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Jed Kolko

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State of the Union: Small Missing Pieces in the Messy Housing Puzzle

Posted: 01/25/2012 9:01 am

You might have missed it among the long, long to-do list Obama gave last night, but the president announced two new housing proposals: more refinancing, and more investigations of banks. Neither is a breakthrough: they fill in some of the missing pieces in the messy jigsaw puzzle of Obama's housing policy. Here's what he proposed:

1) Letting more borrowers refinance. Obama proposed that "every responsible homeowner" be able to refinance. The existing refinancing program (HARP) lets borrowers who are current on their mortgages refinance even if they're way underwater -- but only if their loans are guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Obama's proposal would extend refinancing to borrowers who are current but whose loans AREN'T guaranteed by Fannie or Freddie -- which the New York Times reports could be two or three million borrowers. It sounds like Obama will ask Congress to let the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) guarantee refinancings by underwater borrowers and charge big banks a fee to cover the costs. If Congress is involved and banks are asked to pay ... well, let's just say it's not a done deal. Obama doesn't always get his way with Congress or with the banks.

And if this happens? It won't save the housing market. Letting borrowers refinance only if they're current on payments won't help people on the verge of losing their homes. And, refinancing won't reduce principal, so underwater borrowers stay underwater. Refinancing is economic stimulus: it gives homeowners with mortgages more spending money. (I said the same thing last October about the expansion of HARP.)

2) Investigating mortgage lending and securitization. Again, this proposal fills in missing pieces. That big robo-signing settlement -- which Obama didn't mention tonight but could come soon -- would punish banks only for their foreclosure practices. The new, proposed investigation would have those same states' attorneys-general plus the feds go after risky lending and securitization practices. It's great politics to punish banks, and maybe they deserve it. But remember, the robo-signing controversy has gummed up the foreclosure process as banks wait for the settlement to set clear rules on foreclosures. What if this new investigation gums up lending and securitization? That could make mortgages scarcer and more expensive.

The only real housing fireworks was the swipe Obama took at Republican candidate Mitt Romney. The president said "responsible homeowners shouldn't have to sit and wait for the housing market to hit bottom," a direct hit at Romney's comments in Nevada last October that the foreclosure process should "run its course and hit the bottom." If Romney gets to face Obama in the presidential election, you can bet Obama will be tossing that quote back in Romney's face again and again. Here's to 2012!

 

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10:52 PM on 01/25/2012
What a great idea, giving those who hold mortgages on houses whose value is tens of thousands, sometime hundreds of thousands less than the value of those mortgages all their money back courtesy of taxpayers so that those taxpayers can become the holders of underwater mortgages. What a delightful bailout poor irresponsible lenders and a wonderful burden to place on taxpayers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
fineartgalaxy
Speaking from the heart, always.
02:55 PM on 01/25/2012
Just follow the common sense. Foreclosures would not be taking place if they were really hurting the banks. They continue because they are making money to the banks. Otherwise the banks would had stop them a long time ago. Never mind any old or new rhetorical fiscal argument.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
01:32 PM on 01/25/2012
Related, TAIBBI: Looting Main Street
How the nation's biggest banks are ripping off American cities with the same predatory deals that brought down Greece

By Matt Taibbi

If you want to know what life in the Third World is like, just ask Lisa Pack, an administrative assistant who works in the roads and transportation department in Jefferson County, Alabama. Pack got rudely introduced to life in post-crisis America last August, when word came down that she and 1,000 of her fellow public employees would have to take a little unpaid vacation for a while. The county, it turned out, was more than $5 billion in debt — meaning that courthouses, jails and sheriff's precincts had to be closed so that Wall Street banks could be paid.

Wall Street's Bailout Hustle

more: THE SCHEME and its coming to your neighborhood SOON

Read more: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/looting-main-street-20100331#ixzz1kUmKBB8u
01:18 PM on 01/25/2012
The HARP program has helped me , so I am grateful for it. I went from working a 50 hours week to a 15 hour week starting in 2008. The HARP program lowered my monthly payments by a $100 a month and also was able to shave 2 years off of the loan ( I had 22 years left and refied to a 20 year thus saving about $ 23 K over the life of the loan) That additional $100 a month goes to cover my ever increasing insurance costs. It has been a successful stimulus for my personal economy.
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WI Patriot
Defending the Constitution.
11:48 AM on 01/25/2012
Hey Jed, I thought the brain trust that came up with this for Obama said ONLY GSE mortgages would be included, and non-GSE banks would be excluded?
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carolgregor
09:59 AM on 01/25/2012
Until everyone realizes that banks told homeowners NOT to pay, to Stop paying their mortgages in order to be refinanced and then would not take payment after no response to a modification. Until then, there will be the illusion that people in a foreclosure are deadbeats, this is not the case. There are millions of homeowners who have stopped paying after they did what the banks required and are now still singled out. Most qualify if there were any attempts by banks to truly help homeowners but we all know homeowners were used in the largest fraudulent Wall Street abuse in history. It is the homeowner, loss of equity and often homestead who have paid the price and should be restored to some level of economic and personal quality. There are no deadbeats, only destroyed families.
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WI Patriot
Defending the Constitution.
11:56 AM on 01/25/2012
Who do you think included that loophole for banks? Your good 'ole president. The program you are talking about is HAMP.

" You have a financial hardship and are either delinquent or in danger of falling behind."

In the mortgage world, you are in default if you fail to pay after about 3 months, which is written in your mortgage promissary note. And once you are in default you are at the mercy of the bank, and not even the govt can save you - as we say the last few years.
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WI Patriot
Defending the Constitution.
12:32 PM on 01/25/2012
To put it another way - HAMP worked exactly like the "repair your credit!" scams in the late 90's. You would give control of your credit card accounts to this company, they would let it go into collections (default), then buy the debt at 60%, while you pay a slightly lower amount (alot more than 60% of the debt owed tho).

Of course your credit would get hit because you went into collections, and your credit card account would be closed. In Real Estate its called foreclosed.
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carolgregor
07:15 PM on 01/25/2012
Unregulated banking defrauds homeowners