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2012: Here Comes the Apocalpyse (Again)

Posted: 01/02/12 10:25 AM ET

If there's one thing that we can bank on in this New Year (and the solvency of banks isn't one of them), it's that we'll be subjected to a flood of stories speculating on whether Dec. 21, 2012 will bring about the end of the world.

According to popular belief, the primary reason the ancient Mayans built one of the grandest civilizations of the Mesoamerican world -- with its intricate calendars, advanced astronomy, and the only fully developed written language in the Americas before Columbus -- was because they were obsessed with us. A deluge of books and documentaries about 2012 insist that the Mayans were apocalyptic visionaries who spent their days thinking up complex ways to warn us that a terrible catastrophe or a shift in consciousness would arrive on Dec. 21, 2012. As the psychedelic thinker Terence McKenna wrote, "It was our time that fascinated the Maya. It was toward our time that they cast their ecstatic gaze."

The problem is that none of this is true, and the Mayan doomsday industry reveals more about our own historical narcissism (that great cultural contribution of the Boomer generation) than it does about the beliefs of an ancient people. The society whose "ecstatic gaze" is focused on the apocalypse is ours, not the Mayans'.

Let's start with the actual date: there's no incontrovertible evidence that the winter solstice in 2012 accurately correlates with the end of the Mayan Long Count calendar. That date was chosen by scholars of Mayan history in the 1930s, who needed a standard correlation between Mayan calendars and our own Gregorian calendar in order to compare their academic notes. But the scholars may well have gotten the math wrong. Indeed, some believe that the end of the Long Count already happened, on Oct. 28, 2011. Still others predict the Long Count won't end until March 31, 2013. (Like all good apocalypses predicted to occur on a certain date, there's some wiggle room.)

Whichever date correlates with the end of the Long Count calendar, the bigger question remains: Did the Mayans themselves believe the end of the Long Count represented the end of the world? There's very little evidence to suggest that they did -- and quite a bit that suggests they didn't. A panel at the Temple of the Inscriptions in Palenque, for example, bears a date that correlates to Oct. 21, 4772 CE -- just one of many inscriptions suggesting that the ancient Mayans didn't expect the world to go kaput in 2012, any more you expected the world to end when your desk calendar recently read Dec. 31.

Nor do many of the modern-day descendants of the Maya believe this coming winter solstice will mark the end of the world -- a fact that is conveniently overlooked as tourist bureaus from Mexico to Guatemala prepare for the coming apocalyptic travel boom.

But we've been here before. Remember the Hopi? In the early 1960s, an anthropologist by the name of Frank Waters visited the Hopi and revealed that they had a secret prophecy for the end of the world -- and that eight of the nine criteria for that end had already been met. Whether Waters's account is accurate (and many Hopi dispute it) or exploitative, the fact that he heard the story in the early 1960s tells us nothing about what ancient peoples believed. After all, the myths of contemporary native peoples don't exist in isolation from the modern world. It's no surprise that after nearly 500 years of Christian influence and the arrival of the nuclear age that even the Hopi would have caught the apocalyptic bug.

Instead of apocalyptic visionaries, the Mayans, like the Hopis before them, are simply the latest in a long list of cultures on whom we've projected our own Western apocalyptic expectations, which are in overdrive in these tumultuous times. From gushing oil wells in the Gulf of Mexico to nuclear disaster in Japan, from the collapse of the Eurozone to the skyrocketing national debt, everywhere we look there's a horseman -- dressed as a warrior, ecologist, economist, or preacher -- to herald that the end is near. Thus we find ourselves turning increasingly to the apocalyptic metaphor to understand a world that looks radically different from just a decade ago. The apocalypse offers the promise that our chaotic times will eventually prove to have some kind of redemptive meaning -- or that, according to ancient cultures, it was all somehow inevitable, anyhow.

But the anticipated apocalypse never comes. Our hope for the New Year shouldn't be that "the Mayans Were Wrong" (as the Drudge Report blared on New Year's Day), but that in 2012 Americans will come to better understand why we keep returning to doomsday thinking -- and to ultimately reject it.

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Danny Bloom
09:42 PM on 02/20/2012
See my take on POLAR CITIES for survivors of climate chaos in 2500 AD -
http://pcillu101.blogspot.com
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Danny Bloom
09:42 PM on 02/20/2012
But Mathew and Mel, if we humans do not collectively solve the emerging co2/ozone/climatechange/globalwarming crisis that threatens to put a real end to the human species, I mean, period, The End, if we do not stop our use of oil and coal NOW and if we do not tighten the noose around coal and oil now as I said on my Ytube video titled "A graduation speech to the class of 2099" -- then yes, Mel and Mathew, our descendants will be DOOMED, those few souls who survive THAT very real coming apocalypse, say in 2500 or so. This IS serious, and we need to solve the problem very soon or it's .... CURTAINS for the human species. Agree or disagree?
04:22 AM on 01/05/2012
The thing is, while the calendar perhaps represented a civilization, inscriptions were typically at the behest of an individual. Over more than 1000 years it is not surprising if the odd leader declared that they would see to it that the world wouldn't end, and left a prophecy for a date beyond 2012.

Regardless of all the niggling arguments, the Maya left a calendar that (probably) ends in 2012, we don't know why, but the MesoAmericans had apocalyptic beliefs and it's worthy of being concerned about.
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salamanca1
We'll never run out of stupidity
04:11 PM on 01/03/2012
Truly, history is cyclical, as this latest cycle of apocalyptic nonsense demonstrates.
07:15 PM on 01/02/2012
I wonder exactly how many times will the world end? Didn't it already end in....let's see, 999, 1985, 1999? I know I missed quite a few in-between there. And this will also mean we will see an Apocalyptic Baby Boom next year as well.

~Madness
madnessofthemind.wordpress.com
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DianneinCA
running forward, laughing...
06:40 PM on 01/02/2012
"The problem is that none of this is true, and the Mayan doomsday industry reveals more about our own historical narcissism (that great cultural contribution of the Boomer generation) than it does about the beliefs of an ancient people. The society whose "ecstatic gaze" is focused on the apocalypse is ours, not the Mayans'"

Excellent article.
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celiaalario
04:05 PM on 01/02/2012
of course this has been the topic of many a New Year's party conversation this season. looking forward to the full text in your book 'The Last Myth' coming soon!
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gottanuf
Democrat defender of the second admendment
06:28 PM on 01/02/2012
We never even thought about it at my house............
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gottanuf
Democrat defender of the second admendment
06:44 PM on 01/02/2012
I'm your 420th fan, ha!
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ThomasMc
Christian morality is an oxymoron.
03:46 PM on 01/02/2012
Oh, please. Everyone knows the world ended in Y2K.
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DianneinCA
running forward, laughing...
06:35 PM on 01/02/2012
Thank you for that. Well said.

Fanned and faved
03:30 PM on 01/02/2012
Recently deciphered hieroglyphics of the Mayans have revealed why their calendar ended on 12/21/12. The person who was in charge of the project up and quit. He suddenly realized that there was just no future in it.
02:40 PM on 01/02/2012
Thanks to the authors for an interesting subject; it's easy to be a skeptic but also mistaken to think they know what's true (or not true) about the Mayans. The Mayan Long Count indicates the end of the "Fourth Sun" and the beginning of the fifth, which is significant since those periods are more than 5000 years long. Also, since they could have known how nasty the end of fourth was, it would be natural to look forward to the fifth; thus McKenna (in his own inimitable way) could have been right.
Yes, popular belief needs to become informed. Yes, Western cultures tend to apocalyptic (instead of cyclic). However, with our planet operating way beyond sustainability and given the levels of violence and destruction we are used to, it's reasonable to expect some havoc in the near future. On the other hand, we can alternatively shift to a positive, constructive attitude -- see Jeremy Rifkin, "The Third Industrial Revolution" and the perennial Buckminster Fuller, who advocated that everyone on Earth could live successfully.
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salamanca1
We'll never run out of stupidity
04:08 PM on 01/03/2012
Your argument makes no sense. If we ourselves are screwing up the world so badly that "havoc" is in the offing, that does not make the Mayan calendar a logical predictor of same.
NoRhymeOrReason
Teach your children well...
02:27 PM on 01/02/2012
From Wikipedia:

"An Apocalypse (Greek: į¼€Ļ€ĪæĪŗĪ¬Ī»Ļ…ĻˆĪ¹Ļ‚ apokĆ”lypsis; "lifting of the veil" or "revelation") is a disclosure of something hidden from the majority of mankind in an era dominated by falsehood and misconception, i.e. the veil to be lifted."

I truely hope that there will be such an Apocalypse. Those of us that have already seen beneath the veil are getting impatient.
accelerando
my micro-bio is empty
02:07 PM on 01/02/2012
Both society and theistic religion feel the need to make us comfortable by imposing the illusion of order on chaos. The illusion of order will consequently imply an unraveling of that order. I think its time the human race let go of Big Mama or Big Daddy and step out into the world as adults. Since the 18th c, science as been showing us a way to face chaos in a rational way. Some centuries BC, Buddha taught that chaos is a given, that we should face it, and then go forward with compassion and solidarity with our fellow beings. Works for me.
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Daniel Myers
Then man created god in his image.
01:47 PM on 01/02/2012
I think a recent quote is in order here:
"Enjoy your new arbitrarily assigned base 10 number that inaccurately counts the number of orbits around the Sun completed by Earth." GlaDOS

Just pick a new date with a dart when this once again fails religious people.
jhNY
Mercy.
01:10 PM on 01/02/2012
If the author is wrong, and the world does end December 21, 2012, as so many wise heads on various quasi-historical scientifical teevee outlets are wont regularly to opine, I think we should demand today that he write in on December 22nd and admit his foolish error. I, for one, will be awaiting his apology then.
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Kiri Westby
Changemaker/Rulebreaker/Storyteller
01:06 PM on 01/02/2012
Great piece! As a Buddhist, I have a hard time believing in the end of anything...though everything dies. I think we in the US have such a culture of fear that as we approach 12-21-12 people are going to get really nuts. Thanks for keeping it real and pointing out that it is us who are obsessed with an apocalypse, not the Mayans.