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Jeffrey Sachs

Jeffrey Sachs

Posted April 2, 2009 | 05:25 PM (EST)

G-20 Accomplishments Beyond Expectation


LONDON--The G-20 came through. What I witnessed as a member of Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon's delegation was deeply heartening. The leaders were serious, consequent, and - yes - even efficient in their work. UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown ably chaired the conference, President Barack Obama brought America back to global diplomatic leadership, and a number of leaders filled the room with intelligence, commitment, and determination to cooperate. Standouts included Jose Luis Zapatero of Spain, Kevin Rudd of Australia, Felipe Calderon of Mexico, Hu Jintao of China, and Lula da Silva of Brazil.

The results were beyond what most, including myself, expected. IMF resources were raised significantly, to provide a liquidity cushion for global trade and production. The World Bank and regional development banks (such as the African Development Bank) were encouraged to boost lending, backed by commitments of the G-20 to raise the capital base of these multilateral banks. Taken together, the combination of new credit lines of all sorts - in effect, new liquidity - is on the order of $1.1 trillion. While this is much less than direct spending in its effect on aggregate demand, the contribution to increased global liquidity will certainly be helpful for many economies, especially emerging-market economies suffering from an intense credit squeeze since the Lehman bankruptcy last fall.

Serious progress was also made on a framework of tighter global financial regulations, including controls on executive compensation, crackdowns on tax havens, controls over hedge funds, and much-needed regulation of the "shadow banking" system (broadly meaning investment funds that depend on very short-term borrowing in forms that compete with bank deposits). There were also commitments to new forms of global cooperation in financial regulation, including procedures for removing toxic assets from bank balance sheets. The G-20 also agreed to do better in the fight against creeping protectionism.

The poorest countries, by and large, were not in the room. As usual, their plight came far behind the immediate concerns of the high-income and middle-income countries. Still, through the assiduous efforts of Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon and several other leaders, there was a clear re-commitment to the Millennium Development Goals, a strong reiteration of commitments on development assistance (implying an increase in development assistance from around $120 billion in 2008 to at least $160 billion by 2010), and an intention to launch new global efforts on stronger social safety nets for the poor (led by the World Bank). There was also and innovative support for smallholder farmers to raise the food production and food security of the poor, championed strongly by the Secretary General, President Obama, and Prime Minister Zapatero.

Two crucial issues remained almost wholly off the table, and will need to be brought in sooner rather than later into future G-20 deliberations. Exchange rates were hardly mentioned, despite the fact that exchange rate adjustments are surely needed to smooth the elimination of large and unsustainable global trade imbalances. Also, the increasingly fragile position of the dollar as the world's reserve currency was discreetly ignored. Monetary policy and exchange rates played a large role in the onset of the crisis, and we will need deep reforms of international monetary arrangements in order to secure a sustainable recovery.

With all that the G-20 really accomplished, two more points are vital to appreciate. First, the G20 actions will certainly not stop the recession in its tracks, nor even prevent unemployment from continuing to rise markedly. We remain in the grips of a very deep recession with a dynamic beyond any immediate solution. The G-20 actions will help to stop the downturn from spiraling into a yet-deeper collapse, but will not stop the recession by itself. Second, much of the policy framework adopted by the G-20 is only a sketch of policy, not the detailed regulations and implementation strategy. The very hard work remains of translating the G-20 achievements into practical action. For that, the leaders will have to recognize that they need to designate key officials for round-the-clock work. Communiques are but a start, not a finish, of the process of true global cooperation.

LONDON--The G-20 came through. What I witnessed as a member of Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon's delegation was deeply heartening. The leaders were serious, consequent, and - yes - even efficient in t...
LONDON--The G-20 came through. What I witnessed as a member of Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon's delegation was deeply heartening. The leaders were serious, consequent, and - yes - even efficient in t...
 
 
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08:29 PM on 04/05/2009
$1 trillion for the IMF? you call that some kind of big accomplishment?

i guess in obama's mind, since he loves pouring money into broken programs and institutions (social security, medicare, GM, Ford)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
politicky
just follow the $$$
04:50 PM on 04/05/2009
Any information on the interest rates for all that new lending to the developing nations?
12:21 PM on 04/05/2009
If you listen to the sorry arse MSM, you would think President is a complete failure. I turned Ed Smackdown Henry off because he was singing the doom and gloom of the conservatives. As a matter of fact, all of them were so busy saying what this President did not get rather than some positive comments about what the President DID GET. Not a word about how well this President was received considering the 8 past years of "arrogance, dismisiveness, and at times derisive" behaviour of Bush and his cronies. Well, too bad because once again this President went straight to the people and these pictures tell the story. CNN is the new Fox.

After all the criticism of the Obama administration from Mr. Sachs, it is good to hear something positive from him. Perhaps he will go on the Morning Joe show with the good news if they will have him since they only seek Obama bashers.
10:33 PM on 04/03/2009
Mr. Sachs, I'm disappointed in you. After your last last excellent post, the Admin must have got to you because now you seem to be couching everything you say in that cheery fake optimism. You know the IMF and World Bank are corrupt. Dumping another $1 trillion into them just exacerbates that problem. The speeches, pronouncements and photo ops, amount to nothing more than a slight refinement of the status quo. Simply put, nothing will change.
08:39 AM on 04/05/2009
I think you misunderstood the concept of CHANGE.

Change can mean making something different.

Or it can be what trickles down to you after you are given a few pennies back to you.

We are getting change.

Drink the KOOL AID and a few pennies, not given to banks and special interest and the military, will be given back to you.

It is the TRICKLE DOWN THEORY brought into the 21st Century.

That is why Obama could use Reagan's guys - you know like Paul Volcker - to bring in this chang.
04:58 PM on 04/05/2009
Paul Volcker was nominated first by President Carter.
10:35 PM on 04/05/2009
Tell us exactly how IMF is known to be corrupt? Policy mistakes, yes. Some have been pretty severe, under the failed philosophy of so-called "Washington consensus" (look it up, ignorant). But do give an example about IMF's glaring corruption.

While we are at it, can you give any example where IMF loan was not paid back in full with interest by its borrowers?
05:35 PM on 04/03/2009
What the G-20 showed us was that Obama is a STATESMAN. Yes, he has his flaws. And , he can't walk on water. But he could be the catalyst that brings us all together. I hope for our sake, God watches over him. Good luck, MR. PRESIDENT.
03:18 PM on 04/03/2009
Obama is a consummate diplomat. If he wasn't President, he could be a great Sec of State or head of the U.N.
03:01 PM on 04/03/2009
Obama promises at G20

Fight against protectionism.
This means kiss our manufacturing base goodbye. This means permanent trade imbalances. This means massive inflation that will destroy all US business dependent on discretionary spending. This means elimination of the US as a significant player in technoilogy advances. This means permanent Depression in the US.

No significant change in regulation of international finance. Just a watchdog with no authority.
This means business as usual from Wall Street including: phony book valuation by bankers instread of mark to market. Bankers and Hedge Fund speculators driving oil to $140 with impunity. Next speculator target is cap&trade carbon tax.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TJCole
01:21 PM on 04/03/2009
Professor; We'll only know if this will work if we do not suffer again the artificial manipulation of the Oil and Gas market and prices as we experienced due to speculators as we have already to such serious harm to our nation and economy, or other commodity any where they feel free and safe to attack...!

"The proof is in the pudding...!"
10:58 AM on 04/03/2009
We have come a long way since Reagan-Thatcher, but at least the leaders are moving in the right direction, because the neo-cons are totally discredited in every aspect of their philosophy and analysis. It's not for nothing that the progressive forces are now in the ascendant, and will shape the architecture to suit the greatest good for the greatest number, rather than allowing a new feudalism under the monied class.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jeanrenoir
08:57 AM on 04/03/2009
What a difference intelligence and charm make! What a shock! An American preisident who actually grasps EVERYTHING, and has the personal and political skills to get things done. Obama makes Bill Clinton look like a pork rinds hayseed. Obama has all the political gifts of Ronald Reagan (which were infinitely greater than Clinton's) married to the political vision of a wonderfully pragmatic and effecive FDR. Our fat, lazy, so often incredibly stupid (as in 2000 and 2004, for starters) American public has lucked into a president much better than they deserve. (And if they hadn't been scared to death by the emerging economic collapse, the fools would no doubt have actually elected McCain/Palin, for dessert after Bush, since their fantasies of having sex with Palin were even more appealing than drinking bee with W before). Maybe there really IS a God. What a concept! Obama is the closest thing to a miracle I've seen in fifty years of observing American politics. America is by far the most anti-intellectual rich country on earth. Maybe the American booboisie is going to finally get the message from Obama's success that Americans need to elect someone MUCH smarter than they are--someone who's actually heard of countries besides England and France--instead of a dolt they would feel comfortable with at a backyard barbecue.
10:34 AM on 04/03/2009
Wow!

As a Democrat this adulation is a little scary. Do we stand for principles and ideals as a party or do we stand for idol worship?

Miracle?

I will opt for rational over miracle anyday.

We see a lot of fundamentalist attitudes towards this President.

What we don't want to get to is a fundamentalist following without thinking.

“In religion and politics, people’s beliefs and convictions are in almost every case gotten at second-hand, and without examination, from authorities who have not themselves examined the questions at issue, but have taken them at second-had from other non-examiners, whose opinions about them were not worth a brass farthing.” Mark Twain

A little scepticism allowed within the party is very healthy.
01:44 PM on 04/03/2009
Too late for skepticism, BlackSwan13, the cult of personality has already taken root and is in full flower. What we see is a populace so desperate for security and stability after 8 years of being traumatized by the Bush/Cheney regime, that they've become irrational cheerleaders for their new leader. They embrace his words while ignoring his actions. This is a mirror image of the blind devotion W enjoyed from his ardent supporters. P.T. Barnum would be overjoyed with these circumstances.
10:42 AM on 04/03/2009
You are absolutely, 100% correct. It all comes down to intelligence and the ability to perform critical thinking. Something that every president since JFK - and virtually every presidential candidate (with the exception of Al Gore) - has lacked the ability to do.

That's all it takes. It's not even beyond the capabilities of a member of another political party. But I haven't seen a Republican presidential candidate with this capability since Goldwater.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tlgeiger62
A woman of substance.
08:00 AM on 04/03/2009
Thank you for this piece - so much of what has been "discussed" in the media was about the Obama's breaking protocol and what Michelle wore to what function.
10:24 PM on 04/02/2009
I just hope that Jeffrey Sachs is right.

Just remember that he was the man who promised Russia that the World Bank and IMF would come to their aid if they instituted the reforms he talked them into and then was shocked when Clinton and the economic boys abandoned him.

I want to believe. I hope that alot was accomplished, but as Mr. Sachs has found out himself, you can lay your neck on the line and think it is going one way when the rug can be pulled out from underneath you. He himself experienced that with President Clinton. I hope the same thing does not happen to us.

I just hope that Jeffrey Sachs is right.
08:42 PM on 04/02/2009
There must truly be something special that Obama exudes, the world leaders grew smiley and then animated and then joyous, soon they were giggling. They loved him! They couldn't help it.
They're saying, he's not afraid, he's not angry, he's not arrogant, he's not mean, he isn't scary...Oh my gawd, he's real and he listens, glory be.
They were all breathing a sigh of relief you could feel clear across the ocean.
Obama is on overload with political capital right now. His budget passed the house here.
His Atty Gen has been heard from, albeit in the little case on Stevens. Maybe Holder will come out and tell us his office is ready to take on something serious. He had time to pour over the pages on Stevens when there are huge cases that are screaming for attention? ...come on Eric Holder.
08:07 AM on 04/03/2009
It's called intelligence, something that has been missing in the White House since 1963.

LBJ was a political hack; Nixon was paranoid; Ford a bumbling f00l; Carter a misplaced idealist and weakling; Reagan was a reactionary entering senility; Bush 41 a dweeb; Clinton a dilettante; and Dubya was, well Dubya.

Intelligence, combined with sincerity, humility, and a genuine liking for his fellow man. Obama may well go down as the greatest president in US history. Only time will tell, but no one - except a Repub Kool-Aid drinker - can argue that he is off to a great start under the worst of circumstances.
08:29 AM on 04/03/2009
As a Democarat I have some problems with who is drinking the KOOL AID.

Obama put together an economic team comprised of all the economic people that you disparage.

When did Paul Voclker pull the rug out from Jimmy Carter in favor of the banks instead of the people - 1979

Who has Lawrence Summers worked for?

Timothy Geithner?

The list could go on and on.

Was George Bush really in charge? Who was behind him?

No one disputes Obama's intelligence. At least I don't think anyone should.

It is ok to question his appointments, and where his intelligence is taking us and if we are really seeing any change, is it not?

Do I have to be an Obama fundamentalist to remain in the party?

Is there a new rule of Democratic orthodoxy?

"Orthodoxy means not thinking — not needing to think. Orthodoxy is unconsciousness." - George Orwell, 1984
08:38 PM on 04/02/2009
I was just watching Bill O on Fox News in our cafeteria, and can you believe he's reporting that Obama accomplished nothing at the G20 summit, how he was unpopular, and that there was no rapport between him and Gordon Brown. That as a novice not much was to be expected of him.

I am still in shock that they could dare to report such fabrications!.
3rdCitizen
Nobody knows for sure.
10:42 PM on 04/02/2009
I'd be in shock if Bill O'Reilly said something truthful & worthy of respect.
12:27 AM on 04/03/2009
Bill took a bigger gulp of hatorade didn't he? Today I've watched news from the BBC, Al-Jazeera and RAI and they all said that Obama did better than expected. The right can't take it that he's well liked.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
faith
peace-love-brotherhood
07:50 PM on 04/02/2009
This is thrilling news ! And, if is so much more meaningful coming from such a respected person as Jeffrey Sachs ! Cheers for our President who understands diplomacy, the value of listening, good humor, and mediation.