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Mario Almonte

Mario Almonte

Posted: May 4, 2010 12:40 PM

Will the Sound and Fury of the Tea Party Movement Translate Into Votes?

What's Your Reaction:

Suppose you gave a revolution and nobody came? The raucous and rabble-rousing demonstrations of the Tea Party movement certainly make one wonder whether, out of the belly of a frustrated America, there has emerged a great new political force. Early on, it has proven capable of making stars out of dark horse conservative candidates, and maybe even swinging some elections. However, it remains to be seen whether the movement has any real staying power -- or whether it is just a momentary phenomenon on the political landscape.

April's tax day demonstrations appear to have attracted larger crowds than those of last year; yet, in some pockets of the country, the crowds were actually smaller. For example, estimates put demonstrators in Atlanta at 30,000, twice the 15,000 of last year. In Kankakee, IL, the crowd was estimated at only half the size of last year's demonstration.

Meanwhile, a recent CBS/New York Times poll found that only 18% of Americans say they support the Tea Party movement, while a full 62% say they do not. The Tea Party messages are commendable enough: Controlling Federal spending, lowering taxes, keeping government out of our private lives -- who can argue with that? Yet, only 25% of those polled believe the movement represents the views of most Americans, while 36% say it does not, and 37% say they do not know.

Confusion sets in when the hundreds of Tea Party groups around the country offer widely divergent opinions on how their goals should be met. Demonstrators themselves often seem to be protesting different issues within the same event. This has led to what the poll calls, "the muddled nature of perceptions of the movement."

Variations on a Theme
In addition, a quick look around the country finds different groups calling themselves variations of the Tea Party name: The Tea Party Patriots, the Tea Party Express, FreedomWorks Tea Party, the Tea Party Nation, Leadership Tea Party, and TeaParty.org. Leaders have emerged among the top groups, but none appears to have the force of personality to win unanimous support from all the groups -- and no group seems ready to combine forces.

Members of one of the better-known groups, the Tea Party Patriots, are openly frustrated by the movement's lack of cohesiveness. As well, their blog quotes a Newsweek article that questions whether the movement has any real staying power. Recently, too, Kansas City Tea Party leader Andrea Plunkett expressed concern that the demonstrations themselves appear to be the end-goal of many group members. She worries about the lack of progress beyond the streets. "We can have these fun events...or we can get to work," she says.

With more than 80% of Tea Party members acknowledging Republican affiliations, Republican core values appear to coincide with those of the Tea Party. However, Tea Party members are wary of Republicans usurping their brand to promote their own personal agendas, and so keep the party at arm's length. Meanwhile, celebrity speakers such as Sarah Palin, Glenn Beck and Sean Hannity draw the crowds and stimulate contributions; of these, Palin is often cited as the possible heir to the throne, but some party members question her motives and are not yet ready to give her the reigns. Palin herself remains coy about the question. Most likely, she does not want the albatross of a political party affiliation around her neck yet, as it would severely hamper the lucrative opportunities available to her as a private citizen.

With 36 Senate seats and 435 House seats up for grab in the November elections, candidates of all persuasions are jockeying for endorsements. Some are actively seeking out Tea Party support, while others remain skeptical that an affiliation with the movement is actually a good thing. None, however, will openly dismiss them. They are very vocal and generate a lot of publicity.

With Tea Party groups around the country actively sizing up candidates and picking sides, come November, we may finally discover whether the movement is the new voice of America, or just the squeaky wheel getting the grease.

 
 
 

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10:51 AM on 05/10/2010
Hey dchesley2, what you call "Obama's regime's policies" are really Obama's efforts to try to undo all the damage that Bush's regime policies caused the country. You've forgotten that we were in an economic tailspin while Bush was in office, and Bush left this unholy mess we're in now. Obama's policies are the only thing finally getting us out of this economic tailspin.
09:45 PM on 05/08/2010
Hey johnny451,
By the time you figure out the obama regime's policies aren't working you will be out of a job and sucking at the teet of your liberal/socialist nanny state that you helped to create by voting for this no nothing idealog whose wife is "finally" proud of her country. Wake up you lemmings,you're being led off the cliff as we speak
11:22 AM on 05/05/2010
It sure as hell is translating into votes in this family. We are tired of big government and out of control spending on foolish things.
11:01 AM on 05/05/2010
I don't think that any of the tea party "leaders" want to give up their little power base. That's why they can't agree to form a single party. Some of the leaders also don't want Palin because they recognize that she's just in it for the money.
08:39 PM on 05/04/2010
Betty White to do skit as 88-year-old Sarah Palin on Saturday Night Live? What do you think?
04:00 PM on 05/04/2010
"heir to the thrown" typo (throne)

I'm not really sure what to think about the tea party, but it does not seem to represent America in general or even a large minority(say around 35%) and has sometimes come across in a "we are the majority and you will isten only to us" kinda way.
02:22 PM on 05/04/2010
They'll definitely fade away. Just a bunch of people looking for attention, who refuse to admit they simply hate Obama as president. The November elections will show they have no real clout with voters. Politicians just can't figure them out, that's why they're afraid to criticize them, but once the media stops giving them attention, they'll be a footnote of the Obama presidency, like the hula hoop during Eisenhower.
02:15 PM on 05/04/2010
My sense is that they will quickly fade as the economy improves and Obama policies start proving they are actually good for the country. If 80% of them are Republicans, it means that they're really protesting Obama, but try to disguise it by saying they're protesting his policies. Very hypocritical.
01:44 PM on 05/04/2010
For all of those who would like President Obama re-elected in 2012, I make a case that the Tea Party influence does translate into votes. I recommend that you take a look at an article about the political context of the Tea Party, its development and likely evolution at:

http://funks2.wordpress.com/2010/04/16/the-trip-to-nowhere-on-the-tea-party-express/