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Joseph A. Palermo

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Welcome to the New Normal

Posted: 06/04/2012 8:23 pm

The measly 69,000 private-sector jobs added last month and the shrinking job count over the past few months illustrate our "new normal." At this snail's pace it will take a couple of decades (assuming there are no new crises) before we get back to the "good old days" of the 2005 unemployment rate. Combine this with the bipartisan denuding of the public sector in the form of cutbacks and layoffs (mostly of school teachers), and it's no surprise that we're in store for a long period of economic insecurity and malaise.

Like Bill Clinton, who normalized Ronald Reagan's trade, deregulation, anti-trust, and welfare policies, giving them the bipartisan sheen of Washington orthodoxy, Barack Obama has normalized George W. Bush's Wall Street, education, and "anti-terrorism" policies (among others).

A common narrative circulating among progressives today is that President Obama moved steadily away from our positions because we didn't stay organized to press him to engage in more bold reforms. Obama didn't betray us; we betrayed him by "going home" after the election of 2008 and, in effect, demobilizing the social movement that attempted to counter the authoritarian right-wing surge of the George W. Bush years.

But this argument doesn't stand up to scrutiny. Progressives were ready to fight alongside Obama on all the key policy choices of his first year in office: holding Wall Street banks accountable for fraud; winning a "public option" in the health-care bill; enacting the Employee Free Choice Act (EFCA), which would bolster labor unions' organizing ability; swiftly ending the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan; reasserting the rule of law in anti-terrorism cases; closing Guantanamo; even ridding the U.S. Senate of the filibuster rule that cornered Obama into the absurd position of having to line up supermajorities to get anything passed.

It was unconscionable that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and his fellow Senate Republicans abused the filibuster in a time of crisis on purely partisan and ideological grounds to prevent the federal government from working. But President Obama chose not to deploy his rhetorical skills and use the "bully pulpit" to rally his foot soldiers to beat his opponents in the Senate. Did he go on television and ask his progressive supporters to hit the streets and demand that Wall Street be held accountable? Or call for a bigger "stimulus bill"? Or a "public option"? Or EFCA? Or to change the filibuster rule? Did he travel to obstructionist senators' states and make a show of it?

Progressives didn't expect Obama to do the heavy lifting in Washington without the power of a social movement behind him. But it was Obama's many "compromises" with the same people whose policies ruined the economy and destroyed the United States' reputation that reached a point where his base was no longer "Fired Up and Ready to Go." In 2010 the Democrats got walloped largely because Obama failed to keep his base mobilized going into the first midterm election he faced as president.

During his first year in office, Obama's single biggest catastrophic error was to lose the handle on the Wall Street criminality narrative. The Obama "brand" was irredeemably tarnished when he coddled and conspired with Wall Street at a time when the electorate wanted justice. He also botched the narratives on the "stimulus" and health-care bills. (Now, Bill Clinton is criticizing the Obama campaign for using Romney's days as a vulture capitalist at Bain Capital against him. According to many big-shot Democrats, Obama's embrace of Wall Street wasn't strong enough!)

But another failure that gets little attention was Obama's education policy. By allowing his basketball buddy from Chicago, Secretary of Education Arne Duncan, to continue the George W. Bush education policies under a new name, he showed continuity between his administration and Bush's that was devastating to a significant part of the Democratic base. Secretary Duncan kept up the Bush-era teacher bashing even when about 300,000 of them were being handed pink slips. Not only is teaching a highly feminized public-sector profession but teachers and their unions comprise a vital component of the Democratic base. Midterm elections are base elections. Obama and his political geniuses should have known that by denigrating teachers, they were beating down people who walk precincts, phone bank, and lick envelopes for Democratic politicians at the local level. Their demobilization helped cause the shellacking of 2010 and Obama being reduced to a lame duck. Organized money defeated organized people in 2010 because so many of the people whom Democrats needed to win had gotten fucked for two years. Now the president has a much more difficult task to get reelected, because Speaker of the House John Boehner and the House Republicans have been killing him politically ever since.

And then there's the abject betrayal of Obama's supporters among civil libertarians who value the rule of law in the nation's anti-terrorism policies. Obama has normalized or expanded some of the worst excesses of executive power from the Bush-Cheney years. It's now "normal" for a president to assume the role of judge, jury, and executioner against any person deemed a "threat" to the realm: foreign nationals living anywhere in the world; U.S. citizens, their friends and relatives, passers-by, and associates; people who happen to be in the wrong place at the wrong time (like at an Afghan wedding party) -- all are considered "legitimate" targets for liquidation by the state at the Chief Executive's whim. The "kill lists," the crackdown on whistleblowers like Pfc. Bradley Manning, a flourishing Guantanamo prison, and the National Defense Authorization Act's sanctioning of the throwing of U.S. citizens into the federal pen without due process are now normal fixtures of American life.

This new normal, where Wall Street criminals go free and whistleblowers are prosecuted, has been brought to us by a Chief Executive whose political enemies call him the most radical left-wing socialist president in our history. Wall Street banks should be pouring money into Obama's reelection since he's been so good to them, and the neocons should be rejoicing in his establishing precedent for more unchecked executive power. And either next year or four years from now, when the Republicans get their guy back in the Oval Office, he'll be able to point to the Obama years as justifying an even greater expansion of presidential powers.

 
 
 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
hipocampelofantocame
retired pediatrician
04:39 PM on 06/06/2012
Dr. Palermo, your blog was good, but offered too much conciliation to Mr. Obama, who
had been fully vetted by the oligarchs (so had McCain), and was doing as he was told.
Our last unfettered president was JFK. One doesn't cross the oligarchy without severe
reprisal. Mr. Kennedy tried it when he signed the bill to abolish the Federal Reserve Bank,
and paid for it three months later. When Mrs. Kennedy said "they", she knew who they
were. You wrote about Republican obstructionism on "purely partisan and ideologic
grounds." I read it differently. The more venal of the Repuglicans relied on egocentrism
and hubris to go on the road of self-enrichment. Conscience had nothing to do with it.
That leaves us with the unpalatable decision between bad and worse, although quite
honestly, the effect will be the same. At least we know what to expect.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
procrustes13
07:17 PM on 06/05/2012
Neoliberalism requires a police state. Neoliberalism must be destroyed.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ta8ersalid
The End of the GOP Starts in Nov. 2012
06:03 PM on 06/05/2012
Your choices are:

Bad = Obama.
Worse = Romney.

Cast your ballot.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
jmpurser
See My micro-bio
10:07 PM on 06/05/2012
You left out "None Of The above".  As long as you accept the lesser evil, evil will win.
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4eva
.-.. --- ...- . --..-- / -. --- - / .... .- - .
05:59 PM on 06/05/2012
Ooops wrong link below ... the WSJ article is not accessible anyway

Taxpayers Now Stand Behind Derivatives Clearinghouses
http://www.dailypaul.com/236175/taxpayers-now-stand-behind-derivatives-clearinghouses

Little noticed is that on Tuesday Team Obama took its first formal steps toward putting taxpayers behind Wall Street derivatives trading -- not behind banks that might make mistakes in derivatives markets, but behind the trading itself. Yes, the same crew that rails against the dangers of derivatives is quietly positioning these financial instruments directly above the taxpayer safety net.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Spiritgirl2
04:51 PM on 06/05/2012
The American people have been dumbed down over the last 30+ an been seduced by the dark side. Deep down many Americans know that our democracy has been co-opted by Wall Street and our politicians have been corrupted by the money in politics. We've been seduced into trickle down, no taxes on the Oligarchy, deregulation genie, and President Obama ain't Superman to undo it all within a few years of taking office! As a nation we the people have been dumbed down & divided by the Oligarchs via their minions in state & federal legislatures! We have ideologued individualism, liberty and freedom - til we have actually forgotten what those words really mean! We bow down to money & power thinking that some day it will be ME stepping over people & the reality is that that's not going to happen! Worst of all, we've allowed the most foolish, avarice centered, and stupidest people to be "our leaders", people that couldn't find their way out of a paper bag with a flash-light and directions! All of this has become our "new normal", my question is - can we finally stop the lies that we tell ourselves, unite & get working to make it better for ourselves and those "future generations" we give lip-service to?
02:39 PM on 06/05/2012
Bravo! great article! Obviously, not everyone on the Left has been fooled by the corporate Democrats and their loud and boisterous online supporters.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Greg Kramer
01:29 PM on 06/05/2012
Obama's ego and intelligence got the better of him. He thought when he was elected in 2004 because rational conservatives and moderates had also voted for him that that would transfer over to the Republican Senators and House Representatives in voting for compromise. His naivete of Mitch McConnell and John Boehner is exacerbated by his constant reaching out to compromise to both men when clearly their agenda was to thwart any Democratic agenda item and extend the Republican agenda as best they could.

Paul Krugman wrote an interesting column the other day reflecting that in fact we are still living in a Republican economy. It is too bad Obama didn't realize what any liberal Democrat knew when he was elected, namely that the House and Senate Republicans are obstructionists, ideological hypocrites in the extreme, and liars.
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01:07 PM on 06/05/2012
Every word true and actually mildly put. Obama is a walking betrayal of almost everything progressives believe in and of many of his own stated beliefs and campaign promises. And that doesn't even take into account his inexperience at anything except campaigning,his political naivity when it comes to governing, and his abject lack of leadership. I've been around a few decades, and he is clearly the worst president in my lifetime, except for the fact that he didn't cause 2 stupid wars, he only continued and expanded them, ending Iraq only when he had to. (I detested almost evrything Bush did, but I have to give him credit for almost always getting his way - and you knew exactly where he stood. You can't say either for Obama.)

It says a great deal about the degradation of the Republican Party's perceived benefit to the people of this nation and the appalling quality of it's candidates that such a weak, disappointing, distrusted, and achievement-less president as Obama will probably be reelected.
03:46 PM on 06/05/2012
It is impossible, let me emphasize that, IT IS IMPOSSIBLE, for anyone who was paying attention, to conclude President Obama even holds a candle to the real worst President in history - George Bush. The impossible occupation of Afghanistan (was never winnable) and the supremely unnecessary, illegal, and expensive invasion of Iraq (eventual cost will be around $4 Trillion and no provision to pay even ten cents of the cost), coupled with the budget busting tax cuts (which vastly favored the rich), the dismantling of government and COMPLETE lack of oversight of Wall Street while it crashed the entire world's financial system and plunged the US into a horrible recession.

Sorry, but nothing President Obama has done or failed to do can even be spoken of in the same sentence, paragraph, chapter, or book as the inconceiveable failure that was George Bush.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
hipocampelofantocame
retired pediatrician
06:48 PM on 06/05/2012
Jannsmoore: Right on. Fanned
and faved
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
jmpurser
See My micro-bio
10:16 PM on 06/05/2012
Except for what the author said: Obama took the Bush disaster and made it the status quo.  Just as Clinton did for the Reagan disaster.

It's not a pendulum system that swings back and forth between Left and Right.  It's a ratchet system that jerks hard to the right and then the Democrats hold what they got until the Republicans can jerk us to the right again.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Jerry Lanson
01:02 PM on 06/05/2012
I agree with you that the president's biggest failure was his unwillingness or inability to go after Wall Street after the crash. But I think his second biggest failing has been his unwillingness or inability to talk regularly to the American people, to call for their help and explain his policies. That said, I think progressive are falling into the standard progressive trap as the election approaches. I've read a lot dumping on the president of late and little looking at his accomplishments -- providing health care to those with pre-existing conditions and to the young, rescuing the automotive industry, ending don't ask don't tell, to name a few. He is NOT Mitt Romney and he is certainly NOT today's Republican Party. Yet if Democrats fracture, as they have in the Wisconsin gubernatorial campaign, that's what we'll get. And it sure won't be pretty.
03:48 PM on 06/05/2012
Fanned for taking a realistic look at our situation. Well spoken.
01:00 PM on 06/05/2012
Palermo seems to be reaching in belittling the President, I don't agree with his points, the fact that the POTUS did not receive a single worthwhile backing on initiatives (like the American Jobs Act,) yes it's a new reality and Americans must now understand that in a Global economy there won't be job guaranties made from expensive and artificially created jobs. It's simply too expensive to do this with the debt that exists nowadays.
President Obama has the Backs of the Middle class and the Displaced. The tax breaks for the rich have not created any worthwhile job numbers in 10 years!! How the rich Republicans can continue to say that if their taxes are raised this will curtail job creation...? Show us the numbers!! Time to elect a Democratic congress and Senate majorities so the Country can get back on track. Unreal how the Presidents civility and compromise attempts were used to make him look weak and indecisive. His heart and mind are in the right place and it seems to me the prudent thing to do would be to give him a real chance for change by rejecting the Conservative and Tea party Agenda which is completely funded by super rich Conservative types who would sell out their Country for the sake of the mighty dollar. Congress needs to be changed so that the representatives are not beholding to their rich Master who are the ones running the country into the ground. You know it.
03:51 PM on 06/05/2012
I actually agree with both the author and you. President Obama has failed to be the educator in chief, which has been sorely needed as the Teapublicans maintain a ceaseless assault on facts, evidence and reality. On the other hand, President Obama is absolutely the better option we are now faced with. Romney will be a disaster for the middle and lower classes.
12:57 PM on 06/05/2012
Obama's early mistakes have haunted him. He kept on the same George Bush financial advisors that could not see the meltdown coming and in fact at first denied it. He passed a Stimulus bill and assumed between that and zero interest rates we would quickly climb out of our economic pain. He tackled health care which should have been done after the economy and even better a second term undertaking.

He for too long assumed that Republicans would come around to him. He refused to take his arguments directly to the people as FDR did. He underestimated the Tea Party and let that movement be quickly hijacked by the far right and GOP. The follies in his first two years might mean he gets no fifth year.

We needed a street fighter but we got too much Harvard Debate Team instead.
03:55 PM on 06/05/2012
I remember a speech from President Obama where he clearly stated it would take many years to clean up our economic mess - so naturally I disagree with your conclusion he thought we would quickly climb out of the recession.

I also agree with President Obama that health care has become such a huge part of our economy that it is part of solving our economic problems.

On the other hand, you make some good points - he failed to be the educator in chief and he failed to take strong stands against too many right wing policies that will naturally end up as failures.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Bocababs
12:53 PM on 06/05/2012
There is this "thing" out there with the jobs that are on these obscure Websites. They want you to be the Office Clerical Worker, along with the Office Cleaner, and I mean including Bathrooms and vacuuming, and in one case, the guy wanted a Massage when he asks for it. Not making this up! The poor people who are looking for work have to really weed through all these types of jobs as they continue on their crazy job hunt.
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AmericaninIndia
American Capitalist Pursuing the Dream in India.
12:49 PM on 06/05/2012
Three words: Come to India.
02:35 PM on 06/05/2012
My Indian team mates tell me that I should be an expat in India, where I would live like a king with servants and a driver. Is this your experience? The main problem is I'm a bit too old to uproot myself and move there.
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AmericaninIndia
American Capitalist Pursuing the Dream in India.
08:19 AM on 06/09/2012
You're never too old, my friend. India is a crazy, chaotic, busy, corrupt, stressful, colorful, beautiful, exciting, developing place full of energy and optimism.

It reminds me of pre-9/11 America (I was in Chicago), or perhaps the Wild West.

It's not easy. It's never boring. Some days you'll want to pack up and go, and other days you'll be happy you came here.

Bottom line: I'm glad I came. It's been the hardest 5 years of my life thus far, but also the most adventurous and educational. In terms of business....no comparison. Business opportunities abound.

I wish you well!
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jgdyogiangel
Just think the bullies never win. Ghandi
12:43 PM on 06/05/2012
He has it in a nutshell when he says that bama tried to compromise with the very people that caused the mess. In doing so he lost the respect and the backing of his base. Should he have stood up and said you are to blame and I'm not dealing with you, I'm changing what you did? Sure but he wanted to try and bring America together. Problem is he wasn't dealing with reasonable, people interested in bringing America together, he was dealing with GOP self centered people that care about getting what they want, keeping power and who seem to have never understood that democracy is about compromise. What should he have done? I don't know. But I do know that it takes two to tango here and the GOP unwillingness to see any side but their own has caused massive damage to our democracy. I think now Obama has is beginning to see this but at what price to our democracy?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
david kenner
12:41 PM on 06/05/2012
China finds itself currently in a another slump too. Their response is another stimulus package focused on affordable housing and energy efficient appliances. All to made in China of course. Romney's surrogates are touting Obama's failure to crack down on China's currency manipulation. They say Romney will do that the first day he's in the White House, they don't really say how. Obama could declare them a "currency manipulator" and I agree it was a mistake for him not to that when it took office, Bush could have at any point as well (this isn't new, but they'd like you to think so). Romney says that's what he'll do, he doesn't mention that doing so then requires tariffs to be imposed. When Obama slapped China with a 99% tariff on tires, 48% on steel pipe and now 41% on solar panels, Romney called that "protectionism". Romney doesn't want you notice that he's not telling you the truth.

Even if you could force China to allow its currency to float against the USD on the currency markets, without imposing tariffs, at this point it probably wouldn't help. Monetary policy is no substitute for trade policy, and no, switching to the gold standard wouldn't work. The one thing that has always worked throughout history is tariffs, and we can see over the past couple of decades what happens without them.