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Jonathan Weiler

Jonathan Weiler

Posted: January 26, 2011 06:57 PM

Plenty of folks have already dissected Paul Ryan's response to last night's State of The Union Address. And it's long been clear that Ryan's proposals for reducing the deficit are a joke. Not only do they fail to reduce the deficit in the long run, but they perversely increase the tax burden on 90% of Americans, while directing more tax reductions to the already super-wealthy. It's a wonder that much of the media still treats Paul Ryan seriously on policy matters, given the transparently dishonest nature of his proposals. But that doesn't mean that Ryan is ineffective in achieving his real goals. Quite the contrary. We know from his own voting record (he voted for both of Bush's major tax cuts, a primary cause of America's deficits) that he doesn't actually care about deficits. But Ryan likely has three main objectives in mind when he warns America, as he did last night, about a day of reckoning concering the national debt and his public pronouncements should be evaluated in the light of those objectives, not his stated (and obviously insincere) desire to reduce deficits.

The first objective is to shill for the one set of true interests that the GOP represents -- the super-wealthy. For thirty years, we've witnessed a staggering concentration of wealth from among the very top earners. This dynamic is spelled out in compelling detail in Jacob Hacker's and Paul Pierson's recent book, Winner Take All Politics and David Cay Johnston has been doing heavy journalistic lifting on wealth transfer for many years. To take one example, between 1979 and 2005, the top one hundredth of one percent of earners in the United States made an average after-tax income of four million dollars a year in 1979. In 2005, they made an average of twenty-four million dollars a year (the dollar amounts are all in 2007 terms to adjust for inflation). Hacker and Pierson demonstrate that politics, not larger "objective" economic forces, are primarily responsible for the truly mind-boggling transfer of wealth toward the top that America has witnessed over the past generation (and yes, the average American has suffered direct losses in their own wealth as a consequence of the concentration of wealth at the top). And while the Democrats have been a feeble force in stemming that tide, it's been the heart of the GOP agenda for thirty years to push for "trickle-up" economics. Ryan is only the latest faithful servant on behalf of the super-rich in that regard and while his plans do nothing to tackle America's deficits, they certainly facilitate the further shift of wealth toward the very top.

Ryan's second likely objective is to dog-whistle to the GOP's authoritarian/tea party base. As I have written before, in current political parlance deficits are best understood as code for tribal fears. Ryan doesn't have to say this, or even imply it. The successful demonization of government by the Reagan-era GOP as the entity that unjustly shifts wealth from hard-working "real" Americans to undeserving losers who don't look like "us," allows people like Ryan to talk in wonkish terms while signaling clearly to the party's ethnocentric and resentment-filled base what is at stake in opposing further government spending to help those in need. Ryan can even come across as a decent, serious, fair-minded guy, unless one asks why a presumably intelligent man would push proposals that, on their face, transparently fail to achieve that which they were putatively designed to accomplish.

Shilling for the GOP's real interests and dog-whistling to its authoritarian base are relatively easy to do. The third objective is a little more complicated. As Marc Hetherington has shown, when Americans trust government, they tend to be more supportive of re-distributive policies to help the less fortunate and, in the process, to support Democrats. When Americans don't trust government, they oppose such policies and oppose Democrats. Generally speaking, the GOP has every incentive to do everything in its power to undermine the effectiveness of government and public policy. With a Democrat occupying the White House, the GOP's incentive to obstruct a recovery is especially clear.

Ryan's third objective, given these realities, is likely to do his best to sow confusion among independents who are not disposed to loathe government under all circumstances, but are strongly inclined to want to rein it in when the believe it is operating ineffectively. Refusing to provide aid to states in dire fiscal need, cutting off unemployment benefits for the long-term unemployed, obstructing stimulus or watering it down with less effective tax cuts and otherwise hamstringing government effectiveness all serve to dampen efforts to promote recovery and all serve the GOP's clear political interests. And among the political benefits of thwarting recovery is that, with big-sounding dollar amounts being borrowed by the government, the simple math from the perspective of many independents is that the Democrats are spending a lot of money and accomplishing very little in the process. For Ryan and his ilk, lying about the sources of our economic difficulties, proposing bogus plans to address them and bashing liberals for profligate and ineffectual spending all are efforts to sow mistrust of government, to undermine its effectiveness and to reap the benefits of the dynamic that Hetherington has identified -- the less well government does, the more voters mistrust it, the more they oppose further government efforts to help the less well off, and the more likely they are to vote Republican (at least, until Republicans actually seize power and fail miserably at actually governing as happened during the Bush years).

Taking Ryan at face value when it comes to deficits is fruitless. Instead, Democrats need to confront directly and expose repeatedly the GOP's real objectives -- to make life as bad as possible for ordinary Americans so that they will become convinced that the "anti-government" party is the answer to their problems. Ryan isn't offering serious, substantive ideas for confronting America's economic challenges because he has no interest in doing so. He needs to be called on that fact.

 
 
 

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Plenty of folks have already dissected Paul Ryan's response to last night's State of The Union Address. And it's long been clear that Ryan's proposals for reducing the deficit are a joke. Not only do ...
Plenty of folks have already dissected Paul Ryan's response to last night's State of The Union Address. And it's long been clear that Ryan's proposals for reducing the deficit are a joke. Not only do ...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
denise4925
Faithful Obama Supporter
11:52 AM on 01/27/2011
Totally agree with Jonathan. There's really nothing more to be said.
10:49 AM on 01/27/2011
The problem is, that even when you tell average Joe Citizen that rich people made $4M in 1979 and made $24M (by gaming the system, not working harder) in 2005, they will probably say that they have earned it and why shouldn't they make as much money as they can. In fact, instead of viewing this staggering increase with suspicion, average Joe would probably give them a high five. This mindset is very difficult to overcome.
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basilva1
123avlis
10:15 AM on 01/27/2011
Actually corporations have every right as citizens. One needs to look no further then the recent supreme court decision on campaign finance.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lw1
Jobs! Jobs! Jobs!
01:08 PM on 01/27/2011
The founding fathers would not agree: "....our country's founders retained a healthy fear of corporate power and wisely limited corporations exclusively to a business role. Corporations were forbidden from attempting to influence elections, public policy, and other realms of civic society."

http://www.reclaimdemocracy.org/corporate_accountability/history_corporations_us.html
09:16 AM on 01/27/2011
Yes.
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Buckeye54
...the One your mom warned you about!
08:32 AM on 01/27/2011
Anytime you hear a politician railing against "big government" you can pretty easily figure that he's a fraud. Any realist would admit that when you have a big country (310 million and counting), you can't run it with a "small" government.

However, you can expect and demand that "big" government be efficient and well-run, that it gives you the most bang for your bucks.

No one with any common sense can object to an efficient and economical government that is looking out for its citizens (and no, corporations are not citizens).
10:20 AM on 01/27/2011
Unfortunately, in this country, corporations are treated as citizens. Massive, uber-wealthy citizens who can afford to spend billions of dollars lobbying for their interests (which almost never align with the interests of actual citizens).
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
blaqntelligence
Please secede, republicans
11:58 AM on 01/27/2011
"...corporatio­ns are treated as citizens."

Compounded by too many "actual" citizens lacking any semblance of common sense, frighteningly willing to vote against their own best interests.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
denise4925
Faithful Obama Supporter
11:53 AM on 01/27/2011
Great post. F&F'd
06:45 AM on 01/27/2011
Ryan = Conservative Cameron's UK GVT--> i.e. STUDENT protests - against draconian cuts + more to come! GOP TEA PARTY = UK CONSERVATI¬VES!

Now- they cant run fast enough - from their Conservati¬ves & their cut sin UK --- wonder why?

See Contractio¬n UK economy?

BBCNews Shock contractio¬n in UK economy: economy suffered a shock contractio¬n of 0.5% n... http://bbc¬.in/gCcnir
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Puller58
Man of Mystery
05:48 AM on 01/27/2011
Ryan is just paying lip service to the notion of deficit reduction.  There are too many sacred cows in the budget that lobbyists will protect by threatening to withhold campaign contributions.  All this amounts to is the same old GOP mantra of rolling back the New Deal.
09:19 AM on 01/27/2011
Exactly. 100%
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12:18 AM on 01/27/2011
Why do we continue to pretend conservatives actually care about a just and liveable society? Why do we keep acting as though they gave one thought to the future of America and where their policies will take us, because we can see by the last thirty years where we'd go. A growing prosperous economy with increased productivity, and all the wealth going to 2% of the people, jobs leaving in droves, the middle class stagnating or disappearing. Do people not see? Or do they just not care until poverty knocks on their own door?
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shryock
It never is what it is anymore
08:29 AM on 01/27/2011
"Do people not see? Or do they just not care until poverty knocks on their own door?"
well, yes. but i suspect it is even worse, really. many many people, and i have actually spoken to them so i am not making this up, believe they actually deserve to be where they are.
if they have terrible jobs and terrible housing and terrible health care, they believe and act as if they believe that they deserve all that.
they are downtrodden and depressed and deluded by constant hammering from the right wing into believing they have indeed brought their fate upon themselves. and as long as they believe they deserve to be mistreated, they will not complain about being mistreated.
they will intsead complain about those who do complain. those who complain are socialists, or marxists, or whatever 'ists' the right is yammering about this week.
and until you can convince them they do not deserve to be mistreated, they will remain firmly entrenched in misery. they will be momentarily angry off and on, but the anger will not last and will not be translatable to new public policy.
it will probably be translated into higher crime rates and worse health and new political movements that support the snarkiest candidates, but it will not help them or their fellow sufferers, because they believe suffering is what they deserve and if they give up their suffering, what will they have left?
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12:46 PM on 01/27/2011
My problem is, I still care.
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11:07 PM on 01/26/2011
There isn't a ONE of these Republican "Thugs" that could hold a candle to The President. Never ,in the History of the US, has a President been subjected to such pernicious nastiness and outright Racism. For one small example, just listen to CNN hosts talk about him as "OBAMA", not President Obama, not Mr. Obama, it's always Obama. Since being elected , President Obama has been the object of a concerted effort of the Right, to be shown as "not American', enough, not deserving,not qualified enough.He certainly never will be accepted as The legitimate President of the United States by any of them. Their," this guy should be shining our shoes, not living in the WHITE House",attitude, is so blatant, it's sickening. President Barack Hussein Obama has more Humanity with all it entails,in his little finger than any one of the Hacks on the Right has, in their entire Being. These people will do or say anything to wrest the Kingdom back. Nothing has changed since his election, except the general Public will see a good comparison, now that they've put the foxes back in the Hen house. God Bless you President Obama, and God Speed.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ramenra
10:10 PM on 01/26/2011
The cutting taxes, not raising taxes in good times but expanding services is what has us in the pickle now. And now they want to cut spending while unemployment is 9.4 per cent minimum, actually higher, which will spike the unemployment again. Of course their real agenda is to just cut the areas they have always wanted, education, welfare and medical. In a country that is armed to the teeth and split down the middle in politics with rabid super rich continually trying to force the poor, old and sick to the door, they are playing with fire.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
FilmCriticOne
10:04 PM on 01/26/2011
Too wordy, but correct.

Cut 60% of your words, get back to me.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
den1953
The National Inquire of Politics the GOP!
09:39 PM on 01/26/2011
Some how running up the deficit in order to prove you can use phony rhetoric to balance a budget the Republicans managed to increase by another 1.3 trillion is amazing fuzzy math, add another 143 billion to repeal the Health care program along with job loses in heath care, and the Republicans claim more trickle down economics line by line!
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12:36 PM on 01/27/2011
And still not balance the budget until 2063.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kara Kramer
09:03 PM on 01/26/2011
Yes, but who will do it?
All the media wanted to do last night was praise his substance free speech, the same way they've spent the last two years heaping praise on a tea party that is so utterly inconsistent in it's convictions as to be considered deeply dishonest, or painfully ignorant.
The media have been in the tank for the republican party for years, and this little bit of lunacy is just the latest example of a continued drive of voter misinformation.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
thoreau101
08:51 PM on 01/26/2011
To state the GOP objective in the clearest way possible: it wants to eliminate all taxation for its wealthy benefactors.
08:50 PM on 01/26/2011
Anyone who is serious about reducing the deficit or who believes in free markets should propose the immediate cessation of all government subsidies (i.e., welfare) to business.

I don't recall having read that Mr. Ryan has made such a proposition.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
lisakaz2
Da ministero dell'interno di Snark.
09:22 PM on 01/26/2011
Yep. Funny how big biz and rich ppl want breaks -- hardly seems in keeping with equality &/or a free market. Seems more Ancien Regime to me.