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Jim Garrison

Jim Garrison

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The Perfect Eco-Technical Storm in Japan

Posted: 03/18/11 08:52 AM ET

Japan has experienced the perfect eco-technical storm -- the worst earthquake and tsunami in its history and now the most nightmarish of nuclear meltdowns of not just one but three nuclear reactors plus the explosion in the fuel pond where the spent fuel rods from the reactors are kept. Ecology has assaulted technology. In the face of overwhelming natural forces, the arrogance of nuclear technology is being laid bare for the entire world to see.

If there is any country in the world that should have never built a single nuclear reactor it is Japan. Because of the enormous amounts of deadly radiation they produce and the fact that radiation, once released, can cause lethal damage to living beings for thousands of years, nuclear reactors require as much geologic stability as they do political security. Japan has small earthquakes on a regular basis throughout the year. The entire island chain is part of the "ring of fire" that encircles the Pacific -- a highly volatile earthquake and volcano prone part of the earth's surface, which includes the west coast of the United States.

But the Japanese government and nuclear industry, like its U.S. counterparts, went ahead anyway, asserting that they had things under control and that the probability of a major natural disaster of the magnitude just witnessed was statistically insignificant. In other words, what just happened was such a remote possibility that the plants could be built anyway. No worries, mate.

And now, as the Fukushima nuclear park is being laid waste by natural forces, we have condemned countless people in Japan and the world over to suffer the effects of the radiation poisoning, depending on the currents of the oceans and the winds. In the fuel pond alone, there is over 20,000 times the amount of cesium 137 and strontium 90 as in the Hiroshima bomb as well as large amounts of iodine and plutonium. Not all this has been released, but the amounts that are released into the sea can be taken up by fish and eaten. The amounts released into the atmosphere can be taken into the body by inhalation or ingestion.

Once in the body, these radionuclides concentrate in different organs, continuing to decay and releasing deadly gamma and beta waves. Cesium 137 attacks the muscles and produces cancer. Strontium 90 attacks the bones and causes leukemia. Iodine attacks the thyroid gland and plutonium can settle in the lungs, both causing cancer. When one adds the amount of radiation released by the fuel pond with the amount released from the meltdowns of the three reactors, the amount of radiation now out in the environment is almost unimaginable in both quantity and long term health effects. And the worst may be yet to come.

What makes matters even more ominous is the fact that what is happening in Japan can happen anywhere, particularly in geologically fragile areas like the California coast where four nuclear reactors operate. Moreover, the probability that another accident will happen is escalating. The Japanese disaster is not an isolated event. It is but the latest incident in the most serious and potentially devastating megatrend in the world right now -- the escalating turbulence in our natural systems. In the past twenty five years, extreme weather events have quadrupled in frequency and escalated in intensity. Climate change is morphing into climate shock as month after month natural disasters pile up and wreak havoc on societies everywhere, overwhelming our most sophisticated technologies. Consider what has happened in just the past year:

Last March, a volcano in Iceland suddenly erupted with a plume that shut down northern European airports for a week and in England much longer. In July, scorching heat plagued Russia, killing thousands of people and devastating crops as torrential rains and river flooding ravaged Pakistan until fully 20% of the entire nation was underwater. In August, a huge block of ice the size of Rhode Island broke off of Antarctica and another huge block of ice nine times the size of Manhattan broke off of Greenland, signaling sea level rise, as mudslides devastated China with towns up to the third and fourth stories inundated with mud. Then came the unprecedented series of major storms that plummeted northern Europe and the East coast of the United States in January and February of this year, shutting down airports for extended periods.

Nature is reminding us that as powerful as we think we are, we are not the Prime Mover. She is. In the face of nature, human technology is but chaff in the wind.

As we face the future, we must expect that natural disasters will continue to escalate in frequency and ferocity. Because we are making no serious collective effort to address the crisis of global warming, we are entering white water history and will experience an escalating cascade of crises that will shake the foundations of human civilization. Nature is seeking to redress a balance that human effort and technology has consistently violated for a very long time. She will continue to do so until we either change our ways and align human systems with natural systems or face the intensifying devastation of our modern way of life.

The only solution is to immediately and with a war level mobilization transition away from fossil fuel and nuclear power to clean technology and renewable energy. On this decision rests, quite literally, the fate of our sojourn on this earth.

 
 
 
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Alexia Parks
09:54 AM on 03/19/2011
Eloquently written. And the phrase: "We are entering the white water of history..." reminds us that we need to become more self-reliant and self-sufficient as we streamline our lives for the long ride ahead.
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01:30 AM on 03/19/2011
I agree with Jim Garrison that it is high time that many of us get out of denial about the way in which we have been postponing dealing with the environmental crisis facing us. Though there may not be unanimity with regards to the causes of the environmental devastation that we have been seeing around the world, we must admit that these overwhelming events have been taking place. The disastrous earthquake and Tsunami in Japan, recently, is only the latest of such environmental changes around the world.. It, therefore, behooves us to overcome our differences and join together to confront these environmental changes in the most practicable ways possible.
02:33 PM on 03/18/2011
"Because of the enormous amounts of deadly radiation they produce and the fact that radiation, once released, can cause lethal damage to living beings for thousands of years"

Compare that to the amount of deadly chemicals (like mercury, not even C02) emitted into the atmosphere every day by "ecologically safe" coal power stations and you will see that nuclear pales in comparison.

All this talk about the "horrible dangers" of nuclear power is just unethical exploitation of people's sentiments amid the disaster.

If you want to get rid of nuclear reactors, stop using electricity.
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Alexia Parks
10:02 AM on 03/19/2011
Here's a different answer, two actually. 1.) Find every possible way to reduce our daily energy use ... and this is not just weatherization, bikeways, pedestrian friendly cities; it especially applies to high energy users such as the military worldwide, prisons, corporate farms, and high tech facilities like Oak Ridge, TN... which in the 1940's used almost 1/7th of the energy of the U.S. for it's Manhattan Project and the building of the atomic bomb. 2.) Use local energy whenever possible: wind, water, tidal, solar. You get the idea.
whitebeach
Hey, buddy, can you spare a micro-bio?
01:13 PM on 03/18/2011
Nature is not "seeking" anything, much less "to redress" something. Nature is doing pretty much what it has always done. Sure, question the wisdom of any particular technological choice, but please, don't ascribe rational or emotional motivations to nature. Look at it this way: The asteroid that exploded over Siberia in the early 1900s destroyed millions of trees and some animals, but few if any human beings or their technological works. If nature were seeking "redress," wouldn't it have chosen London or Paris or New York instead of Siberia? But who knows, maybe nature has some horrible grievance against trees.
T-Haight
What was wrong with federalism?
12:44 PM on 03/18/2011
Tens of thousands have died as a result of the tsunami. Zero, as yet, have died from radiation. At Chernobyl, only a few dozen died, possibly with a few hundred premature deaths. At TMI, zero. Further, TMI was used as a lesson to improve safety across the globe (as will the situation in Japan).

Thus please, in great detail, explain what the dreadful threat is, aside from the fear of a minor danger that can be neither seen nor felt.
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CropCircles
Fall down 7 times: stand up 8.
01:33 PM on 03/18/2011
"... a minor danger that can be neither seen nor felt." - T-Haight

Just because there is no pain felt at the point of entry when a radioactive element passes through skin doesn't mean that nothing is felt. When you have had enough radioactivity entering the body that you lose all your hair and you retch your guts out, you might entertain another opinion.
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Fred Enfield
11:49 AM on 03/18/2011
I don't agree with "nature getting even". At one time, this planet was a mass of boiling rocks.
What we consider extremes will occur regularly whether or not we behave. But the author definitely makes sense otherwise.
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wbthacker
Can YOU pass the Turing Test?
11:22 AM on 03/18/2011
"In the face of nature, human technology is but chaff in the wind"

So you're saying humans couldn't be the cause of global warming?

I think you're underestimating technology. Maybe it's because you treat nature like some kind of god or religion; the devout always struggle with technology (because it allows humans to dabble with god-like powers). We can make our own planet warmer -- and even you think we can make it cooler again. We have doubled or trebled our life expectancy and increased our population far beyond what nature could have supported without our farming technology.

And when nature deals us a body blow, we always recover and come back stronger than ever. Nature's worst catastrophes have barely slowed our progress.

That's not "chaff in the wind." Nature is ignorant. It reaches balance, not because balance is good, but because it has no choice. Thermodynamics compels it. Nature isn't some god dispensing justice, it's physics responding to energy gradients and mass distributions. If you want morality or justice, it only comes from people.
10:59 AM on 03/18/2011
Is this article implying that there is some kind of relationship between plate techtonics and weather patterns?
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01:10 PM on 03/18/2011
No, but look at the big picture. There is a relationship between overpopulation, which leads to inhabiting zones that are treacherous (simple example: Mississippi floods and New Orleans where devestation recurs and yet people keep coming back) while at the same time generating increases in global warming and the use of risky technology.

And with such a pattern, the rich get richer and the rest get poisoned.
whitebeach
Hey, buddy, can you spare a micro-bio?
01:34 PM on 03/18/2011
Your analysis is wrong about the "big picture" in some key ways.

First, let's just take the example of "Mississippi floods and New Orleans." The Mississippi River has not seriously flooded New Orleans in probably a century or more. (Hint: Katrina flooding had nothing to do with the river or its levees.)

Second, overpopulation does not lead to populating areas that are inherently treacherous. People move to or simply remain in areas that are exposed to this or that danger (seacoasts, seismic zones, floodplains, etc.) because there are strong reasons for them there (jobs, scenic beauty, family, good farmland, whatever), not because they are driven to these places because of overpopulation.

Put another way, people don't retire to the coasts of Florida in droves because they felt overcrowded back in Michigan or Minnesota. They do it for the warm weather and the swimming pools and the beaches and the presence of other likeminded folks. They don't escape there to face hurricanes and what not out of some horrible demographic necessity. They don't move to an apartment in L.A. from Keokuk because the population of Keokuk is so great that they're willing to face the risk of earthquakes.

But if you're wrong about these things, you're absolutely right about the overall problem of overpopulation. It's what drives everything in terms of increasing release of greenhouse gases, decreasing resources, and many other undesirable outcomes. We, all nations, need to find a way to curb the population explosion.
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sposton
right to tell what they don't want to hear
09:41 AM on 03/18/2011
Blind faith in technology is a manifestation of human hubris and it is a form of idolatry.
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CropCircles
Fall down 7 times: stand up 8.
09:27 AM on 03/18/2011
The only thing I would change about this article is the title. I would have used

The Earth Strikes Back