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Beware the Brokered Convention!

Posted: 02/22/2012 8:58 am

Politico is a journal subscribed to by none but political junkies, and most of those are liberal. So, when this serious publication starts talking about a brokered convention for the GOP in Tampa next August, beware!

General Dwight D. Eisenhower won a first-ballot nomination in 1952. But there had been a prolonged and bitter floor fight over convention rules. Supporters of conservative Sen. Robert A. Taft ("Mr. Republican") charged that they had been unfairly denied delegates by Ike's manipulative Eastern Establishment backers. Had Ike not been the odds-on favorite to sweep the nation after twenty years of Democratic Party rule, the Republicans might well have remained angrier at each other than at their rivals.

Even so, Ike felt he needed to smooth ruffled feathers of the party's conservative base. So he named then-Sen. Richard M. Nixon of California as his vice presidential running mate. Nixon was offered to conservatives because he had made a name for himself going after Communists in the State Department. He pursued New Dealer Alger Hiss, against whom ex-Communist Whittaker Chambers had so heroically testified. Denying all, Hiss went to prison for perjury.

That Richard Nixon would go on to become president and to betray Taiwan in his famous "Opening Up" of Communist China could not have been imagined in any of those 1952 Republican delegates' wildest dreams. That he would be forced to resign in the face of impeachment stuns us even now.

The consequences for the nation of that 1952 "brokered" convention have been vast. When Nixon went down in 1974, thousands of "Watergate babies" were swept into office. These very liberal Democrats left a record of radical social and economic policies that still haunts us.

A more recent example of a brokered convention might be the Republican National Convention of 1980, in Detroit . Former Gov. Ronald Reagan had swept the primaries and caucuses that year and his nomination for president, after New Hampshire, was never in doubt.

But who would be his running mate? Reagan was then the oldest man ever nominated for president, so Number Two could easily have become Number One.

With no mystery in the presidential nomination to chew over, the national media -- liberal then as now -- began their own mini-campaign. With the collusion of former Sec. of State Henry Kissinger, the media began floating the idea of a Reagan-Ford ticket.

Like a beach ball at a rock concert, one reporter after another asked delegates what they thought of pairing the conservative Californian with the moderate ex-president. The idea began to gain real traction, stoked as it was by media boredom, the mother of mischief. Liberals snickered at the thought of the supposedly inexperienced Reagan ceding foreign policy and defense to Ford. It would be, one wag said, "a presidency with training wheels."

To conservatives, who had denounced Nixon-Kissinger-Ford détente as an immoral concession to Soviet imperialism, the very idea was anathema. Ford had erased a 30-point deficit in the polls in 1976, only to impale himself by saying Eastern Europe was not under Soviet domination during a presidential debate with Jimmy Carter. And this was the man whom the party Establishment and their cohorts in the media hoped would restrain Ronald Reagan.

To prevent being forced into such a misalliance, Gov. Reagan moved and quickly to spike all such talk. He named his defeated rival, former UN Ambassador George H.W. Bush as his running mate.

With that, the fate of the Republican Party and, to an extent, the nation, was sealed for twenty years after Bush 41 won the White House in 1988. Columnist George F. Will spoke for many conservatives after the senior Bush was trounced by Bill Clinton, following a single term: He turned the silk purse of the Reagan coalition into a sow's ear.

If we think the products of such brokered conventions were good for America, good for good for the conservative cause, or even good for the Republican Party, we should think again. A brokered convention could only leave us all, well, broker.

 
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Politico is a journal subscribed to by none but political junkies, and most of those are liberal. So, when this serious publication starts talking about a brokered convention for the GOP in Tampa next...
Politico is a journal subscribed to by none but political junkies, and most of those are liberal. So, when this serious publication starts talking about a brokered convention for the GOP in Tampa next...
 
 
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10:13 PM on 02/23/2012
Mssrs. Blackwell and Morrison,

You wrote, "He pursued New Dealer Alger Hiss, against whom ex-Communist Whittaker Chambers had so heroically testified."

"Heroically"? You would be more accurate to write "under subpoena." Please, let the facts speak for themselves.

David Chambers | http://www.whittakerchambers.org/
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Winkandanod
PBO 332, WMR 206 Deal with it.
03:55 PM on 02/23/2012
These guys represent the thought leaders of conservatism?

No wonder they have not come up with an original idea in 40 plus years.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
messy
artist, writer, adventurer
10:31 AM on 02/23/2012
On the one hand, We have the power brokers giving us Warren G. Harding and John W. Davis, on the other hand, we have them giving us Abraham Lincoln and Franklin D. Roosevelt.
06:44 PM on 02/22/2012
There's some tortured and false logic there, suggesting that the "brokered" 1952 convention somehow is responsible for Nixon's foreign policy or for the Democratic sweep of 1974.

Nixon and the voters of 1968 and 1972 are responsible for whatever policies he implemented, good or bad. Just as Nixon's crimes and the voters of 1974 are responsible for the Democratic sweeps.

The authors have a terribly fragile premise that collapses the moment they try to lay anything upon it.

And they overlook or ignore all the harm that a brokered convention will inevitably do to the entire GOP in 2012.

Which is why I'd love a brokered convention. I can think of no party more deserving of such a catastrophe and it will be even more entertaining than the London Olympics.
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booktone
05:31 PM on 02/22/2012
Anything that's good for the conservative cause ... is bad for America.
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wikwox
So there I was, playing the piano....
05:00 PM on 02/22/2012
It's Mitt, I suggest you learn to live with it. That and all the alternatives I've heard will be rejected by the American people. Christie, Rubio, Jeb Bush etc., give it up and it ain't gonna happen.
Mike Rock
Right wingers, prepare to lose debate.
03:16 PM on 02/22/2012
Seeing as how the "conservative cause" is to enslave 99.99% of us and further enrich the 0.01%, I'd say anything that can damage that "cause" is good.

99 to 1 - the only vote result that makes sense.
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Ohio Republican
Reg Repub because we need a 2 party system
02:41 PM on 02/22/2012
Blackwell is an embarrasement to Ohio and the Republican party. He needs to find another line of work.
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Timothy Kuntz
Trying to be sane
02:17 PM on 02/22/2012
This guy lost me with the twisted logic from 1952 to 1974. So the brokered convention led to Watergate? Uh.... No. There were a few other things in between. And the old "liberal media" thing. The media is purely ratings driven. Even FOX would shift if they sensed a greater possible demographic slice elsewhere. (Highly unlikely)
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01:30 PM on 02/22/2012
The 1952 convention was the antithesis of a brokered convention. Taft had enough delegates for a first ballot nomination and control of National Committee and the Convention Committees. The battles that shifted the momentum to Eisenhower all took place on the floor in front of the television cameras.

In the credentials fight in 1952 it was the Eisenhower campaign that "charged that they had been unfairly denied delegates" in the South by Taft supporters. The Eisenhower forces waged an uphill battle to overcome the ruling of the National Committee and the Convention Credentials Committee on the floor of the convention. They first had to get the rules changed so that the contested delegates would not be allowed to vote until the contests had been finally decided.

As a delegate, Nixon, then the junior Senator from California, was pledged to support California Governor Earl Warren. Warren was angling for a deadlocked convention in which the 70 California votes would become crucial. He and the delegation chair, senior U.S. Senator William Knowland, sided with the Taft supporters in the credentials fight. Weeks before the convention, Lodge had let Nixon know that he was the front-runner for the Vice Presidential nomination, should Eisenhower win the nomination, and that they needed his help to win the rules and credentials fight. Nixon did just that. Far from being a conservative choice for Vice President, Nixon had had the private backing of the most Eastern establishment Republican of them all, Tom Dewey, for months.
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ThomasMc
Christian morality is an oxymoron.
11:44 AM on 02/22/2012
The Republican primaries are controlled by extremists, determined to nominate the most extreme candidate possible -- one who couldn't possibly win in November. If Santorum stays the front runner, the Party will have no choice but to substitute him with someone more moderate, or they forfeit any possibility of taking the White House for another 4 years.
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BassguyGG
Former Moderate driven Left by eight years of Bush
11:43 AM on 02/22/2012
I have been saying for months that a brokered convention is all but a certain. With Romney stalling in the polls and so many other "Anybody but Romney" candidates gaining traction, the parrty is sending a clear message. Plus the more America gets to know these candidates, the less the general electorate likes them. By the time the GOP Convention rolls around this summer Romney will be wounded and rendered unelectable, while the others will be exposed as the "fringe" candidates they always were. With Romney not having sufficient delegates the party bosses will select a "shiny new" candidate. It might be Colin Powell, it might be Chris Christie but the bet here is that it will be Jeb Bush.
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littleolwinemakerme
Put A Cork In It!
04:27 PM on 02/22/2012
Sorry dude, Dubya ruined that last name for a generation, at least.
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phal4875
The world is run by cats; we just feed them.
05:41 PM on 02/22/2012
Tonight's debate and the primary in Michigan on Tuesday may tell us a lot. If Romney loses the state in which he was raised, that would be a major blow. If he loses to a person who is so right of center socially, Romney will have to become even crazier in his move to the right. He would have to choose the late Genghis Kahn to balance his ticket with a liberal VP nominee.
jhNY
Mercy.
11:29 AM on 02/22/2012
Brokered convention, convention featuring fire baton twirling and tasteful bear dancing, convention of attendees in bright, silken costumes designed as an ironic homage to 15th century Tannu Tuvan fashion-- whatever form the GOP convention takes is probably beyond irrelevant, in that the candidates tumbling out of the clown car they call primary season, over whom all the fuss would be made, are incapable of winning the presidency. Whichever one they pick. Which is fine with me.
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CSKAP
Morlock or Eloi?
11:25 AM on 02/22/2012
I still think it‘s going to be Sarah Palin’s nomination to lose come the convention. I believe that is her belief as well. Her cheerleading of Newt to stay in the race to “keep it going” is just part of her tactics.
Whether delusional or not, I think she looks to the convention and the second or third ballot when the far Right gets energized and she sees a groundswell lifting her to the top.
So, who will be Sarah’s running mate and why
Discuss
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Ulalume s Ague
Fighting for the Poe People
11:17 AM on 02/22/2012
Liberal media my left foot. Media has become an apolitical libertine who will lie down with anyone that has some wild statement to make. Absent from the media is any substantive discussion of the issues that truly matter. Instead, they fan the fiery rhetoric of rightwing knutjobz in order to sell ad space-- which has the deleterious effect on us all that elevates these weirdos to a erroneous level of importance. Better a brokered convention than a mendacious Secretary of State who skews elections, I say.
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goatini
We are two-legged wombs, that’s all
04:19 PM on 02/22/2012
About time I fanned you, and had to today for "mendacious Secretary of State who skews elections". I don't know why anyone gives him a megaphone.