nonsense. The only thing that makes sense is stated in the article that they predicted this calendar started appx 3114 BC and has repeated itself like a car's odometer.
02:38 AM on 01/07/2012
There must have been tens, if not hundreds of thousands of end of world predictions since the Apocalypse of John. Almost every single one of them was a scheme to skim off poor minded people. This one is no different.
10:37 AM on 01/06/2012
Why worry about it? If it ends we wont be here to be pissed about it. Life is good and I plan to enjoy every minute of it, no matter how many of them are left :)
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ninetailedfox
banning people.....so childish
04:43 AM on 01/06/2012
Even if this isnt the end of the world, watch the Documentary Earth 2100 sometime. Its a real eye opener.
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ninetailedfox
banning people.....so childish
04:41 AM on 01/06/2012
Only time will tell whether the end of 2012 is the end of this planet. But the way people act, the careless attitude towards our planet, towards real spirituality towards a lot of things.......it adds up and the results can be quite devistating. For example, do you think Mother Nature is going to allow all this pollution and pesticides all over the place? Toxins everywhere, do you think your apples are still edible? think again. I had an apple turnover and it no longer tasted like it should. Wake up people, we are in for quite a ride very soon.
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01:18 AM on 01/06/2012
Humanity isn't obsessed with end of the world predictions. That is completely owned by the religious/spiritual crowd.
09:16 PM on 01/05/2012
JESUS THE LAST NEPHILM ISBN:1-978-1-84748-797-1 AD---"Mary, these things will come to pass in the future.They were foretold by Enki and written by Daniel in his book.Enki gave Daniel a vision of the end time.A mighty image of exceeding brightness stood before Daniel. "The head of this image was of fine gold,its breast and arms of silver,its belly and thighs of bronze,its legs of iron,its feet partly of iron and partly of clay.as you looked a stone was cut out by no human hand and it smote the image on its feet of mire and clay,and broke them in pieces,all together were broken in pieces.Daniel 2:32-35.
Then Daniel said,"Oh,my lord ,what shall be the issue of these things?" 'Enki said,"go your way,Daniel,for the words are shut up and sealed until the time of the end.".
Jesus said to Mary,"We are in the time of the legs of iron.This is not the end time,for many things will come to pass!
'Daniels vision represents the last ten great civilisations of Europe after the fall of the Roman Empire.
'The stone that is cut is a satellite moon traveling towards Earth-----------------------2012.'The continent of Europe will be obliterated!!!.
'Mary, with the destruction of the continent of Europe all the coastal areas of the planet will be engulfed by huge tsunamis and all of the island nations will disappear.
07:56 PM on 01/05/2012
It took me a long time. I have news, I figure it out. The apocalypse has already happened, the chosen are in heaven, and we are the left behind! That just explains so much, particularly our political and religious leadership!

see you on this side :) Hariaum
04:53 PM on 01/05/2012
It will be a good business year for those who don't mind milking the sucker?
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ZenGardner
Cogito ergo atheus. 6.875
07:46 AM on 01/05/2012
This... and the second coming of what's-his-name.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
07:22 AM on 01/05/2012
It's nothing compared with 03:14:08 on 19 Jan 2038
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OneFish
Various and assorted mutualistic microbial buddies
02:11 AM on 01/05/2012
Long way of saying NO.
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12:36 AM on 01/05/2012
Oh come on. Can't we get just one article that confidently says this is it, we're doomed?

You guys are such anti-apocalypse pessimists.
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ZenGardner
Cogito ergo atheus. 6.875
07:47 AM on 01/05/2012
We had a couple from that Camping fellow... Look at what it got us. End of the World garage sales.
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12:21 AM on 01/06/2012
I missed those articles, it seems.
12:36 AM on 01/06/2012
I agree completely, Zen. People just have to jump on the first bus that comes along.

btw... I have a 2011 Ford Expedition for sale on 12/20/2012 best offer :-/
11:05 PM on 01/04/2012
The world never ended? Hm. Yeah, makes sense. That would explain why it's still here. The world, I mean.