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Settlements Not an Obstacle to Peace? Get Serious.

Posted: 01/11/12 06:11 PM ET

Today, Peace Now released a new report entitled "Torpedoing the Two State Solution -- The Strategy of the Netanyahu Government," detailing a number of trends in settlement expansion that directly, and it seems, deliberately, undermine the viability of the two-state solution.

This report stands in sharp contrast to the meme which appears to be gaining currency among defenders of the occupation status quo, arguing that settlements aren't really an issue in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, since they take up only a tiny fraction of the West Bank ( see Dore Gold in Slate and Evelyn Gordon in Commentary).

Peace Now's Hagit Ofran confirms: the built-up area of settlements comprises around 1 percent of the West Bank (not including East Jerusalem), but that doesn't mean that the meme-mongers are right.

Because that 1 percent doesn't even begin to tell the whole story.

Since 1967, Israel -- using various means -- has taken control of around 50 percent of the West Bank. Almost all of that land has been turned over to the settlers. The 1 percent of the West Bank on which the built-up areas of settlements are located is just the beginning. Because almost 10 percent of the West Bank is included in the "municipal area" of settlements. That is, the jurisdictional borders of settlements, as drawn by Israel, are so large as to allow settlements to expand many times over onto land that is in the meantime totally off-limits to Palestinians. In addition, almost 34 percent of the West Bank has been placed under the jurisdiction of the Settlement "Regional Councils." That is more than an additional one-third of the West Bank under the control of the settler and totally off-limits to Palestinians.

In this way, more than 40 percent of the West Bank is under the direct control of settlers/settlements and off-limits to Palestinians, irrespective of the fact that only a small portion of this land has been built on by settlers.

Moreover, more than 32 percent of the built-up area of settlements (and outposts) is on privately owned Palestinian land. This construction is on land that Israel has not been able to "legally" take control of since 1967. Under Israeli law, settler use of this land constitutes out-and-out theft -- theft that the Netanyahu government is currently working to legalize post-facto.

In addition, Israel has taken hundreds of kilometers of the West Bank to build roads that serve the settlements, connecting them to each other and to Israel. The negative impact of these roads is arguably more profound in terms of impeding normal life for the Palestinians than the settlements or the land seizures themselves. They crisscross the entire West Bank, dividing Palestinian cities and town from each other, and imposing various barriers to Palestinian movement and access, all for the benefit of the settlements.

The meaninglessness of focusing on the built-up area of settlements is self-evident in another simple reality: the "separation barrier" de facto annexes 9.5 percent of the West Bank to Israel, following a route that was manifestly guided not by security needs but to accommodate settlements and settlement expansion plans.This 9.5 percent is many times the built-up area of settlements -- underscoring the fact that Israeli territorial ambitions across the 1967 lines are not limited to the built-up areas of settlements. And even this 9.5 percent clearly doesn't begin to represent the extent of those ambitions, given that the barrier leaves the majority of settlements (built-up areas included) on the "wrong" side.

In addition, there is the issue of East Jerusalem. Since 1967, Israel has expropriated fully 35 percent of the land in East Jerusalem as "state land" and used it almost entirely for settlements. Such settlements (and new settlement construction going on today) has the explicit goal of preventing the establishment of a Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem -- which, in effect, means preventing the two-state solution.

The facts matter when debating settlements, and advocates of settlement activity shouldn't be allowed to cherry-pick the facts to suit their agenda.

Yes, settlement construction takes up only a small part of the West Bank, but settlements control almost half of the West Bank's territory -- spread across the entire length and breadth of the West Bank, connected by dedicated infrastructure and bolstered throughout by the Israeli army. They have exclusive authority over almost half the land and form a network of control that makes normal Palestinian life and development virtually impossible throughout the approximately 90 percent of the West Bank on which settlements have not (yet) been physically built.

To understand this better, think about a prison. The area dedicated to guards in any prison is relatively tiny, compared to the areas dedicated to prisoners. But this has nothing to do with who controls the prison. What is important is the guards' ability to use their presence in strategic locations and their overwhelming authority to project control into the entirety of the area.

Finally, settler defenders who raise the 1 percent factoid are, ironically, overlooking the figure's real meaning: that despite decades of government investment and preferential support, the West Bank settlement enterprise has failed in every way, except as an effort to block peace. Looking at the numbers, one has to wonder how much different a position Israel would be in today -- economically, politically, diplomatically, and in terms of security -- if successive Israeli governments hadn't poured millions of shekels into this self-defeating enterprise. An enterprise they continue to subsidize today, even as it undeniably poses an existential threat to Israel's viability as a Jewish state and a democracy.

 

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Today, Peace Now released a new report entitled "Torpedoing the Two State Solution -- The Strategy of the Netanyahu Government," detailing a number of trends in settlement expansion that directly, and...
Today, Peace Now released a new report entitled "Torpedoing the Two State Solution -- The Strategy of the Netanyahu Government," detailing a number of trends in settlement expansion that directly, and...
 
 
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03:37 AM on 01/13/2012
There is no reason that my post should not of gone through. I did not attack anyone, or say anything that goes against tos. What's with ths BS at these hours.
03:12 AM on 01/13/2012
Considering past inaccuracies, distortions, and premature scathing conclusions that the reports from 2006 by peace now & 2010 B'tselem reports contained (which this blogger heavily relies on) one would be wise to not blindly embrace the new peace now report as gospel at this time. I wonder if it took into consideration the outposts that Israel took down in last couple months.
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' Peace Now is calling “private Palestine land” is under the Ottoman Code at best miri land, and it is therefore not privately owned. In addition, regarding the West Bank, there is under the Ottoman Code another very important category of land known as mewat, or “dead land,” which was deceptively unmentioned by Peace Now.

http://www.camera.org/index.asp?x_print=1&x_context=7&x_issue=5&x_article=1234

Peace Now’s Blunder: Erred on Ma'ale Adumim Land by 15,900 Percent

http://www.camera.org/index.asp?x_context=2&x_outlet=2&x_article=1301

Dayan, however, responded that many numbers in the B'tselem report were incorrect & many of its claims were distortions. For instance, he said, the percentage of land in Judea and Samaria controlled by Jewish councils was 9%, not 42%.'
They took the contour of the area of the regional councils and counted everything comprised within.

But Avi Roeh [Binyamin Regional Council Head - YM] does not have any jurisdiction on the Arab villages, the roads, the open areas comprised within that contour line.

http://www.cbn.com/cbnnews/insideisrael/2010/July/BTselem-Israel-Built-on-Arab-Land-/
05:02 PM on 01/12/2012
I think what support Americans have for settlements is based on a total lack of understanding of what a "settlement" looks like.

It's a city, folks. A city.

Manhattan doesn't take up much land mass, either, of the US.
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AJ Raalte
Israel forever - warts and all.
04:01 PM on 01/12/2012
Why would the prevention of the establishment of a "Palestinian" capital in Jerusalem in en of itself prevent the two-state solution???

What's wrong with Ramallah as the capital city, or even Gaze City, IF the "Palestinians" truly wanted their own state alongside Israel and NOT the 22nd Arab-Moslem state INSTEAD of Israel?
04:58 PM on 01/12/2012
Simple.
Under the current political climate, the only way a lasting peace agreement will be reached is through a settlement people pn both sides of the conflict woul be willing to live with. Realistically, the only way the Palestinian population will accept a peace agreement is if they get one of their two major demands: either a full, physical right of return, or East Jerusalem as the capital of Palestine.
When forced to choose between the two, I highly doubt Israel will choose to allow RoR in order to keep East Jerusalem, since they see that a demographic suicide.
On a second point, it is disrespectfully and counter productive to put quotes around the term "Palestinians." Either you accept them as a people who deserve self-determination, or you do not. Using quotes indicates you do not, in which case you are amoung those who do not wish to see a just and lasting peace. I would not be appropriate to always refer to Isrealis as "Israelis," and the Palestinians are entitled to the same common courtesy.
11:31 PM on 01/12/2012
Another explanaton for putting the quotation marks around the word Palestinians could be that there is no Palestine, and hence no Palestinians. When one speaks of a people, there usually is a State also, and if not, they all are from the same area. In the case of Palestinians, a large number of them are refugees from Jordan and an even larger number still live there, and also in other nations, such as Lebanon, and Syria.There is a nation Israel. And still we do not call jews who live elsewhere, and have other nationalities, Israelis, with, or without quotation marks. Once there IS a State named Palestine, with a government and independent of others support, where Palestinians live, no one would think of putting quotation marks around the word Palestinians. And, nothing is simple. If it were, the solution would already have been implemented. Deserving something, and actualling achieving it, are two separate matters. There is just one major Palestinian demand, as is clear from what Abbas says, what Haniyeh says, from the PLO and Hamas Charters, and yes, even frominsisting on Jerusalem as the capital of he Palestinian State. There is already a majority Palestinian State, with a capital, and that State has reserved some rights inside Israel even. There is Gaza, which is also Palestinian, with Gaza City. There is Ramallah. How many States and Capitals do Palestinians *deserve*?
05:02 PM on 01/12/2012
um, history?
01:37 PM on 01/12/2012
To me, the Israeli/Palestinian solution will come in decades, mainly caused by a Palestinian youth-movement that becomes so fed-up with Palestinian leadership, that it will create its own Arab Spring, and will demand anti-terrorist leaders to lead their society. And when this comes, the Isrealis will then start to accomodate and negotiate in good faith with the Palestinians. Until this happens, both militant sides will continue to dominate the political landscape, and prevent any peaceful dialogue to move either side toward a two-state solution.

Bottom line: the current hatred and distrust among the current opposing leaders is too huge to lead to any form of rational, much less peaceful dialogue. But in the coming decades, as the youth of these countries become more and more savvy about our world, particularly through the Internet, the necessity to become engaged with the real world will start to slowly move the leaders on both sides to seek peaceful solutions. Hatred cannot be ended by politicians, it requires new seeds of thought and the time to grow these new seeds, and the Internet will bring these new seeds, and the youth of this Arab/Israeli world, in time, will nuture these seeds into the roots of their future. Until then, hatred will continue to dominate the hearts of these old and aging leaders.
05:03 PM on 01/12/2012
The generational shift of the Israeli population away from secularism and liberal democracy belies you belief. Likewise, I fail to see how a population growing up in the Occupied Territories, exposed to violence and discrimnation on a daily basis, is likely to reject the only efforts that have borne any fruit.
Fatah's twenty-plus years of negotiation with the Israelis have brought massively increased settlements and continued oppression. Hamas' acts of violence (the kidnapping of Shalit, for example) have brought tangible results.

I don't think that's the right path, and I wish Israel worked to reinforce the value of non-violent protest as opposed to violence, but I find it hard to believe that your vision for the future is true.
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Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
12:18 AM on 01/13/2012
calamityJ -- you are reading the wrong newspapers or hearing the wrong TVs, most young generation in Israel are still secular.... the Orthodox segment is still small by comparison, 12%...... so your silly prediction is way off.
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01:13 PM on 01/12/2012
Good read, more background here : http://www.icahd.org/?p=8096
Rosin the Bow
Hail to the Victors Valiant
01:23 PM on 01/12/2012
Propaganda source for the fail.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Json
Cynical dreamer, sarcastic idealist...
12:51 PM on 01/12/2012
Settlements are considered an obstacle to peace to the Palestinians, just as continuous rocket fire from Gaza against civilians is considered an obstacle to peace to the Israelis.

But obstacles can be overcome. Don't let those who don't have a real interest in peace convince you otherwise.
12:39 PM on 01/12/2012
Irony: Israel will have given back about 96% of the Arab lands they gained in the war of 1967, a war they did not initiate. Now, many want to falt Isreal for keeping that @.04% of the gained lands, for reasons Israel states is to control the security of the areas most likely where a future attack would come from, if another war on Isreal is created by those who history has shown has a strong tendency to make war on Israel. Had any other nation been attacked as often as Isreal has by mostly the same cultural forces, I'm sure that nation would make sure their security arrrangements would include at least a +.04% increase in land to protect their nation. And given the massive amount of lands held by the opposing cultural forces, it seems those cultures would come together to give aid to those seeking such a small increase in land to create the new nation so desired by the Palestinians and their cultural allies. Yet, these cultures want to continue to blame Isreal, and have set up terrorist approaches to gain land and peace. Were you an Isreali, would you enter into any bargain with such an opposition leadership, and not make sure you had the protective barriers necessary to maintain a peaceful future? Given the record of this opposition leadership, I think not!
01:16 PM on 01/12/2012
"Israel will have given back about 96% of the Arab lands they gained in the war of 1967, a war they did not initiate."
What are you taling about? Even the most generous offer made by Olmert had Israel give up control of only 90-91% of the West Bank.

"Now, many want to falt Isreal for keeping that @.04% of the gained lands,"
So now, 96% + 0.04% = 100%?

"for reasons Israel states is to control the security of the areas most likely where a future attack would come from, if another war on Isreal is created by those who history has shown has a strong tendency to make war on Israel."
IF that were the real reason, Israel would not be movin Civilians into those areas. How can that serve as a security buffer by putting civilians there? That is putting civilians CLOSER to Iran and Syria.

"Had any other nation been attacked as often as Isreal has by mostly the same cultural forces, I'm sure that nation would make sure their security arrrangeme­nts would include at least a +.04% increase in land to protect their nation."
Not "cultural force", countries. Egypt, Syria and Lebannon are all countries. "Cultural forces" did not attack Israel, nor could they, because they are abstract concepts. The rise of reality television did not attack Israel, nor did punk rock or rap. Even the embrace of universal human rights only attacks Israel on an esoteric level.
Rosin the Bow
Hail to the Victors Valiant
01:27 PM on 01/12/2012
"What are you taling about? Even the most generous offer made by Olmert had Israel give up control of only 90-91% of the West Bank."

Citation needed.
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erehwon2
02:14 PM on 01/12/2012
I think your figure of 90-91% for Olmert's offer is low, especially when one includes the proposed land swaps and corridor/road between the WB and Gaza. But even if that were true, it still would add up to more than 96% of the lands gained in '67 as Israel already has given up the Sinai and Gaza.

As for your second paragraph, the vast majority of communities are close to the Green Line, so Israel is not really "moving civilians closer to Iran and Syria."
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01:25 PM on 01/12/2012
- Israel "gave back" the Sinai in 1979 as a result of their loss in the 1973 war. This has nothing to do with Palestine.
- A future attack may well come from the West Bank -- that's where homes are being destroyed.
- Of the several wars Israel has fought, only one -- the one they lost -- was initiated by an enemy.
- Where does +0.4% come from with regard to security? The IDF controls all of the borders of the West Bank.
- What is "the opposing cultural force"? Is that all of the countries in the world except Israel and the United States?
- The PA, which administers what's left of the West Bank, controls a security force that protects Israel. Is this what you mean by "terrorism"?
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Gui Montag
Former Palestinian Supporter
01:50 PM on 01/12/2012
-At the end of the war they possessed the Sinai. Thus they did "give it back."

-So you agree that Israel is right to have soldiers in the West Bank, and that the Arabs should not be trusted to keep the peace?

-This has been debunked a long time ago.

-You are aware that the Palestinians use rockets right?

-The desire to reinstitute the Caliphate.

-The security force keeps the peace. Which means that the Palestinians could return to terrorism at any point, in fact the Palestinian people want to and must be restrained. Real "peaceful" don't you think?
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erehwon2
02:19 PM on 01/12/2012
LOL! You think Egypt won the Yom Kippur War? Is that why they clamored for the UN to broker a cease-fire before Israel marched to Cairo? While I'll agree that the peace deal with Egypt had nothing to do with the Palestinians, Israel absolutely was in possession of the Sinai and indeed had the power to do with it as they willed, including returning it to Egyptian control.

That, and the rest of your post, simply indicates you have a very poor grasp of history and reality.
11:55 AM on 01/12/2012
this will be a mute point if Israelis citizenship law gets passed and the eviction of more Palestinians and Israeli Arabs... read todays headlines.. Israel is trying to legally cleanse Arabs and their families... this is not a fair practice.. but let the spin begin...
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Galilee
I boycott products from Syria & Gaza dictatorships
12:18 PM on 01/12/2012
99% of Palestinians are under Palestinian rule, Hamastan even issues their own passports.
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erehwon2
12:21 PM on 01/12/2012
What citizenship law is that? Do you happen to have a link with the info?
11:54 PM on 01/12/2012
I think they will enforce that Arabs who marry Israelis for the purpose of gaining Israeli citizenship will no longer be ale to do so, and will no longer be able to becom citizens of Israel. It is seen as bringing in a Troyan Horse allowing that. That is not far-fetched, as the narratives and arguments indicate that these may be objectives in not a few cases. It is reasoned, that it is not necessary per se, for wuch couples and their families to reside in Israel and be Israeli citizens, able to vote.
11:33 AM on 01/12/2012
Israel's illegal colonization of the Palestinian West Bank is driven by greed and a racist belief that Jews, and only Jews, have a right to settle on this land.

Because of this mentality Israel is disliked even despised among the nations of the world - the simple truth is that Israel has 'delegitimizes' itself among the eyes of the world by its illegal actions, wanton theft and shameless oppression of a civilian population.

By destroyed any chance of a Two State solution with the building and expansion of these illegal Israeli settlements and refusing to withdraw to the 1967 borders Israel has set it's course on decades of future conflict.

In short Israel had it's chances at peace (eg: the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative) but Israel chose Land over Peace.
11:45 AM on 01/12/2012
No matter how many times you repreat this propoganda like a mantra, it's still not true.
Rosin the Bow
Hail to the Victors Valiant
11:46 AM on 01/12/2012
West Bank is not Palestinian. Israeli settlements are not illegal. Settlements are on 1.1% of WB, they have no effect on two state solution.
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SamSeven
You're either with Humanity or you're not.
12:03 PM on 01/12/2012
That 1.1% shouldnt be there to begin with!!!

I guess if Mexico moved into 1.1% of Texas or New Mexico that would be fine with you.
01:33 PM on 01/12/2012
"Settlement­s are on 1.1% of WB"
Well, then I guess we can expect Israel to make an offer for final borders in which it will only retain 1.1% of the West Bank.
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Trollstein
Once you go Schwartz, you never go back baby
10:47 AM on 01/12/2012
PS> Dore Gold is a hero of mine. Aside from being exteremly smart and well read, he is a sweetheart of a person. Just a warm, nice, kind, polite human being.
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Trollstein
Once you go Schwartz, you never go back baby
10:43 AM on 01/12/2012
The territory is disputed. Nations and their peoples build on disputed territory all the time.
This particular debate, namely what the building is doing to the possibility of peace is really not what the author asserts because all her points, large or small, true, partly true or totally false, start from the false premise that a permanent and stable peace arrangement could be consummated and implemented, if not for the Jews building houses on the disputed territory.
The Israelis have all but given up on a coordinated peace with the Arab leaders and have almost moved on. The Pal~Arab PEOPLE are suffering but their leaders are using this conflict to fuel their own power~base and payroll. They don't want this conflict to be over any more then Gene Wilder and Zero Mostel wanted to create a Broadway hit in the story "The Producers". Their entire existence gravitates around the perpetual war, ala Orwell's "1984". They are demanding:
All of Jerusalem including the Western Wall.
All of "West Bank".
The immigration of about 5.5-million Arabs as voting Israeli citizens, most all of them born in Arab nations and had never set foot inside Israel. That of course would displace the Jewish nation for a 22nd Arab/Muslim nation.
Israeli rightly and accurately realizes that nothing good can come of these demands.
If your neighbor is (proverbially) demanding to marry your wife, there is no sense in discussing with him the disputed excessive height of your hedges.
05:08 PM on 01/12/2012
actually I am pretty sure you will find that the population of Palestine was born in Palestine. There are pretty severe travel restrictions.
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Trollstein
Once you go Schwartz, you never go back baby
11:02 PM on 01/12/2012
No. There are almost 6-million Arabs who's grandfathers and great grandfathers were born in Palestine, now Israel. They are living without human rights in a variety of neighboring Arab countries. The PA is demandinhg that they be settled INSIDE Israel as voting Israeli citizens.
Those are the well established facts.
10:36 AM on 01/12/2012
The real obstacle to peace. The Palestinians don't want it.

In Statecraft, published in the first part of 2008, Dennis Ross described Abbas as someone who “acted as if avoiding decisions rather than making them was his objective” and whose strength was “not his decision-making instinct.” Later that year, Abbas received an offer of a state on land equivalent to the entire West Bank (after swaps) and Gaza, with a safe-passage corridor between them, and a capital in Jerusalem — and walked away. The memoirs of both George Bush and Condoleezza Rice make it clear his decision was a considered one.

When you get three offers of a state in less than ten years, and turn all three down (the modern equivalent of the “Three Nos”), the problem is deeper than what Abbas disingenuously describes as the “Long Overdue Palestinian State.” It does not relate to the specifics of the offers, or to an alleged deficiency in decision-making instincts. The problem is an inherent inability to recognize a Jewish state, or defensible borders, or an end-of-claims agreement — and the inherent instability of a society that still lacks even the minimal institutions necessary for a democratic state.
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erehwon2
10:36 AM on 01/12/2012
Hamas PM Ismail Haniya from December, 2011:

"We affirm that armed resistance is our strategic option and the only way to liberate our land, from the sea to the river," he said. "God willing, Hamas will lead the people ... to the uprising until we liberate Palestine, all of Palestine."

Yeah, the "settlements" are the problem. The "settlements" of Tel Aviv, Haifa, Eilat, etc.
10:29 AM on 01/12/2012
Obstacle to peace? Not the settlements
The portrait of Palestinian democracy is worse than last year. This week, Mahmoud Abbas​ began the eighth year of his four-year term of office, still unable to set foot in half his quasi-state, now in its fifth year in the hands of the terrorist group he promised to dismantle, with whom he is currently reconciling (for the third time).

He rules by decree, because there is no functioning legislature. He cancelled local elections in his own half-state again, ignoring the order of the Palestinian “High Court.” Both haves of the putative state are one-party police states. Last May, elections were promised for this May, in an effort to persuade the UN that Palestinians were ready for a state; the elections will not likely occur unless Fatah and Hamas can agree beforehand on who will win what. Abbas is periodically dragged to talk to Israel, but he lacks a mandate to make the concessions necessary for a state, much less the ability to implement them. He cannot make the minimal promise required for a two-state solution — that a Palestinian state will recognize a Jewish one.