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Joe Cirincione

Joe Cirincione

Posted: December 22, 2009 04:18 PM

Stephen Colbert's Secret Plan to Defend America

What's Your Reaction:

Stephen Colbert's plan to string a microscopically thin razor along our entire border is brutal, indiscriminate, dangerous... and smarter than the nuclear defense we now have.

Here is how I learned of his secret plan to defend America. A few weeks ago, I was a guest on his show, The Colbert Report. I came away convinced that Stephen Colbert is as smart as he looks.

He described his plan to me in graphic detail. It is best appreciated by watching his presentation, but here is how the conversation went:

COLBERT: So you're against all weapons?


CIRINCIONE: No.

COLBERT: What about a microscopically thin razor wire that is erected at neck level all around the United States? So as our enemies try to come in - "Like, there's no one guarding the border! Let's run in!" But the razor wire just goes [makes choking noise and pantomimes garroting of enemy].

CIRINCIONE: That absurd, brutal defense is actually more rational than what we do now.

Really? Killing thousands of innocents at the border is more rational than what we do now? Yes.

Let's review:

The Colbert National Defense Posture

Colbert was straight-faced when he proposed his micro-wire defense, so let's indulge his strategy for a second. Say we spend $20 billion to string up the wire defense around the United States. The wire cannot discriminate between innocents and evildoers, and instead kills tens of thousands of men, women and children. Terrorists simply find an easy way around the wire to attack the United States. As a result of our "defense," thousands of innocents have died, our strategy is directly responsible for their gruesome deaths, and the U.S. gets attacked anyway.

The United States' Nuclear Defense Posture

The United States spends at least $52.4 billion a year maintaining a nuclear arsenal of some 10,000 nuclear weapons. 2000 of these hydrogen bombs are poised on the tips of long-range missiles and bombers ready to launch at a moment's notice. One miscalculation or accident with just one of our bombs would destroy a city, killing hundreds of thousands of men, women and children.

Worse, Russia could make the same error with their 13,000 nuclear weapons. If one of their missiles is fired our way, or if terrorists get and use just one of these weapons, an American city is obliterated.

Wait, it gets worse. What if Russia makes another early warning blunder like they did in 1995? Then, Russian military officials mistook a Norwegian weather rocket for a US submarine-launched ballistic missile with 8 nuclear warheads. They thought they were under attack. For the first time in the atomic era, the Russian military opened up the "nuclear football" -- the remote control for Russia's thousands of nuclear warheads -- and told then-President Boris Yeltsin to push the button.

Fortunately, Yeltsin did not believe them. But what if that same mistake repeats again, and this time, with relations tense, the Russians launch even a fraction of their arsenal? Goodbye Colbert Nation.

Postures in Review

Both the Colbert strategy and the current U.S. nuclear strategy are insane. Both are immoral, expensive, and dangerous to American security. At least the dreamt-up Colbert strategy would kill a lot less innocent people.

This is why a growing bipartisan group of national security experts see nuclear weapons as a security liability, not an asset. (I doubt they considered the Colbert strategy.)

Put Nukes on Notice

Colbert agrees. In his interview with me, he agreed to reduce from today's 23,000 weapons to a little over one hundred:

COLBERT: Okay, so let's get it down to only being able to destroy the world once. I think anything above that you're being greedy.

CIRINCIONE: I will take that deal.

COLBERT: Good, at least we agree on one thing - to destroy the world once.

Previously on his show, Stephen promised Jordan's Queen Noor to support the Global Zero plan to eliminate all nuclear weapons. Reducing the roles, missions, and numbers of existing arsenals is a step in the right direction.

Stephen should now harness the power of the Colbert Nation to put nuclear weapons on notice. He should list nukes on his "On Notice Board" alongside such malicious forces as grizzly bears and, arguably, above Canadian Iceholes. Bring this threat down.

 

Follow Joe Cirincione on Twitter: www.twitter.com/Cirincione

 
 
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
11:29 PM on 02/14/2010
I don't know, Joe ... if I recall, you looked a little shell-shocked after that apperance with the Stephen Colbert of the Colbert Report.. :)

I'd like to offer up a cogent argument for putting nukes ahead of Canadian iceholes on the 'on notice' board. And, I will ... just as soon as one comes to me, sometime after things are settled on the ice here during the next couple of weeks.

Seriously, a few more guest spots with Stephen and you'll have him and the Colbert Nation eating out of your hands ... with a boost to the movement to eliminate all nuclear weapons.
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Jannsmoor
06:00 PM on 12/23/2009
Joe,
I don't know if it is possible to completely eliminate nuclear weapons, human nature being what it is. But that doesn't mean we can't significantly reduce the incredibly wasteful spending for nuclear weapons. America needs to stop wasteful military spending, and this is as good a place to start as any, so I support you.
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02:45 PM on 12/23/2009
Colbert is great. Love his show, and Ima staunch conservative. Whatever happened to his idea of building a flaming moat with fire proof alligators gurading it around our border? i liked that one.
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satanlite
Liberal blogger
12:37 PM on 12/23/2009
We'll see sane nuclear disarmament the same day that the healtch care bill actually does anything to reform the abuses of health insuance companies.
09:19 AM on 12/23/2009
Speaking of Colber and, of course, Stewart, what happened to the frequent links to their shows?
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BlackJAC
It's better to be a black king than a white knight
10:33 AM on 12/23/2009
They're probably on Christmas break right now. Plus nothing sufficiently crazy has come up to generate decent comedy.

"Make my job difficult."
--Jon Stewart regarding the 2004 Presidential election
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Mark Morrow
Pittsburgh, PA Attorney
12:36 PM on 12/23/2009
They're on break till the New Year. Sadly, lots of great stuff happens everytime they are off the air. They would have had a field day with Sen. Coburn's death prayer for Sen Byrd
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Igor13
Crossing the line, just because it's there.
01:29 PM on 12/23/2009
I believe it's top priority upon return......better late than never.
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09:05 AM on 12/23/2009
qzy,

Two nuclear weapons have been used in wartime. Every last arguement you make about their effectiveness is based on circular logical fallacy stemming from lack of data where you would be able to frame the arguement in emotional terms to always make yourself right.

The fact is that even a limited nuclear war would end civilization. Period. Scientific fact.
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Kassandra
Your micro-bio is empty
11:41 AM on 12/23/2009
Probably end all life on earth period.
We have no idea what these more powerful weapons would/could do.
I grew up in "The Cold War". I was told to "duck and cover" in case of nuclear attack. It was always one of my recurring nightmares.
People today seem to think it's "safe" and could somehow be limited to a certain area....like when the right wing talked about reducing the Middle East to "a sheet of glass"( all for the loss of a couple of buildings on US soil) and thought they could buy property cheap there after 100 years!
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Joe Cirincione
President, Plougshares Fund
11:59 AM on 12/23/2009
Amber:

I'm glad you brought this up. On the Colbert Report I said that as few as 100 nuclear weapons could destroy the world. Here's why:

Climate scientists in 2007 did an update of the 1980's "Nuclear Winter" study using the latest data and computer models. They found that:

"“Smoke emissions of 100 low-yield urban explosions in a regional nuclear conflict would generate substantial global-scale climate anomalies" for a decade or more.

The nuclear explosions and firestorms in modern cities would inject black carbon particles higher into the atmosphere than previously thought and higher than normal volcanic activity. Blocking the Sun’s thermal energy, the smoke clouds would lower temperatures regionally and globally for several years, open up new holes in the ozone layer protecting the Earth from harmful radiation, reduce global precipitation by about 10 percent and trigger massive crop failures. Overall, the global cooling from a regional nuclear war would be about twice as large as the global warming of the past century “and would lead to temperatures cooler than the pre-industrial Little Ice Age.”

In short, most food crops would fail. Billions could die. So, yes, Amber, even a small nuclear war could end civilization.
09:00 AM on 12/23/2009
Colbert and his writers are so smart. They are able to use his "Fundit" personality to show just how stupid some of these positions are. It is very intellegent in it's stupidity.
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09:00 AM on 12/23/2009
Qzy,

Outside of two weapons detonated august 6
01:16 AM on 12/24/2009
amber rachel says,

What two weapons were detonated on august 6th ? Give me a year, please.
06:43 AM on 12/23/2009
Your interview was delightful
04:50 AM on 12/23/2009
Interesting how you didnt quote the part of the show where you agreed to Marry Pakistan, Sanction Iran, and Blow Up North Korea...
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Uncle Bill
ex-lawyer and teacher
02:52 AM on 12/23/2009
Having lived for 50 years in close proximity to likely first strike targets, the former SAC and now STRATCOM HQ, and underground and Offutt AFB's airborne command aircraft presently and previously two different missile wings, a nuclear bomber base, the Blue Scout installations and a warning and control radar installation, the idea of continuing to reduce our nuclear armaments in cooperation with Russia appeals to me. But your statistics are misleading- the crux of the matter is the thermonuclear warheads, not the number of delivery systems, so 2000 is the relevant number not the 10,000 nuclear weapons you refer to. The Russian statistics are equally misleading. Bombers have been strategically obsolete since the Soviets developed their own boomers, as SLBMs and SLCMs could ground swat them so quickly. They remain useful only as saber rattling or in tactical operations. I think any necessary saber rattling can be accomplished by the present wings. Since even generalized information about the survivability of the our boomers in conflict with Russian attack subs, surface or airborne ASW isn't available to the public (as is the effectiveness of our systems against Russian boomers) any opinion I'd have on that would be nothing but a SWAG. But reducing the number of delivery systems in mobile platforms other than subs might be a good way to start- as their potential for use in first strike scenarios is a destabilizing factor mitigating against their usefulness in counter-strikes.
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notb observer
Technically it's a micro auto-bio...
11:17 PM on 12/22/2009
It seems to me that by funding the Navy's fleet of nuclear powered "boomers", there really is no need for fixed missile sites, and the idea of nuclear armed bombers is somewhat questionable, aside for potential use as delivery systems for tactical nukes. However, I've never liked the term "tactical" nuke, and I don't believe that such a weapon can ever be anything less than strategic.
I believe that the reliability of the systems and their delivery vehicles has progressed to the point where it doesn't make sense to hold such inventories any longer. In fact, as the threat of domestic and international terrorism rises around the world, I think the fewer of these weapons exist, the safer we all are.
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TJCole
09:41 PM on 12/22/2009
Joe, I have no doubt that if Obama had wanted any real reduction of our nuclear arsenal had he suggested or offered a 50% reduction to Mevedev the Russians would have taken it...

Nuclear sub's could have been excluded to make this work as you would understand why I won't bother the long detailed explanation for the uninitiated in this field...

Instead he talks to complete nuclear disarmament which is not even a long term possibility at this time or maybe ever...

That would still leave the US with 5,000 or more warheads all of it's hydrogen and our subs as fail safe but instead he talked jive pie in the sky mularkey as usual...

Russia's arsenal which is not all in actually Russia as you know worries me even more of course but they would have jumped at this I believe as the cost is even more burdensome for them...

Of course may are not aware or realize Red China has now joined the nuclear sub club as well thanks to those shoppers at Wal-Mart...and this changes the nuclear equation greatly...

Just on economic terms a 50% reduction is the way to go let alone the safety and moral considerations...

As a registered nuclear survivor, twice not once, but twice exposed and radiated and having had 2 bone cancer operations so far as a result, can't tell you where or why, I pray for your success and efforts in this regard...
09:06 PM on 12/22/2009
Mr. Cirincione,

If the U.S.A had developed nuclear weapons in 1939, do you think Japan would have attacked Pearl Harbor ? If Poland had nuclear weapons, do you think Germany would have attacked them ?
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progressivestance84
The Right is Wrong.
09:21 PM on 12/22/2009
Hypothetical situations really aren't the best way to get your point across. And, yes I believe they would have invaded. Imagine if the Nazis learned that Poland had developed a secret weapon capable of destroying cities. Germany would not have let that stand. Hypothetically I believe the Nazis would have used a blitzkrieg type of attack on them, sound familiar?
09:46 PM on 12/22/2009
progressivestance84,

Please give me the name one nuclear armed country that has been attacked or invaded by another country. I'll give you the answer, No nuclear armed country has ever been invaded. It's not hypothetical, it's recorded history.
02:25 AM on 12/24/2009
progressivestance84,

Your disdain for hypothetical scenarios is ironic. Do you realize that most of the arguments for eliminating nuclear weapons are based on, what could, or what might happen ? That's fine. But, I would take you more seriously if you told the author of this article that hypotheticals aren't the best way to get his point across.

Now, nations that posses atomic weapons are, The United States of America, Russia, United Kingdom, France, China, Israel, India, Pakistan, North Korea. Which of those countires has been invaded since aquiring nuclear weapons ? The answer is Israel. Yes, some people reading this will mention Kargil. But, seriously, an invasion force of 5,000 against 1,000,000,000 ? That wasn't an invasion, that was a terrorist attack. About Israel, I will say that no one was sure that they had nuclear weapons. But, when Israel threated to use them, the USSR ended support of conventional arms support to Egypy and Syria. So, the mere threat of using nuclear weapons prevented the escalation of the conventional war

The Invasion of Poland took more than a month. That is more than enough time to annihilate Berlin to Munich. History is not on your side.
09:23 PM on 12/22/2009
Why would we have had to develop those in 1939? There was no reason to do it. Also, I highly doubt our Military would have wanted to in the first place. Look how long they disregarded air power.

It took a war to be able to create such horrific devices. That's the way mankind has been advancing for thousands of years.
10:11 PM on 12/22/2009
Jazzsax UT,

One reason would be because scientists wanted proof they were correct about atomic theory.
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08:50 PM on 12/22/2009
Its takes sarcasm and humor, like Colbert's, to truly highlight some of the absurdities of our time.
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progressivestance84
The Right is Wrong.
09:22 PM on 12/22/2009
No disrespect to Colbert, but that is like shooting fish in a barrel.