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Michael Brown

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Ending the Dropout Crisis: The Next Moon Shot

Posted: 09/12/2012 9:25 am

Like it did for millions of Americans, Neil Armstrong's death brought back a vivid memory for me. I will never forget July 21, 1969. I was eight years old. My parents woke me during what I thought was the middle of the night (apparently it was 10:56 p.m.) so that I could watch the first astronaut walk on the moon. A great national challenge issued by President John F. Kennedy had been met: We had sent a man to the moon and returned him safely to earth before the decade was out.

It has become cliché to compare every great objective to a "moon shot," or perhaps more commonly to lament, "If they can put a man on the moon, why can't they do X?" -- and "X" is often a pet peeve.

But President Kennedy's challenge to put a man on the moon -- made at Rice University fifty years ago today -- provides powerful insights into what national cause is worthy of a "moon shot" -- and what it takes to achieve it.

First, President Kennedy presented the "moon shot" as vital to our national security, our national character and our national purpose. Second, he set a bold transformational goal -- grand but achievable -- with a clear metric for success. Finally, success would depend on developing imaginative new technologies and the heroism of a select cohort of Americans, our astronauts.

"In short," said President Kennedy, "our leadership in science and in industry, our hopes for peace and security, our obligations to ourselves as well as others, all require us to make this effort."

If there is any area of our public life that cries out for a new moon shot, it the alarming number of young people who drop out of high school in America, one every 26 seconds. We need to end this dropout crisis and send students from kindergarten safely through high school graduation before the decade is out.

There is little doubt that ending the dropout crisis would be transformational for the country, both in terms of economic cost and our moral commitments.

For an individual student who gives up on school -- as more than one million do each year -- dropping out is a fast track to an underclass: Dropouts are eight times more likely to be incarcerated and three times more likely to be in poor health and unemployed than graduates.

If left unchecked, the 12 million students who will dropout over the next decade will cost the nation a whopping $3 trillion, not to mention the incalculable cost of lost hope and unmet potential. Low graduation rates are even a threat to our national security, as close to three quarters of young Americans are ineligible to join the army, with lack of educational skills as a leading cause.

Just like the moon was both a barrier and a gateway to the planets and stars, high school graduation is a barrier and a gateway to the nation's future economic competitiveness and access to the American Dream for millions of young people, especially in communities of color.

Like President Kennedy's challenge, there's a clear metric for success: raise the national graduation rate to 90 percent. That's the bipartisan goal put forward by President Obama and the Building a Grad Nation report.

On average, three quarters of the nation's young people graduate high school -- but in high poverty communities the likelihood of graduating with your class is often a fifty-fifty proposition.

Just 12 percent of America's high schools produce half of the nation's dropouts. For an education moon shot, improving the nation's chronically underperforming schools is where the Eagle has to land.

And like the moon landing, it will take new technologies to solve the dropout crisis.

Kennedy understood that really big goals unleash powerful creative forces to remove all obstacles to success. To reach the moon, he predicted, we would need "new metal alloys, some of which have not yet been invented" and heat shields that could withstand "half that of the temperature of the sun."

Many of the educational equivalents to the new metal alloys and heat shields needed to solve the dropout crisis are being invented by innovative public and charter schools, nonprofits, academics and education practitioners- extended learning time, one-on-one and small group tutoring, rigorous use of student data, and breakthrough attendance, and social and emotional learning initiatives.

Research by Johns Hopkins University found that early warning indicators -- high absences, poor behaviors and getting an "F" in math or English -- are highly predictive, as early as late elementary school, that a student will dropout. Address these indicators at the scale required and thousands of students can get back on track.

Finally, to land on the moon, it took a few extraordinary Americans with "the right stuff." To solve the dropout crisis, it will take many ordinary Americans with an extraordinary commitment to do the right things to help students succeed.

It begins with an effective, committed teacher -- but in high-poverty schools it often takes so much more.

What's needed is a dramatic increase in the people power necessary to take effective innovations to scale.

We need the one million volunteers that the United Way is organizing to help in America's schools. And we need the thousands of young people who are applying to serve full-time in AmeriCorps in records numbers -- 582,000 applications last year alone for just 80,000 spots.

Let's challenge the young people of America to give a year of service in America's schools to inspire the next generation to reach for the stars, just like Neil Armstrong did for me.

 

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BOBinPS
Really?
07:05 PM on 09/16/2012
High school dropout rates are indicators of societal disfunction, but not the cause. Excepting schools and teachers to fix society is a giant waste of time and money. Of course schools can be improved, and that might improve collage admission rates or performance, but there is no reason to expect that to change dropout rates significantly. Immigrant minorities usually have higher dropout rates that improve as the minority enters the economic mainstream. Those who do not transition do not improve. Schools and teachers are ill equipped to serve as social services. I understand that some would like to make that a school's role, but as educational institutions, that is not their mission.
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cdecisneros
my micro bio is empty because I went to the micro
06:44 PM on 09/15/2012
I am pretty sure that cutting 1.3 billion and then bragging that you raised the school budget by 1 billion dollars does not help. Nor does teaching to a test.
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Mr Bobo
Punk Rock Libertarian. Different. Better.
03:00 PM on 09/14/2012
What the movement needs is parents with the "right stuff". If the parents suck, then kids need to be assigned a mentor.
OldSchool4942
just passin through
09:53 PM on 09/13/2012
And I'll bet those 12% of schools that have the high drop out rate are in areas that are very similar to war zones. You want a change you are going to have to remove the kids from the environment at a very early age and keep them away.
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Akla
Leave No Trace, Just a Good Impression
12:57 PM on 09/13/2012
Graduation rates in the United States are at the highest levels--ever. Large urban school systems, those that produce the dropouts, have never worked properly and need to be downsized. School corporations are being blamed for community failures. Look at the systems where the state or local gov has stepped in--New York, Chicago, Philadelphia, Milwaukee etc and what has happened? Achievement has not improved, dropouts have not improved very much etc. Perhaps Americorps will work, but it will take more than the volunteers working in the schools--they will need to live in the communities and serve as role models and mentor the kids and their families.
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12Purple
my microbio isn't empty yet communicates nothing
11:15 AM on 09/13/2012
You'll fix the drop out rate when you can change the attitude in some communities that studying, doing your homework, enjoying learning and participating in school activities are not looked upon as "being white".
01:09 PM on 09/15/2012
"This" is ssoooo sad. I've never heard it and am sorry to hear it now.
04:28 PM on 09/12/2012
The author misses, perhaps not intentionally, the number one issue in educational under-achievment that is very un-PC to talk about: two-parent homes (and please save the nonsense of "but I know many single parents who produce Rhode scholars and many two parent households who produce drop outs" outlier statistics).
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BOBinPS
Really?
07:11 PM on 09/16/2012
Family income level is a far better predictor of dropout potential than number of parents. But, you are correct that single parent households tend towards lower incomes. Obviously two incomes are better than one. One large income and two parents is even better. But that is not the reality we are dealing with. The tendencies away from the model two parent/one income are responses to multiple and complicated factors. This is more an economic issue than a moral issue regardless of how the scolds pronounce.
08:20 PM on 09/17/2012
Morality is largely not my concern; I deal with facts on the ground. Dismissing the issue as 'multiple and complicated' seems to be an attempt, as I pointed in my earlier post, to be PC and avoid some of the fundamentals we need to be looking at. That you have, however tenuously and obviously against your will and political ideology, acknowledged that this should be part of a broader discussion is very admirable. Perhaps someday we will be able to have open discussions without being labeled "scolds" and "morality police" and what not.
02:45 PM on 09/12/2012
I would suggest focusing a lot of attention upon young preschoolers and early elementary students. Heckman's data shows that the children of college (or better) educated mothers are a standard deviation above norm at age 3, while the children of high school dropout mothers are half a standard deviation below norm at age 3 - and the relative ranking doesn't change as they get older - it is still true at age 18.

Investment in the early childhood environment and support while growing up is likely to be particularly cost effective.
02:32 PM on 09/12/2012
i understand that the drop-out rate is alarming and should be reduced but there is no information in the article about the causes of dropping out.

It is somewhat implied that a student drops out when the student cannot achieve. Are we sure about that? How about the family factors, the culture and expectations of the local community, short term economical needs etc? The problems of moon landing were known very well and that was how they got solved.

We need to be sure about the causes of the problem before we attempt to solve it. I am sure the causes of dropping out are known by the experts, they are not mentioned in this article.
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Scott Leland
11:54 AM on 09/13/2012
remunerated hiautus: The states are increasing the requirements for graduation like having to pass an algebra test and being able to write a paper on a science topic, that is why the drop-out rate is going to increase....
04:09 PM on 09/13/2012
I am confused. What is wrong with requiring to pass an algebra test or writing a scientific paper? These are valid demands. They cannot be classified as the causes of dropping out.
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12:30 PM on 09/12/2012
This is a beautiful and inspirational post - but it fails to address the two main roots of the dropout problem. I don't doubt getting "F" or high absence being indicators for dropping out, but that is exactly what they are: indicators, not reasons. The real reason for dropping out of school is that the formal education fails to be meaningful for these students.

Let's face the reality: learning and teaching are two different phenomena, that sometimes occur in the same physical space (classroom). We need a paradigm change in education to make education what it should be: preparing our youth to face the unknown, their future, and to equip them with tools for lifelong learning so that they can be successful. Just adding volunteers into the classroom doesn't do the trick. While I have a great respect for volunteers, the reality is that the more challenging students we have, the more educated their teachers, tutors and volunteers must be in order to be successful in communicating the value of learning with their verbal, non-verbal and paraverbal language.

Knowledge and understanding of pedagogy (and adragogy) is necessary. More information available on my website www.ninacsmith.com and in my blog http://notesfromnina.wordpress.com/
11:47 AM on 09/12/2012
Just give them all a participation diploma and be done with it.
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Lazyrenowriter
11:28 AM on 09/12/2012
The drop out problem has many contributing factors - Instilling a belief in a better future - which appears to be the United Way's goal is part of the solution - but inadequate in and of itself. Do police - as I experienced many years ago - in these communities address citizens (and presumably others) in the most vile terms imaginable? Do public defenders ram the prosecutors will down the throats of those charged with a crime? Do social workers and other low level government employees demand subservience from those they are supposedly serving? Is covering up abuses (minor or major) by those in government the accepted practice? Why hasn't the mental health system been reformed ? - The knowledge is currently available - but more money can be made from the current abusive system than a first rate system - but kissing up to the drug companies is apparently more important than the lives or freedom of the people. See :The Plea Bargain System - An Evil Destroying America ? http://youtu.be/VSZZXgevT7k - Reforming The Mental Health System : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkUTA1nEfjA&feature=plcp - Buddhist Philosophy and Psychology http://youtu.be/f9s6HUGu2N0
11:28 AM on 09/12/2012
#OneCityYear
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homer winslow
Truth in Beauty, Beauty in Truth
11:17 AM on 09/12/2012
I fondly remember those days. Americans, while not completely in agreement on all issues were not near as polarized as today. There was the ability to debate and compromise and very little hatred being spewed by the religious right.
10:20 AM on 09/12/2012
Michael, It's a nice thought, but then reality sets in. In the 60's NASA and it's government contractors employed hundreds of thousands workers and spent billions of dollars all to send a total of 12 men to the moon. 12. 100,000 support people and billions of dollars for 12. And then we abandoned the missions because it cost too much. How many support people and how many dollars do you think it would take over how many years to increase the graduation rate to 100% in those 12% of the dropout factories, when the real reason for most of those students dropping out has very little to do with school? You would first need to bulldoze those entire communities and then rebuild them and them repopulate the area with new people. But that won't solve your problem either, because while you are doing that, the people you just relocated are still the same people they were and their offspring will face the same challenges as their parents did. The issue is jobs, not education. The cart is before the horse. Adults need jobs so they can pay for good education for their children. And then it doesn't do you a dang bit of good if after you graduate you can't find a job. Spend the money on low tech, good paying jobs and the education part will take care of itself.
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Scott Leland
11:50 AM on 09/13/2012
E1k: Yes, you are right, our society should find a way to encorage poor people not to have children.
03:09 PM on 09/13/2012
I am sure you don't mean it this way, but I agree with you Scott. Poor people should have access to sex education in schools and poor people should have access to birth control and poor people should have access to abortion services, if and when they feel the need. Just like everyone else should have.