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Kristen Breitweiser

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The Red Line of Pakistan's Complicity?

Posted: 05/09/11 12:50 PM ET

There are many unanswered questions and potential uncomfortable truths swirling around OBL's death.

While Pakistan's role in bin Laden's living conditions for the past seven years should absolutely be scrutinized (see below), please let's first examine the role of the entities that we actually had a reasonable expectation in locating bin Laden for the past seven years -- namely our U.S. intelligence agencies.

As a 9/11 widow, I fought very long and hard to make sure our intelligence agencies were operating at their optimal performance post-9/11. That's why I find it reprehensible that OBL was living in a million-dollar, custom-built home in the open Pakistani countryside, a mere mile from an ISI military base, 30 miles from Islamabad, and 100 miles from the Afghan mountains.

So please, with all the hullabaloo surrounding OBL's execution and the incredible cache of intelligence material found at OBL's compound, let's not lose sight of the fact that while it is undoubtedly a SOCOM success story, it is also a stunning seven-year-fumble by U.S. intelligence and foreign policy.

Abbottabad was not an unknown place to our intelligence agencies. It is a well-known military town, home to Pakistan's "West Point."

Abbottabad was also apparently a well-known destination for terrorists who, as it now turns out, might have been touching base with bin Laden during the past seven years.

For example, in 2005, al Qaeda's No. 3, Abu Faraj al-Libi, lived in the town before his arrest. Wasn't bin Laden's home just nearing completion in 2005?

Moreover, earlier this year, Indonesian terror suspect Umar Patek (wanted for the 2002 Bali bombings) was caught by Pakistani intelligence at a house in the town. Ironically, news reports stated at the time of his arrest in March: "Details about what Patek was doing in Pakistan also remain murky, raising questions about whether he was there to plan an attack with al-Qaida's top operational leaders as the 10th anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, attack nears."

Now, given its status as a home to an ISI military base and also the place of al-Libi's arrest in 05, why was Abbottabad not considered a ripe place to infiltrate back in '05?

If our spy satellites and eavesdropping capabilities were not geared toward this town and its installations since '05, then we need to know why.

What potentially more important Pakistani quadrant or target could NIMA, NGA, or NSA been calibrated to other than a military town like Abbottabad?

Will there be any post-mortem? Will old images be reviewed to determine if something was overlooked -- namely a six-foot bin Laden (or his shadow) strolling through his cabbage fields? Because it simply defies logic to believe that bin Laden never took a single stroll outdoors in sunlight during the past seven years.

Will anyone at NGA, NIMA, or NSA be held accountable for this seven-year failure? Or are we just too distracted by our victory and comfortable in our complacency to bother to look back, learn vital lessons, or hold anyone accountable?

And what about the CIA?

The big question for the CIA is what role, if any, Raymond Davis played in the taking down of OBL. Recall that Davis was the American who was arrested back in January for gunning down two men in Lahore. At the time, several media reports stated that Davis was CIA and had a history with both Special Forces and XE.

According to the Guardian, it was confirmed that Davis was a CIA agent who was "on assignment at the time" of the killings.

Additionally, when Davis was arrested, Pakistani officials remarked, "This is not the work of a diplomat. He was doing espionage and surveillance activities."

So what was Davis' assignment? And who were the men he killed? Did they have any relation to OBL? Or OBL's couriers?

Quite interestingly, the Guardian had this to report:

Some reports, quoting Pakistani intelligence officials, have suggested that the men Davis killed, Faizan Haider, 21, and Muhammad Faheem, 19, were agents of Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence spy agency (ISI) and had orders to shadow Davis because he crossed a "red line."


ISI agents? A red line?? Wonder what that could be.

But perhaps what remains most damning to me when it comes to Pakistan and its blatant complicity of harboring OBL for the past seven years is what was so obviously missing during the SEAL's raid: any large-scale, legitimate resistance.

Here you had the world's most wanted individual. A $50 million bounty on his head. Stories heard throughout the past 10 years of a dizzying array of body doubles and bodyguards, a man who allegedly took his own security and protection to the paranoid extreme.

And yet, frankly speaking, those SEALS would have met more resistance breaching my residence in the middle of the night -- and all I've got are motion cameras, an alarm, and two dopey (though loyal) retrievers.

In short, it is downright suspicious that there were no bodyguards, body doubles, security personnel, alarms or even dogs protecting the world's most wanted man and his family.

It's almost as if OBL had a tacit understanding that he would be left alone and kept safe.

And considering the $1.5 BILLION in taxpayer dollars Congress hands over to Pakistan each year, I sure hope President Obama demands some answers. Because, it makes me sick to think that any of our tax dollars might have been spent on keeping OBL safe and worry-free for the past seven years.

 

Follow Kristen Breitweiser on Twitter: www.twitter.com/kdbreitweiser

There are many unanswered questions and potential uncomfortable truths swirling around OBL's death. While Pakistan's role in bin Laden's living conditions for the past seven years should absolutel...
There are many unanswered questions and potential uncomfortable truths swirling around OBL's death. While Pakistan's role in bin Laden's living conditions for the past seven years should absolutel...
 
 
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01:29 PM on 05/15/2011
"And considering the $1.5 BILLION in taxpayer dollars Congress hands over to Pakistan each year, I sure hope President Obama demands some answers. Because, it makes me sick to think that any of our tax dollars might have been spent on keeping OBL safe and worry-free for the past seven years"

I could not agree more, however should this question not be addressed to Senator Kerry. Is he not holding hearings now, which appears to keep the money flowing in order to get Pakistan to now start cooperating. This strikes me as unfortunately naive.
Are you not uniquely positioned to direct this question directly to Senator Kerry.
11:20 AM on 05/15/2011
Suffice is to say that since OBL was not produced in a court and was killed outside of combat zone and the justice system, everything being reported in the guise of news, reports, stances, leaks, opinions as in this article, etc. are conspiracy theories.
09:42 AM on 05/15/2011
We love to celebrate victories and do not want to accept the incredible incompetence of our intelligence agencies that allowed Bin Laden to live in this military town for at least five years while we repeated the nonsense about him living in a cave in the border region so we dump on Pakistan who have turned over many terrorists and who have lost many lives in the process. We should at least be willing to be honest. Another important point is that our aid to Pakistan goes to the military and has not helped the ordinary people in any way whatsoever. This nuclear power still has no system of public education and many kids there are taught by religious fanatics by default.
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RRK70
09:19 AM on 05/15/2011
I don't view it as a 7 year fumble, more like a punt when the outcome of the game has already been determined.  I don't think it's the intelligence services fault as much as the leadership....the idea that Pakistan has anyone's best interests at heart other than their own is utterly naive.  

This entire "surprise" that Pakistan was either complicit or turning a blind eye towards OBL and AQ is a charade.  Read the news stories buried deep in the newspapers....  Airlift of Evil, the failure at Tora Bora, Pakistan's release of terrorists convicted to life in their OWN judicial system being released around 2005 (Jamal Saeed Abdul Rahim and others). How could anyone NOT realize Pakistan's position?   

As for OBL's security, I think a large security force would have attracted undue attention and OBL figured (IMHO correctly) if the powers that be knew where he was and  wanted him, no security force would have been sufficient. Not to mention the more people involved, the more likely someone would either betray him or accidentally blow his cover.
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SitandStay
Lorenzo&BushH8ter
03:19 AM on 05/15/2011
I think it may say something, the fact that when Obama called # 43, his quite singular greeting was, "Bin Laden is dead."
I interpret that as, "HA!, You weren't even trying because if you had he would have been dead long before now."

Kudos to our trustworthy and hardworking President Obama.
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ms.understood
pro-choice | liberal | womanist
01:49 AM on 05/15/2011
there's no doubt that bin laden had help from the pakistani officials. someone had to know that after he'd been on the run for so many years, that he'd crossed over into pakistan. no country, except the u.s., allows people to just bumrush the borders without identification of some sort. there's no sneaking the most wanted man in the world into town without help from police/government officials.
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RRK70
09:24 AM on 05/15/2011
almost every nation has porous borders.  If you want tight borders you'd have to have an East Berlin scenario with walls and minefields.  The manpower alone to control a nations borders is huge.  Do you think that every nation has border patrol sitting in the middle of jungles, on snowy mountainsides with no access or roads (dropped off by helicopter?), on every beach and river, checking every little boat that passes by?
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afairview
cheap energy, the best stimulus
04:17 PM on 05/10/2011
Looks like we were feeding our enemies instead of fighting them. Maybe to prolong the fight?
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Michael Dayne
02:42 PM on 05/10/2011
Why does anything about Ameican foreign policy surprise you? Are we supposed to be shocked that Pakistan is playing for both sides? Is is a surprise that all the billions that are given to these loons ends up in the bank accounts of corrupt leaders and that we don't get any bang for our buck? American hubris seems to dictate that other countries and foreign leaders fear us and thus we can trust them to do the right thing. This despite decades of misguided foreign policy and supporting leaders and regimes that shed the blood of their people and have only one thing in common with Washington; getting and keeping power.
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RRK70
09:25 AM on 05/15/2011
well said.  It shouldn't be a surprise to anyone. The people who are surprised are either ill informed (sorry) or feigning surprise.
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Michael Dayne
01:44 PM on 05/15/2011
It is very much akin to lobbying foreign governments and leaders just the same way businesses and industries lobby Washington. The only difference is that the beltway delivers bang for the buck, whereas these foreign leaders pretty do what they want anyway. This is clearly the situation with Pakistan.
10:02 AM on 05/10/2011
why aren't these same accusations being thrown towards the U.S. about Bin Laden not being found while in town with a military academy close by...if I'm not mistaken the Fort Hood shooter was living and working in the middle of a military base?
01:20 PM on 05/12/2011
Also, what about the Sudani father who reported his son was a terrorist to US authorites, but the son still managed to get aboard an airplane? Atleast, there is no report of Pakistani security ignoring a citing of OBL on this property. Also, if OBL was so living in plain sight, then why didn't the US security ever see him, while they watched the house for more than six months? It seems to me, OBL was doing a pretty good job of not being seen by his neighbors and even the US forces who were watching the compound.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
09:07 AM on 05/10/2011
"In short, it is downright suspicious that there were no bodyguards, body doubles, security personnel, alarms or even dogs protecting the world's most wanted man and his family."

All of those things could potentially be a source of attention. He was being careful not to be found, and the world is a big place. That said, Pakistan's ISI is up to its eyeballs for the non-US side.
10:50 AM on 05/10/2011
The lack of security in OBL's compound is indeed telling, but for a different reason. OBL managed to alienate many of AQ's internal decision makers, and he no longer commanded the constant loyalty of highly trained body guards ready to give their lives for his. He had lost standing in his own organization by ignoring the inputs of others becuase he came to believe he and he alone could knew the true the will of God. Thats a big change from his earlier position, which resonated so well precisely because he called for widespread action by other Muslims. In the beginning he was more of a revolutionary who used religion to further his political aims. He became over time less a revolutionary and more a typical religious zealot. Did he have reason to think he was safe due to assurances from PAKMIL? Its not an unlikely proposition. But OBL came to believe he was the chosen instrument of God; and chosen instruments of God don't have to worry about little things like personal security or listening to others. For more on this line of thought see Peter Bergen's lastest blog today, and keep in mind he actually met OBL a couple of times for interviews.
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HamletsMill
All Myth is Astronomy
03:48 AM on 05/15/2011
Well said. F&F.
08:43 AM on 05/10/2011
In any examination of our relationship we must look at the American Aid program to Pakistan. More than any factor it would be revealing that the country of Pakistan and Pakistani masses have never been the beneficiaries of American aid. Indeed there is no such things as Us. Aid to Pakistan. Firstly it is mostly loans indebting Pakistan beyond its means, second, most of it goes to buy defense supplies, for a virtually defenseless Pakistan, from US suppliers. Whatever is left is divided up among the US lobbyists, US aid staff, cronies of US and Pakistan politicians, mercenaries and Pakistani Generals, all keeping their illicit loot in Swiss and US bank accounts. Mark Siegel , the US lobbyist gets $75000 per month from this so-called aid. Nothing useful for the people was ever provided by this aid since the 50s when ICA was the main US conduit to Pakistan. Just study the PL480 scheme of the aid and the saga of corruption and nepotism is readily revealed. No schools, no hospitals, no rail-lines, no roads, no food, no clothes, no housing, no electricity, no dams etc, ever came from any American aid in the last 64 years of aid history. Closing the aid pipeline, but totally not partially, would be the best thing that would happen to the impoverished people of Pakistan. It would however be a sizable loss to our banking and defense industry thereby a motive to end wars and conflicts in the area.
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HamletsMill
All Myth is Astronomy
03:50 AM on 05/15/2011
All true. Best post on this entire thread! F&F.
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Theresa N
08:32 AM on 05/10/2011
Even as a pacifist I am outraged about how Bin Laden and the Pakistanis' obviously colluded to keep him safe and at the failure of all the money we spent over the years paying off the Pakistanis and on intelligence and war went to waste. As we now consider making the disabled homeless and taking away their medical care we throw money at the military and foreign military aid. Its outrageous and despicable. I say stop funding these wars and military spending and take care of the vulnerable in this country.
09:08 AM on 05/10/2011
So, you were under the impression that Bin Laden has existed for the last ten years without an al Qaeda network protecting him?
07:59 AM on 05/10/2011
@ "That's why I find it reprehensible that OBL was living in a million-dollar, custom-built home in the open Pakistani countryside, a mere mile from an ISI military base, 30 miles from Islamabad, and 100 miles from the Afghan mountains. ....Abbottabad was not an unknown place to our intelligence agencies. It is a well-known military town, home to Pakistan's "West Point." "

Kristen,

First of all, have you checked the prices of homes in Islamabad? An acre is about $4million. Most homes in Islambad cost a million dolloars. Secondly, there are no pre fab homes in the country, so everyone who has a house lives in a custom built house in Pakistan. Finally, Abottabad is 30 miles from Islamabad, but the cities are separated by the margala mountains. Actually, it takes about a three hour drive to get to this hill town from Islamabad. It is a world away from Islamabad.

This is not to say that local law enforcement and security did not bungle it. However, keep in mind that even US intelligence did not actually see Bin Laden while they watched the home for more than six months. They also did not report seeing any generals going in and out of the compound. Finally, there is no report that the civilian neighbors had actually seen Bin Laden or tried to report his presence in that house.
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Michael Dayne
02:44 PM on 05/10/2011
Million dollar home? Have you seen that dump on TV? What we do know is that if Obama paid a million clams for that pile of crap he must have got taken for a ride by some Pakistani realtor.
12:53 PM on 05/12/2011
LoL. I agree it looks like a dump and it also does not look like any upscale neighborhood. However, it appears to have a couple of acres of land, so it could have been worth a million dollars in Abbottabad. However, my point is that a million dollars is not a lot of money to spend on a home in Pakistan. For example, an average home on 1/4 of an acre (1,000 sq yards/ 9,000 sq.ft.) in Islambad cost more than a million dollars (85,000,000 rupees). http://www.zameen.com/Homes/Islamabad_F_7-165-1.html

As such, a lot of people in Pakistan live in million dollar + homes. So, if OBL was living in a million dollar home in Abbottabad, it would not be something special. It is also common in Pakistan for brothers to buy adjacent plots and build very high walls around their compound, so their women can walk around freely without a veil without being seen by other men from the street. In addtion, law enforcement is ineffiecent that many families put chard glass and barbed wire around compound walls to prevent decoits and robbers from accessing their property.

In my opinion, CIA will eventually be able to tell us more about OBL's network, but the fact he was living in Abbottabad in a million dollar house surrounded by high walls does not mean much in that country.
06:43 AM on 05/10/2011
I wish there would be Congressional hearings with the glare of C-Span on them, having Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, et al. grilled over their decisions and policy when they were in power for apparently giving up on chasing OBL and other top terror leaders.Of course that won't happen as no one has the guts in Congress, fears the truth comming out and Bush, et al. never giving testimony using the cover of 'national security' and 'executive privilege'.
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onlyonecandor
06:02 AM on 05/10/2011
The president admitted that US intelligence was only 55/45 confident that Bin Laden was even in the compound. Only 55/45% confident???? So with the White House’s uncertainty that Bin Laden was even in the compound is interesting given the fact that the vast majority of the neighbors who lived around the house were convinced that both the man who lived there and the man watching television in the tape was not Bin Laden. In fact, one resident told the BBC that the man watching television in the video was his neighbor, not Bin Laden. He said his name is Akhbar Han, and that he owns the house they said was Bin Ladens house. He said he knew him very well. So is there a 45/55% chance that the US may have murdered the wrong man and then dumped his body into the sea to cover it up?
07:48 AM on 05/10/2011
And the DNA confirmation? How does that fit into your conspiracy theory?
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onlyonecandor
11:26 AM on 05/10/2011
I want to see the original Death Certificate!