Momentum Shift Complete -- McCain Not Leading In Any Daily Tracking Poll
The momentum shift away from John McCain (R) is now complete as none of the four daily tracking polls show him in the lead this morning. The final holdout -- Rasmussen -- now has the race tied, and it's the only daily tracking that shows McCain within 4 points. I suspect the combination of the economic news, the dropping approval ratings for the McCain-Palin ticket, and the fade of the convention bounce has pushed the race back to the Barack Obama (D) column.
Since most state polls are more than a week old, new polling should show Obama resuming his 50-75 electoral vote lead (probably with MI and CO moving back to Lean Obama and IN and NC back to Toss-Up), as the race heads into the crucial presidential debate phase.
Given the fluid nature of the race, I'm sure this isn't the last pendulum shift we'll see, but it always great to watch your team score a touchdown and take the lead, even if you know there's still plenty of game left to play:
Given the fluid nature of the race, I'm sure this isn't the pendulum shift we'll see, but it always great to watch your team score a touchdown and take the lead, even if you know there's still plenty of game left to play:
| Date | Rasmussen | Gallup | Research2000 |
Diageo |
AVERAGE |
| Sep 18 |
Tied (48-48) |
Obama +4 (48-44) |
Obama +6 (49-43) |
Obama +4 (46-42) |
Obama +3.5 (47.75-44.25) |
| Sep 17 | McCain +1 (48-47) | Obama +2 (47-45) | Obama +4 (48-44) |
Obama +3 (45-42) |
Obama +2 (46.75-44.75) |
| Sep 16 | McCain +1 (48-47) | McCain +1 (47-46) | Obama +4 (48-44) |
Obama +4 (46-42) |
Obama +1.5 (46.75-45.25) |
| Sep 15 | McCain +2 (49-47) |
McCain +2 (47-45) | Obama +3 (48-45) |
Obama +1 (44-43) |
Tied (46-46) |
| Sep 14 | McCain +3 (50-47) | McCain +2 (47-45) | Obama +2 (47-45) |
Obama +2 (45-43) |
McCain +0.25 (46.25-46) |
| Sep 13 | McCain +3 (49-46) | McCain +2 (47-45) | Tied (47-47) |
McCain +1 (45-44) |
McCain +1.5 (47-45.5) |
Mark Nickolas is the Managing Editor of Political Base, and this story was from his original post, "Momentum Shift Complete -- McCain Not Leading In Any Daily Tracking Poll"
Follow Mark Nickolas on Twitter: www.twitter.com/mnickolas
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It's bad news and good news!! Unfortunately, we have to watch our country go down the tubes, financially. The good news is that the Democrats (who are not entirely faultless in this economic debacle) now have a chance to really set the stage for real "change" in our government. Here in Colorado, even the Republicans are getting even more disgusted with our current economic state. Reality may finally be sinking in for the American people. And all the Republican spin in the world cannot replace what really is taking place in our country.
Ah well, go McCain-Palin!!!!
LO-freakin-L!
it'll break big for Obama / Biden in 3 weeks
This is a testament to America. My friends in Europe have always been baffled as to why I live in a country where we even consider this illiterate combo (MCpal).
You will always fool some of America, but when truth sees the light of day-- we have never faltered to see scams for what they are.
How, then, do you explain Bush's reelection?
The new polls are both reassuring and slightly ominous. Though Obama is on a rising tide right now there is still plenty of time for that to change. As we saw last week when everyone was swept up in the intoxicating novelty of Palin today’s 2 point bump can always turn into tomorrow’s misstatement.
Darn. A poor polling result always motivates me to send a couple hundred over to the Obama campaign. It never fails. I see the need in the numbers, I grab my credit card, like this morning.
Guess I will have to find other ways to motivate myself to give Obama even more. He earned it.
YES! We can. And we will.
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
ahhh. I can finally close my eyes for two seconds but only for two seconds. Then I will go right back to helping Obama win. There will be lots more dirty tricks and lies as McCain has nothing left and each one needs to be smacked down!!
It's a relief the Republican convention and Palin bounce is over. The more people found out who Palin is and what she stands for the less they liked her.
However, nobody get complacent.
A week is a lifetime in politics and I still expect the neocons in particular to try and pull a rabbit out of their asses in the form of an October surprise to try and save McCain.
new polling should show Obama resuming his 50-75 electoral vote lead (probably with MI and CO moving back to Lean Obama and IN and NC back to Toss-Up), as the race heads into the crucial presidential debate phase.
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We hope we get the chance to view those debates. At this pace I am beginning to wonder if McCain and palin wont phone in sick on the day of the debates.
As people stream out of McCain events after listening to Sarah (and God Bless them for being able t o listen to that voice for more than a few seconds)- it becomes clear that she's the GOP's celebrity but, my hope is that once they've heard her generalized, say nothing, memorized flash cards, they realize she's not at all ready to be leader of the free world. The polls are bearing that out and we can only hope that the trend continues.
He's got nuthin'. She's got less.
Thank you for the positive news. This is what we need to continue working on. The McPalin ticket should soon implode.
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