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Loss of Place, Continuity of Influence


Change always moves slowly; in fits and starts it lumbers down a path different from the anticipated. The slide of American power, prestige and influence is very much following this parade pattern. Just behind the same old debates and rabidly frothing opinion chatter, our headlines are jam-packed with waning sings. You may not see them plain and clear in the all-irrelevant, all-the-time news cycle. But they are there, alongside many counterfactuals, resurgences, and surprises. Let's take a look together at recent headlines.

Our news waves are filled with indignant judgment of "Russian Aggression" toward Georgia. We sent out our UN ambassador, Zalmay Khalilzad, to denounce Russian action in Georgia. This is the international diplomatic equivalent of sending Charles Mansion out as an anger management consultant. In short, it is not really a grand move. Khalilzad's recent gigs as US Ambassador in Kabul and Iraq might make him less than ideal for a high profile international speech regarding the evils of military aggression and regime change action against foreign sovereign states. Then again, it is clear that the message many received was: you can call America's bluff. It looks increasingly as though Georgian leadership ran with a rather dangerous plan of action based on an exaggerated understanding of US and EU support. Now the world watches our leadership fumble toward greater error as Russian forces execute the actions they deem consistent with Russian interests. This is a loss of influence, plain and simple. It marks a turning point in US and Russian regional influence; at least it sure looks that way today.

Hiding in this, the latest in a long string of misadventures, is the remaining power of America far away from her shores, core interests and commitments. Thus, our ongoing actions, pronouncements, and involvements in the former USSR remain potent and pregnant with opportunities for success and failure. American council, NATO allure, and European allegiances look to be intact. Behind a din of accusation and exaggeration, the loss of place and the remaining power are evident.


As China moves toward top medal status in the Beijing Olympics we are beginning to question the lack of state support and finance we give to our athletes. The US dominated the Olympic medal count in 70% of the 23 games in which we competed. The 2008 summer games leadership looks likely to belong to China. Clearly this is symbolic and of nowhere near the import of our bumbling misadventures along Russia's border. However, this too gestures in the direction of the master narrative. The legacy of success and remaining power of our relatively poorly state-assisted athletes is impressive and the 2008 medal count attests to this. Likewise, the massive concentration, funding, and population at China's disposal are emergent and impressive.

The continual slide of the US macro-economy remains sadly intact. However, economic difficulties have been rapidly globalized and recent fear has come to center on the Eurozone, the UK, and developing countries. Thus, the Dollar has risen and perceptions of America's economy have improved. The serious weakness in our economy is a fact on the ground and will be for some time. The global metastasis from our housing, financial, and credit markets is now becoming a shaping global reality. This too speaks to the diminution of America's place and resilience of our power and influence.

In sum, we occupy a slowly and strangely different place of real import in the world. There have been serious blows to American prestige, and economic and political power. There also remains a great weight and influence to our domestic and international policies, ideas, and actions. In short, neither those who advocate American supremacy as destiny, nor those who celebrate America's missteps, should be so confident in their proclamations.

Edited by C. Ghosh

Change always moves slowly; in fits and starts it lumbers down a path different from the anticipated. The slide of American power, prestige and influence is very much following this parade pattern. Ju...
Change always moves slowly; in fits and starts it lumbers down a path different from the anticipated. The slide of American power, prestige and influence is very much following this parade pattern. Ju...
 
 
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joebaggadonuts
Civilization: Evolutionary pathway of choice.
04:48 PM on 08/18/2008
The British retain huge influence in world affairs because they thought things through and acted in their best interests. We as a nation have yet to define our best interests. Are they long term, to the 7th generation of all citizens, or are they short term and geared toward the richest 1/10 of 1 per cent of our (mobile and essentially stateless) residents? Do we really want to spread democracy even when it invests religious fanatics with power over nuclear weapons? Is biodiversity more important than technology?

Unfortunately, our electronic eyes and ears have become mere advert pushers with no ability to focus our collective thought on anything more important than our own gratuitous evanescent pleasure or fears, which, of course, is in the business of orienting our thinking toward our next purchase transaction.

Every day I see the Huffpo, I thank God/fate that there are some outlets like this one which are succeeding in creation of a forum to let people think about the long term future together, and allowing them to see more than what serves the advertisers at the moment. Thanks for all you do Max.
02:03 PM on 08/16/2008
I THINK IT'S TIME TO COME HOME AND FIX UP OUR OWN HOUSE.
03:40 AM on 08/16/2008
I think you are looking for signs of decline of empire where they does not exist.

China has developed a state system dedicated to rearing children to become Gold medal winners and investing limitless dollars into their training. Do you suggest that we must do the same or we are in "decline"? I see no need in the US for professional child athletes supported by massive government dollars to compete with the life time athletes reared by other nations state run Olympic farms.

What you should be writing about is how this kind of state run farm system the Chinese are using is not what the Olympics was designed to be. The chase of gold medals by nations that are willing to raise children to be professional Olympic athletes violates the spirit and express purpose of the games.

And you feel we SHOULDN'T be angry at Russia for invading a democracy? My how tolerant!
01:39 PM on 08/15/2008
Thanks, Max, for so aptly situating these development and events into the broader picture of shifting global geopolitical/economic positions. It's too bad that more of such analysis isn't accessible among the chatter of the "all-irrelevant, all-the-time news cycle."
12:09 PM on 08/15/2008
Max,
How, for example, does the infamous carry trade "earn" money the old fashioned way??? Lotsa boys are making out like "bandits" with the free lunch. Does the "global" economy" actually work, or is it just a house of ill repute for the decadent?
This "globalization" is wonderful game for investment bankers and their "ilk" but it is leading nation states into into a blind alley that robs their culture, their dignity, and indeed their sovereignty. In order for this globalization to work, borders and country dignity are jettisoned! For example: What good is a minimum wage of a country's worker if his job can be outsourced? And, as you know well, the fiduciary duty of the corp Pres is not to his "workers" but to his shareholders. And there you have it.
11:30 AM on 08/15/2008
Very interesting piece. If Americans, at least the ones whose voices I hear through the media and internet, acknowledge the loss of American power, they attribute it to Bush and seem to believe Obama will turn the tide. Rarely acknowledged are the undercurrents, such as deindustrialization, defunding of education and debt, that drag America down.
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gladys46
Know Your Interests, Vote
11:58 AM on 08/15/2008
So we had an idjitt in the WH, so that same person felt the American Constitution a mere nuisance and thought only of their personal goals ... to become more rich oil barons!! Sure they used 9/11 as the greatest fearmongering, marketed ploy ever! I acknowledge the dumbing down of our nation & the debts that our children will be saddled with but, what you might consider is the fact that American's, the people, are in fact industrious and if elected president, Obama will give us the chance to use our minds again and rebuild a more perfect America!!