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Jure Klepic

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Paradox of Online Influence

Posted: 06/26/2012 12:28 pm

I spend my time analyzing the world of social media influence and helping clients use it effectively to achieve their marketing and communications goals. I've noticed that a hotly-debated topic in the digital world is online influence. A huge myth is forming which says that online popularity equals online influence. Based on this myth, tools which purport to measure online influence are popping up like mushrooms on a rainy day. The paradox is that these inferential tools can be just as damaging as they can be helpful when marketers and brands buy into this nonsense idea of online influence, and waste time and money using these tools to build marketing strategies for their brands.

As incredible as it seems none of the so-called experts or services like Klout, Kred, PeerIndex, and Traackr bother to answer the fundamental question, "What is Online Influence?" Klout says influence is the ability to drive action even though they don't even measure actions which are measurements and indicators of behavior. What they try to measure is personal power, which is another paradox because they are trying to get marketers to make decisions based on their measurement of something which is in fact not possible to measure. Nobody questions their definition of influence because Klout tells us we matter (or don't matter) and that we have personal power (or don't have personal power), a manifestation of the top of Maslow's hierarchy of needs, that for self-actualization.

Even worse, Klout actually measures what we are willing to do for them! Not only do they purposely assign you a lower Klout score (no power) at the beginning and guilt you into doing what they want you to do to increase your score, they make you believe that you don't matter if you don't have a high Klout score. Their ad asks, "Would you date someone with a lower Klout score?" Why does a Klout score matter when it comes to dating, and where is this leading us when it comes to measuring social influence?

Many brands and experts believe Klout's tag line, "We are the standard for influence," and build entire marketing plans on this very weak foundation. To me, the definition of a standard is something that is tested and verifiable; it is based on a number of parameters, and arrived at by a group, not just an individual entity seeking to fulfill a hidden agenda. The definition of influence is simple... influence is changing behavior. The dictionary defines influence as "the power to sway." The "influencer" has the "power" to win people over to his point of view or reinforce group mores, i.e. to change their behavior. Influence is not just getting people to take a passive action such as a "like" or a retweet, but making them think about what is being presented and doing something they might not otherwise do.

Do Klout, Kred, or PeerIndex measure the ability to change behavior? Quite simply, they do not. Instead of calling it what it is, brand awareness, they use the word "influence" in metrics and results that have nothing to do with the real meaning of influence. Some variables they use in their scoring system include Unique Retweets, Total Retweets, Mutual Follows, Number of Followers, Number of Friends, Unique Likers, Unique Commenters, and Likes Per Post, but none of these indicate how we are changing behavior in others.

According to award-winning innovation expert Debra Kaye, "The forms of influence are charismatic, authoritative, and bureaucratic. Klout's definition of influence falls mostly into the charismatic category. You picture yourself as a person on the go, and it is manifested in the recommendations and the authority you are trying to build with your followers. But where is the feedback? How do you know that you have changed their behavior?"

Until now, the only way we knew we were important was in an academic sense -- the number of citations, or general fame. Klout attempts to put a number on your fame or power, but how credible is their formula? They recently announced yet another change in their algorithm, which only makes me wonder why "the standard for influence" need to change its algorithm and scoring system so many times. They measure activity on three networks -- Facebook, Twitter and Google+ -- but where are the rest of 200+ social media networks if they really want to be a standard?

The main issue when it comes to measuring online influence is that all of their "eggs" are in on one basket -- the size of your network and your ability to spread a message through shares, retweets, likes and comments. Klout, Kred or PeerIndex do not give any vital indications like a positive or negative message, any signal or indication if a message has increased purchasing (a good indication of behavior change), or any other changes in behavior. This only shows us that they measure brand awareness minus sentiment, which is essential when it comes to brand recognition.

The so-called standard for online influence has been misused and wrongly interpreted. For example, last year fashion designer Kenneth Cole unleashed a flurry of anger over his insensitive and poorly timed tweet that read, "Millions are in uproar in #Cairo. Rumor is they heard our new spring collection is now available online." Even though this caused a huge public relations crisis, Klout still rewarded the brand with a rise of 30 points in its Klout score overnight. How can they speak about influence, when the message itself was deemed to be offensive and resulted in a major backlash? This tweet did not change behavior in a positive way, and the brand did not become more influential.

Commenting further Debra Kaye concluded, "In my opinion, Klout is so hyped because of its personal delivery of Maslow's highest state of self-actualization -- building YOURSELF. This raises the question of, 'Am I just finding and gathering people who already think like me?' Is Klout helping you gather others to yourself as part of a larger tribe who already think like you do, or are you really changing behaviors and bringing in new and different people? That would really be breaking the barriers of what social media has done so far."

One essential element that is missing when using these tools is anthropological data and knowledge. We need a clear understanding of the market based on its underlying culture, consumer reactions, and history. When we have that, we will have the ability to measure online influence and not just some superficial metric. Marketers should collect data on how people seek to change behavior among their social group, how they attempt to direct them to new trends, places, political, religious philosophies, and how social media is used in this process. This would truly be tracking influence and behavior change by looking at ideas of creativity, insight and attractiveness.

So, therein lies the paradox -- in social media, popularity means influence and is being used to make marketing decisions, yet those with the most influence might not necessarily be the most popular. The time has come to stop relying on the tired definitions of influence, and develop new ways to find those in the social media atmosphere who really have influence and the power to change behavior.

 
 
 

Follow Jure Klepic on Twitter: www.twitter.com/jkcallas

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05:30 PM on 06/29/2012
I must say, this was a very good read. I like how approached the topic. I believe these tools are merely playing off the Gamification vibe and quite possibly causing some people, or brands to lose sight of what they are really here for. Instead, they are playing this "game" to increase their score.
04:51 PM on 06/28/2012
There’s an iPhone based platform called SocialLadder that not only tells users how influential they are, but also shows them the transactions that affect their influence score. More importantly, it gives users access to local offers and exclusive VIP invitations. They did a soft launch in Feb in the app store and are in the process of planning a national launch.
08:10 PM on 06/28/2012
Thank you for your comment. SocialLadder shows you transaction which are #likes, RT, reply and so on. This transactions are not indicators of behaviour change. Last but not least as well service is offering in few cities only. Their website has no explanation or details on how score is calculated. They do advice to increase your social network, meaning more network you use higher your score will be.
10:15 AM on 06/28/2012
Jure,
Thanks for sharing this post with us. I consistently try to show my clients other metrics than number of fans or Klout score. I really like looking at engagement both overall and of individual posts because this metric actually lets me know if people are interested in the content and not just the popularity of the brand. I'll have to show you how Socialbakers works as I know that we have talked about it in the past. The genius of your post and your work is the angle that you are interested in taking that is looking at anthropological data and knowledge. The question is - in looking at both the old school marketing schemes and social media marketing - do we look at ROI (Return on Investment or Return on Interaction) or is there some other way of measuring culture, consumer reactions and history. I am looking forward to learning about what you come up with.
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09:02 PM on 06/27/2012
Wow, very smart post Jure...you aren't writing at the 8th grade level I need to fully understand things, though.

Thanks to you, I stopped caring about "my" Klout and went back to caring more about the people I know, the people I like, and the people that like me...and I mean "like" in its old-fashioned usage.

Influence to me is ALL about who you know and will they follow you to hell and back...

What is this comment system you have? Looks terrific!
12:58 PM on 06/27/2012
Jure,

The point that strikes me is the revelation that influence tools, such as they are, drive the inwardly-directed need for self-actualization. So I really agree with the hypothesis that many of us are seeking out like-minded peers on social networks. For marketing purposes, the power of self-actualization can be harnessed for good! A brand strives to create community, a group with common feelings toward and about it. So brand self-actualization as a 'popularity contest' is, perhaps, a valid goal! Out of that community emerges the brand evangelists, champions, and word-of-mouth popularity that will drive revenue. Focus on building the community. The accuracy of artificial measurement of the power of it will have to catch up.
08:00 AM on 06/27/2012
Finally an article about online influence that doesn't use the authors low score as justification for discrediting Klout, Kred and the others. Very informative. The Debra Kaye quote that ends with "breaking the barriers of what social media has done so far." sums up the problems with how people are using Influence measures today.

I don't think that Influence measures should be used as the heart of a marketing campaign or strategy but it may be time for them to get a column on the spreadsheet. To validate for or against incorporating influencers into campaigns there needs to be measurement, tracking, split testing etc. Some industries and products may have more success than others.
05:59 AM on 06/27/2012
Jure,

As someone that's actually watched how my score goes up or down as I become more social and/or connect with people and change behaviors, you've hit the nail right on the head. Here in this category, you always do.

Interesting you brought up the three networks Klout is measuring. Facebook, Twitter and Google+. Really? How many people are changing behaviors that haven't even filled out a G+ profile? How much time do many "social influencers" really spend there at this point??

I trust you will continue to keep us posted on the reality of influence in the social space. Many, including myself, consider you the authority.

Thank you for sharing your thoughts,

~Keri
07:34 PM on 06/26/2012
Jure ~ what a brilliant and thoughtful post about influence. Kenneth Cole was a great example because it highlights the fault in their system....it cannot measure sentiment...only activity via mentions, RTs. Facebook likes. While this could show popularity or trends, it does not show you the whole picture of influence, negative/positive sentiment, change in behavior. And in the Kenneth Cole case this could have influenced people and their next purchasing decision but Klout would miss that.

"So, therein lies the paradox -- in social media, popularity means influence and is being used to make marketing decisions, yet those with the most influence might not necessarily be the most popular. The time has come to stop relying on the tired definitions of influence, and develop new ways to find those in the social media atmosphere who really have influence and the power to change behavior."
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PegFitzpatrick
Writer and social media passionista
04:37 PM on 06/26/2012
Really interesting post, Jure.

This is something to think about: "The main issue when it comes to measuring online influence is that all of their "eggs" are in on one basket -- the size of your network and your ability to spread a message through shares, retweets, likes and comments. Klout, Kred or PeerIndex do not give any vital indications like a positive or negative message, any signal or indication if a message has increased purchasing (a good indication of behavior change), or any other changes in behavior."
03:17 PM on 06/26/2012
So-called online influence platforms have undoubtedly been hyped up and so has the notion of online influence itself. Klout/Kred scores bear no relation to someone's actual influence and, as you say, this is not what they're set to measure anyways (popularity vs. influence).

We've all fallen guilty of striving for simple solutions to complex problems though: number of mentions in trade publications as a proxy to expertise, Klout score as a proxy to influence. Even in this post, by bundling Klout and Traackr in one same bucket, you're oversimplifying to make your point, while the two solutions have very little in common.

We need to be reminded, as you do it here, that on or offline influence is a complex and rich concept that no one score can truly measure. We took a stand at Traackr to surface the complexity instead of hiding it. History will vindicate our approach :)
04:04 PM on 06/26/2012
Pierre still the main fact remain the same, can you please share with me / us how you track or measure the change in behaviour? Traackr doesn't measure any behaviour changes. You score context based on relevance, reach and resonance. You advertise on your website "Find influencers who impact your bottom line" You track the content of bloggers and ability to spread message but where is the measurement of actions, ( increased purchase for example ) that would speak to your tag line of impacting the bottom line.

You are offering Traackr influencer lists; where influencers define topics they feel passionate about and then create and maintain their own Traackr influencer lists. I basically like the algorithm you use, but something about this is getting too money-based when the influencers start maintaining their own lists. This seems like a conflict of interest at the least and calls your impartiality into question.
05:15 PM on 06/26/2012
On impact: we actually do measure impact or rather give our users the ability to do it themselves. Associated to each influencer list they create is a monitor that will enable them to assess the impact these influencers have on their brand/campaign. Our app keeps on seeking patterns of behavior changes we can correlate to metrics and our scoring system to help hone in on potential influence. Happy to walk you through what we do and get your thoughts.

On Influencer Lists: the vast majority (over 95%) of influencer lists in Traackr are created by our users not by influencers. A few months ago, we embarked on a social experiment where we let influencers in their own right build their influencer queries (generate the keywords that drive the search but with no direct ability to affect the output). The jury is still out on whether or not this is scalable process w/o compromising the integrity of the data but so far the feedback has been very positive.
01:48 PM on 06/26/2012
Jure - When you describe how - "Marketers should collect data on how people seek to change behavior among their social group, how they attempt to direct them to new trends, places, political, religious philosophies, and how social media is used in this process." - you capture the essence of tracking influence to design, investigate and create organic relationships in social media. Great Post!!
01:36 PM on 06/26/2012
Thank you Jure!! I wish more people with actual influence like yourself would speak up about this issue. Klout also does not take into account Empire Avenue. How many people with high scores have one simply because of the game and not because of anything they've actually done?
01:23 PM on 06/26/2012
Provocative - and the issue of self-relfection is particularly interesting. Who's influencing who?
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DabneyPorte
Dabney Porte is a relationship expert who loves to
12:43 PM on 06/26/2012
You Jure ~ Are amazing and beyond correct when you say this..."The paradox -- in social media, popularity means influence and is being used to make marketing decisions, yet those with the most influence might not necessarily be the most popular"

I admire your integrity and research when you address metrics and those platforms who MEASURE and SCORE us. We must all own our influence and to do this....we all need to UNDERSTAND it. Thanks for being THE voice and expert we all need!

xoxo
08:24 PM on 06/26/2012
Amen, Dabney. Perfectly stated. Thank you AND thank you, Jure.