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John H. Tucker

John H. Tucker

Posted: July 27, 2010 03:57 PM

Earlier this month Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez ordered scientists to exhume the 180-year-old remains of his hero, independence leader Simón Bolívar. But over the weekend Chávez showed his biggest bone to pick is still with America.

On Saturday, Chávez announced on State Television that the United States is accelerating a plan to attack the oil-rich nation under the pretext of fighting drug trafficking, citing a memo from a secret source inside America. The announcement capped off a frenetic two-week period in Venezuela that began with the interment of Bolívar and included an attempt by Chávez to seize a major stake of Globovision, the country's only remaining opposition broadcast outlet. By last Thursday, Chávez had formally severed diplomatic relations with backyard rival Colombia. And then, just for good measure, he threatened to halt all oil exports to America in the face of a U.S. attack.

Of course, this isn't the first time the mercurial Venezuelan leader has made anti-American accusations of dubious merit, and Latin American historians say this is just another case of Chávez being Chávez. But one still wonders why the president is ramping up the rhetoric so drastically now. Some analysts have suggested that his antics serve as an opening salvo of aggression toward Juan Manuel Santos, who will be inaugurated president of Colombia on Aug. 7, when Álvaro Uribé, an ally of President Obama, steps down. But it's equally likely that Chávez wants to upend his own country's parliamentary elections in September.

Venezuela's economy is sagging and its crime rate is spiking. Chávez's rural base is upset with him after 30,000 tons of food, destined for poor neighborhoods, was discovered rotting in Venezuelan warehouses. Chávez's socialist government is in no danger of losing the majority, but opposition parties are making inroads. In desperate need of diversion, Chávez has created a state of high alert.

"This could very well be a turning point in the direction of authoritarianism, says Javier Corrales, a political scientist at Amherst College. "At this point, Venezuela could become much more militarized and its political system more autocratic."

Other analysts say that Chávez has legitimate reason to be concerned, pointing to increased U.S. military presence around the region. Costa Rica, for example, recently authorized the entry of 46 U.S. war ships and 7,000 Marines. "The State Department under Obama has been somewhat more aggressive against Venezuela than under Bush," says Mark Weisbrot, co-director for the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington.

Referring to the U.S. military network in the region as "Fortress America," Venezuelan scholar Miguel Tinker Salas says: "There is a concern over why the U.S. feels this is the time to expand military presence in Latin America, given the fact there has been a legacy of U.S. intervention."

But the likelihood is that the military presence is solely attributable to the war on South American drug cartels, and that Chávez is bluffing. But at least give him credit for being dramatic. Speaking at a rally to mark the 227th birthday of Bolívar on Saturday, the Venezuelan leader read from what he called a secret memo, written from a source who, according to Chávez, correctly predicted the 2004 capture of more than 100 Colombian paramilitaries near Caracas, as well as the 2002 coup that briefly ousted him from power.

"The preparation phase in the international community, with the help of Colombia, is in plain execution ... in the United States, the execution phase is accelerating," read Chávez.

"The military operation is going to happen," he continued, "and those from the North will do it."

The State Department, of course, denies the claim, and many scholars question the legitimacy of the secret memo. "The U.S. has no possibility of Military intervention in Latin America. No way," says Carlos Blanco, a professor of international relations at Boston University, calling the secret memo a fabrication.

"This is an old movie," says Michael Shifter, president of the Inter-American Dialogue, in Washington.

In response to Chávez's decision last Friday to cut diplomatic ties with Colombia -- a move that shut down the Colombian embassy and sent officials home packing -- the U.S. State Department issued a statement arguing that Venezuela must "move to prevent the use of its sovereign territory by terrorist groups." On Thursday, during a meeting held by the Organization of American States in Washington, a Colombian ambassador presented photographs of leftist guerillas drinking beer on what appeared to be Venezuelan beaches. (Chávez discredited the photos, arguing that the beer wasn't Venezuelan.)

Earlier this month, Oliver Stone released a film that served as a quasi-love letter to Chávez (complete with a sappy embrace by the two men over their shared love of the military). Stone argues in the film that Chávez is unfairly misrepresented by the U.S. media. But the film was panned by critics for its apparent deviation from facts, and for the filmmaker's tendency to mispronounce Chávez's name. (It's CHA-vez, not shuh-VEZ.)

Meanwhile, Chávez's decision to exhume Bolívar's body has been interpreted largely as another ploy to detract from other worrying news coming out of the country. Chávez called for the interment to see if his hero was the victim of assassination by poison. (Historians have long held that the Liberator died from tuberculosis.)

Following the exhumation, Chávez praised the "glorious skeleton" of his hero on Twitter. Then, after shedding a few tears, he compared the Liberator to Lazarus when he tweeted: "Oh, my God! Oh, my God! Jesus Christ, our Christ, while praying in silence, looking at those bones, I thought of you. How would I like, how did I want you to come and order him like to Lazarus: 'Lazarus, come forth, it is not time to die.' All of a sudden I remembered that Bolívar is alive!"

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ira7
08:54 AM on 07/28/2010
The man is a lunatic, but everyone knew this from his loving embrace of Fidel way back when.

Birds of a feather...or should I say dictators and losers of a feather...flock together.
01:26 AM on 07/28/2010
I'm sorry but his tweet about Bolivar is hysterical. This guy is so over the top it makes me laugh.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
buttonz
11:30 PM on 07/27/2010
Confidence in Chavez is rapidly dissipating. His energy and redistribution policies have resulted in massive debt and mass shortages. Without addressing the issue if he was legitimately elected or not the fact is he will be extraordinarily unpopular in a very short while.

The seizing of oil properties is the canary in the mine. Chavez heavily depends on Chevron running those facilities since he can't do it on his own, seizing them massively reduces output along with income which is desperately needed. The reason for doing this is the same as his proclaimed threats to Venezuela. To distract the public and have them rally to his side.

The US or Columbia have no reason to attack Venezuela. Venezuela will depend on the US for years to process its oil since no one else can do it. The US doesn't own oil overseas, oil companies own the wells and generally when a country wants to seize them they pay for them. Even Chavez has compensated Chevron for well seizures.

Not since Iran has the US ever been involved in the defense of petroleum equipment, and this was in the face of WWIII mind you.

Chavez is just capitalizing on people's ignorance
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drjasonmd
Shalom, compa!
07:32 PM on 07/29/2010
"he will be extraordinarily unpopular in a very short while"

Been hearing that for the past decade. Repeating it won't make your dreams come true.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Fireslayer
10:53 PM on 07/27/2010
Hugo is acting like he hates Cocaine, but likes the way it smells.

I wish he was not such a clown. There are many gifted people in his government and proven policies to aid the workers and underclass. Maybe it is time he let younger, more gifted folks run his party?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
09:22 PM on 07/27/2010
So, let's see, Uribe takes a last (hopefully, there isn't much time left for him to get in another one, and the only thing left he can do would be to actually get a war started) kick at the can of trying to stir up a conflict that would give the US the excuse to 'defend' Colombia by attacking Venezuela (either economically with sanctions, or militarily with US weapons in Colombian hands), Chavez fires right back with rhetoric and accusations of his own, and Team America chimes in to bash Chavez and blame everything on him (about the only tune they know, though the do vary it a little by substituting Obama, Ahmadinejad and/or 'the mullahs', Karzai, Pakistan, Russia, and China as the opportunity presents itself).

In other words, nothing new, nothing unusual, hopefully nothing to worry about in the short term, but definitely something to watch in the long term (the feedback loop of a continual diet of almost exclusively monotone bias in the media leading to a bias in the public discourse, which leads to more bias in the media, which leads to more bias in public discourse can lead to all sorts of nasty stupidity happening).

Right now, I see the feedback loop venturing into more dangerous territory in reguards to Iran than Venezuela (especially if the Egyptian regime collapses and leaves a surprised American public backing an Israeli play to restore it to preserve its stranglehold on Gaza, and the locals object.
08:13 AM on 07/28/2010
"the feedback loop"...what a faux pedantic!
08:16 AM on 07/28/2010
Pearce..you're your own "feedback loop"!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jesse Taylor
Personal website is --> jrt4.net
07:38 PM on 07/27/2010
Oh, and nice suit.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jesse Taylor
Personal website is --> jrt4.net
07:36 PM on 07/27/2010
By "opposition media", do you mean the ones who assisted in the 2002 coup, refuse to pay their taxes, call for violence against democratically elected officials, and systematically lie to the public?

I love how you try to paint him as a "dictator" while casually admitting that there is no threat of him losing a majority of the vote ... I suppose you hope that someone comes into office there that is more ideologically aligned with yourself, rather than someone who is voted in by democratic process because they are aligned with the majority of the Venezuelan people?

I'm glad to see that Venezuela has a functioning democracy. I just hope that they can inspire people in the U.S. to push for similar changes.
06:19 PM on 07/27/2010
If we needed oil..THIS was the place to go! Get rid of a hemispheric infected boil ( CHAVEZ) AND have access to all that oil! Going t Iraq was the blunder of THE last 100 years! That and Hitler opening an Eastern Front against Russia!
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06:39 PM on 07/27/2010
It is not our oil. Why do we have the right to take what is not ours?
How would you feel if another country decided they wanted something of ours, and decided to take it?
Don't you think the U.S. has it's nose stuck in enough countries already?
Who appointed the U.S. rulers of the world?
This U.S. needs to stop invading countries, and concentrate on its own.
The U.S. is a warmongering embarrassment in the world.
There is nothing noble in the United States actions.
The U.S. has no principles, only military powers that bully everyone.
06:07 AM on 07/28/2010
To answer your first question....BECAUSE WE CAN! To respond to your last comment.....WHAT ELSE IS NEW?? You sound very nieve and foolish!