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John Odum

John Odum

Posted: December 29, 2009 02:09 PM

A Fractured Left Might Not Be Such A Bad Thing

What's Your Reaction:

Consider a couple of tried and true axioms. "Divide and conquer." "Diversity is strength." When you think about it, they are, on the face of it, contradictory. Nevertheless, they both have an inherent wisdom, and there can be a fine line separating the two when you're talking about politics. While many on the left are now concerned about the danger of the former, it may well be time to consider instead the opportunities of the latter.

First a little context. It's hardly news to say there's a split within the left, following the bitter struggle over health care reform. While many progressives see the final Senate product as a qualified win, many others see it as a giveaway to the insurance companies that will make a bad situation worse. Gone from both sides of the left is the pretense that the White House has not been a major player; those who support the bill praise Obama for its passage, those that fear the bill blame Obama for its passage.

But while some on the pro-bill camp are now reciting the "no hard feelings" victory mantra to disheartened members of the "kill the bill" camp, leading activists from the latter set have charted a different path. Bloggers like Jane Hamsher are diving headlong into the strategy laid out by Cenk Uygur in what has become a manifesto of sorts to those liberals stinging after their expulsion from the negotiating table and steaming at the open dismissal by White House legislative hammer Rahm Emanuel. Uygur's piece gave voice to what more progressives have come to realize (based not only on the health care struggle, but virtually every other political hot potato from the Afghan War and civil liberties to Presidential appointments): that this administration will seriously consider no policy to the left of the Senate's most conservative Democrats.

The solution, to Uygur, is for an organized and mobilized progressive movement to "hurt" the President. To draw political blood. That this is, by process of elimination, the only way to be taken seriously in the hardball world of Emanuelian politics which Obama has embraced.

Again, this isn't breaking news. Still, there should be no question as to the reason for the speed and ferocity of the manifestation of the Uygur strategy that has appeared at the progressive website Firedoglake. On the one hand, this faction sees the failures of the health care bill as a massive electoral loser, and with November looming, it becomes necessary from this perspective to improve the Democratic Party's record despite itself.

More significant, though, is the fact that other major policy battles near and dear to the left are rapidly approaching (particularly climate change and the final disposition of the Employee Free Choice Act). Progressives are not willing to again cede these decisions to the "corporatist" wing of the party without a fight. In this sense, the clock is ticking to rediscover enough power to be taken seriously again (if indeed they ever were by this administration).

So that's the liberal split in a nutshell, but it's more than just a difference in strategy. It's the form the opening salvo from FDL is taking that is serving to further antagonize these divisions; a corruption charge tailored not only to the populist inclinations of independent voters, but the scandal-obsessed traditional media as well. Yes, it's increasing tensions, but there is also an undeniable cleverness to this line of attack.

The charge of corruption (through the person of Rahm Emanuel and questions around his involvement in Fannie Mae) is uniquely non-ideological, and has thereby allowed for an alliance with right wing hero Grover Norquist. This political jiu-jitsu co-opts a major driver of the very right wing machine Obama and Emanuel are concerned about, but puts it in service of a left wing ideological bloc, eager to garner the same respect from the White House. While many on the left are understandably finding the alliance distasteful, its potential potency is hard to deny.

Still, it is unquestionably cementing the fractures that have formed among the left. Calls of "why can't we all just shake hands and get back to working together" fall apart before such a strategy.

Given, then, the innate wisdom of the "divide and conquer" axiom, this scorched earth approach must be a bad thing. A fractured left is a weakened left, and a weakened left can never, ever find its way back to relevance. Right?

In reality, it all depends on how it plays out in the coming month, because "divide and conquer" may not be the axiom in play if the rift can be finessed. Instead, the far more liberal mantra of "diversity is strength" could cede policy victories to the American left -- even to those currently demonizing FDL's Jane Hamsher and her allies.

So-called "movement conservatives" have proven that size does not necessarily matter when it comes to impacting policy. In fact, the beltway seems to respond to a definition of political force that mirrors Newton's own definition of physical force in his second law: f=ma (force equals mass times acceleration). The Uygur/Hamsher activist faction may divorce itself of some mass through its approach, but through an even greater increase in its acceleration (by being more focused and nimble), it could end up a far more potent political force when all is said and done.

In addition, there's even the potential for a good-cop/bad-cop dynamic among progressive ideological allies on either side of this attack-strategy divide. It may be distasteful for the Hamsher opponents among the left to consider, but the fact is that Rahm Emanuel may be more inclined to bring what he sees as agreeable progressives into the process in an active way if he thinks it may limit or even undermine the FDL-set during delicate negotiations. It may not put Jane Hamsher or Glenn Greenwald at the table personally, but it would be progressives at the table nonetheless - which is better than what we've got at present.

Is this more optimistic view the way the dynamics will play out in the coming months? Maybe, maybe not. There's no question that FDL and company are engaging in a high stakes gamble that could either enhance the left's impact, or further erode it. The answer to the question of which way it will all turn depends less on who is right, and more on how this tightrope is walked in the coming weeks.

However you slice it, a decision to turn up the heat on this White House, in the process solidifying the split in the left, is a high risk strategy. But it would seem that the administration has left progressives little choice if they want a way back to the negotiating table.

 
 
 
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08:05 AM on 12/31/2009
The "Uyger Doctrine"? Of coooooouuuuurse!

The real wonder of it is why other anti-corporatist Democrats haven't realized that they will /never/ get what they want unless they're willing to fight for it. If Obama is backing the corporations, then he isn't their ally and shouldn't be treated as one. Besides, he invited us to push him to the left. The only way that we can do that is to hand him defeats when he wants to go to the right.
02:26 AM on 12/31/2009
Jane Hamsher and Cenk Uygur are providing the template for the beating back the age old criticism of the left: That we are weak. That we are spineless. That, when the chips are down, we capitulate. That we don't understand how politics are played. That we don't play hardball.

Jane and Cenk are providing the template, for progressives of all stripes, on how to play hardball to advance progressive causes in the face of today's politics.

And man, is it a joy to watch.
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epcraig
After a couple of strokes...
02:29 PM on 12/30/2009
I have not registered Democratic in decades, mostly because I associated them with Mayor Daley. In fact, until it became obvious to me (I can be slow) that Republicans were betraying their small business base I was Republican. In 2000 I switched my registration to Pacific Green.
I have always voted the candidate rather than the party anyway. Any candidate can lose my vote by taking some position I cannot support.
I always vote. I often leave an office blank on my ballot because no candidate has gone to the trouble of convincing me.
I don't think most voters notice not voting is an option for any office on any ballot. I wish more would.
I liked Obama. I did not trust him enough to vote for him. I wish he hadn't vindicated my vote.
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illinoisan
We don't need no stinking badges
04:13 PM on 12/30/2009
Ironically, in Illinois, where Daley was king, voters do not register they're party affiliation.
01:01 PM on 12/30/2009
We are starting a new, viable third party: the dems are pro-war, pro-HMO, pro-Israeli occupation, pro-bank bailout. The Dems whined when they were in the minority that they could not do anything, now they have both houses and the White House and this is the best that they can do? The should lose, the Democrats deserve it.
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laramarie71
10:26 AM on 12/30/2009
Vote out the blue dogs, I'm hoping there will be some new blood that can replace them. The filibuster will continue to be a problem and in my opinion, term limits are a big problem. Neither are going to change. All we can do is to put new blood in the seats. For Emanuel to dismiss the liberals was a huge mistake, another mistake was to kick labor in the teeth in health care bill. I agree with Gatormouth but do you think the union guys will soon forget the 40% tax on their plans they took a pay cut for? That is going to hurt them in 2010 and 2012. Our tent should not be seen as "large" as the tent of the Republicans, there should be zero tolerance for the abortion language in the current bill. They really need to periodically read the party platform, if you don't agree get out! I think that as far as party unity goes, we are really bad at that. That is where we need to learn something from the Republicans. When we put this man in office we thought we were putting in someone very left of center because we thought the country needed to go in a dramatically different direction. He has three years to become the "Candidate Obama" we elected or he will get one term and the Republicans will take three branches of government again.
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Jimbo
11:53 PM on 12/29/2009
rahmbama is corrupt, ensuring it never had to listen to anybody. Progressives and other Democrats, not being republicans, are tired of tired of this. If we spend time arguing any issue other than corporatist control over our government we will accomplish nothing. Here's my approach: first kill the health care bill, it is the worst example of corporatism and power of rahmbama and whores like lieberman, nelson, lincoln, et al. Second, I will give neither money nor votes to anyone who works for the corporatists, especially rahmbama. The way I see it rahmbama has a choice. It can listen to and act for progressives and others who want an end to corruption, and maybe get reelected in 2012. Or it can rely on corporatist money, lose our votes, and be a one term president. Once the corporatists discern you have less that a good chance to win in 2012, their support will go to republicans, their natural allies. Your choice, rahmbama.
11:52 PM on 12/29/2009
Sorry friends - today there are only 2 kindsa Dems in Congress: Rahmdoggies and their handlers. Franken and Feingold voted for the antichoice, pro-corporate Senate bill. The leading house "advocate" of pro-choice says the Senate bill is fine with her. There are no liberals left - the enablers may be slighly better, but not when the excrement hits the oscillating device.
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dsws
No owning ideas. Limit only commercial use.
10:10 PM on 12/29/2009
" "Divide and conquer." "Diversity is strength." When you think about it, they are, on the face of it, contradictory."

No, they aren't. Diversity is whether the parts of an organization are similar or different. Division is whether they work together. "Divide and conquer" refers canonically to the military theorem describing what happens in situations like massed infantry with low-accuracy ranged weapons, where the casualties inflicted by each side are roughly proportional to the number of soldiers firing, regardless of the number of soldiers on the other side. Under such circumstances, a much weaker force can defeat a much stronger one, if the stronger force is divided. To apply "diversity is strength" to that kind of situation, you would be talking about how to combine infantry with artillery, cavlary with foot soldiers, ranged weapons with pikes, and so on -- and you would find that diversity is indeed strength in a wide range of cases.
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John Odum
09:24 AM on 12/30/2009
Hm. Yeah, I get that. It seems to get bounced around with both meanings colloquially, though. I suppose it would've been less muddy if I'd gone with "divided we fall." Don't think there's any confusion about that one.
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ManwithaParachute
Not Seeking Your Approval
08:26 PM on 12/29/2009
The difference between parties is narrowing. Even in attempting to describe these parties for this post I struggled. Both parties are pro corporate while one is anti freedom and pro religion. I believe the Democratic party is quickly becoming more Republican than the GOP.

I will not in ANY way support a Senator who voted for cloture on this Health Care Reform bill unless they somehow manage to filibuster on the final vote. First off, the bill destroys the party. It will tax the middle class. It will tax nearly all the unions' memberships. It will have the practical effect of eliminating full reproductive choice for women. The bill will drag down the bulk of offerings from insurers to 70/30 and 60/40 with astronomical deductibles. The only thing Rahmbo and Dumbo have demonstrated is how incompetent and corrupt people become in search of campaign money. If you place the political spectrum on a circle with the moderate left at 9 O'clock, moderate right at 3 O'clock, Populism at 6 O'clock, and Corporatism at 12 O'clock you can map out a strategy of bringing conservative and progressive together on a populist agenda. Currently we are fed hog slop from the mainstream media between 11 and 1. The "CENTER" as they see it is Corporatism. Populism is seen as a day trip to the Zoo.
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07:40 PM on 12/29/2009
Obama may at heart be not terribly democratic. Not anti-democratic, just more into power and manipulation. He, and his chosen corporatist advisers, may see the currant plight of the Republican party as an opportunity not to be ignored. The "Southern Strategy" of Repubs acquiring the old Southern Democrats as an extremist base (which of course they expected to control forever) has backfired and a once national party is rapidly deflating to become a more regional one as the moderates are pushed out. Aha! Our opportunity for a "Permanent Majority". Push the median of the Democratic Party more to the right, and welcome in the refugees.
With that support, the part of our Democratic party viewed as "extremist" by a Centrist administration, labor, environmental, anti-war & such, could be mostly ignored. And where do they have to go? The Corporations probably would go along with this as it will then become less likely that real reform will be possible. Free Trade and Corporate rule forever!
But you have to remember, An International Corporation is by definition not an American one.They are not of, for, or by the American people. American Labor is. The FDR "Third Way" utilized organized labor acting as a political force. Progressives should fight to stay put in the party they belong in, and the Labor movement should be resuscitated with their help. Fair Trade, Re-Industrialization, and the restoration of the Sherman Anti-Trust act must then be demanded.
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BBackSoon
Hello, I must be going.
06:13 PM on 12/29/2009
I hope you’re right but I would also trade a few DINO seats to the Repubs if we could get a core of Progressives emboldened. And we have seen that as long as the Filibuster stays as it is with the Dual Track a small determined group can frustrate the majority. So what happens when Repugs and Blue dogs are stopped by Progressive Dems? Other than FIX and Right Wing Radio calling them Traitors?

Personally I would love to see a Progressive Third Party actually start to make strides onto the national scene. But if there is one thing that Repubs and Dems can agree on is a third party would hurt them both.
05:58 PM on 12/29/2009
Thank you for the post. It helped focus my thoughts on this issue. I'm on my way over to Firedoglake to see what's up.
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FogBelter
Illegitimis non carborundum
05:44 PM on 12/29/2009
Interesting analysis, Mr. Odum. Being on the Hamsher/Uygur side of the divide, and having observed, along with everyone else, how corruption undermined the entire Health "Reform" process, I can only say that politics is politics, but then, crime is crime. I shed no tears for Representative Jefferson when he was convicted for stashing ill gotten gains in his freezer. If there is something to the allegations about Rahm and his time at Freddie Mac it needs to be investigated ... I don't give him a pass because he is the President's Chief of Staff.

And one other observation I have. The Democratic Party is not the Liberal or Progressive Party, it has been the default for liberals without any other option, but the Democrats shouldn't take it for granted that the Liberal/Progressives are safely corralled and beyond going off the Reservation. The rift we are seeing, in my opinion, is a rift between Democrats who classify themselves as Liberal/Progressives and Liberal/Progressives who happen to classify themselves as Democrats. There is a fundamental difference.
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Awake-and-Sing
named after a great play written by Clifford Odets
06:21 PM on 12/29/2009
Canadian political parties are named "Conservative" and "Liberal".

Perhaps progressives and liberals would be better off dumping the corporate financed and controlled "Democratic" Party (which isn't democratic anyway) for their own "Progressive" Party.

The only thing working within the Democratic Party does is waste time. Once "progressives" get a taste of that corporate campaign cash it seems that they are immediately co-opted.

Better to start anew with a political party that does not take corporate campaign cash as a matter of principle.

Just as the Republicans in 1860 knew that working within the Whigs was an exercise in futility and they formed their own party, it is long past time to shake up America's political structure with new parties and electoral reforms like runoff elections and ranked-choice voting so that people may vote their first choice without fear.
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laramarie71
10:32 AM on 12/30/2009
We have something a lot like that already. I don't know if we can keep our seats with it but here's a link:
http://www.ontheissues.org/Green_Party.htm
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drkazmd65
Mom Taught me - Question Everything - Thanks Mom!
05:19 PM on 12/29/2009
Works for me,... too bad my Senators are both Centist, Corporatist, nimrod Democrats,... and my Congress-critter is a Republican,...

I'm guessing,... come tax-return time I will be making several small, directed contributions to the likes of Dennis Kucinich, Al Franken and Russ Feingold.

At least they are real, relatively uncorrupted, Liberals & Progressives.