The post-Crash intervention by the Obama administration in mid-2009 in righting the General Motors and Chrysler ships was an extraordinary example of ideal cooperation between industry and government. And anyone who argues against it ignores the realities of the surrounding financial marketplace, which at the time offered absolutely no luxury of time and no market-available means of restructuring these two companies so integral to the American economy. A cascade into bankruptcy or liquidation by GM and Chrysler -- with Ford following in their wake -- would have led to the immediate loss of hundreds of thousands of jobs, with disastrous effect throughout the nation, but especially in Michigan, Ohio and Indiana where employees directly and (with the multiplier effect) indirectly associated with motor vehicle manufacturing (autos, parts and tires) account for around 8 percent of total non-farm employment (of 11.9 mm).
For a decade, many of us have been calling on the White House -- first, Mr. Bush's, and now, Mr. Obama's -- to demand that the U.S. have a formal national all-of-government Manufacturing Policy to rival the Policies of our major trading partners. If such a Policy had been in place in mid-2009, the appropriateness of and the mechanisms for restructuring the auto manufacturing industry would have been more obvious to all and the "prove-it-to-me" naysayers would not still be arguing, even today, over either the clear imperative or the now very obvious positive outcomes of the ultimate effort.
But the continuing absence of such a Policy has left stranded, so to speak, many thousands of the 1.6 million combined direct and indirect jobs in the auto industry related to parts and tire manufacturing. The overall motor vehicle manufacturing sector is the second-largest employer among all U.S. manufacturing industries, and parts and tire manufacturing contribute the most direct jobs (two-thirds or more), of which many are now at grave risk of being offshored, especially to China.
Despite the Obama administration's highly successful reorganization of the end-of-the-line manufacturing companies (GM, Chrysler and, indirectly, Ford) -- which has eliminated, at least for Chrysler and GM, the roughly $2,000-a-car cost disadvantage that these companies previously had due to high legacy costs, specifically wages and retiree benefits -- a large number of employees, in the tens and tens of thousands, are still jeopardized by often unfair trade policies.
In laymen's terms, the vital link between the growth of automobile production jobs and automobile parts jobs has been broken: the direct manufacturers are recovering, but the parts companies are still shrinking, with significant continued threat to our ongoing economic recovery. The Obama administration now needs to use its authority and capabilities, within the limits of global trade and trade-related agreements, to protect these jobs as well.
The realities associated with this unfair and often illegal overseas competition need to be fully understood before solutions can be crafted and applied.
Right now, China, in accordance with its "Twelfth 5-Year Plan" and the Plan's stated commitment to promote all aspects of its domestic auto industry, indisputably favors its own domestic auto parts industry in ways that are in direct violation of commitments it made when it officially joined the WTO in December 2001. Evidence of this includes:
The results of these aggressive actions -- which can't be any surprise to anyone -- are that imports of Chinese auto parts into the U.S. have increased by 25 percent in only the last two years and, even more sobering because it confirms a now seemingly irreversible trend, the U.S. trade deficit with China in auto parts has increased an almost unbelievable 900 percent since 2000.
Thankfully, there are solutions to this trade imbalance-cum-nightmare, and if everyone would simply acknowledge that it is indeed a "nightmare," they are solutions which are eminently achievable.
Some would say that we are making appropriate progress in trade reform, and that it's time to slow down a bit. Yes we are progressing, but I, for one, am not satisfied that it is yet the degree of progress we need -- and the Sword of Damocles hanging over the American auto parts manufacturing industry proves the point.
My mantra continues to be that we still need to take a much more pro-active stance in trade in order to better balance the nationalistic economic policies and mercantilist practices of our trading partners with our own trading rights as a nation. And this stance will pretty obviously not come from either of the two remaining major Republican candidates for President. Governor Romney, after first stating that America's Big Three car manufacturers could go bankrupt for all he cared, further showed his true colors by opposing relief for tire workers in the U.S. when that industry faced a verifiably unfair increase in Chinese imports. And Senator Santorum believes tax cuts alone are sufficient to keep the entirety of the overall automobile industry prospering here at home, no matter what unfair behaviors our overseas trading partners adopt.
American-made products can compete globally just fine, thank you -- their manufacturers only need to be in fair fights in order for these products to do so.
Leo Hindery Jr. is chair of the US Economy/Smart Globalization Initiative at the New America Foundation, co-chair (with USW President Leo Gerard) of The Task Force on Jobs Creation, founder of Jobs First 2012, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is the former CEO of AT&T Broadband and its predecessors, Tele-Communications, Inc. and Liberty Media, and is currently an investor in media companies.
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