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Marvin Resnikoff

Marvin Resnikoff

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Doomsday Scenario at Fukushima

Posted: 03/15/11 11:03 AM ET

The slow motion events occurring at Japan's (or GE's) Fukushima reactor cannot be sugar-coated. It is a doomsday scenario unfolding.

Nuclear reactors are not the same as coal/oil/gas electricity plants. Unlike conventional plants, they cannot be turned off. So while brave workers were tending to Units 1, 2 and 3 reactors, attempting against all odds to keep the reactor from overheating, the fuel pool at Unit 4 was left untended; without makeup water to cool them, the fuel rods overheated. Above 1800 oF, an exothermic reaction, a fire, took place with the zirconium cladding around the uranium pellets. Zirconium burned, forming zirconium oxide and hydrogen gas, which then exploded and released radioactive cesium, a semi-volatile metal, to the atmosphere.

Near the plant, the radiation levels dangerously escalated to 400 milliseiverts/hour (or 40 rems/hour in U.S. parlance). Considering background is on the order of 1 milliseivert per YEAR, this means a yearly background dose every 9 seconds. Put plainly, workers at the Fukushima reactors are putting their lives in immediate jeopardy.

What is a fuel pool?

Each year a commercial reactor operates, approximately 30 tons of fuel are irradiated. Every year or year and a half, this fuel is moved to a fuel pool for safe storage. Under 20 feet of circulating and replenished water, the fuel is stored. Water shields the radioactivity and cools the fuel, which still gives off heat. If water is not resupplied, which apparently was the case at unit 4, the water levels decline, the fuel is uncovered and it overheats, leading to a hydrogen explosion.

How much cesium-137 is contained in a fuel pool?

The amount of cesium contained in the fuel pool is typically measured in curies or becquerels, but these assessments are meaningless unless you are a physicist. An easier way to look at it is in relation to the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima at the end of World War II, where 100,000 Japanese where killed. Cesium is a semi-volatile material that has been detected in the air downwind of the Fukushima reactors. How many Hiroshima bombs worth of cesium-137 are contained in the fuel pool?

In work for the State of Nevada, we estimated that 10 tons of irradiated (what the industry calls "spent") nuclear fuel was equivalent to 240 times the amount of cesium-137 released by the Hiroshima bomb. Ten tons is the amount of irradiated fuel that would be contained in a shipping container or cask used to transport the fuel. Why so much more cesium than the Hiroshima bomb? Because an atomic explosion occurs in milliseconds, but a nuclear reactor operates continuously for years. Many more fissions means much more fission products, including cesium You do the math. If Unit 4 operated for 35 years and produced 30 tons of irradiated fuel per year and each ton is equivalent to 24 times the amount of cesium-137 produced by the Hiroshima bomb, then each fuel pool could contain on the order of 24,000 times the amount of cesium-137 produced by the Hiroshima bomb, if all the produced irradiated fuel remains in the fuel pool..

This is not to say all this material will be released to the atmosphere or ocean. This is the maximum cesium-137 possible inventory at each Fukushima reactor. Each fuel pool at each Fukushima reactor also contains approximately the same amount of strontium-90 and other cancer causing materials. In addition to the fuel pools at each Fukushima reactor, a larger common fuel pool sits at ground level between two reactors in a building with windows. The damage the tsunami caused to this independent fuel pool has not been discussed by the media.

Iodine, cesium and other radionuclides can be carried downwind and inhaled. Radionuclides that land in the sea may be taken up by fish and eaten. When these cancer-causing materials are taken into the body by inhalation or ingestion, they concentrate in different organs. Cesium concentrates in muscle, strontium (like calcium) in bones, iodine in the thyroid. Once in the body, these radioactive materials continue to decay, releasing harmful gamma and beta radiation. Plutonium, also present, gives off alpha radiation. Rearranging the DNA in the human body leads to cancer. To put this in another way, a BWR reactor boils water to produce electricity by generating cancer-causing materials.

Take this out of the nuclear realm. Imagine another harmful poison, botulism. Imagine a botulism reactor, reproducing botuli fast enough to produce heat and steam to turn turbines. Then imagine having to contain these billions of botuli so the public is not harmed. This is essentially the friendly atom that has now come full circle in Japan and that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission will relicense for an additional 20 years at Vermont Yankee and at 30 other Fukushima-type reactors in the United States. Fortunately, the State of Vermont has taken matters into its own hands and has decided not to allow Vermont Yankee to run past 2012..

 
 
 
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11:03 AM on 03/19/2011
We do not need nuclear energy. That is what makes the situation in Japan so ironic. Here we have a bunch of grown men, and smaller number of grown women, wasting time playing with fire. As David Comey used to say, using nuclear power to produce electricity is like cutting a stick of butter with a chain saw.
All Japanese wind turbines survived the 8.9 magnitude earthquake and tsunami. Renewables and efficiencies combined with current battery technologies are cheaper than nuclear energy. For more information on why we do not need nuclear energy see www.SafeEnergyAnalyst.org
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Guitarsandmore
devoted father, community activist, musician, reti
11:35 AM on 03/18/2011
Three Mile Island
Chernobyl
Japan

Three strikes and you're out nuclear!

Time to switch over to the clean, green, renewable energy solutions.

We never have any of these problems with wind and solar. none. zero.
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Guitarsandmore
devoted father, community activist, musician, reti
11:31 AM on 03/18/2011
Notice all of the Wind Generators are still working in Japan. Completely clean and green power generation.
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FZliveson
Beating the Conundrum
06:25 PM on 03/16/2011
Could someone help me understand?
With many types of equipment there is a "dead man's switch" which, when not depressed by a conscious effort causes the tool to stop, immediately.

It seems like the controls that insert the rods into proximity with one another would have been set up on a mechanical or battery -back-up system so that when power failed, they would automaticlly retract to a safe position. What am I missing here?
Thanks
FZLO
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
12:35 AM on 03/17/2011
From what I am reading, the author is saying that the problem was not with the reactors, it was with the leftovers, the nuclear banana peels and coffee grounds, and this storage needed water to maintain cooling, and did not get it. You can throw away a cigarette butt, a beer can, and nothing goes wrong. Throw away nuclear fuel, you still have to take care of it or it'll burn up. Something like that.
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FZliveson
Beating the Conundrum
12:46 AM on 03/17/2011
Thanks. I am still of the understanding that the elemental fuel is not hot unless it is in close-enough proximity to other fuel soas to start a fission reaction. AND your explanation sounds more plausible than having a reactor whose controls can get stuck in the "on" position.
If you find out more, please post.
Cheers,
FZLO
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aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
12:22 PM on 03/16/2011
Thanks for the information, from a qualified person who knows the industry. Many of us realize the extent of the danger, but the lies from nuclear power supporters are spread far and wide through the media. For information on the half lives of these materials google radiation half life.
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11:18 AM on 03/16/2011
This Japanese article gives actual numbers of fuel roads stored at each of the affected facilities:

"A total of 783 spent nuclear fuel rods were stored in the pool (at No. 4). At the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant, three reactors--Nos. 4, 5 and 6--were out of service for regular inspections. About 300 to 500 spent nuclear fuel rods are also kept at the Nos. 1, 2 and 3 reactors."

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T110315004749.htm
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Dr Juan
We built America without BO
08:54 AM on 03/16/2011
Why aren't they trucking in the sand to bury these reactors? Are they thinking they are going to save the hardware and resurrect these piles of dangerous scrap?
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aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
12:23 PM on 03/16/2011
The radioactive materials must be separated or immersed in water to contain the heat from their interactions.
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Dr Juan
We built America without BO
07:30 PM on 03/16/2011
It is a different ballgame after the rods coalesce into a big molten pool at the bottom of the containment vessel and begin to melt through the bottom - as occurred at Chernobyl. The molten mass will melt into rock or whatever is beneath and mix - consequently damping the nuclear fission rate and slowing the heat output till it all cools. It will not melt through the earth to China.

What I don't know is whether these were designed to avoid vaporization of the fissionable material or if there is some way to prevent it. Vaporized plutonium is the worst thing that could happen aside from the whole thing going critical.
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Laurent Wagner
08:29 AM on 03/16/2011
It's time to save energy massively.

- As much as half of the energy used in your home goes to heating and cooling
A well-insulated house saves a lot of energy.

- A seawater Air Conditioning system will use 80% less energy than conventional Air-conditioning system.

- In a car, replacing steel by aluminium can reduce the body mass by around 40 % without compromising safety.

- A propeller-driven aircraft cuts fuel bills by 30%.

- Tankers fitted with sail will burn between 10 and 35 per cent less fuel.

- Freight Trains are using 3 times less fuel than trucks.
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gvscmr
www.seanbond.me
12:55 PM on 03/16/2011
Well Done... But good luck getting that word out as we all know that Big Oil and Big Energy does not want efficiency as it means less money for them. Why do you think Big Oil and Big Energy is spending insane amounts of money to try and debunk Global Warming? Because they would lose Billions if not Trillions in Revenue. So instead of spending money on research for better Energy they would rather stay status quo and pay people to lie to the world that Global Warming is a Hoax.

http://goo.gl/JAmNn
http://goo.gl/as1Rn
05:21 AM on 03/16/2011
there are other choices like;
sun, wind, geothermal, kinetic etc.
all of them definetly cheaper than nuclear with only one incident like fukushima / chernobyl / 3M
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lonesometx
Please don't take me out with a drone, Pres. O
05:02 AM on 03/16/2011
"You do the math. "

I did. You didn't include half life decay in your calculation. So your total is wrong.

Cesium-137 has a half life of 30 years. You should know that if you are an "expert".

On the other hand, if you are interested in fear mongering and scoring points for your agenda, then by all means you shouldn't worry about facts.

The American public is ignorant enough about science and mathmatics. (Just listen to some odf the baloney being spouted by the media talking heads.)

You have a responsibility to be factual. Doing the math, correctly, isn't that hard.
05:41 AM on 03/16/2011
That should shave it to about 18,000 times Hiroshima! Phew and I was worried!
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lonesometx
Please don't take me out with a drone, Pres. O
10:02 AM on 03/16/2011
The author said, "do the math." He didn't say, "I estimate...".

Mathmatics is a science of logical thinking. If you rely on math to make your point you should use it correctly. It's either right or wrong.

But maybe you believe that if you add 2 + 2 and get 5 that's close enough...
06:05 AM on 03/16/2011
you can't be serious.
it's a back of the envelope calculation and presented as such,
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cadawa
03:14 AM on 03/16/2011
How many shipping containers (24 Hiroshimas each) are in each pool? I understand those plants were built in the 70's. 30x35x24=25200 Hiroshimas per reactor. Four reactors are compromised. Zut!
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Downix
04:27 AM on 03/16/2011
Not quite. Japan reprocesses their fuel, no more than 7 months of spent fuel is in the tanks at any one time. In this case, Unit #4 was in the process of replacing the rods, so it is at the low-end of the rods in the pool.

That is the dirty little secret about nuclear waste that the US Nuclear Lobby doesn't want out, nuclear waste can be recycled back into fresh fuel, called MOX. So long as they keep it from being recycled, they can keep up their mining subsidies, and the waste is available for conversion to weapons grade material.
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docwindprod
My micro-bio is empty, but my life isn't.
07:58 AM on 03/16/2011
excellent information -- thanks for this.
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librldem
Snarking for Merika n jebus! Glory!
09:33 AM on 03/16/2011
Much more of this kind of truthy info and they will put you in a cell next to Bradley Manning! f&f
Mark from atlanta
Unity through Diversity.
02:55 AM on 03/16/2011
Thanks for the straight talk. Nuclear energy is like a hot dog. Many folks enjoy the finished product, but would shudder if they knew what went into making it.
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LoneTree
Liberty is more precious than life.
02:49 AM on 03/16/2011
And because the environmental and anti-nuclear movement has been so effective at manipulating public opinion, our most modern plants are 40 year old designs. If we were all driving 40 year old automobiles, traffic fatalities would be 3X, emissions would be 50X, and fuel consumption would be 2X. Thank goodness that engineering has advanced in the past 40 years. This is an example of a special interest group getting a greater result then ever intended from a shortsighted and self-fulfilling policy of obstructing progress.

Fukushima would never have happened with properly engineered, modern designs. The environmentalists knows that, the anti-nuclear movement knows that. That's why it's so important for them to misdirect the public dialog back to 50 year old designs. Great work, blocking progress!
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Downix
04:28 AM on 03/16/2011
Indeed. I've seen what a MSR is like up close, amazing the difference. Or those Molten Lead systems from Russia, incredible. Comparing the Nuclear systems in the US to these, incredible.
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LoneTree
Liberty is more precious than life.
12:04 PM on 03/16/2011
A good part of the anti-nuclear movement is based on convincing a mass of people that nothing has changed, nothing has improved.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AP1000
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Hasnayn
We are all one
07:50 AM on 03/16/2011
Engineering has advanced tremendously over the past 40 years, but a key consideration to have, is that plants (nuclear, coal, oil etc) are not designed to last for 5 years (as are cars), nuclear plants are designed to last for 50 years!! As technology progresses (especially in the fields of control and automation) these plants are upgraded, as there is NO NEED to replace civil and structural components.
So the design of the plant may be 50 years old, but what they are actually running would be something that is fairly modern and that has been optimized for 40 years.
The issues of nuclear power cannot be 'engineered' away unless we move to nuclear fusion or move to a more modular reactor design approach (which is inherently safe).
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LoneTree
Liberty is more precious than life.
12:12 PM on 03/16/2011
Much of what you say is true, but critical elements are, IMHO, not so true.

I'ts a small point, but cars are designed to last more than 5 years. 20 year old cars nowadays are not uncommon, and 40 year old cars are still legal to drive. So the comparison isn't as lopsided as you portray it.

More important, the real issue is that the fundamental design has in fact changed significantly in the past 50+ years. Ref: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AP1000 you will see that we're talking a pressurized water (PWR) design instead of the obsolete boiling water (BWR) design as at Fukushima (which hasn't been licensed for construction in the US for decades). You'll also notice that modern designs like the AP1000 have a passive cooling system that is not vulnerable to loss of power, which is what caused the problems at Fukushima.
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lendmeanear
02:22 AM on 03/16/2011
There has to been an easier way to boil water.
06:09 AM on 03/16/2011
easier yes,
but nuclear is by far the biggest payoff for energy contained in unit fuel,

this was an old and frankly p.o.s reactor design,
if they had a breeder facility they wouldn't have all those pools of spent fuel on site,
nevertheless the potential for catastrophe is high at any such facility - and the risk of it actually happening is hard to asses
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lendmeanear
10:23 AM on 03/16/2011
For me, that's a reason why we don't want nuclear energy. We have to hope and pray that all these countries that use it don't screw it up. If they do, an they will eventually as we are seeing, the consequences are just to dire. Ever hear of a solar meltdown?
08:15 AM on 03/16/2011
Its called solar thermal
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gvscmr
www.seanbond.me
01:08 PM on 03/16/2011
Actually in the South West Solar Concentration Towers would be the ticket due to all the sun that they receive. Why these things are not all over in the South West is beyond me. Ultimately they need to crack the method of extracting Hydrogen from sea water more efficiently. Once they do that, Clean burning Hydrogen will be limitless.
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02:04 AM on 03/16/2011
worse than chenorbyl?
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MikeWebster
Always happy.
02:18 AM on 03/16/2011
Nope - nowhere near.
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Dham4201
02:41 AM on 03/16/2011
Not yet
04:32 AM on 03/16/2011
Never will be.