Iran Policy: Foolhardy and Dangerous

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Posted May 28, 2008 | 12:46 PM (EST)



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"Are we going to attack Iran?"

The question comes up frequently whenever I appear before a group these days, to talk about current events, or my book, Against The Tide. Concern about the Bush/Cheney people launching a third war in the Greater Middle East can only be heightened now that the International Atomic Energy Agency has said Iran's nuclear program may be aimed less at energy generation and more at military use.

If we were Iranians, would we be paranoid, too, about protecting ourselves and our vast resources in an oil-thirsty world?

Eight years ago, nuclear nonproliferation worked. Today we've done much to encourage a flat-out arms race among countries that feel they need nuclear weapons to defend their borders. A wiser White House and Congress would have put out this message instead: We're no longer constrained by the Cold War with the former Soviet Union, but we still respect every country's sovereign right to govern its own territory and resources.

I open my newspaper every morning wondering if this is the day the Bush/Cheney administration does something as foolhardy and dangerous as launching a military strike against Iran, or instigating one. Never mind that the Iranians control the Straits of Hormuz, and that once we go to war against Persians as well as Arabs, there is no predicting the consequences.

Does Islamabad finally erupt, putting radical extremists in command of nuclear weapons?

Isn't that what we say we want to prevent in Iran?

If Bush and Cheney spark a wider war, incredibly it will be a Democratic-controlled Congress that paved the way for such reckless behavior overseas, just as it did in October of 2002, when Tom Daschle was majority leader.

Last September, the Senate asked the White House to declare the Iranian armed forces a "terrorist" organization. The vote was 76 to 22, much like the 77-to-23 vote that authorized the war in Iraq.

Senator Clinton, of course, voted to put the terrorist label on Iran. (Eight months ago the New York Times said it was evidence that the inevitable Democratic nominee "has already shifted from primary mode... to general election mode, when she must guard against critics from the right."

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid voted with President Bush in October 2002 on toppling Saddam and then again in September 2007 on Iran, despite saying, "We certainly don't want to be led down the path slowly but surely until we wind up with a situation like we have in Iraq today."

Who were the No votes? Many were freshman senators swept into office in 2006. Democrat Jim Webb of Virginia cautioned his more experienced colleagues against laying the groundwork for another war.

"What do we do with terrorist organizations if they are involved against us?" Webb asked. "We attack them."

I was the only Republican in the Senate to vote against invading Iraq, but ironically, it was the anti-war mood of the voters that cost me my seat in 2006. They didn't want Republicans setting the agenda anymore.

My Democratic successor had benefited from that mood, of course, but quickly fell in line with his party leaders and gave President Bush a blank check on Iran.

If the will of the voters has been frustrated, that's bad enough. Does Washington now need to compound it by attacking Iran?

It would be a terrible mistake for politicians of both parties to point to the IAEA report and declare that an international body has confirmed our worst fears and the Persian Gulf is ripe for another military "solution."

It's time for serious people to get to work on finding another way.

 
 

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- MagisterLudi See Profile I'm a Fan of MagisterLudi permalink

Reasons why Iran wants a nuclear bomb:

1.Ayatollahs who rule Iran fear U.S.

2.Ayatollahs who rule Iran fear their own people who will ( soon enough) throw off the yoke of the repressive theocratic regime, just as they threw off the Shah.

3. Ayatollahs' policy of nuclear program build up is based on an opinion that this will enhance their regional and international strategic position.

4. Ayatollas think that #3, playing to "Arab street" will help them to subvert and overthrow more West-friendly Muslim states.

You want to deal with Iranian question, you must address these 4 points.

Everything else is just empty jive.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:36 AM on 05/29/2008
- XME See Profile I'm a Fan of XME permalink

I can only say that I'll be very relieved when Bush packs it up...and hopefully a Democrat moves in. I'm fed up with fearmongering and warmongering.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:43 AM on 05/29/2008
- MagisterLudi See Profile I'm a Fan of MagisterLudi permalink

There is no military preparation evident for the war for Iran.
The same hysterical bloggers with the apocalyptic gleam in their eyes have been periodically milking this topic for about four years now, based on the same "signs" in the sky or secret information no one seems to realize exists. Stop it. You wanna create traffic to your sites?-- how about a serious political discussion... sorry, I know.... one gets more hits on the rumor mill sites.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:26 AM on 05/29/2008
- PADDYWHACK See Profile I'm a Fan of PADDYWHACK permalink

I'm sure the Europeans and Asians will be ecstatic when we cause a cutoff of their oil.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:34 PM on 05/28/2008
- WorkingClass See Profile I'm a Fan of WorkingClass permalink

Asia Times Online says Bush will attack Iran before September.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/JE28Ak01.html

The Democrats could have put a stop to this. But they didn't want to.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:14 PM on 05/28/2008
- Singha See Profile I'm a Fan of Singha permalink

Here's a follow-up to that article.

http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Senators_say_report_of_planned_US_0528.html

I still don't trust bush.
Things will get worse until they leave.
No one can/will stop them from doing want they want to do.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:16 PM on 05/28/2008
- DietrichMoody See Profile I'm a Fan of DietrichMoody permalink

It appears that US foreign policy has been ruled by PARANOIA for the last 40 years or so. Maybe that is why rogue Presidents and their Administration, and uneccesary wars, are no longer considerered lapses in judgment. I'm with you, What the hell is happening? What's going on? What is the mood? Why are they doing this? And who is they? As you said in your book, many of these Democrats should be ashamed because they are "enablers." I think they should be ashamed as Americans, because of their enabling.


It's striking that you make the connection between the 77 or 76 Senators that voted for labeling the Iran guard terrorist, with the vote to authorize the War in Iraq. Very key. But if this is the case and mood in the Senate, then unfortunately, Senator the IAEA report is probably all these people are going to need to make the case to strike Iran. Maybe we haven't hit bottom yet. Maybe Senator, you should consider yourself lucky to be out of the Senate and didn't put your Ambition ahead of Country.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:36 PM on 05/28/2008
- wiseapple See Profile I'm a Fan of wiseapple permalink

We need to find common ground. We should offer a treaty simply stating that if they ever need a nuclear weapon for protection from say Israel or Pakistan, then we will provide it. We could aver that we would not attack them without just cause(UN sanctioning) at any time. This would free up a large chunk of their budget to take care of their country and its citizens, thus, creating a more open society. This deal could benefit both parties. They could help us stabilize the fledgling government in Iraq. A treaty places a burden on each country to honor it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:58 PM on 05/28/2008
- faust2001 See Profile I'm a Fan of faust2001 permalink

Mr. Chafee, you're one of the independents. Let's start a revolution. Build a majority of independents who are socially liberal, fiscally responsible, respectful of democratic institutions, and who will initiate a foreign policy that is both sane and in the interest of THIS country. We need representatives who are loyal to America, legitimately. The future of this country literally depends on it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:28 PM on 05/28/2008
- Dap See Profile I'm a Fan of Dap permalink

Dear Senator Chafee,

It is great to see you post, personally, I for one, was sorry to see you leave the Senate, as I have a great deal of respect for your thinking prowess, as this eloquent, and profound essay clearly shows.

Strange that you have plucked many of my own thoughts and expressed them well in your piece, we are in the exact same stream of consciousness. All the best to you, thank you for your efforts and service to our beloved Republic. Agape (Love in fellowship of our shared fragile Humanity)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:12 PM on 05/28/2008
- JonathanDS See Profile I'm a Fan of JonathanDS permalink

I would find your position more credible if you showed yourself capable of at least considering the idea that even our lesser of evils option may ultimately require extreme action. That negotiating a solution might prove idealistic and fruitless - though worth a try. Instead, those of us considering that we may be backed into a corner by Iran are perceived by you as just plain bad.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:03 PM on 05/28/2008
- PKSSK See Profile I'm a Fan of PKSSK permalink

Mr. Chafee is a leader of high moral principleand integrity. Hopefully, he will play a major role in the Obama administration.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:57 PM on 05/28/2008
- fedupnburnin See Profile I'm a Fan of fedupnburnin permalink

Thank you Mr. Chaffee. Thank you for acting like a representative and not a Whitehouse aid.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:51 PM on 05/28/2008
- mickyx65it See Profile I'm a Fan of mickyx65it permalink

If Israel has 200 atomic bombs, why the Iranian can't have at least the same?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:50 PM on 05/28/2008
- MagisterLudi See Profile I'm a Fan of MagisterLudi permalink

why the Iranian can't have at least the same
Because:
1. Because Iran is ruled by an oppressive and fanatical group of Mullahs.
2. Iran leaders are a danger to their own people,
3. Iran is SELF-DECLARED enemy to the "Western liberalism."
4. The Mullahs and Ayatollahs may stay in power longer if they get the bomb.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:42 AM on 05/29/2008
- GrainOSand See Profile I'm a Fan of GrainOSand permalink

Counterpoints:

1. Bush and Cheney
2. Bush and Cheney
3. Bush and Cheney
4. Impeachment, indictment, prosecution and jail for...Bush and Cheney.

Seriously though, were not the people who populated what is now called the United States of America dubbed savages versus indigenous people with a right to live the life they had been living before the interloper showed up.? How can I be sure that today's regime dubbed fanatical is not the same as yesterday's indigenous people dubbed savage? How can I trust the message of a devious and historical liar, and robber of land, culture, and life, who makes not apology for past wrongdoing, but excuses and impotent laws that lawyers drive trucks through?

Perplexing is the notion that a thief can steal and gain power through theft and then outlaw theft! Preposterous is a country that decries fanaticism but on closer examination (void of the filter of indoctrination) it resembles to some degree what it decries. Think on these things to free that mind stuck in the sticky substance that is the hardened Kool-Aid of indoctrination that says, America and Israel by extension, can do no wrong.

The native people who were on this land deserved better than what they got; you know small pox, death, loss of use sacred lands as they saw fit, and most importantly the maiming of a culture under a misguided government practice called "Kill the Indian to save the man". Is not such a policy barbaric and even fanatical?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:36 PM on 05/29/2008
- Futumpsh See Profile I'm a Fan of Futumpsh permalink

"It would be a terrible mistake for politicians of both parties to point to the IAEA report and declare that an international body has confirmed our worst fears and the Persian Gulf is ripe for another military 'solution.'"

This was my first thought when I heard about the IAEA report. Just seems so convenient after the claims of Iranian weaponry killing US soldiers in Iraq was debunked.

Senator Chafee, thank you for your service and for continuing to raise awareness of Cheney's bellicose ambitions and the complicity of congress on the issue of Iran.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:45 PM on 05/28/2008
- ApolloSpeaks See Profile I'm a Fan of ApolloSpeaks permalink

WHY IS IRAN GOING NUCLEAR?

leave it to Jaffe to find excuses for Iran's illegal nuke program. Who does Iran need to defend itself from, senator? the oil greedy U.S.? Then why doesn't Saudi Arabia have a nuke program? Why doesn't Canada? Iran needs nukes for prestige, for intimidation, for power; they need it to achieve their regional and global aims, which includes the annihilation of Israel as every other means to destroy the Jewish state has failed. In a nuclear age a great power must have the bomb, and that is why Iran is going nuclear.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:23 PM on 05/28/2008
- TheFriendlyAtheist See Profile I'm a Fan of TheFriendlyAtheist permalink

Apollo speaks nonsense. Being that Israel has enough nukes on its' subs to wipe out the entire middle east it would make absolutly no sense for Iran to launch an attack on Israel.

All it will take to wipe out the Jewish state is time. In 50 years half the population of Israel will be of Arab descent. Of acourse this is the real reason Israel keeps talking about land exchanges with the Palestinians. It wants to throw its' Arab citizens in with the deal; whether they like it or not. What a great democracy..

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:53 PM on 05/28/2008
- Durango See Profile I'm a Fan of Durango permalink

Iran only has to look next door to Iraq to figure out why they need nuclear weapons.

George W. Bush in defiance of the law of nations invaded and occupied a sovereign nation in defiance of the law of nations.

He proved to the world that the ONLY way to secure your borders is with nuclear weapons.

And that goes for Brazil, Argentina, Poland and the rest of the world as well. There is no other secure defense from a rougue nation like the United states.

But then you will be convinced of your foolishness no matter what reality is

P.S. Why did Israel go nuclear? And what makes them different from Iran?

Aggressive wars?.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:32 PM on 05/28/2008
- MagisterLudi See Profile I'm a Fan of MagisterLudi permalink

Iranian Ayatollahs( not the common people of Iran) are SELF-DECLARED enemy of the Western democracy, Arab democracy, and all other religions including other brands of Islam that does not conform to their oppressive version of Islam.
Let me repeat Iranian rulers THEMSELVES proclaim that they are enemies of the Western democracy.
They chose this fight! They must be opposed. It's simple really.

Supporters of Iran seem to avoid this subject for obvious reasons-- because it's the truth.
But this is the the glue that holds current Iranian theocracy together: defeat of evil West and spread of Shia Islam. Everything is a smoke screen.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:48 AM on 05/29/2008
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