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Joe Cirincione

Joe Cirincione

Posted: July 17, 2009 05:13 PM

Gates Grounds the Airborne White Elephant Laser


What a difference a president makes. Under President George Bush, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates resolutely defended every dime of last year's $11 billion budget for anti-missile weapons programs. Now reporting to President Obama, who favors weapons programs that are operationally effective and affordable, he is free to say what military officials have known for years: many of these programs don't work. He has trimmed $1.6 billion from the budget and axed three of the worst projects, infuriating the high priests of the missile defense cargo cult.

Independent experts have been documenting the serious flaws for years, but have been out shouted by these theologians and the major defense contractors. Victoria Samson, for example, has carefully tracked these programs at the Center for Defense Information. Four years ago she reported on the deep flaws in one: the Airborne Laser.

Forget the many technical problems that convinced many of us that this flying white elephant would never work. All you have to know is this: air crews would have to fly an unarmed 747 plane carrying the laser deep into enemy territory and circle for hours in order to even have a chance of getting a shot at an enemy missile rising from cloud cover.

If that strikes you as a suicide mission, you are right. This is one reason why now-Undersecretary of State Ellen Tauscher tried to kill this boondoggle when she was chair of the Strategic Forces Subcommittee of the House Armed Services Committee. She was beaten back by Boeing Company and those members whose districts benefited from the plane's contracts.

Now Secretary of Defense Gates is slowly restoring some common sense to these programs. Here is what he said July 16 in Chicago:

Correspondingly, the recent tests of a possible nuclear device and ballistic missiles by North Korea brought scrutiny to the changes in this budget that relate to missile defense. The risk to national security has again been invoked, mainly because the total missile defense budget was reduced from last year.



In fact, where the threat is real or growing - from rogue states or from short-to-medium range missiles that can hit our deployed troops or our allies and friends - this budget sustains or increases funding. Most of the cuts in this area come from two programs that are designed to shoot down enemy missiles immediately after launch. This was a great idea, but the aspiration was overwhelmed by the escalating costs, operational problems, and technological challenges.


Consider the example of one of those programs - the Airborne Laser. This was supposed to put high-powered lasers on a fleet of 747s. After more than a decade of research and development, we have yet to achieve a laser with enough power to knock down a missile in boost phase more than 50 miles from the launch pad - thus requiring these huge planes to loiter deep in enemy air space to have a feasible chance at a direct hit.

Moreover, the 10 to 20 aircraft needed would cost about $1.5 billion each plus tens of millions of dollars each year for maintenance and operating costs. The program and operating concept were fatally flawed and it was time to face reality. So we curtailed the existing program while keeping the prototype aircraft for research and development.

....

Some have called for yet more analysis before making any of the decisions in this budget. But when dealing with programs that were clearly out of control, performing poorly, and excess to the military's real requirements, we did not need more study, more debate, or more delay - in effect, paralysis through analysis. What was needed were three things - common sense, political will, and tough decisions. Qualities too often in short supply in Washington, D.C.


All of these decisions involved considering trade-offs, balancing risks, and setting priorities - separating nice-to-haves from have-to-haves, requirements from appetites. We cannot expect to eliminate risk and danger by simply spending more - especially if we're spending on the wrong things. But more to the point, we all - the military, the Congress, and industry - have to face some iron fiscal realities.


The anti-missile program is still packed with pork. There is no sign that realistic testing will be required of the weapons. Worse, the Bush-created Missile Defense Agency still exists, operating as a full-time, in-house lobbyist.


But we are seeing some progress, some effort to rein in run-away spending. The President will need to do much more next year when he produces his first real Obama defense budget.

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LintLass
"When you can balance a tackhammer on your head...
12:33 PM on 07/18/2009
Darn it, I can think of other uses for that! :)

What about the Blob That Shall Not Be Named off the coast of Alaska? Eh? *bwahaha!* You'll be sorry!

(Sorry, I've been having too much fun with that today. :) )
12:16 PM on 07/18/2009
Boeing lobbyists landed a lot of contracts where they act as an integrator. This means they provide little work on their own and most of the work is subcontracted out to other companies. In this case Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin. Boeing is the governments' largest provider of integrator support for the government. For these programs, integrators are not only taking 30% profit, but running up huge costs for overhead. The overhead costs are in many cases costing more than the actual work being performed by subcontractors and the overhead cost keep increasing and less money goes to work.

It has reached a disaster to the point where the govt is in the process of transferring it's largest integrator program (FCS) away from Boeing so the govt can run it themselves. They are doing away with integrator programs across the board because of massive cost over runs. Between now and October 1, Being will lose most of the FCS program and will start losing it's remaining integrator programs. Not good time to be Boeing stock holder.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Joe Cirincione
President, Plougshares Fund
11:58 AM on 07/18/2009
Thank you all for commenting. Anti-missile programs make up the largest, single weapons program in the defense budget. The past approach of rushing to deploy systems before they have been proven operational effective has wasted tens of billions of dollars.

For those who think laser weapons are cool -- I agree. In fact, speed-of-light weapons may offer the only path to effective missile defense. But we are decades away from proving their feasibility. The 1987 American Physical Society study on these directed-energy weapons thought it would take 15-20 years of further study. That proved optimistic. This decision to stop further production and keep the existing plane as a test platform is a reasonable compromise.

The Department of Defense itself warned of this rush to deploy in a 2008 study. I co-authored a Huffington Post article on this with Victoria Samson:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joe-cirincione/new-pentagon-report-slams_b_136388.html

The APS study is here:
http://www.aps.org/policy/reports/studies/index.cfm
11:25 AM on 07/18/2009
Wow - the Great One trimmed $1.6 Billion from the military. These days that is peanuts! How about fixing what is wrong with the projects and moving forward so I can be safe?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dratster
12:06 PM on 07/18/2009
If it was that easy, it would have been done years ago! I work as a consultant for a defense contractor who is scared out of their wits that the F22 program is going to be cancelled and they are going to lose money.

So, end of August we will layoff 250 employees from my LOB, but we are still hiring consultants (at about $200+/hr) because we are CAPEX and not OPEX...

And the freeking pundits (and Senators) are upset because the Office of Public Debt will spend around $4K for a one time charge for a humorist for their management seminar....sheesh.
09:13 AM on 07/18/2009
The first step in fiscal restraint is to get the Pentagon to stop reading comic books for ideas.
11:39 AM on 07/18/2009
You should tell that to our Science Czar who wants to shoot particles into the sky to create artificial clouds to combat global warming. He also wrote a book back in the 70s that called for the creation of a Planetary Regime to carry out forced sterilizations and abortions to control population. The Planetary Regime would also have control over all resources and would have a police force, of course. He has yet to rescind these outrageous ideas.
12:35 PM on 07/18/2009
There is something wrong with population control? Just how many billions, or eventually trillions, of people do you think this tiny little ball of dirt in space can support? Even a rancher comes to grips with the size of his herd. Too big and he is soon out of grass and business. Over population is already straining the earth at the seams, but you want even more people?
11:47 AM on 07/18/2009
Tell that to our science czar who wants to build artifical volcanoes to combat global warming. Check out his ideas in the book Ecoscience, too.
08:32 AM on 07/18/2009
Welfare 3%, Defense at least 40%, if you can believe what the Gvoernment tells you. Clearly the path to a more reasonable budget is to cut defense. We don't need 716 foriegn military bases. Those are not really "defense" installations. They are for offensive purposes. We can't afford them.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
jsarets
11:36 AM on 07/18/2009
They're not for offensive purposes, either. They're for intimidation.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
grf67
06:33 AM on 07/18/2009
And it is about time. The missile defense program is a white color jobs program for Huntsville, AL and a program in search of a mission. We have spents billions and still have no effective defense. The progam can be cut much more.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
09:53 AM on 07/18/2009
please tell me you meant "white *collar*".....otherwise that was a fairly bigoted comment.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
returnofthejedi
Trolls have no chance!
06:21 AM on 07/18/2009
It's funny that we don't hear republicans voice any outrage when it comes to wasteful stupidity such as "an unarmed 747 flying deep into enemy territory to get a shot at a missle". What a joke? It would be funny if not for the fact that there would be an actual pilot in there having to carry out such a suicide mission. What a waste of money and lives this would be. Great move Mr. President.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
temenos
castigat ridendo mores
06:00 AM on 07/18/2009
Hmm, $1.6 Billion should buy a few bullet-proof vests for soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Zenith1959
Buying Things=Job Creator
03:51 AM on 07/18/2009
Maybe O will get really serious and start bringing home our troops from Europe and Asia, how many billions get wasted on that every year? I think its a bit funny that the conserves don't mind spending all that money to help defend those "socialist" European countries. Hey, that's it, lets start a "Bring our troops home from the socialist countries thing", that should get lots of repub support.
03:41 AM on 07/18/2009
cue the neocon talking points.
03:17 AM on 07/18/2009
How can we make and sensible decisions about our own defense when we lie to ourselves about what works and what does not?
03:11 AM on 07/18/2009
How many schools could the price of that thing have bought?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Zenith1959
Buying Things=Job Creator
02:41 AM on 07/18/2009
My B-52 post looks out of place, I thought I hit "reply", oh well.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Zenith1959
Buying Things=Job Creator
02:39 AM on 07/18/2009
No, B-52s entered service 1954 and the Air Force currently plans to keep them flying until at least 2040. I guess there are a few other planes that have been in service almost as long, but don't know how long they will last.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
rich misty
Greed is not Patriotism
04:02 AM on 07/18/2009
B-52 was mil-spec from the design phase. The matured engineering teams that designed the B-17 and the B-26 designed the B-52 as their crowning glory. You can't hardly knock any of those aircraft down. B-26's came in all the time with control surfaces completely destroyed, engines completely missing, just the torn pylons and twisted airframes.

On the B-52, they even replace sections of the airframes as required to keep them up to standard... New, more efficient and cleaner engines have gone into them... Updated flight control systems. Updated avionics, weapons firing system.

It's hardly the same fleet that came off the production lines, they keep them maintained.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
temenos
castigat ridendo mores
06:11 AM on 07/18/2009
From Wikipedia:
In January 2005, the B-52 became the second aircraft, after the English Electric Canberra, to mark 50 years of continuous service with its original primary operator. There are six aircraft altogether that have made this list as of 2009; the other four being the Tupolev Tu-95, the C-130 Hercules, the KC-135 Stratotanker, and the Lockheed U-2.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B-52_Stratofortress

If memory serves, the English Electric Canberra was built under license as the B57 in the US.