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Joe Cirincione

Joe Cirincione

Posted: July 9, 2010 04:25 PM

Romney's Worst Foreign Policy Mistake

What's Your Reaction:

Mitt Romney this week ignored our top military leaders, deepened the split in GOP ranks, made profound factual blunders rivaling Michael Steele's and turned his back on Ronald Reagan's legacy. So why don't you know about this?

This story lit up the blogosphere, but so far the major papers and networks have largely ignored Romney's error-filled screed against a modest treaty to cut US and Russian nuclear weapons -- now being debated in the US Senate. His Washington Post op-ed of July 6 was met with a barrage of withering criticism.

Fred Kaplan of Slate said, "In 35 years of following debates over arms control I have never seen anything quite as shabby, misleading, and -- let's not mince words -- as thoroughly ignorant." Daniel Larison of The American Conservative called Romney's claims "dishonest and misleading." Joe Klein of Time characterized Romney's piece as "an aggressively chuckleheaded attack on the New START Treaty." Marc Ambinder of The Atlantic said Romney's op-ed signals he would "take American foreign policy in a radical old direction." Max Bergmann of ThinkProgress called Romney's vision of nuclear anarchy "immensely dangerous." Baron YoungSmith of The New Republic said, "The degree of his hyperbole is astounding, as is the degree of his opportunism." And Senator John Kerry, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee delivered the knockout blow with his own Washington Post op-ed: Romney simply "ignored the facts."

Romney is the only major GOP politician to oppose the treaty. His article infuriated other Republicans and exposed a three-way split in the party.

Romney embraced the position so far held by only the extreme right wing, what YoungSmith calls the "superhawks," such as John Bolton, Liz Cheney and the Heritage Foundation. Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-AZ) felt compelled to rush to print a Wall Street Journal op-ed to reassert his control over the process. He expressly does not oppose the treaty -- calling it "relatively benign" -- but seeks to delay it to deny President Obama a pre-November victory and force the President to add $3 billion more to his already generous 10-year nuclear weapons budget of $180 billion. Kyl represents the more traditional right wing that now dominates party politics but is both courting and fending off the Mad Hatter Tea Party.

The most devastating critique came from Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN). He is the ranking Republican on the Foreign Relations Committee, strongly supports the treaty, and represents what YoungSmith terms "the responsible Republican foreign policy establishment," all of whom support the treaty. Lugar wrote on July 8:

Governor Mitt Romney's hyperbolic attack on the New START Treaty...repeats discredited objections and appears unaware of arms control history and context. In advancing these arguments, he rejects the Treaty's unequivocal endorsement by the Defense Department led by Secretary Robert Gates and the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He also distances himself from prominent Republican national security leaders, including Jim Schlesinger, Henry Kissinger, James Baker, and Brent Scowcroft, who have backed the Treaty after thoughtful analysis.

New START would strengthen our non-proliferation diplomacy worldwide, limit potential arms competition, and help us focus our defense resources effectively. It offers concrete national security benefits that will make the American people safer, and it should be ratified.

Not Even Close to Accurate

Here is just one of the more than twenty fallacious or factually wrong statements Romney presents in his piece. And it is a whopper. It has not received the attention that Michael Steele garnered with his erroneous claim that Afghanistan is a war of Obama's choosing. Most political commentators knew Steele's charge was obviously wrong; few know enough about nuclear weapons to realize how wildly wrong Romney is.

Romney said:

Russia will retain more than 10,000 nuclear warheads that are categorized as tactical because they are mounted on missiles that cannot reach the United States. But surely they can reach our allies, nations that depend on us for a nuclear umbrella.

This sounds terrifying. And it would be -- if it were true. But Russia does not have 10,000 tactical nuclear missiles that can reach our allies. They don't have even 1,000. At most, Russia has a few hundred sea-based, nuclear-armed, cruise missiles. We are not even sure if these are operational. They may be rusting in Russian storage sites.

Why doesn't Russia have more missiles that can hit our allies? Because Ronald Reagan eliminated them in a negotiated treaty with the Soviet Union in 1987. The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty verifiably destroyed a whole class of missiles (those between about 300 and 3400 miles in range) that once threatened nuclear war in Europe. The Soviet Union destroyed approximately 1750 missiles, and the U.S. destroyed 846.

Then, in 1991, President George H. W. Bush unilaterally withdrew all U.S. ground-launched tactical nuclear missiles and tactical weapons on surface ships. Gorbachev responded in kind a week later by announcing a 60 percent reduction in the Soviet tactical arsenal.

Today, even if you throw in all of Russia's 540 long-range missiles, and its possible 856 air-launched cruise missiles (all limited by the new treaty), Russia still does not have more than 1700 offensive missiles in its entire inventory.

In short, there is nothing close to the 10,000-missile threat Romney imagines.

Where is the Media?

Romney's willful misunderstanding of the strategic nuclear situation confronting the United States and its allies should be major news. Journalists have an obligation to explain to the public when a presidential hopeful commits such egregious errors on national security. But, so far, these judgments have been confined to the blogs. No print columnist or major media reporter has examined the issue. They should.

A good place to start is any or all of the following expert analyses:

  • Steven Pifer and Strobe Talbott's "New START is No Mistake" in The Washington Post [link]
  • Pavel Podvig's "Republicans Question the New START Treaty" in the Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces blog [link]
  • Fred Kaplan's "Wrong-Headed Romney" in Slate [link]
  • Daniel Larison's "Misrepresenting The Prague START" in The American Conservative [link]
  • Max Bergmann's "Mitt Romney Embraces the Far Right's Dangerous Nuclear Extremism in Opposing START" in Think Progress' The Wonk Room [link]
  • Page Van Der Linden's "Mitt Romney: Dazed and Confused on New START" in The Plutonium CafĂ© blog [link]
 

Follow Joe Cirincione on Twitter: www.twitter.com/Cirincione

 
 
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10:36 AM on 07/14/2010
We ought to hope the media will do their job during the 2012 presidential primary campaign season at the very least. This better bite him in the butt later on.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
polkarde
Let freedom ring!
05:40 AM on 07/14/2010
What is really shameful about this episode, is that the mainstream media went totally lame with their reporting of this story....i guess it could be down to what the 'esteemed' Lara Logan called the 'right for access coverage', for when he makes his Presidential run in 2012.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
BlackJAC
It's better to be a black king than a white knight
10:11 AM on 07/12/2010
Mitt Romney cares only about his own career ambitions, and will say and do whatever it takes to fulfill them. Expecting anything else from him is like expecting a cat to not flop down on the newspaper you're reading.
12:41 AM on 07/12/2010
Good question!! Thanks for bring the issue to light.

It is not limited to just this story. Why has there been no coverage of the story involving Supreme Court Justice's wife establishing an organization to promote radical tea party ideas and "take down" president Obama (her org. refuses to disclose its donors)-- why no coverage?? Even the HP has not mentioned anything about it-- Especially when the GOP has been arguing that the Dems are playing politics with the Supreme Court.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cordyc
02:38 AM on 07/14/2010
HP did have a story a while ago. Didn't last long on the front page.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
redsongia
is not Chicago
11:59 PM on 07/11/2010
Why didn't we hear about Romney? Because the guy is totally irrelevant. The GOP hasn't broken the news to him yet, because they are counting on some of that good Mormon money out West for the 2010s, but the truth is, he'll never get the nomination. They'd run another Bush (namely Jeb) before they'd let Romney be their guy. He's not evangelical enough for them, bottom line.
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Iam12Vote
Now With MORE Micro Bio!
08:39 PM on 07/11/2010
The plain poverty of a narrow and rigid ideology held in the withered grip of the GOP is the only thing that has expired. The sooner the media stops holding up this ideology as anything more than bankrupted currency backed by nothing but falsehoods, the better off we'll be.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
FoonTheElder
Always choosing between the lesser of two evils
04:23 PM on 07/11/2010
Romney knows there is big military corporate welfare at stake here, and gol darned if he isn't going to support his political base to the very end.....of the Earth if need be.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
up420oz
02:08 PM on 07/11/2010
well. it does not njeed to hit the MSM as were talkin about a has been with no chance of ever winning. Take this report for example. If mitt raises his hand at a new run, this report becomes front page.

So don't be distracted by this now, pay attention to whats really going on in your priticular neck of the woods, and keep on, keeping on.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
up420oz
02:14 PM on 07/11/2010
need
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Opygollopy
The more I talk to people, the more I love my dogs
01:35 PM on 07/11/2010
Mitt Romney is a younger version of John McCain. More money than brains. They both have enough cash at their disposal so they crave power. That power is to be President. Neither one are or were qualified for the position.

They have spent their lives living on high street, are distainful of the poor and middle class and have personal agendas. Not a national agenda which is what is needed for that office they seek. They care only for their own visions of greatness, not the health, wealth or state of the Country they claim to love.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
01:32 PM on 07/11/2010
This is Mitt Romney, the cold hearted investment fund manager that stripped companies and laid of thousands. He did make billions however for himself and his cronies. This is a man who's not "conservative enough"? He's the ultimate Republican. He strips companies and sacrifices hard working Americans for the benefit of himself and his cronies. Then he uses that money to advance his political ambitions.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/04/us/politics/04bain.html
http://www.massresistance.org/romney/ampad_062607/index.html
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/news/articles/070408/16week.htm
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
redsongia
is not Chicago
12:02 AM on 07/12/2010
Not "conservative" enough -- read: Mormon.

The religious bigotry of the GOP runs deep.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Longtimeliberal
01:14 PM on 07/11/2010
Romney is irresponsible and this will come back on him.
12:58 PM on 07/11/2010
The press is cowardly these days.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
blisster
Need more micro-bio fuel for my mitochondria
11:11 AM on 07/11/2010
Captain Magic Underpants knows that facts and a responsiblity to the truth don't matter to the lemmingtards, just tell them what they think they want to hear, then blame the problem on Obama.
10:45 AM on 07/11/2010
This explains why fox noose was dredging up a Rev. Wright story and bellowing that the MSM wasn't covering Rev. Wright's latest words.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ProfessorDuh
08:33 AM on 07/11/2010
Romney really ought to be exceedingly popular. After all, he's been on every side of every issue. Whoever you are, he has agreed with you completely at some point, with great fake sincerity and faux gravitas.
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Hardyman1966
The antonym of liberal is INTOLERANT.
10:47 AM on 07/11/2010
He's a younger, more sparkley version of John McCain.

Unfortunately for him, he's on the outside of the clubhouse gate and is unlikely to get back in.