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Kevin Grandia

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Only Three Years of Offshore Oil in the Arctic

Posted: 07/25/2012 10:58 am

Recently released US government documents show there is a scant 3.3 years worth of oil sitting off the shores of the Arctic -- one of the last pristine places left on the planet.

According to the US Geological Survey in a report titled "An Evaluation of the Science Needs to Inform Decisions on Outer Continental Shelf Energy Development in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska," there is an estimated 23.6 billion barrels of oil that is "risked, undiscovered, technically recoverable oil" in the Arctic seas.

Sounds like a lot right?

The United States consumes around 7 billion barrels of oil a year. We use this oil for all sorts of things, fueling our cars, planes and ships for example. This estimate is made by the US government's Energy Information Agency, which is in charge of monitoring and reporting energy use for the country.

The math is simple now. We use 7 billion barrels of oil a year and there are 23.6 billion barrels in the Arctic Seas, so we come to just over three years worth of oil. And these numbers are conservative because I am assuming consumption of oil over the next decade remains the same and doesn't go up. Also, the US Geological Survey estimate of 23.6 billion barrels is a best guess, there may be more "discoverable" oil, but there may also be a lot less.

Writing on the Huffington Post just the other day, music legend Paul McCartney said that we must "come together to save the Arctic."

MacCartney is baffled that:

As the ice retreats, the oil giants are moving in. Instead of seeing the melting as a grave warning to humanity, they're eyeing the previously inaccessible oil beneath the seabed at the top of the world. They're exploiting the disappearance of the ice to drill for the very same fuel that caused the melting in the first place.

As we speak, massive offshore oil rigs owned by oil giant Shell are slowly making their way to the Arctic Seas and they plan to anchor in the remote, dangerous and pristine waters of the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas (think World's Deadliest Catch), where they will pierce the bottom of the ocean with giant drills in the hopes of finding oil.

If they find oil, the rush will be on and the Arctic will never be the same. All for just 3.3 years of oil. Join the Arctic Rising movement today and stand with over a million people worldwide who believe the Artcic should remain untouched.

The US Geological Survey Report can be downloaded here, but be warned it is a 20MB PDF file.

And also props to my Greenpeace colleague, Senior Legislative Representative Kyle Ash, for walking me through the numbers I used in this post.

 

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Recently released US government documents show there is a scant 3.3 years worth of oil sitting off the shores of the Arctic -- one of the last pristine places left on the planet. According to the US ...
Recently released US government documents show there is a scant 3.3 years worth of oil sitting off the shores of the Arctic -- one of the last pristine places left on the planet. According to the US ...
 
 
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10:48 PM on 08/01/2012
So you think we can extract 23.6 Billion barrels of oil in just 3 years eh?

Try 20+ years.

And we need that oil. Now.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tamikenn57
Working for a healthy and safe global environment
06:31 AM on 07/28/2012
The article talks about the quantity versus U.S. needs. Any recovered oil goes into the global market. I will not be used solely for the U.S. So shrink the 3 years accordingly. Though the full 3 years of profits 'are' recovered by the oil industry. Again oil profits are not fully injected into the U.S. economy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MrBIgp
If I'm wrong, please show me
12:25 AM on 07/27/2012
Only about 2 trillion dollars worth of oil, hardly worth it.
10:17 AM on 07/26/2012
Using our country's natural resources is exactly what we are doing by protecting the Arctic. To think of resources only in the sense of what can we find that will burn enough to turn a turbine, fire a piston, and create some torque is an intellectually bankrupt way to view our resources.

Yes, there may be far more oil than 23 billion barrels, or there may not be. Let's go with what we know for now and recognize that three years of continued oil production ruins the resources already available in the Arctic. I'm happy to give anyone a lengthy remark on what other natural resources exist beyond oil, coal, and natural gas, but so can most of the people on here.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
06:57 AM on 07/26/2012
The fishing and water resources cannot be replaced. A few years of oil are not worth the loss of natural resources.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ennis438
08:22 AM on 07/26/2012
It is worth it to the traitorous oil criminals and their leeches in Congress with their dirty hands stretched out for more Exxon money so they can buy their re-election. It is not worth it for the 99% of average Americans, but we all know who wins the battles today between corporate criminals and average Americans, don't we boys and girls?
10:41 PM on 08/01/2012
They will not be lost. There is nothing final or even long lasting about oil spills.
Obviiously we must take great care to prevent spills.

FWIW, the risk is not reduced if the USA fails to use it's oil and gas resources.

Russia, Canada, and many other nations will extract oil and gas from the Artic even if we don't.
So our economy will suffer, yet we will bear the same or greater environmental risks.

That position is unsupportable.
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Judy Gyarmathy
03:35 PM on 07/25/2012
Its all about greed and the almight $$. The people who have any care or common sense aren't in control of this world. Thats why I say, "Why Mitt Romney"? He is about $$ too and probably one of the elite. I hope I am wrong.
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11:28 AM on 07/25/2012
We know from past history that all initial estimates are extreamly under reported. There most likely far more oil then first guessed at, and newer extraction methods like fracking have the ability to increase output by billions more barrels.

It's about time we started using our countries natural resources.
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Kevin Grandia
Writer, researcher, digital campaigner
05:17 PM on 07/25/2012
To trash the Arctic?
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RedneckDem
The top 1% stole my made in china bootstraps
10:48 AM on 07/26/2012
You do realize that we are exporting more refined gasoline than we ever have. To make it easier for you to understand, we are sending our oil to China, et al and subsidizing the oil companies to do it. And yet our prices are tagged to the international market. Probably way over your head...
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11:35 AM on 07/26/2012
And you realize that the government gets money leasing that site to the oil companies, money for the royalities, and money from the incomes that the jobs produce?
 
This is a good way to raise money to pay for needed social programs.