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Josh Sugarmann

Josh Sugarmann

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Gun Conglomerate Pulls IPO, Latest Bad News for Firearms Industry

Posted: 04/ 4/11 02:37 PM ET

In the latest evidence that despite the gun industry's essentially unchallenged chest thumping that things are going great, really great for firearm manufacturers, a giant dose of reality reared its ugly head last Friday when America's largest gun conglomerate, Freedom Group, canceled a long-delayed IPO (Initial Public Offering).

And Freedom Group isn't just any gun company. In fact, as measured by its own market position and market share descriptions, the self-described "largest manufacturer of commercial firearms and ammunition" works to present itself as just about every gun company.

The companies that comprise Freedom Group run the gamut from manufacturers of traditional sporting arms to military-style assault weapons. Included are such mainline gun industry stalwarts as Remington, Marlin, Harrington & Richardson, and New England Firearms. At the other end of the spectrum, Freedom Group also includes leading AR15-type assault weapon manufacturers Bushmaster and DPMS. Freedom Group states that it has the number one U.S. market position in shotguns (31 percent), ammunition (33 percent), traditional rifles (37 percent), and "modern sporting rifles" (48 percent). ("Modern sporting rifle" is the latest nom de jour that the gun industry has dubbed assault weapons, a rebranding effort that's been about as successful as Freedom Group's IPO.)

For anyone who's been watching the gun industry as a whole, and Freedom Group in particular, the withdrawal of the IPO -- amidst a cratering gun market and ongoing leadership changes at the company that reek of panic -- is no big surprise.

According to Freedom Group's 2010 annual report:

Net sales for the year ended December 31, 2010 were $386.6 million, a decrease of $121.5 million, or 23.9%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2009. Centerfire rifle sales decreased by $108.1 million, or 30.9%, as compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to reduced sales demand for modern sporting products as the 2009 surge ended and sales returned to more historical levels. Shotgun sales decreased by $6.7 million, or 5.7%, as compared to the prior-year period. Rimfire rifle sales decreased by $5.9 million, or 18.2%, as compared to the prior-year period.


Without doubt, gun industry apologists both official (the National Shooting Sports Foundation) and unofficial (the National Rifle Association) will find some rationale to explain how a planned gazillion dollar deal offered as validation of both the vitality of the gun industry and the proven, yes proven, demand for guns has frittered away into a financial footnote.

Maybe, like the ever-optimistic Spinal Tap, they can claim that they've chosen to become more selective in their appeal.

Or maybe freedom's just another word for nothing left to shoot.

 

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03:07 PM on 04/18/2011
Take the profit out of gun use killing. Fear can prompt people to buy guns, but why should companies profit from the killing of Americans by gun use?
05:49 PM on 04/18/2011
So who profits from a killing, other than the Brady bunch dancing in the blood?
09:51 AM on 04/06/2011
I just put a order in for a $3500 so called assault weapon (308) and was told it will be 5 months due to the backlog of orders.

See just like anything else some companies are up and some are down
02:56 PM on 04/18/2011
We don't care about your fetish.
05:48 PM on 04/18/2011
We don't care about you.
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Dahveed1
I have Flying Monkeys...
06:23 PM on 04/05/2011
I'm missing the point here. Was he disappointed because he was hoping to score some shares?
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schotts
Strength and Honor
07:50 PM on 04/05/2011
I bet your right. Put in a buy order for shares then post a bunch of misleading gun control articles and watch the shares gain. I believe they call that fringe running.
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08:35 PM on 04/05/2011
Well he is a licensed firearms dealer, one of the very few in Washington DC
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eljefefx
06:14 PM on 04/05/2011
Josh, it's a shame that you still do not know what a true "assault weapon" is.
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04:16 PM on 04/05/2011
Second Attempt:
Nothing to see here! Just another one of Joshie's famous tempests in a tea pot!!!

Old SF MJT
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Old Jarhead
F-4. The triumph of thrust over aerodynamics
06:06 PM on 04/05/2011
Stopped at my favorite gun store this afternoon. They have a new Taurus, slim line, in .380, with a full grip, that looks like it would be the perfect CC handgun, and would even work well for open carry, if that ever passes in TX. Hope you're having a great day!
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schotts
Strength and Honor
07:48 PM on 04/05/2011
Might have to take a look at those myself.
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RevJimIII
Grin and Barret...
01:56 AM on 04/06/2011
The Oklahoma open carry bill is being heard in the public safety committee this morning, but they added an amendment which turns it back into ccw with open option... which is ridiculous in my opinion.
I haven't heard the latest on Texas yet.
02:45 PM on 04/05/2011
I wish there was an interesting gun control article up this week =\
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schotts
Strength and Honor
01:25 PM on 04/05/2011
Josh, you must be bored.

I am sure you are fully aware that gun sales spiked in 2009 largely due to perceived gun control legislation that might be enacted by a democratically controlled congress and an incoming President that had a prior political track record as vehemently opposed to firearms. While many gun manufacturers are privately held and financial information is hard to ascertain, the NCIS reported approximately 14 million firearm sold in 2009 – the highest of the 12 years of data available. It is safe to assume that 2009 was an “anomaly” – an outlier - in terms of trends with regards to firearms sales.

Given the 2009 spike, it only seems obvious that when gun control measures either failed to materialize or failed to progress, firearms sales returned to more normal levels in 2010. However, even with that said, sales in 2010 were certainly much higher than in 2008. For example, Ruger reported sales of $181.5 million in 2008, $271 million in 2009 and $255.2 million in 2010. The compounded average growth rate of Ruger sales from 2005 to 2010 is 10.5%. One firm does not make an industry but I think Ruger is a good surrogate for the industry.

Finally, many factors weigh in on a company's decision to go public - not just their latest sales figures.

Gun sales continue at a brisk pace, violent crime continues to fall.


What’s your point Josh? Ruby Tuesday?
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08:45 PM on 04/05/2011
"Given the 2009 spike, it only seems obvious that when gun control measures either failed to materializ­e or failed to progress, firearms sales returned to more normal levels in 2010"

Correct. From the annual report linked by Josh:

Gross Profit for 2010 $233.6 million; 2009 $281.8 million; 2008 $197.0 million; 2007 $78.9 million
12:06 AM on 04/19/2011
Gun use killings steam ahead! 30,000 Americans killed yearly by gun use is not progress,
08:56 PM on 04/20/2011
Guess you missed the fact that crime rates have decreased. But facts don't really matter to the gun ban crowd.
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molonlabe
Before you ban it, at least learn what it is.
12:25 PM on 04/05/2011
I was playing cards with some friends of mine one night. It was a $25 buy in. I got really hot for a string of hands and went up $200 and was feeling cocky. Then things leveled off and I kept drawing crap cards and ended up losing $175.

When telling my wife about the evening she focused on the fact that l "lost" $175 and figured out that she wouldn't be getting any coin for the shoe store the next day.

Me, I focused on the more important fact that i still came home with my $25.

Lesson learned? Peaks and valleys while playing cards is inevitable. But you're not in danger of losing your house if you're a strong enough card player to be consistent over the long haul.
03:00 PM on 04/18/2011
Lesson learned, with gun proliferation we all lose, killing by gun use is forever.
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11:52 AM on 04/05/2011
The weapons lobbies have totally moved from the "sportman" image to boost sales, to the pandering to the right wing extremest paramilitary movement in the US. Camo painted high capacity, small arms and assessories are the rage, and not for hunting "critters". Saying the word "Obama" is the call to arms. They are in the political paramilitary armlement sales business now. It has worked well overseas, and they have gone domestic.
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Berettasskeeter
For what we are about to receive, may we be truly
12:04 PM on 04/05/2011
What objections do you have to ANY company dressing its product in the best suit of clothes that it thinks will attract the most attention from potential buyers? Is this an unsound business practice? If so, how? And why would companies engage in practices that will NOT attract buyers? Or, is your objection based merely on the commodity?!
Semper fi
03:02 PM on 04/18/2011
ANY company? Lets tell the drug dealers to dress up their product to attract buyers. Drugs, like gun use, kills.
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eljefefx
06:15 PM on 04/05/2011
Do you typically use broad sweeping generalizations and little real information as the basis for your arguments?
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CelticMajic
The answer lies in each of us individually
11:12 AM on 04/05/2011
My goodness, Josh, who cares?
08:56 AM on 04/05/2011
The attorney general’s office said Monday it processed 12,801 applications in 2010, up 1.5 percent from the previous record high of 12,606 reached the year before.

Hawaii permit applications have nearly doubled since 2000, while the number of registered firearms has surged more than 130 percent.

http://www.saysuncle.com/2011/04/05/gun-sales-up-11/
08:50 AM on 04/05/2011
After losing in Missouri, where can the gun lobby count on victory? This defeat, coming on the heels of a resounding referendum vote in Florida to crack down on gun shows, proves that states once considered the heart of the NRA's power base are rejecting its extremist pro-gun message. As Americans' support for sensible gun control grows, the NRA's power continues to crumble.

Violence Policy Center
Press release April 7, 1999

Like a broken record.
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Jim Pasterczyk
Banned!
05:04 AM on 04/05/2011
Why do these gun groups keep insisting that they are the ones on the side of freedom, apparently to the exclusion or superior to anyone else? Methinks they protest too much.
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David Carson
12:04 PM on 04/05/2011
except of course--our side is supported by SCOTUS and COTUS and the civilian disarmament advocates are NOT
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Jim Pasterczyk
Banned!
03:20 AM on 04/06/2011
5:4, real rousing majority there. Same margin that gave us W and Iraq.
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Berettasskeeter
For what we are about to receive, may we be truly
12:05 PM on 04/05/2011
As opposition to the individual Right to keep and bear arms directly contravenes the Constitution, how could anyone opposed make ANY claim to be standing for freedom??!
Semper fi
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Jim Pasterczyk
Banned!
04:14 AM on 04/07/2011
Then join up and serve in Iraq.
12:07 AM on 04/05/2011
Josh has been singing this refrain for over a decade now.

Shouldn't the industry be dead by now and the NRA memberless?
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Gun Banner Too
Violence Policy Advocate
05:15 PM on 04/04/2011
I start Blogging in 2010.

Gun sales for this group plummet to a meager $386.6 million. Chump Change.

Coincidence?

NO!

I AM WINNING!

http://tinyurl.com/4k346he
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RevJimIII
Grin and Barret...
01:47 AM on 04/06/2011
Warlock?