More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Mark Olmsted

Mark Olmsted

GET UPDATES FROM Mark Olmsted

Field of Dreams: Explaining Economic Mobility Through Baseball

Posted: 03/29/11 10:02 AM ET

How appropriate that our national pastime should be the perfect metaphor for how economic times have changed.

The American dream is based on the expectation that you will move from one base to another in a lifetime. If you start off working poor (1st base), you will at least end up middle class (2nd base). Those in the middle class (2nd base) expect they will end up living comfortably (3rd base). And most born on 3rd base know they'll spend their lives on the way to home plate, at least some of them joining those who are already there and never leave.

This system worked well enough for generations. Immigrants would go to bat and through hard work, make it to 1st base. Their kids would make it to 2nd, and enough of their kids' kids would make it to 3rd for a cycle of upward mobility to become a reasonable expectation. Those who didn't change class saw their class change. The life of a factory worker in 1900 was unrecognizable to his equivalent in 2000.

We are also the land of home runs. Many of America's great fortunes--Carnegie, Vanderbilt, Mellon-- grew from the humblest of beginnings. Those who watched their success envied it but did not begrudge it. They used it as motivation. In the United States, the idea that anyone can make it big if they just try is so enshrined in our national mythology it is virtually taboo to question it.

Understanding the hold of the home-run king on the American psyche explains a few things, like how the same swing voter can pull the lever for Barack Obama in 2008 and a Tea-Party Congressman in 2010. These perfectly well-meaning people don't understand that in a desire to keep the Horatio Alger trajectory as obstacle-free as possible, they have nurtured a system that now redounds almost entirely to the benefit of those who have already made it and don't need the help (Even worse, the narrative of success has been appropriated by this privileged class. Never have so many accomplished so little to keep so much, all the while imagining themselves to have run a gauntlet of obstacles every bit as challenging as if they'd been born in a one-room shack in an Appalachian holler.)

America is galloping backward to a degree of class immobility unseen since pre-World War I Europe. Almost everyone can expect to die now in the same class they were born in. In our media-driven culture, however, the relatively few exceptions to the rule are given so much exposure that they perpetuate magical thinking on a massive scale. Look at NeNe! If she can do it, I sure can! (Reality TV is the most ironic label ever devised: the delusions it engenders are in fact the epitome of unrealistic.)

And now, in the era of economic globalization, America cannot even continue to depend on consuming an outsized portion of world's riches to feed our historically disproportionate prosperity. Our entire population of 300 million equals just the Chinese who have moved from working to middle class in the last 20 years, and India is right behind them. With a tax system that so egregiously guarantees that the rich are the only ones getting richer, there is precious little elasticity in the American economy to make anything but stagnation for most even a possibility.

The only way to restore upward mobility for the many is to make downward mobility for the few a real likelihood. From hedge fund managers to Paris Hilton, a tiny sliver of Americans produces nowhere near the value to society reflected by their huge share of the economic proceeds. The time has come for the reduction of income inequality to become synonymous with the American dream, not anathema to it.

The top 1% need to get over the notion that if you have it, you must deserve it. And many of the Americans stuck on 1st and 2nd base need to understand that they are acquiescing in the very system that assures they are bound to stay exactly where they are, at best. They have to stop voting for the interests of the class they dream of joining and start voting for the interests of the class they're already in.

Note: I mistakenly referenced Alger Hiss, when I meant Horatio Alger--of "rags to riches" fame. Thank you to the grandson of Whittaker Chambers for the correction

 

Follow Mark Olmsted on Twitter: www.twitter.com/MarquisMarq

 
 
  • Comments
  • 16
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sheria Reid
11:37 PM on 03/29/2011
I really think that your closing sentence is right on target, "They have to stop voting for the interests of the class they dream of joining and start voting for the interests of the class they're already in."

The question is, what will it take to motivate people to actually do that?
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mark Olmsted
essayist, blogger, activist
02:44 AM on 03/30/2011
Wisconsin's hopefully the start of it all.
02:15 PM on 03/29/2011
The problem isn't the 1% thinking they deserve it. The problem is the bottom 99% agreeing. There is a phrase in baseball that goes, "They all look like line drives in the scoreboard." People look at all the runs on the board and think they were home runs. This ignores all the people who were driven home by those who came after them.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mark Olmsted
essayist, blogger, activist
03:51 PM on 03/29/2011
In the WWII and in the 50's, when we had much higher tax rates, the rich actually considered paying high taxes patriotic. I defy anyone to come up with evidence of any massive grumbling of the wealthy back then insisting they were groaning under their tax burden. Certainly they appreciated whenever taxes went down, but it wasn't until Reagan that this culture of entitlement took over. The psychology of "greed is good" set in, a geniune conviction that acquiring inordinate wealth was not only not wrong but a social good - hence the bizarre lie of supply side economics.
I agree with you in principle, but with the huge role of money in campaigns, the richest 1% convince just enough voters to pull the lever against their own interests. All while taking their companies jobs and profits abroad. I hope enough of the bottom 98% comes to their senses and realizes they have the most power working collectively. But it sure would help if the top sliver started to believe paying taxes was the best philanthropy they could engage in. I wrote about this in a previous post: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-olmsted/paying-taxes-the-old-patr_b_677843.html
photo
JohnFromCensornati
The End is near
12:57 PM on 03/29/2011
Looks like baseball needs parity.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
signgrrl
typeface geek
08:05 PM on 04/04/2011
as do we.
12:56 PM on 03/29/2011
I don't accept the analogy. In baseball, runners progress in a linear fashion, one specified step at a time. In addition, when a new runner gets on base, the base holder gets to advance.

With your analogy, it is as though half the population is standing on first base and the stadium owners have taken away all of the bats and balls. The people on homeplate are partying like crazy while the rest of us wait for the game to resume.
01:13 AM on 03/30/2011
Sshh! I think the fact that the game is not going to resume is supposed to be a secret!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
London Diplomat
12:38 PM on 03/29/2011
Another great post from one of my favourite bloggers. Nothing to add at all.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mark Olmsted
essayist, blogger, activist
01:36 PM on 03/30/2011
Thank you LD. Nice words like that make my day.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
London Diplomat
07:20 PM on 03/30/2011
True - it does all get a bit much in the comments section sometimes!
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
12:14 PM on 03/29/2011
Great analogy!

Umpires are now working for the opposing team.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
signgrrl
typeface geek
08:06 PM on 04/04/2011
true dat
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
11:37 AM on 03/29/2011
http://www.counterpunch.org/roberts10082010.html
Paul Craig Roberts: America's Third World Economy

"For a number of years I reported on the monthly nonfarm payroll jobs data. The data did not support the praises economists were singing to the “New Economy.” The “New Economy” consisted, allegedly, of financial services, innovation, and high-tech services.

This economy was taking the place of the old “dirty fingernail” economy of industry and manufacturing. Education would retrain the workforce, and we would move on to a higher level of prosperity.

Time after time I reported that there was no sign of the “New Economy” jobs, but that the old economy jobs were disappearing. The only net new jobs were in lowly paid domestic services such as waitresses and bartenders, retail clerks, health care and social assistance (mainly ambulatory health care services), and, before the bubble burst, construction.

The facts, issued monthly by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, had no impact on the ”New Economy” propaganda. Economists continued to wax eloquently about how globalism was a boon for our future.

The millions of unemployed today are blamed on the popped real estate bubble and the subprime derivative financial crisis. However, the US economy has been losing jobs for a decade. As manufacturing, information technology, software engineering, research, development, and tradable professional services have been moved offshore, the American middle class has shriveled. The ladders of upward mobility that made American an “opportunity society” have been dismantled..."

and sold to China.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mark Olmsted
essayist, blogger, activist
12:36 PM on 03/29/2011
Thanks Tulsan. It's very helpful to have the hard facts to behind the analogies.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
12:54 PM on 03/29/2011
You're welcome.

Thanks for the great analogies.

At 66, I hope to live to see a sea change in the U.S. economy.