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Lyle Denniston

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Political Trouble Ahead for the Supreme Court

Posted: 12/13/11 02:53 PM ET

Politics and judging are supposed to be done in different worlds, in America's constitutional scheme. But when the public finds them mixing, that can make trouble -- as it did when the Supreme Court decided Bush v. Gore, settling a presidential election in 2000, and when it decided the Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission last year, unleashing untold millions of corporate dollars on U.S. on election campaigns.

Hard to believe, but the controversies that followed those decisions may be more than matched in the new year, as the Supreme Court works its way toward decisions on three major constitutional controversies, from which political fallout is absolutely predictable.

In November, the Justices promised a ruling on the constitutionality of the new federal health care law. Last week, they doubled the amount of high-visibility controversy they were willing to confront, taking on a constitutional dispute over drawing up new congressional election districts in Texas -- with the potential for affecting which party controls the House of Representatives in the next Congress. And then, on Monday, they tripled the potential for political trouble by granting review of the constitutionality of Arizona's path-marking law, "S.B. 1070," that puts tight new controls on the everyday lives of undocumented immigrants living illegally in that state.

What those three controversies have most in common is this: every one of them involves the fundamental constitutional question of how governmental power is to be divided up between Washington and the states -- an issue as old as the Founding, both in politics and in law. That is definitely one of the most prominent issues already unfolding for the 2012 elections, especially as the limit-the-government movement at least partly inspired by the "Tea Party" spreads in conservative political circles.

And what will make all of this more volatile is that all three of the Court's coming decisions may be handed down even as the political calendar picks up momentum in the early months of 2012. The Texas redistricting case is on the fastest track, so it might be decided as early as February. Decisions in the other two may come down in June, as the Court's current term winds down.

Whatever the Court decides, on each and all of these disputes, will surely get translated immediately into political controversy, and a potential backlash -- from one side of the political spectrum or the other, and maybe even from the middle -- against the Supreme Court.

The Justices, of course, did not plan it that way, and the public can be sure that the Justices will try their best not to take political consequences into account as they study and then rule upon the Constitution and what it means for health care regulation, congressional redistricting, and immigration controls. The lawyers, too, will try to confine the arguments they make to high constitutional principle.

Ordinarily, the Justices do not choose what cases or issues are brought to them, since the timing of most lawsuits is determined by the processes used in the lower courts. So, the arrival of these three controversies in such a close sequence was a coincidence. The health care controversy has been developing since President Obama signed the Affordable Care Act into law in March last year. The Texas redistricting case has been under way only since this past summer. Arizona's S.B. 1070 was signed into law by Republican Gov. Jan Brewer in April last year.

The Justices did, though, have the option of turning aside all three of these disputes. But, of course, they opted not to take that easy way out.

And, as if these controversies were not heavy enough, the Court is expected to vote in coming weeks on whether it will hear a sequel to the Citizens United decision on campaign spending. This time the issue is whether foreign nationals living in the U.S. have a constitutional right to spend as they wish on American election campaigns. Also awaiting their initial reaction is a new test of the use of race in admission to public colleges and universities.

Moreover, making its way toward the Court, in a variety of contexts, is the issue over the constitutionality of banning marriage for same-sex couples. The timing of that in lower courts, however, seems more likely to put that issue on the Court's doorstep for the term after the current one.

This post first appeared on Constitution Daily, the blog of the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia.

 

Follow Lyle Denniston on Twitter: www.twitter.com/ConDailyBlog

 
 
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07:18 PM on 12/14/2011
Very interesting. Here's a related piece on the 2000 election and the Supreme Court's ruling in Florida: http://goo.gl/35n8B
09:27 AM on 12/14/2011
This Court is so obviously tainted and corrupt, it just doesn't deserve the people's respect. It is the most powerful branch of the government but it operates almost without checks. It just proves the observation that any aggregation of humans, wielding political power over people, should have a countervailing force, or it will spin completly out of control. This Court is the most destructive force against democracy in our Country.
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kitlevey
American Lion
09:57 AM on 12/14/2011
I agree with you once again and would offer that the Federal Reserve could be categorized likewise.
Kommonman
Blame it on Dyslexic fingers..next question
11:27 PM on 12/13/2011
Perhaps a grand Jury investigation or two for corruption in the SC for some pretty suspect ties to lobbiests and voting along party lines and an impeachment or two might bring back credibility to the SC
nothingchanges
too soon old, too late smart
04:52 PM on 12/13/2011
Does it matter?

One nice thing about being a Supreme Court Judge is that you have tenure for life. It's not like you can be held accountable for your decisions.

That might not be a bad thing, if they got their positions through merit, or by the judgement of their qualifications or the history of their legal decisions, carried out by their peers, they don't.

Supreme Court Justices are nominated, and appointed, by politicians, for political ends. They can't be unbiased, because if they were, they never would have been nominated.

The fundamental "flaw" in the ointment.

The best Supreme Court money can buy, brought to you by the best Congress money can buy. Why be surprised at the outcome?
09:18 AM on 12/14/2011
I fully agree, nothing. Our entire government is a reflection of the destructiveness of money and how it completely negates the democratic will of the people. Any semblance of democracy in this Country was long ago destroyed by the influence of money.
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
09:31 AM on 12/14/2011
Already fanned - now faved - have said this before - the supreme court is nothing more than another "poliical" arm of the government.
04:36 PM on 12/13/2011
The latest developments with foreign executives from Mercedes-Benz and Honda being arrested in Alabama during traffic stops for failing to produce valid immigration document shows how far reaching and how dangerous an uncontrolled immigration policy could produce.

I have no issue with intelligent means of tracking illegal immigrants, especially the dangerous ones. Acting on a tip, staking out places where people looking for work hang out, making a raid here and there seem like acceptable means to identify people who do not belong here.

However, going on a crusade and stopping and identifying anyone because they look or sound different opens different kind of issues. There are people in this country in transition from a visa to green card who do not have any kind of immigration papers. The same happens with people transitioning from green card to citizenship. They have the green card removed at the citizenship interview approved and before the oath. An overzealous traffic agent may take these as illegal immigrants and put them in jail all for nothing. The same would be citizens like me, who go for a hike or jogging without taking my wallet with me.

These states laws would need to be reworked seriously in order to be accepted. They way they are written now, they open the way to abuses and lack of trust towards law enforcement.
05:15 AM on 12/14/2011
Arresting a non-citizen for not having the proper documentation is "dangerous?"

You DO need to explain that.....

When you travel overseas, do you walk around without your passport?
08:14 AM on 12/14/2011
Luap,

You did not seize the hue. When I travel abroad, I do have a passport with me all the time; a USA passport. I just do not want to carry it on me while I am in my own country and being cherry picked and asked about it every time someone things I look or act foreign. The Border Patrol are far more subtle in detecting illegal people looking for subtle signs versus going blindly. I just do not trust law enforcement going blindly in enforcing immigration laws because I know things are going to turn bad for some totally undeserved. It already happened in Alabama and big companies might think about moving their business somewhere else when having their executives living for long time in this country being arrested under suspicion of being illegals.
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
09:33 AM on 12/14/2011
It is only common sense to carry some form of ID with you when you hike or jog - in case of an accident, if for no other reason.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Patriot 70
03:42 PM on 12/13/2011
I'm just going to sit back and watch the politicians rip each other to shreads. They are playing everyone, misquoting lawsuits and cases, and using the press and public opihnion to foster a lie onto the people, and most of them seem to be buying it. I'm just waiting for the branhes of governmetn to start using the billions of our dollars they play with to go after each other... oh, wait, they are already.

But the news media taking a good SCOTUS decision and ripping it is not anything more than politicians siccing you on your neighbor. Enjoy the fight. When the country is in tatters and China walks in and takes over, you will know you've been had.