The momentum shift away from John McCain (R) is now complete as none of the four daily tracking polls show him in the lead this morning. The final holdout -- Rasmussen -- now has the race tied, and it's the only daily tracking that shows McCain within 4 points. I suspect the combination of the economic news, the dropping approval ratings for the McCain-Palin ticket, and the fade of the convention bounce has pushed the race back to the Barack Obama (D) column.
Since most state polls are more than a week old, new polling should show Obama resuming his 50-75 electoral vote lead (probably with MI and CO moving back to Lean Obama and IN and NC back to Toss-Up), as the race heads into the crucial presidential debate phase.
Given the fluid nature of the race, I'm sure this isn't the last pendulum shift we'll see, but it always great to watch your team score a touchdown and take the lead, even if you know there's still plenty of game left to play:
Given the fluid nature of the race, I'm sure this isn't the pendulum shift we'll see, but it always great to watch your team score a touchdown and take the lead, even if you know there's still plenty of game left to play:
| Date | Rasmussen | Gallup | Research2000 |
Diageo |
AVERAGE |
| Sep 18 |
Tied (48-48) |
Obama +4 (48-44) |
Obama +6 (49-43) |
Obama +4 (46-42) |
Obama +3.5 (47.75-44.25) |
| Sep 17 | McCain +1 (48-47) | Obama +2 (47-45) | Obama +4 (48-44) |
Obama +3 (45-42) |
Obama +2 (46.75-44.75) |
| Sep 16 | McCain +1 (48-47) | McCain +1 (47-46) | Obama +4 (48-44) |
Obama +4 (46-42) |
Obama +1.5 (46.75-45.25) |
| Sep 15 | McCain +2 (49-47) |
McCain +2 (47-45) | Obama +3 (48-45) |
Obama +1 (44-43) |
Tied (46-46) |
| Sep 14 | McCain +3 (50-47) | McCain +2 (47-45) | Obama +2 (47-45) |
Obama +2 (45-43) |
McCain +0.25 (46.25-46) |
| Sep 13 | McCain +3 (49-46) | McCain +2 (47-45) | Tied (47-47) |
McCain +1 (45-44) |
McCain +1.5 (47-45.5) |
Mark Nickolas is the Managing Editor of Political Base, and this story was from his original post, "Momentum Shift Complete -- McCain Not Leading In Any Daily Tracking Poll"
Follow Mark Nickolas on Twitter: www.twitter.com/mnickolas
You will always fool some of America, but when truth sees the light of day-- we have never faltered to see scams for what they are.
Guess I will have to find other ways to motivate myself to give Obama even more. He earned it.
YES! We can. And we will.
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
Why won't Palin release her Tax Returns and her Medical Records? What is Palin hiding?
However, nobody get complacent.
A week is a lifetime in politics and I still expect the neocons in particular to try and pull a rabbit out of their asses in the form of an October surprise to try and save McCain.
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We hope we get the chance to view those debates. At this pace I am beginning to wonder if McCain and palin wont phone in sick on the day of the debates.
He's got nuthin'. She's got less.