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Marty Kaplan

Marty Kaplan

Posted: December 6, 2010 02:03 PM

I think I've figured out how to get the White House to pay attention.

Clearly, being a Democrat doesn't do the trick. I can clamor all I want about bankers' bonuses, carbon emissions, Net Neutrality -- you know, the kind of promises that candidate Obama ran on. But if I'm a Democrat, I'm just part of the base, the third of the country he'll pretty much take for granted when he tries to assemble a majority in 2012. Blowing me off as a liberal (22 percent of voters) who doesn't understand electoral math especially lacks a political downside. Where else am I going to go -- Mike Bloomberg? One Ralph Nader enabling one George W. Bush is enough third-party fallout for a lifetime, thank you very much.

But if I'm an Independent -- another third or so of the country -- suddenly I'm Mr. Popular. I'm the voter who quit him in 2010. The White House political operation will poll me up the wazoo. My positions on issues will instantly become interesting. A Democrat who doesn't want to balance the budget on the backs of middle-income Americans is just an unrealistic whiner. But an Independent who thinks that the top Clinton tax bracket is no punishment for millionaires is a voter worth listening to. A Democrat who sees Afghanistan as a tragic dead end is naïve about terrorism. But an Independent who agrees with Joe Biden's private assessment is a sign that the country is turning away from that war.

"Independent" is, of course, an oddly capacious label. How can Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders have the same (I) after their names? Plus, the media are awfully sloppy about the synonymy of "independent," "moderate," "centrist," "swing voter" and "undecided." Independent can even be a face-saving euphemism for "I don't vote."

But the elasticity of the term hasn't prevented Democratic strategists from believing that a single-minded focus on winning Independents is the only way to add up to a 2012 majority. (The G.O.P. doesn't court Independents in the same way, but the media still say that Republicans are "moving to the center," despite all evidence that the raw meat they feed their base before their primaries is the same diet they serve up in general elections.) That's why I'm thinking that the way to get some love from the White House is not to be a disappointed (and therefore ungrateful) Democrat, but instead to be a nonpartisan (and therefore desirable) Independent.

Now that I'm an Independent, Mr. President, surely you want to know what rings my bell.

Well, for starters, I want to fix the broken campaign finance system. I want multinational corporations and hedge-fund managers to pay their fair share of taxes. I want banks and insurance companies to suffer the consequences of their greed and bad bets. I want an energy policy gutsy enough to reduce global warming. I want --

Sure, fella, and I want a pony, too: That would be the White House reaction to a wish list like that coming from a Democrat. But coming from an Independent, those positions might be received by the Obama camp as a bridge to 21st-century triangulation.

I used to imagine that the president was playing 11-dimensional political chess with the Republicans, a deep strategy on behalf of the people who elected him that I was too dim to grasp. Instead, I've begun to wonder whether his negotiating with himself and his common-ground rhetoric -- despite frontal Republican intransigence and contempt -- are his way of dog-whistling to Independents that he's their guy.

The fight over extending the Bush tax cuts for people earning more than $250,000 has been a case study of the pathology of chasing independents. Last week, MoveOn unveiled an ad made of clips of 2008 Obama voters speaking to camera -- kids, grannies and everyone in between. The faces are earnest, their words supportive. "What up, B!" says one. "I want to say thank you for all the hard work you do," says another. "We voted for you because for the first time in our lifetime," a young man explains, "a politician was actually laying out a plan that reinforced the values that we've come to believe in as Americans."

But people in the ad are also troubled. They respectfully ask him not to compromise on the tax cut. Quietly, thoughtfully, a woman at the end sums it up: "You said in your campaign speech that enough is enough and it's time to fight. Please fight. I'm willing to fight with you."

I don't know what they were saying in the White House when they saw the ad, but on MSNBC, Chuck Todd used it as a foil during an interview with Christy Whitman. He called it an ideological attack on Obama, which prompted her to bemoan its extremism. Obama's problem, she said, wasn't that "he didn't go far enough to the left, that he wasn't strong enough on the left agenda"; his problem was that "he went further than we wanted him to go." What we Americans want instead of hyperpartisanship, Whitman contended, is pragmatism, the no-labels, no-ideology of the sensible solution-loving center.

So inside the Beltway, wanting to cut $600 billion from the deficit -- the cost of the upper-income Bush tax cuts over 10 years -- bizarrely becomes a symptom of lefty partisanship. A polite "please fight" becomes the fringe drowning out the majority. Maybe characterizing this ad as an attack on Obama from the left actually helps him with Independents; in this thinking, if MoveOn is against him, he must be doing something right. The irony is that the White House's courtship of the center has the effect of doing the bidding of the right. If Democrats really want to be wooed, maybe it's time to play hard-to-get from the middle.

This is my column from The Jewish Journal of Greater Los Angeles. You can read more of my columns here, and e-mail me there if you'd like.

 

Follow Marty Kaplan on Twitter: www.twitter.com/martykaplan

 
 
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09:02 AM on 12/09/2010
Great reasoning. I love the subtle sense of disillusionment and irony in your tone. I think you are suggesting that folks look in what I believe is the correct direction. The problems in our country are many but are chiefly complicated by the lack of a broadly-viewed public media with integrity and politicians being supported by shady funds right underneath that veil of lies. As a direct result of this, the populace is utterly confused and their ideology has been deranged by years of exposure to these mistruths and deception.
01:46 PM on 12/07/2010
Progressives need to stop trying to guess what Obama is really up to - look at his record. He's 100% controlled by corporate interests. It is THAT simple. He's a corporate tool that fooled us all.
12:55 PM on 12/07/2010
That's cool. Be an independent. But while doing so, raise heck about that "2% cut in Social Security payments". That translates to less income IN and will destabilize Social Security.

Sooo ... then Congress will have a reason to "fix" Social Security. Means test it, cut middle class benefits, raise the retirement age.

This is poison to a social net that everyone keeps threatening anyway. And the benefit DIRECTLY goes up based on worker income. How can any Democrat or Independent support this?

Mr. Independent, HELP!!!
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Kane
Now with 20% More Fiber!
10:57 AM on 12/07/2010
In the 1930s, Senators Robert Wagner and Edward Costigan drafted the Costigan-Wagner bill to require federal trials for any state law enforcement officers who failed to protect prisoners from lynch mobs. Virtually all Southern senators opposed the Wagner-Costigan bill, using a filibuster to prevent a vote on the bill.

In 1935 attempts were made to persuade Roosevelt to support the Costigan-Wagner bill. However, Roosevelt refused to speak out in favour of the bill. He feared that support would cost him Southern votes in the 1936 election. He believed that he could accomplish more for more people by getting re-elected.

Had there been a MoveOn and YouTube during this time, surely there would have been video requests pleading for Roosevelt to fight for those (mostly African-Americans) being lynched. And accusations would have been made that he doesn't care and that he's weak for not fighting.

Certainly President Obama could have gotten Republican support for his original stimulus plan if he had promised not to seek healthcare reform. He might even have convinced senators to go along with the public option if had promised to extend the war in Iraq for another four years. He probably could have gained some Republican votes for the auto bailout if he had promised not to seek the repeal of DADT.

This is American politics. It's ugly and it's nasty. Just because you haven't received everything on your political wishlist, it doesn't mean that Obama isn't fighting for you.
11:49 AM on 12/07/2010
I can think of several two-word rebuttals to your conclusion.

Here's the one that spikes my adrenaline: habeas corpus.

Obama fighting for me? He won't even fight for what he claims to believe.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
The Power To Unelect
Corruption Is Destroying The Nation
01:07 PM on 12/07/2010
Exactly
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sporty1
being me
10:27 AM on 12/07/2010
Yessir Mr Kaplan yur' da man. Dog whistling !! Funny.
I was for Obama until he caved in so very completely on the tax cuts for the wealthy. I liked Krugman's analaysis the other day. Make the Repubs pay the political price for their insane agenda, eventually the American people might figure it out. They see that higher withholding on Jan 1 and they can know that we tried but the Republicans just wouldn't allow the reasonable action to support continuing their tax reduction, they wanted national bankruptcy or nothing.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Witkacy
09:50 AM on 12/07/2010
It's "21st-century triangulation," but at the same time it's so very old--older even than the DLC's/ Gov. Clinton's, and then President Clinton's, 20th-century triangulation. This vaunted "independent" - what was called not that long ago the "Reagan Democrat" - is only a cryptid, a fabled creature the hunt for whom is itself veiled in mystery.
09:34 AM on 12/07/2010
It seems that Obama and his advisers are finally understanding the real meaning of this election. If he is moving to the center, that will be largely good for his electoral chances. Progressives ought to be happy he's still there as a real brake for what Republicans want to do. But the Left feels betrayed, are in a pouting mood, and want to take their toys and go home. If they still feel that way in 2012, the Republicans may have a free path to the White House.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Pamela Grundy
Freelance writer & blogger.
09:16 AM on 12/07/2010
Great article. Put another way though, it just says that the Democratic party is about it lose its most ardent supporters. Since third party candidates are not viable, many former Democrats will just stay home on election day. The real choice seems to be between foaming-at-the-mouth Republican or Republican-lite, and that's not going to get out all the hopeful young people who put Obama in office. All I can say is, you never see the GOP abandoning its base this opening. They do it--yes--but they make sure to pretend otherwise.

I will always vote, even when it's become a horrible charade, because people died to give me that right. But I believe this imaginary middle Obama seems to be courting is just that--imaginary. Ours is a deeply divided nation, and now, one side of the divide has no champion. That's not good. A lot of people are already concluding that it doesn't matter what we want, because Washington will do what rich people and banks want no matter what. It's hard to argue against that conclusion.
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CMB1969
raging moderate
09:48 AM on 12/07/2010
I think that by 2012 the Democratic base will grumbling a bit and VOTING for Obama. That said, just getting your base to trudge into the polls and vote for you is a very low bar to set--they will likely not be digging into their pockets to contribute, putting stickers on the car, encouraging their friends and family to vote for him, ect. like happened in 2008. Ultimately, that will cost him the independents as well, since they generally go to the side that has the enthusiasm over the side that is going through the motions.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Pamela Grundy
Freelance writer & blogger.
10:09 AM on 12/07/2010
I think you are right. It's a tough call for me personally. So much depends on what shape the country is in by November 2012. It would be great to see the economy on the upswing, but somehow I doubt that will happen. I will vote in any case, but it's all very upsetting. If Nader were to run again, I'd probably vote for him even though everyone would blast me for it.
08:52 AM on 12/07/2010
liberals always think changing their name and reframing the debate will win out in the end. their best bet is have a capab;e candidate for 2012 and it isn't obama. Instead of changing your label you should trying changing your leaderhosen.
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leftLibertarian
reefer+java=groovy
08:50 AM on 12/07/2010
I'm an independent voter and I don't like compromise. Esp regarding fighting 2 undeclared wars.
08:35 AM on 12/07/2010
the litmus test? Obama has to explain how $140 billion of bonuses taken by a Wall Street that has cost consumers millions of jobs, millions of homes, and trillions of lost wealth and home equity can continue in a fair society. Or how $900 billion in new spending and revenue losses over just two years gets us out of a $14 trillion national debt, and a $1,5 trillion annual deficit? The GOP answer will be to point and shoot at the hole the 2 percent payroll tax holiday and more unemployment compensation--both crumbs after the rich have eaten all the bread--as evidence that social security and medicare--the doc fix is in today--need to be slashed to avoid those "job-killing tax increases." Unfortunately, the jobs killed are American jobs shipped out to China. We can all move to the right and be as independent as we like. but the post partisan Obama has already moved, into the most lilely contender for the GOP presidential nomination in 2012. This man is a scourge on the land this Christmas season. Starting Jauary 1 we need to organize against his presidency of cowardice and capitulation, and plan to defeat him in 2012 whether he decides to be a Democrat or a Republican. he cannot be trusted, and his penchant for secret deals means we can't verify. He has to go.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ZiloRS
07:33 AM on 12/07/2010
Good article. I, too, have been mulling over becoming an independent given that, while I still mostly agree with my party on the core issues, I just don't feel enough of them "get it" when it comes to how corrupt/naive the president seems to be. I think this thoughtful article definitely has helped my decision along.
08:53 AM on 12/07/2010
obama is incompetent, not coruppt or naive. he's just a carter retread with the same one-termer penciled on his forehead.
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froidytoidy
Underwhelmed Independent
04:08 AM on 12/07/2010
I'm an independent and have been for many years. I voted for Obama because, over time, I liked all that he stood for. The alternative, to vote for McCain/Palin, was out of the question, no critical thinking skills, and ideology over America, what a disaster that would have been.

Am I being unrealistic in thinking the President can undo 8 years of Bush destruction in two years? Yup, I'm vastly disappointed in the latest decision to negotiate Bush tax cuts together with putting food on the table, and scared about our future debt to other countries. But, I'm far more disgusted with the greed and arrogance of the Republicans - I find what's going on to be despicable.

So I will continue to support my President when the herd of elephants rush for the meal. He was, and continues to be, better than the alternative.
07:36 AM on 12/07/2010
Your an independent and I am the king of siam.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
harobamason
its a new day
07:50 AM on 12/07/2010
Independents want compromise - Independents win elections
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the crustybastard
I could be worse, and have been.
11:49 AM on 12/07/2010
Nonsense. Independents have principles, not parties.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
The Power To Unelect
Corruption Is Destroying The Nation
01:03 PM on 12/07/2010
No they dont want compromise.

Independents want HONEST leaders that represent the American people.

Independents will NOT tolerate corruption.
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03:14 AM on 12/07/2010
I really thought Obama was too smart to buy into this beltway media nonsense about Independent voters valuing compromise above all else.

Who is this mysterious Independent voter who cares more about bipartisan posturing than actual policy? I've never met him. These are things I've never heard anyone on the left, right, OR center say:

"I think we should extend unemployment benefits, but only if we let the richest Americans keep their tax cuts too."

"I'd really like to do something about global warming, as long as it doesn't hurt oil and coal companies' profits."

"I think the Don't Ask Don't Tell policy is terrible, but I want them to keep implementing it until Senate Republicans agree to a repeal."

"I think health care is a basic human right that the government should guarantee to all its citizens, but only in a way that allows the private health insurance industry to continue profiting off of illness and death."

"I'm deeply concerned about Wall Street continuing to jeopardize the global economy in pursuit of fast money, but these guys are very smart and work very hard so it would be wrong of us to impose any kinds of restrictions on their activities. A second global financial crisis would be a small price to pay for protecting the bankers' personal incomes."

There may be one guy in Omaha, Nebraska who thinks like that. Obama's got his vote.
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08:54 AM on 12/07/2010
Well put!
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mlrose529
The world is watching in stupefied horror.
09:46 AM on 12/07/2010
That was amazing! Brilliantly well said, in fact. Until now I hadn't truly seen the absurdity of imagining a class of voters who legitimately held convictions, if you can call them that, as bland and self-negating as those of the Cipher-in-Chief.
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02:53 AM on 12/07/2010
Marty, I* think you are right.

Clearly Obama is not paying attention to progressive Democrats. I would have a better voice, theoretically, as an independent, too.

BUT...nobody ever polls me. So,what difference would it make if I officially switch to Independent?

Rhis is a real question, as I want my progressive voice to count.